A discrete Markov chain is basically a random walk... on a graph, where each outgoing edge has a fixed probability. Cool fact: any initial distribution on a sufficiently nice* Markov chain converges to its stationary distribution after many steps—because it's a contraction mapping.show more

One of the simplest algorithms for sampling from a... probability distribution is Random Walk Metropolis-Hastings. It proposes new samples by taking Gaussian-distributed steps, accepting or rejecting them to maintain the target distribution. I call this pdf the "fidget spinner".show more

What a journey it's been for Oleg Markov! #AFLGF

📢📢📢 Today I'll be giving a talk at the... #CVPR2024 workshop on "Learning 3D with Multi-View Supervision" See you at 16:20 in Summit 331 Get a preview of the upcoming "3D Gaussian Splatting as Markov Chain Monte Carlo"show more

$GRASS is live on Robinhood Chain. If you want... a stock, walk to it. CA : 0x16391c40e85fb2246a2c8c17bfa2594c5d3ef84bshow more

Langevin Monte Carlo allows you to draw samples from... a probability distribution using its log gradient ∇ log p(x). By performing a sort of gradient ascent with noise you can navigate around the distribution. Langevin MC is heavily related to modern diffusion models.show more

After an extensive security review, Galaxy Digital-backed @TenbinLabs is... deprecating its legacy cross-chain solution and migrating to Chainlink CCIP as its exclusive cross-chain infra. Via CCIP, @TenbinLabs is expanding distribution of its tokenized FX stables & commodities.show more

💿 Sonova Presents: PlayCat’s Debut into Soneium Chain Great... days ahead Sonieum 💿 Community! PlayCat has officially landed on the Soneium chain and is making its debut as an Official Builder in Soneium chain! 🐱 This is not a drill — it's a purr-fect storm of innovation, fun, and serious blockchain IP mastery. PlayCAT 🐱 is bringing the heat, helping build a future in Soneium one paw-some leap at a time! Get ready to watch this kitty take over the blockchain universe — because where PlayCat lands, the culture thrives! 💿show more

⚡ @SupraOracles is excited to announce the integration of... our decentralized Verifiable Random Function (dVRF) service on BNB Chain (BNB Chain) 🎉 This allows devs on BNB Chain to access a provably fair source of randomness for GameFi, #NFT minting, and on-chain lotteries 🎮show more

Why did most major banks build tokenization on a... private chain? Because deal terms, trading volumes, and business relationships can't be public. OPN Chain has a native privacy layer. Sensitive data stays encrypted off-chain. Validators never process private payloads. Privacy isn't an add-on. It's the foundation. Accelerate ⋂show more

A Carnegie Mellon student launched a Markov Chain model... that reads the structure beneath the price and made $67,000 in three weeks on Polymarket. In his applied mathematics classes he studied Markov Chains - the same model physicists used to simulate neutrons in nuclear reactors. The same model describes how prices move on prediction markets. He wrote a Python script. > Takes 60 days of contract price history. > Builds a transition matrix - a map of how the price actually moves between states. > Runs 10,000 simulations in a tenth of a second. > Calibrates the result against data from 72.1 million real trades. The output is an exact probability and position size. No gut feeling. His first test day brought $3,400. A week later he improved the result and hit $17,000. His balance has now reached $67,000. full guide on how to build the same model - in the article below.show more

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo frames sampling from a probability distribution... as a physics problem. By endowing "particles" with momentum and simulating their energy and motion through Hamilton's equations you can efficiently explore a distribution.show more

“Don’t punish me…” That’s what his eyes said —... after a lifetime on a chain.show more

🇷🇺 ANOTHER DISTRIBUTION CENTER GONE: Massive fire engulfs Aurora... distribution center near Kiev Videos show a huge fire burning at an Aurora retail chain distribution center in the Bucha district of the Kiev region following a Russian drone attack. Aurora co-owner Taras Panasenko confirmed that the distribution center was destroyed and said no employees were injured because they were in shelters. The smoke is now being carried toward Kiev, prompting city authorities to advise residents to close their windows, limit time outdoors and use air purifiers where possible.show more

Most agents track price. Ours track how information propagates... through markets. That difference is where the edge comes from. The visualization below is a Shannon entropy field: a model of how uncertainty collapses and spreads as new information enters a market. Each trade, liquidity shift, or derivatives flow updates a probability distribution. When information arrives, entropy collapses locally as the market incorporates it. But that update rarely happens everywhere at once. Different venues, liquidity pools, and derivative layers incorporate signals at different speeds, creating measurable information gradients across the system. One of the analytical tools in our agents’ stack models this directly: > Entropy quantifies uncertainty embedded in each probability market > KL divergence reveals conflicting distributions across venues > Information gradients show where signals have propagated—and where they haven’t yet Prediction markets and DeFi make this particularly powerful because price already represents probability. Mapping how those probability distributions update across venues turns the market into a measurable system: a live field of information flow showing where uncertainty remains—and where probability is likely to adjust nextshow more

Instead of pointing lookAt to a position, I tried... driving it along a line. The control over distribution is kind of nice.show more

RALLY IS LIVE ON ROBINHOOD CHAIN 🚨 Robinhood built... an AI-native chain, so we brought the AI-native attention layer to it. Starting today, any project on Robinhood Crypto can fund a Rally campaign with its own token and put 150K+ creators to work on its story. Welcome 💚show more

How Flare lets smart contracts see other chains Most... blockchains are blind to the outside world. A contract on one chain cannot natively check whether a payment happened on another, which is why cross-chain activity has leaned on bridges and trusted middlemen. Flare ☀️'s Data Connector takes a different route. A developer submits an attestation request for an external event, a payment on the XRP Ledger, a Bitcoin or Dogecoin transaction, even data returned by a Web2 API. Flare's independent data providers each verify the event happened, and their answers are combined into a single proof. That proof lands on-chain, where any smart contract can consume it. External data becomes an input to on-chain logic without trusting whoever supplied it, since the providers attest to the underlying event rather than passing along a claim. This is the machinery under FAssets, which brings non-smart-contract tokens like ripple:native into DeFi, and Flare's cross-chain applications built on verified events rather than bridges alone.show more