Matt Miller

Check out this video that has the horse in the gate at 3/2 and 6/5 just a few steps later. That’s a drop of nearly 30 percent a few seconds into a race. Every loser felt like a loser. So did most winners. People who have accepted being victims or who actually come to the defense of CAWs by blaming others for not seeing the odds drops coming….. I’m just not with you. This stuff is exhausting, frustrating and very tough to deal with. Most important, it is unnecessary and doesn’t have to be this way. Imagine trying to dutch bets to equalize outcomes. I understand that I should use what I believe final off odds will be as opposed to the actual live tote board (not easy to do when acting directly against what your eyes are seeing). That’s an incredible leap of faith to plan on a 30 percent odds drop the moment the horses leave the gate (assuming that info could be gleaned from the will pays and other pools). This situation sucks. My best defense remains to bet fewer races, keep to tournaments more than regular cash play, and plan for the worst every time, but the better solution remains with the racetracks (who don’t seem to be in a hurry to upset their top customers).

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