Yoshi

@tradefoxintern • 10,400 subscribers

Co-Founder @tradefoxai | Member @alliance

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Polymarket will end Options' markets completely with 5-min Crypto Up/Down markets Imagine getting 100x implicit leverage almost 12 times an hour The Bots are salivating

Polymarket will end Options' markets completely with 5-min Crypto Up/Down markets Imagine getting 100x implicit leverage almost 12 times an hour The Bots are salivating

70,134 görüntüleme

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - HashDive - Prediction Market Analytics: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - HashDive - Prediction Market Analytics: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

31,700 görüntüleme

If Prediction Markets truly want to beat traditional SportsBooks they need real parlays - Not conditional markets If you're working on Parlays for Prediction Markets get in my DMs. We're working at the frontier of innovation for Prediction markets TradeFox

If Prediction Markets truly want to beat traditional SportsBooks they need real parlays - Not conditional markets If you're working on Parlays for Prediction Markets get in my DMs. We're working at the frontier of innovation for Prediction markets TradeFox

12,304 görüntüleme

Prediction Markets will be the cure for the existential boredom caused by AI-enabled abundance - As AI takes over all blue-collar and white collar jobs and creates UBI, people will have more time for entertainment and consumption - Naturally people will begin to trade or gamble more, because AI will never be able to replace the thrill of winning money in games of chance Prediction Markets allow you to trade on anything and will become the primary venue people congregate around e.g. You can bet on how many passengers will fly through TSA this week lmao Join us TradeFox as we aggregate every single Prediction Market and become the all-in-one solution for retail speculation + professional prediction market trading (link in comments)

Prediction Markets will be the cure for the existential boredom caused by AI-enabled abundance - As AI takes over all blue-collar and white collar jobs and creates UBI, people will have more time for entertainment and consumption - Naturally people will begin to trade or gamble more, because AI will never be able to replace the thrill of winning money in games of chance Prediction Markets allow you to trade on anything and will become the primary venue people congregate around e.g. You can bet on how many passengers will fly through TSA this week lmao Join us TradeFox as we aggregate every single Prediction Market and become the all-in-one solution for retail speculation + professional prediction market trading (link in comments)

12,331 görüntüleme

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This smart Polymarket trader has a PnL of $330k with $225m in volume! 1) Here's his strategy: - Buy moonshot bets like 'Will Kanye win the elections'. Essentially buying lottery tickets and hoping one hits - You may be asking, but isnt this just gambling? Well yes, on an individual position basis its a coin toss. But in aggregate, he manages his position sizes very efficiently and is able to ensure diversification of bets - This leads to almost VC-esque returns where most bets are expected to go to 0 but the few that hit do a 100x - Very risky strategy IMO but has worked for this trader 2) Here's how you can copy trade him in 20 seconds using TradeFox: - Paste his wallet address in the search bar - Follow him and then click copy all trades - Input variables based on your risk tolerance and click 'Copy' TradeFox will now automatically copy every single trade made by Agriculture Secretary within 3 seconds (Link in comments)

This smart Polymarket trader has a PnL of $330k with $225m in volume! 1) Here's his strategy: - Buy moonshot bets like 'Will Kanye win the elections'. Essentially buying lottery tickets and hoping one hits - You may be asking, but isnt this just gambling? Well yes, on an individual position basis its a coin toss. But in aggregate, he manages his position sizes very efficiently and is able to ensure diversification of bets - This leads to almost VC-esque returns where most bets are expected to go to 0 but the few that hit do a 100x - Very risky strategy IMO but has worked for this trader 2) Here's how you can copy trade him in 20 seconds using TradeFox: - Paste his wallet address in the search bar - Follow him and then click copy all trades - Input variables based on your risk tolerance and click 'Copy' TradeFox will now automatically copy every single trade made by Agriculture Secretary within 3 seconds (Link in comments)

193,569 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

I love finding Prediction Markets I can size into for a sub 10% gain Here's a great one - 'Will MSTR sell any $BTC by year end?' - Only 5% chance - Easy trade - Buy 'NO' on this market. You can size in since there's almost $100k in liquidity and $2m in volume - Smart Money has bet big on 'NO' as you can see from the Recent Trades section You can Follow and Copy Trade Smart Money wallets in 10 seconds using TradeFox (Link in comments)

I love finding Prediction Markets I can size into for a sub 10% gain Here's a great one - 'Will MSTR sell any $BTC by year end?' - Only 5% chance - Easy trade - Buy 'NO' on this market. You can size in since there's almost $100k in liquidity and $2m in volume - Smart Money has bet big on 'NO' as you can see from the Recent Trades section You can Follow and Copy Trade Smart Money wallets in 10 seconds using TradeFox (Link in comments)

172,483 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

I FOUND THE BEST POLYMARKET WHALE TO COPY PnL - $550k Win rate - 90%+ Here's how he does it: - Only bets on markets that have hit 99.9c - Even though these markets are a guaranteed win, he will still never bet more than 1% of his portfolio on a single trade. That's dedicated Risk Management - Focuses only on Sports Games and crypto since those have the deepest liquidity - Buys in a staggered way so as to not get rekt by slippage Here's how you can copy him: - Go to TradeFox - Click on Copy - Paste Address in the search bar - Click Copy All Trades - Input your settings - Use TradeFoxAI to get feedback on your settings - Start Copying Should take less than 20 seconds (Link to wallet in comments)

I FOUND THE BEST POLYMARKET WHALE TO COPY PnL - $550k Win rate - 90%+ Here's how he does it: - Only bets on markets that have hit 99.9c - Even though these markets are a guaranteed win, he will still never bet more than 1% of his portfolio on a single trade. That's dedicated Risk Management - Focuses only on Sports Games and crypto since those have the deepest liquidity - Buys in a staggered way so as to not get rekt by slippage Here's how you can copy him: - Go to TradeFox - Click on Copy - Paste Address in the search bar - Click Copy All Trades - Input your settings - Use TradeFoxAI to get feedback on your settings - Start Copying Should take less than 20 seconds (Link to wallet in comments)

18,582 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

This Polymarket looks like an easy bond - 'Will $BTC be above $100k on Nov 13?' - Current $BTC price is $103k - Odds are 95.5% - There's 10 hours left for the market to resolve - IMO this is an easy bond Smart Money 1) Heavily skewed towards YES 2) This trader - blubblerbuster consistently trades Price Prediction Markets successfully and has a PnL of $27k 3) He's the 3rd biggest holder of YES (Pro Tip: Here's how I found this market on TradeFox: a) Open the Market Dropdown on the trade page b) Use the Bonding Soon filter c) Click on interesting markets ) Link in comments

This Polymarket looks like an easy bond - 'Will $BTC be above $100k on Nov 13?' - Current $BTC price is $103k - Odds are 95.5% - There's 10 hours left for the market to resolve - IMO this is an easy bond Smart Money 1) Heavily skewed towards YES 2) This trader - blubblerbuster consistently trades Price Prediction Markets successfully and has a PnL of $27k 3) He's the 3rd biggest holder of YES (Pro Tip: Here's how I found this market on TradeFox: a) Open the Market Dropdown on the trade page b) Use the Bonding Soon filter c) Click on interesting markets ) Link in comments

18,113 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

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