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VirtualBacon

@virtualbacon • 230,471 subscribers

Crypto and macro in plain English. Every day: the levels I am watching and the positions I actually hold. No hype. Livestreams Mon/Wed/Fri.

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Bitcoin ran 24% in four days and confirmed nothing. It stopped dead at the 50-week EMA at 77,200. Same band that capped December's rally and April's bounce. Confirmation is a weekly close above 81,790. Waiting costs 6% of entry. It buys you 40% odds becoming 80%.

Bitcoin ran 24% in four days and confirmed nothing. It stopped dead at the 50-week EMA at 77,200. Same band that capped December's rally and April's bounce. Confirmation is a weekly close above 81,790. Waiting costs 6% of entry. It buys you 40% odds becoming 80%.

78,099 просмотров • 16 дней назад

I will not give you a buy target for a coin I would never buy myself. Cardano, ICP and Injective get no target from me. Doing all the analysis and then not buying is hypocritical.

I will not give you a buy target for a coin I would never buy myself. Cardano, ICP and Injective get no target from me. Doing all the analysis and then not buying is hypocritical.

61,690 просмотров • 16 дней назад

AVAX and ADA have underperformed Bitcoin consistently from 2023 until today. A coin that never outperforms Bitcoin, even in a bull run, is not a blue chip. It is just a slower way to hold Bitcoin.

AVAX and ADA have underperformed Bitcoin consistently from 2023 until today. A coin that never outperforms Bitcoin, even in a bull run, is not a blue chip. It is just a slower way to hold Bitcoin.

42,753 просмотров • 19 дней назад

NEAR had every ingredient for the 2024 and 2025 AI run and it still made a new low. I followed the project since 2023, through the whole pivot from layer 1 into AI, and that one fact keeps it off my buy list.

NEAR had every ingredient for the 2024 and 2025 AI run and it still made a new low. I followed the project since 2023, through the whole pivot from layer 1 into AI, and that one fact keeps it off my buy list.

49,528 просмотров • 23 дней назад

My 3-6 month plan: stay bullish. Bitcoin above the 50W EMA, liquidity rising, and another rate cut likely by December. Altcoin sentiment reset, but dominance is still in a macro downtrend. As long as $BTC trends higher, alts will follow. Ignore fear, follow structure.

My 3-6 month plan: stay bullish. Bitcoin above the 50W EMA, liquidity rising, and another rate cut likely by December. Altcoin sentiment reset, but dominance is still in a macro downtrend. As long as $BTC trends higher, alts will follow. Ignore fear, follow structure.

446,514 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

Most alt seasons only last 1–2 months. Until #Bitcoin dominance breaks down and trends lower, don’t expect a true alt run. Alts pump when #BTC is breaking out but once it chops or corrects, dominance returns and gains vanish fast. Be careful and play it smart.

Most alt seasons only last 1–2 months. Until #Bitcoin dominance breaks down and trends lower, don’t expect a true alt run. Alts pump when #BTC is breaking out but once it chops or corrects, dominance returns and gains vanish fast. Be careful and play it smart.

406,067 просмотров • 1 год назад

Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

22,187 просмотров • 19 дней назад

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

My target for Bitcoin. First level: 65k. That's the previous all-time high. We're already there. If you buy the thesis, it's already time. Second level: 58k. The 200-week simple moving average. In 2020, the 200W SMA caught the COVID crash. In 2018, it marked the absolute bottom. In 2015, it was touched four times but never closed below on a weekly candle. This level has been one of the most reliable buying zones in Bitcoin's history. And right now it sits at 58k. You don't need to time the exact bottom. You need to be in the range.

165,985 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Bitcoin dominance is rebounding but still below 62% and in a weekly downtrend. Altseason isn’t over. With the Fed signalling a liquidity pivot, global liquidity rising usually means $BTC dominance rolls over. This is still a bullish setup for alts.

Bitcoin dominance is rebounding but still below 62% and in a weekly downtrend. Altseason isn’t over. With the Fed signalling a liquidity pivot, global liquidity rising usually means $BTC dominance rolls over. This is still a bullish setup for alts.

235,744 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

My $WLFI target remains $1 (~100B FTV, $24.6B market cap). That would put it near top 10, between $ADA & $LINK. With Trump backing, US treasuries as collateral, and institutional focus, it’s not far-fetched. $2+ feels like a stretch, but $1 is realistic.

My $WLFI target remains $1 (~100B FTV, $24.6B market cap). That would put it near top 10, between $ADA & $LINK. With Trump backing, US treasuries as collateral, and institutional focus, it’s not far-fetched. $2+ feels like a stretch, but $1 is realistic.

230,415 просмотров • 1 год назад

No doubt it’s altseason. BTC dominance is in a weekly downtrend, well below the 50w SMA, and this move is more convincing than anything in 2.5 years. I’ve shifted 80% of my portfolio into alts, starting with large caps before mid/low caps.

No doubt it’s altseason. BTC dominance is in a weekly downtrend, well below the 50w SMA, and this move is more convincing than anything in 2.5 years. I’ve shifted 80% of my portfolio into alts, starting with large caps before mid/low caps.

225,726 просмотров • 1 год назад

Someone in my chat said retail needs a 50x. Straight answer: you are not doing a 50x this cycle, and you could not in the last two either. 10 to 15x is real if you catch two narrative waves and take profits in between. The gains are not gone, you are measuring them wrong.

Someone in my chat said retail needs a 50x. Straight answer: you are not doing a 50x this cycle, and you could not in the last two either. 10 to 15x is real if you catch two narrative waves and take profits in between. The gains are not gone, you are measuring them wrong.

23,953 просмотров • 27 дней назад

In Sept 2019, the Fed quietly pivoted from QT to QE after the repo market froze. The overnight lending rate (SOFR) spiked from 2.4% to 5.25% in a day and banks had no cash to lend. The Fed injected $75B to stabilize liquidity, marking the stealth start of QE. This banking crisis could happen again.

In Sept 2019, the Fed quietly pivoted from QT to QE after the repo market froze. The overnight lending rate (SOFR) spiked from 2.4% to 5.25% in a day and banks had no cash to lend. The Fed injected $75B to stabilize liquidity, marking the stealth start of QE. This banking crisis could happen again.

153,773 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

I compared Bitcoin against every major asset class: AI stocks, gold, oil, bonds, real estate. Nothing beats it on risk to reward right now. The weekly chart just backed that up.

I compared Bitcoin against every major asset class: AI stocks, gold, oil, bonds, real estate. Nothing beats it on risk to reward right now. The weekly chart just backed that up.

31,602 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Altseason doesn’t mean chasing 10x pumps coin to coin. The smarter play is to stick to large caps, build a basket, DCA or use bots, and wait. They’ll all run in time. Patience beats over-rotating.

Altseason doesn’t mean chasing 10x pumps coin to coin. The smarter play is to stick to large caps, build a basket, DCA or use bots, and wait. They’ll all run in time. Patience beats over-rotating.

163,586 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Death cross = buy signal. 2022: BTC dropped to 20k, death cross confirmed that week. Buy one week later, you're near the bottom. 2018: same setup. Buy one week after confirmation, you get 3.5k BTC. If it confirms now it either means accumulation zone at 60-65k or a wick below the 200W SMA that marks THE bottom. Either way you want to be buying not running.

Death cross = buy signal. 2022: BTC dropped to 20k, death cross confirmed that week. Buy one week later, you're near the bottom. 2018: same setup. Buy one week after confirmation, you get 3.5k BTC. If it confirms now it either means accumulation zone at 60-65k or a wick below the 200W SMA that marks THE bottom. Either way you want to be buying not running.

94,156 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

I’ve built a 7-figure position in WLFI since pre-markets, buying from $0.40 down to $0.16. Treasury companies ALT5 Sigma priced in at $0.20, Aqua1 Foundation at $0.125. For me, worst case = 50% drawdown, best case = 4x upside. I’m transparent with my entries, this is a risk I’m willing to take.

I’ve built a 7-figure position in WLFI since pre-markets, buying from $0.40 down to $0.16. Treasury companies ALT5 Sigma priced in at $0.20, Aqua1 Foundation at $0.125. For me, worst case = 50% drawdown, best case = 4x upside. I’m transparent with my entries, this is a risk I’m willing to take.

167,767 просмотров • 1 год назад

If #Bitcoin heads toward the 50-week SMA around 95K, expect major alts to follow. I'm watching $2K for $ETH, $140 for $SOL, and $1.80 for $XRP as value entries. These align with key Fibonacci retracement levels and $BTC stability. Not rushing, just waiting for confirmation.

If #Bitcoin heads toward the 50-week SMA around 95K, expect major alts to follow. I'm watching $2K for $ETH, $140 for $SOL, and $1.80 for $XRP as value entries. These align with key Fibonacci retracement levels and $BTC stability. Not rushing, just waiting for confirmation.

196,504 просмотров • 1 год назад

#Ethereum is back at its key bear market breakout zone, retesting the $1,700–$2,100 range. Short term, expect chop. But long term, $ETH tends to catch up fast once the Fed pivots and global liquidity turns. I’m still holding, nothing has changed for me.

#Ethereum is back at its key bear market breakout zone, retesting the $1,700–$2,100 range. Short term, expect chop. But long term, $ETH tends to catch up fast once the Fed pivots and global liquidity turns. I’m still holding, nothing has changed for me.

212,736 просмотров • 1 год назад

The bull run isn’t over. Ignore the rigid 4-year halving cycles, liquidity is the real driver. #Bitcoin’s still in a macro uptrend since Nov 2022, and once global liquidity eases, altcoins will catch up just like in 2017 and 2021. Patience always pays.

The bull run isn’t over. Ignore the rigid 4-year halving cycles, liquidity is the real driver. #Bitcoin’s still in a macro uptrend since Nov 2022, and once global liquidity eases, altcoins will catch up just like in 2017 and 2021. Patience always pays.

202,142 просмотров • 1 год назад