
Jaron Zhou
@ZhouJaron • 2,326 subscribers
Head of Politics @Kalshi | Ex-Bain | Gov @Harvard | Politics, tech, fashion, & SoCal enthusiast | Personal opinions only, not trading advice
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Great segment from (((Harry Enten))) about why the GOP is getting more worried about the Senate. In Texas, the controversial AG, Ken Paxton, is favored to beat incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the primary, and GOP general election chances have been sliding. Ofc, the other side of that coin is that Dems seem poised to nominate James Talarico over Jasmine Crockett.
Jaron Zhou97,836 次观看 • 4 个月前

New from (((Harry Enten))): Democrats have been targeting Susan Collins for years. She won in 2008 amid the Obama landslide. Democrats basically gave up in 2014. In 2020 Collins unexpectedly survived a tough challenge. But this year, traders think Dems may finally “get their woman.”
Jaron Zhou25,525 次观看 • 4 个月前

Great question, (((Harry Enten))). What are Kalshi traders seeing that are helping Dem chances to win back the House in 2026? Biggest factor is likely the huge margins of victory for Dems in elections this November. Not just in New Jersey, Virginia, and California, but in Georgia and Pennsylvania as well. Redistricting also played a part - GOP redistricting efforts are currently hitting a wall in Kansas and Indiana, while Dems are moving full steam ahead in Virginia.
Jaron Zhou20,596 次观看 • 6 个月前
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