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Xremlin

@xGremlin • 125,609 subscribers

Crypto & equities trader. Investor. First principles over consensus

Shorts

This keeps me awake at night

This keeps me awake at night

178,331 Aufrufe

Breakouts take time Two weeks to a month, usually Think everyone's rushing it Something like this wouldn't surprise me

Breakouts take time Two weeks to a month, usually Think everyone's rushing it Something like this wouldn't surprise me

39,982 Aufrufe

How the S&P 500 plays out from here

How the S&P 500 plays out from here

517,898 Aufrufe

Absolutely 0 chance $BTC bottom is in 2015: Bottomed at -86% 2018: Bottomed at -84% 2022: Bottomed at -77% 2026: We're at -50% Downside shrinks every cycle, so figure -65% ($44K) this time

Absolutely 0 chance $BTC bottom is in 2015: Bottomed at -86% 2018: Bottomed at -84% 2022: Bottomed at -77% 2026: We're at -50% Downside shrinks every cycle, so figure -65% ($44K) this time

102,805 Aufrufe

Nothing new under the sun $BTC

Nothing new under the sun $BTC

75,003 Aufrufe

$BTC 42k → 200k

$BTC 42k → 200k

30,800 Aufrufe

The final chapter 45k → 200k $BTC

The final chapter 45k → 200k $BTC

19,258 Aufrufe

70k first 50k follows $BTC

70k first 50k follows $BTC

15,752 Aufrufe

Every time $BTC closed below its production cost it was a macro bottom 2015, 2018, 2022... We're below production cost. Again.

Every time $BTC closed below its production cost it was a macro bottom 2015, 2018, 2022... We're below production cost. Again.

12,521 Aufrufe

⛁ $enqAI - Price: $0.02335 - MC: $23M - X: 𒀭 enqAI (decentralized, unfiltered) - Sector: AI - enqAI: Decentralized LLM Listed on: Uniswap

⛁ $enqAI - Price: $0.02335 - MC: $23M - X: 𒀭 enqAI (decentralized, unfiltered) - Sector: AI - enqAI: Decentralized LLM Listed on: Uniswap

19,719 Aufrufe

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$BTC in 2021: $63,000 $BTC in 2024: $63,000 $BTC in 2026: $63,000 $BTC before the Iran war: $63,000 $BTC four months into the Iran war: $63,000 $BTC before Trump won: $63,000 $BTC 18 months after Trump won: $63,000

$BTC in 2021: $63,000 $BTC in 2024: $63,000 $BTC in 2026: $63,000 $BTC before the Iran war: $63,000 $BTC four months into the Iran war: $63,000 $BTC before Trump won: $63,000 $BTC 18 months after Trump won: $63,000

698,745 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

DO NOT FALL FOR IT Today SpaceX goes public at $1.75 trillion In the last 20 years the overwhelming majority of hyped IPO's were a DISASTER in first year SpaceX is 10x hyped and 20x a big IPO's valuation Meta: −30% in the first year Uber: −25% in the first year Rivian: −60% in the first year Coinbase: −55% in the 1st year (since day 1) It is not designed for retail to win You buy at the top, early investors are up 100x to 1000x Bankers will win, investors will win, early employees will win AT YOUR EXPENSE SpaceX is a great company, and you'll easily buy it at a discount in the next 365 days Just be patient

DO NOT FALL FOR IT Today SpaceX goes public at $1.75 trillion In the last 20 years the overwhelming majority of hyped IPO's were a DISASTER in first year SpaceX is 10x hyped and 20x a big IPO's valuation Meta: −30% in the first year Uber: −25% in the first year Rivian: −60% in the first year Coinbase: −55% in the 1st year (since day 1) It is not designed for retail to win You buy at the top, early investors are up 100x to 1000x Bankers will win, investors will win, early employees will win AT YOUR EXPENSE SpaceX is a great company, and you'll easily buy it at a discount in the next 365 days Just be patient

704,036 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

It would go down as the greatest bull trap of all time if it happened

It would go down as the greatest bull trap of all time if it happened

80,889 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

You're going to hate every step of this 75K → 83K → 68K → 90K Exactly what happened in 2023 Trap everyone, only then go higher

You're going to hate every step of this 75K → 83K → 68K → 90K Exactly what happened in 2023 Trap everyone, only then go higher

38,057 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

The bottom is in That's what they said in July 2018 That's what they said in July 2022 That's what they're saying now

The bottom is in That's what they said in July 2018 That's what they said in July 2022 That's what they're saying now

105,316 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Death cross on $BTC is in 2015. 2019. 2022. Three times in 15 years And here's the fourth You know what came after, right?

Death cross on $BTC is in 2015. 2019. 2022. Three times in 15 years And here's the fourth You know what came after, right?

56,527 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

60k - 68k Range in June 68k - 74k Lower high in July 50k - 55k Lower low in August $BTC

60k - 68k Range in June 68k - 74k Lower high in July 50k - 55k Lower low in August $BTC

74,269 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Buy $BTC under 200W MA Sell 1065 days later 2015: 110x 2018: 20x 2022: 8x We're at the line. Again.

Buy $BTC under 200W MA Sell 1065 days later 2015: 110x 2018: 20x 2022: 8x We're at the line. Again.

49,654 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

BTC never bottomed in less than 360 days Bear 2013: Bottom in 426 days Bear 2017: Bottom in 363 days Bear 2021: Bottom in 376 days Bear 2025: 190 days in (~52%) Calling the bottom here is arguing against 13 years of data

BTC never bottomed in less than 360 days Bear 2013: Bottom in 426 days Bear 2017: Bottom in 363 days Bear 2021: Bottom in 376 days Bear 2025: 190 days in (~52%) Calling the bottom here is arguing against 13 years of data

98,584 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Buy 365 days after the top Sell 1065 days later Works every cycle $BTC

Buy 365 days after the top Sell 1065 days later Works every cycle $BTC

41,338 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

THE FINAL LEG DOWN Ten years, zero deviations 1,064 up. 365 down. Rinse and repeat. $BTC

THE FINAL LEG DOWN Ten years, zero deviations 1,064 up. 365 down. Rinse and repeat. $BTC

16,976 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Sell in May Buy during the summer 2014 Bear (Jun-Oct): -38% 2018 Bear (Jun-Oct): -16% 2022 Bear (Jun-Oct): -35%

Sell in May Buy during the summer 2014 Bear (Jun-Oct): -38% 2018 Bear (Jun-Oct): -16% 2022 Bear (Jun-Oct): -35%

43,615 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

A lot of you hated me for this $SPCX is now down -45% and trading below its IPO price First unlocks start August 6th $670B unlocks between now and Q1 2027 Almost all the major ones clear by next winter, by early December, ~40% of SpaceX's total shares will be freely trading That's your bottom Until then, let the employees and early backers take their 1000x+ and leave I'll be a buyer at $1T and lower

A lot of you hated me for this $SPCX is now down -45% and trading below its IPO price First unlocks start August 6th $670B unlocks between now and Q1 2027 Almost all the major ones clear by next winter, by early December, ~40% of SpaceX's total shares will be freely trading That's your bottom Until then, let the employees and early backers take their 1000x+ and leave I'll be a buyer at $1T and lower

19,476 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Don't overthink it Bitcoin is doing what it always does $63K → $45K → $200K The impatient have already called the bottom five times this year Same thing happened in 2015, 2018 and 2022, they only become aware of the situation later in the year Midterm years run the same sequence every time: an early false bottom mid-bear, then the real capitulation in Q4 We're close. But not there yet. There aren't many sellers left, but there aren't any buyers either, and there won't be until the stock market cools off Until then, waiting is the most +EV thing you can do

Don't overthink it Bitcoin is doing what it always does $63K → $45K → $200K The impatient have already called the bottom five times this year Same thing happened in 2015, 2018 and 2022, they only become aware of the situation later in the year Midterm years run the same sequence every time: an early false bottom mid-bear, then the real capitulation in Q4 We're close. But not there yet. There aren't many sellers left, but there aren't any buyers either, and there won't be until the stock market cools off Until then, waiting is the most +EV thing you can do

12,904 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$BTC has never bottomed in under 360 days 2013 bear: 426 days 2017 bear: 363 days 2021 bear: 376 days 2025 bear: 273 days in (~76%) Calling the bottom here is betting against 13 years of data

$BTC has never bottomed in under 360 days 2013 bear: 426 days 2017 bear: 363 days 2021 bear: 376 days 2025 bear: 273 days in (~76%) Calling the bottom here is betting against 13 years of data

16,838 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Every time $BTC closed two red 6-month candles back to back, a 3-year uptrend followed Second red 6M candle closed 3 days ago You know what that means

Every time $BTC closed two red 6-month candles back to back, a 3-year uptrend followed Second red 6M candle closed 3 days ago You know what that means

10,739 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Is this time different?

Is this time different?

12,406 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

It is playing out EXACTLY as before US/Iran vs Russia/Ukraine BTC is mirroring the pattern 2022: Russia → Ukraine on Feb 24 $BTC: +40% (1st month), -62% (next 2 months) 2026: USA → Iran on Fed 28 $BTC: +21% (2 weeks), -5% (In progress...) Warned you long ago this was the likely scenario Subscribe

It is playing out EXACTLY as before US/Iran vs Russia/Ukraine BTC is mirroring the pattern 2022: Russia → Ukraine on Feb 24 $BTC: +40% (1st month), -62% (next 2 months) 2026: USA → Iran on Fed 28 $BTC: +21% (2 weeks), -5% (In progress...) Warned you long ago this was the likely scenario Subscribe

10,921 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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