Tunç Demirtaş
@tuncdemirtas • 7,185 subscribers
FP Researcher @setavakfi /Assist. Prof. | IR at Mersin University | Somalia | Horn of Africa (Rt&Fav&Follow)≠endorsement & support | Dedicated 🇹🇷
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President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: “Our operations off the coast of Somalia are of historic importance, as they represent Türkiye’s first deep-sea exploration drilling abroad. If climate and weather conditions are favorable, we expect to complete the drilling operation within 6 to 9 months. Our hope is to deliver the good news that the brotherly people of Somalia-who have struggled for many years with internal instability and famine-have long been waiting for.”
Tunç Demirtaş16,062 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🇹🇷 🤝🇸🇴Efforts to externally divide Somalia are moving in clear opposition to the social and political realities on the ground. The clashes that previously occurred in Las Anod did not bring stability to the former administration. Instead, they resulted in governance weaknesses, a loss of legitimacy, and political failure. Continuing a similar discourse today in Hargeisa would amount to nothing more than repeating the same mistake. Las Anod’s decision to separate from Somaliland and declare its affiliation with the Federal Republic of Somalia is not merely a local decision. It constitutes a strategic response by the Somali people in favor of unity rather than fragmentation. Similar messages emerging from Awdal further demonstrate that this trend is structural rather than temporary. While external actors seeking to fragment Somalia remain active, the emergence of a strong willingness among significant segments of the Somali population to integrate into the central federal structure is noteworthy. What we are witnessing in Somalia today is the reversal of the classic “divide-and-rule” approach: divide, fragment, and reunify. In this context, the presence of the Somali President and Prime Minister, alongside Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, and Sudan, standing with the Somali people in Las Anod was not merely symbolic. It conveyed a clear message in support of Somalia’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, and political unity. As it has in the past, Türkiye will continue to stand by the will, unity, and sovereignty of the Somali people.
Tunç Demirtaş22,887 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s response to my question during the Antalya Diplomacy Forum, “Prime Minister Hamza Barre is currently in Khatumo, Las Anod, while you are here. There was a conflict in the region. This is the first official visit since the end of that conflict. How do you assess the significance of this historic visit?”, was as follows… #ADF2025 #MEET4DIPLOMACY #AntalyaDiplomacyForum
Tunç Demirtaş41,644 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr
The upcoming weeks could be a period that requires close attention in terms of the geopolitical direction of East Africa. The overall picture in Addis Ababa indicates that the region is passing through a critical threshold. We are in Addis Ababa as part of President Erdoğan’s visit to Ethiopia. 1. This year marks the 100th anniversary of Ethiopia–Türkiye relations. Türkiye’s first embassy in Sub-Saharan Africa was opened in Addis Ababa in 1926. The main theme of the visit, consistent with this historical continuity, is a “Permanent Partnership.” 2. Ethiopia occupies an extremely sensitive position within the conflict-prone and competitive environment of the Horn of Africa. The leadership seeks to consolidate its position on issues it considers vital. At the same time, it tends to turn any emerging opportunity into a strategic gain. 3. However, growing demographic pressure, economic challenges, the fatigue of internal conflict, and other domestic vulnerabilities-combined with the structural disadvantages of being a landlocked country-are pushing Addis Ababa toward alternative strategic options. 4. In this context, the strategy of “access to the sea” is seen as a form of strategic relief-both for managing internal pressures and deepening regional influence. Creating economic breathing space, reducing logistical dependence, and increasing strategic maneuverability are the core motivations behind this approach. 5. This places Ethiopia in a difficult equation: it must produce policy within a competitive-and at times confrontational-regional environment where its ambitions may clash with the sovereignty sensitivities of its neighbors. The search for maritime access therefore stands out as an issue that could easily harden the region’s fragile balance. 6. Its closer alignment with the UAE in the Sudan civil war reflects the cumulative pressures of multiple security and economic challenges. Recent developments suggest that Ethiopia may seek a more active and visible role in the Sudan file in the near term. 7. At the same time, military movements along the Eritrean border carry risks that could trigger a new confrontation. For Ethiopia, the Eritrea issue is directly linked to its most critical maritime option. Access to the sea through Assab remains central to its strategic thinking. Historical grievances and current security concerns are deeply intertwined in this file. 8. Another critical relationship is with Egypt. The core issue here is the Nile Basin and water security. While the GERD dam represents energy production, development, and strategic leverage for Ethiopia, it is perceived by Egypt as a high-risk scenario. What began as a technical water management issue has evolved into a geopolitical matter directly tied to regional power balances. 9. When regional dynamics and the engagement of external actors are considered together, it becomes clear that Ethiopia is navigating a multilayered but high-risk foreign policy landscape-one that affects fault lines across North Africa, the Middle East, the Gulf, and the Horn of Africa. 10. Within this broader tension environment, Türkiye-Ethiopia relations remain in a positive trajectory. Despite differences in certain areas, the potential for deeper cooperation is high. Today, both leaders delivered strong messages in this direction. 11. President Erdoğan’s visit comes at a time when regional conflict dynamics are becoming increasingly visible. Ankara is seeking to develop a balancing approach aimed at preventing potential conflicts and lowering rising regional tensions. Given that Türkiye has both direct and indirect interests tied to the nature of its relationship with Ethiopia, the process is being managed with careful strategic consideration. 12. From arrival to departure, President Erdoğan was warmly received in Addis Ababa. The key areas of focus included economic cooperation, defense industry partnerships, and critical regional issues. Murat Yeşiltaş SETA
Tunç Demirtaş14,109 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
If, as claimed, there were a terrorist organization just 6 kilometers away, would such an atmosphere be possible in the city? In the heart of #Mogadishu, on Maka Al-Mukarama Road, there is peace and security. People are thankfully able to break their fast safely. Alhamdulillah. Please do not fall for the perception operations, misinformation, and propaganda spread by groups with different agendas and terrorist organizations on social media. All the maps that have been circulating on social media since this morning are either fake or incorrect. The media outlets sharing these should also act more responsibly in pursuit of accurate journalism. ————- Eğer söylendiği gibi yanı başında yani 6 km mesafede terör örgütü olan bir şehirde böyle bir atmosfer mi olur? #Mogadişu’da şehrin göbeğinde Maka Al-Mukarama’da huzur ve güvenlik var. İnsanlar güvenli şekilde iftarlarını yapıyorlar çok şükür. Lütfen sosyal medyada amacı farklı olan grupların ve terör örgütlerinin algı operasyonlarına, dezenformasyonlarına, propagandalarına maruz kalmayın. Sabahtan beri sosyal medyada paylaşılan haritaların hepsi fake ya da yanlış. Bunu yayan basın kuruluşlarının da doğru habercilik için daha dikkatli davranmaları gerekiyor.
Tunç Demirtaş32,509 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr
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