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Jaron Zhou

@ZhouJaron • 2,326 subscribers

Head of Politics @Kalshi | Ex-Bain | Gov @Harvard | Politics, tech, fashion, & SoCal enthusiast | Personal opinions only, not trading advice

Shorts

Sliwa during the debate: "Zohran, your resume could fill a cocktail napkin, and Andrew, your failures could fill a public school library in New York City."

Sliwa during the debate: "Zohran, your resume could fill a cocktail napkin, and Andrew, your failures could fill a public school library in New York City."

2,681,589 Aufrufe

Curtis Sliwa slams Andrew Cuomo in NYC mayoral debate: “You think you’re the toughest guy alive, you lost your own primary… you have a difficult understanding of what the term No is.”

Curtis Sliwa slams Andrew Cuomo in NYC mayoral debate: “You think you’re the toughest guy alive, you lost your own primary… you have a difficult understanding of what the term No is.”

66,846 Aufrufe

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In honor of Eric Adams dropping out, here’s one of my favorite moments from his mayoralty:

In honor of Eric Adams dropping out, here’s one of my favorite moments from his mayoralty:

464,741 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

New from (((Harry Enten))): Following the Colbert interview, Talarico has jumped from 61% to 75% chance to win the primary on Kalshi. This is a stark contrast to the polling in this race, which has it very close.

New from (((Harry Enten))): Following the Colbert interview, Talarico has jumped from 61% to 75% chance to win the primary on Kalshi. This is a stark contrast to the polling in this race, which has it very close.

136,475 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Great segment from (((Harry Enten))) about why the GOP is getting more worried about the Senate. In Texas, the controversial AG, Ken Paxton, is favored to beat incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the primary, and GOP general election chances have been sliding. Ofc, the other side of that coin is that Dems seem poised to nominate James Talarico over Jasmine Crockett.

Great segment from (((Harry Enten))) about why the GOP is getting more worried about the Senate. In Texas, the controversial AG, Ken Paxton, is favored to beat incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the primary, and GOP general election chances have been sliding. Ofc, the other side of that coin is that Dems seem poised to nominate James Talarico over Jasmine Crockett.

97,836 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

New from (((Harry Enten))): Democrats have been targeting Susan Collins for years. She won in 2008 amid the Obama landslide. Democrats basically gave up in 2014. In 2020 Collins unexpectedly survived a tough challenge. But this year, traders think Dems may finally “get their woman.”

New from (((Harry Enten))): Democrats have been targeting Susan Collins for years. She won in 2008 amid the Obama landslide. Democrats basically gave up in 2014. In 2020 Collins unexpectedly survived a tough challenge. But this year, traders think Dems may finally “get their woman.”

25,525 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Great question, (((Harry Enten))). What are Kalshi traders seeing that are helping Dem chances to win back the House in 2026? Biggest factor is likely the huge margins of victory for Dems in elections this November. Not just in New Jersey, Virginia, and California, but in Georgia and Pennsylvania as well. Redistricting also played a part - GOP redistricting efforts are currently hitting a wall in Kansas and Indiana, while Dems are moving full steam ahead in Virginia.

Great question, (((Harry Enten))). What are Kalshi traders seeing that are helping Dem chances to win back the House in 2026? Biggest factor is likely the huge margins of victory for Dems in elections this November. Not just in New Jersey, Virginia, and California, but in Georgia and Pennsylvania as well. Redistricting also played a part - GOP redistricting efforts are currently hitting a wall in Kansas and Indiana, while Dems are moving full steam ahead in Virginia.

20,596 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

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