We created a bot that automatically farms Arbitrages between... Polymarket Opinion in just 5 days: 📈 Est. +EV: +$399.29 ❇️ Average Trade ROI: ~9.69% Volume Generated: ~$4,100 Trades Executed: 58 Win Rate: 81% Here is how it works: 1. Matching markets -> The bot finds identical markets between Polymarket & Opinion 2. Watch the odds -> When the odds are different between the two identical markets, the next phase is triggered 3. Arbitrage Math -> The bot calculates how much can be bought based off available liquidity, spread & fees, as well as our parameters for the arbitrages we want to trade 4. Risk Analysis -> The bot conducts risk analysis of the arbitrage, as well as validation, based of what we know about how these platforms work 5. Execute -> The bot sends buy orders to both exchanges simultaneously to capture the arbitrage 6. Validate -> The order is verified, if it failed it will retry if liquidity is still available, if not it will liquidate the open position. The end result? Consistent profit The limitations? Infrastructure The biggest 'bottleneck' that we are faced with right now is the unreliability of Opinions websocket data feeds. Many orderbook updates are missing, causing stale local book state, which sends false arbitrage signals A problem that can only be solved with some temporary latency-introducing pre-bid validationsshow more

I found 6 free Polymarket trading bots on GitHub... for 6 different trading situations… Each of these repos comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English. > Easy 5 min setup 1. This bot includes 118 ready to use trading strategies and tools for prediction markets (Binance-Polymarket latency, Penny Clipper, DCA bots, Smart Routing and more). Additionally, it can trade autonomously across hundreds of different markets on major prediction platforms, DEXs and EVM chains. You can see this bot in action in the demo below. 2. A huge trading bot toolkit that includes Polymarket-Kalshi arbitrage, general arbitrage, copy trading, whale tracking, sports arbitrage, spread farming and more. 3. A weather trading bot that collects the latest temperature data from different sources (forecasts, public airport data and aviation observations like METAR) to generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. > Advanced setup 4. This bot can automatically manage all your limit orders on Polymarket to maximize liquidity rewards. 5. A trader behavior analysis bot that finds repeated patterns in his trades, shows which strategies he uses and helps you understand how to adapt them to your own trading. 6. A trading bot with a Smart Money strategy - it finds the best pnl traders in selected markets, filters them by win rate and consistency, and then creates a list for automated copy trading. All of these bots also support dry run mode, so you can test them on real markets but without risking any finds.show more

I spent 48h to find this ''bot trading wallet''... on Polymarket He made 10,057 trades in one month and earned $87,000 > this wallet is an arbitrage bot > trades only BTC Up or Down (5 min) only > always use the same strategy And here's how it trades: > waits until one of the outcomes (YES/NO) falls below 35¢ > buy more when the average price is low > watch how the opposite outcome moves > makes sure the total average prices are under 99¢ > if he doesn't have a hedge, just closing the position with no losses This is exactly how algo-trading works His profile:show more

The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a... 99.3% win rate. backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit +$805K PnL on 27,000 predictions. bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate. his algo decoded: 1. Mispricing formula based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢) most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades • formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability bot applies this to every trade to find the edge. // 2. Expected value calculation EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade. • formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost) bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk. // 3. Kelly Criterion sizing most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term. • formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter profile: start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares: 2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓show more

I launched a weather trading bot on Polymarket with... $100 -> $8,000 here is how it works and how to copy it most people on polymarket price weather markets randomly based on vibes or a phone app but there is NOAA - a government agency that publishes free forecasts with 94%+ accuracy the result? you regularly see something like this: > NOAA gives a 94% probability that NYC will reach 74°F on Saturday > polymarket prices it at 11¢ the bot buys at 11¢ sells when the market corrects to 45¢ that is 4x on an almost guaranteed outcome how to launch it in 5 steps: > install OpenClaw on your pc > connect it to ChatGPT Plus + a telegram bot > create an agent on simmer markets deposit $100 > install the weather trading skill with: clawhub install simmer-weather > send the config to the bot and it starts trading the bot scans 6 cities every 2 minutes non-stop example of a real trader: profile: +$75,055 just from weather markets zero emotions. fully automated the window is still open but not forevershow more

The only strategy on Polymarket that does not care... if BTC goes to $200K or $0. Just $116,000 in February. Here is how it works. All of crypto Twitter is arguing where BTC is headed. Bulls, bears, charts, signals. Meanwhile the most profitable strategy on Polymarket right now does not even answer that question. A bot trades 15-minute markets on BTC, ETH and SOL. Does not predict direction. It watches the spot price on Binance and places bets on Polymarket before the oracle updates. Pure speed. Making its developer $8,000 - $10,000 a day. His profile: The price on Binance updates faster than the Polymarket oracle. The difference is seconds. But on 15-minute markets seconds = guaranteed profit. The bot does not predict the future, it trades the present that Polymarket has not seen yet. While everyone argues about direction someone is taking money from both sides.show more

$700/day on the 5m BTC market. Polymarket x Binance.... it repeats hundreds of times a day. the whole thing fits in one line: when to buy, at what price and how fast. the bot watches BTC on Binance and uses it to work out what the UP share on Polymarket should cost right now. if that price jumps 20c+ within 5 seconds and goes over 60c, while Polymarket is still selling the share 10c+ cheaper, you buy in that same second. say the window opened at 83,200. in 5 seconds BTC on Binance goes from 83,215 to 83,330, with 2 minutes left in the window. by the math UP goes from 55c to 77c, and Polymarket is still selling it at 56c. that's a 21c gap, you buy. how to run it yourself: prices on Polymarket are set by people and bots who watch Binance and adjust to the price there. so Binance is what we care about first. we're waiting for sharp price jumps. what we're after is the gap between Binance and Polymarket. here's the edge: first - your bot has to tie the $ price on Binance to the share price (¢) on Polymarket. second - the bot has to compare the exchange price and PM every second. the moment a 10c spread shows up, the bot opens a trade on Polymarket in that same second, in the direction Binance moved. here's a wallet that traded it:show more

New arbitrage meta on Polymarket. Most people do not... even know this exists 1 bot just made $357,313 in a single month trading BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP 5-minute markets How it works: he buys YES at 47 cents and NO at 51 cents on the same market. Total cost: 98 cents. 1 side always pays out $1. That is 2 cents profit per trade, risk-free Now multiply that by 2,000+ trades per day His bot finds these spreads automatically, executes in milliseconds, and compounds 24/7 You are still reading charts. He is printingshow more

Polymarket pays me $400 a day because it's slower... than Binance by 2 seconds. And this is just the beginning - while I was writing this post, the bot made another $40. Let me explain. I built a bot on OpenClaw. It monitors Binance 24/7. Sees a sharp impulse - switches to high attention mode. If price doesn't snap back within a second (the impulse could be a squeeze) - it opens a trade on Polymarket in the same direction. Why this works. When BTC moves sharply, Polymarket odds don't have time to adjust. These windows appear every day - especially now, with elevated volatility across financial markets. I usually enter when the gap is 200+ points. Odds are still stale - I capture the spread before it closes. Aggressive mode - spreads from 100 points, significantly more trades per day. $20 per trade. 10-30 trades a day. Morning. Coffee. Open the laptop. The bot closed 14 trades overnight. Another good dayshow more

CHINESE ENGINEERS JUST WROTE CLAUDE SCRIPT AND TURNED $6.02... INTO $3.3 MILLION ON POLYMARKET Nobody tells you about them and you still think this is a person placing bets manually I guess. Let me disappoint you, this is a fully automated script built by Chinese engineers 100%. This is true. They called it PHANTOM X. It runs completely through Claude. Their account here: Result: $6.02 -> $3,354,000. Win rate 71%. Biggest win: $179,000 (single bet). I’m copying their trades here: (Just added their wallet to TG bot 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf, it's so easy) How the bot works: -> It simultaneously tracks thousands of sports markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. -> Finds discrepancies between the platforms. -> Enters positions faster than any human could imo. Just three strategies in one: -- Pairs Trading: the bot sees YES on the Rockets at $0.62 while NO is at $0.41. Total = $1.03 instead of $1.00. That’s a 3% risk-free profit. It enters automatically within milliseconds. -- Sentiment AI: scans Twitter (X) and news in real time. If something big breaks, it recalculates the probability in 2 seconds before the market reacts. -- Calendar + Volatility: 15–20 minutes before the game, volatility spikes. The bot takes positions early and closes after the first major move. Why sports is perfect? Sports O/U markets have clear paired contracts that should total exactly $1.00, but constant deviations create reliable arbitrage. This is exactly how [sovereign2013] built $3.35M. > A human physically cannot monitor 50+ markets at once, react in milliseconds, stay awake 24/7, avoid emotions after losses, and run Z-scores on 60 bars of data. > The bot does all of this in parallel without breaks. Manual trading is dying. The automation era has arrived. Start learning Claude now. If you’re interested in writing your own bot on Polymarket: Comment the word "BOT" Like and repost this post Follow me (so I can message you easly) And within 24 hours I will send you a full manual on how to build a bot that can earn $2,900+/month. Also SAVE this info and article.show more

I rebuilt my Polymarket weather bot Launched a simulation... with $1,000 An hour later, it was already $1,250. Another hour later - $680 The problem was simple: the forecast changed, but the bot didn't know about it and continued to hold its position That's exactly what I'm fixing in version v2 What I'm adding: 1. Expected Value EV = (p · b) − (1 − p) Before every entry the bot calculates expected value. Negative EV - no trade. But EV is useless if p comes from nowhere 2. Kelly Criterion f* = (p · b − q) / b Determines exactly how much to bet based on real edge Small edge → small position. Large edge → larger. Fixed sizing can't do this 3. Brier Score BS = (1/n) · Σ(fₜ − oₜ)² Measures how accurate our probabilities actually are. If the bot assigned 80% but the outcome won 40% of the time - Brier Score catches that 4. Calibration on own data After each trade the bot saves city, month, bucket, forecast at entry, final result History accumulates → bot calculates Brier Score on its own trades → if Chicago in March is consistently off - p for that city and month gets adjusted automatically 5. Adding new data sources Instead of relying on a single source, the bot will draw on several sources at once, and if the forecasts match, it will enter into a trade Every cycle of v2: - scan markets - check station forecast - apply calibration - calculate EV - apply Kelly - enter or skip - monitor every minute - close if forecast changes Btw, here's a short video clip showing the terminal in action A major update is coming soonshow more

Fresh Bot Turned $300 Into $109,781 This Week I... think I just found the cleanest arbitrage bot on Polymarket. It made $109,781 in the past 7 days, almost entirely from exploiting the XRP “Up or Down” micro-markets. His profile: The strategy is quite simple: It instantly scans every new XRP window, and whenever the combined price of YES + NO slips below $1, it buys both sides at a discount. Then, as soon as the market corrects, it exits for a guaranteed profit. This bot made +36,494% gain in seven days, making it one of the most optimized and terrifyingly efficient bots in the entire game. Feel free to copytrade this wallet here: > What’s stopping you from building bot like this one?show more

I’m making $2,200/weekly from Weather Arbitrage. I’m not posting... this as clickbait. If you can’t replicate it, feel free to unfollow me. About a month ago, I found a Polymarket Account using a clever strategy: Weather Arbitrage. It caught my attention. After digging into how it works, I saw that this trader focuses only on daily temperature markets for cities like NYC, LA, Atlanta, Denver, Chicago, Seoul, London, Shanghai, San Francisco, and Munich. The key insight is that each Polymarket weather market resolves based on a specific airport weather station, for example NYC = LaGuardia / KLGA, Dallas = Love Field / KDAL, while most retail traders rely on city center data. The temperature difference between those can be 3–8°F. According to his profile: > He built a bot that profits from this gap between official weather data and uninformed retail traders. I figured I wasn’t skilled enough to build something like that myself, so I set up a copy trading bot with 0% fees and 100 ms latency: > This copy trading bot is the best solution on the market, at least because it doesn’t charge any fees. Now I copy his trades exactly and made almost $10,000 in a month. It actually works, guys. Check it out. This isn’t clickbait or a joke.show more

This guy made $600,000 on Polymarket using software, buying... markets for $20 His trading bot makes 2,774 trades per hour or 46 trades per minute. He trades the divergence between Binance/Chainlink data and people’s reaction on Polymarket. His strategy is simple: > Enters positions only with limit orders > Works as both maker and taker > Buys Up or Down while the probability on Polymarket has not yet caught up with the current price on Binance/Chainlink Here is the link to this guy’s account: You can track smart money via the TG bot:show more

I found 7 free Polymarket trading bots on GitHub... for 7 different trading situations… Each of these bots comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English: 1. This bot includes 118+ ready to use strategies and tools for trading on prediction markets (Momentum, Binance-Polymarket latency, Penny Clipper, Smart Routing, Expiry Fade, DCA bots and more). Built by a Cambridge computer science student who won a hackathon with this trading bot. GitHub: 2. This bot automatically manages all your Polymarket limit orders to maximize liquidity rewards. GitHub: 3. A weather bot from a Chinese dev, that analyzes multiple sources in real time, like forecasts, airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) to get the most accurate temperature data and generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 4. A bot that automatically searches for arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi. GitHub: 5. This is a bot-toolkit that includes copy trading, arbitrage, market making, whale alerts, spread farming, sports trading and more… GitHub: 6. A smart money trading bot - it looks for the most successful traders in selected markets, filters them by Pnl + win rate, and then creates a list for automated copy trading. GitHub: 7. A large collection of 20+ free trading bots for prediction markets. GitHub: Every bot here has a Dry Run mode, so you can test it on real markets without risking any funds.show more

Someone posted the full code of a Chinese Polymarket... bot on GitHub and deleted it within hours I saved it before it went down This is the bot behind gabagool22, $868,000 profit, 28,620 predictions, all green And now I understand exactly how it works The strategy is pure arbitrage, no prediction needed, no direction bets: → Buy YES when price drops below 48 cents → Buy NO when price drops below 48 cents → Combined cost under 97 cents, payout always $1.00 → Profit locked regardless of outcome 7.5% per pair. 96 markets per day on BTC alone. Running 24/7. The bot combines 4 open source repos into one hybrid engine: API client, thread-safe position tracker, gas optimizer, and risk manager with pre-trade validation It targets 15-minute BTC, ETH, and SOL markets simultaneously Start with $100, set your thresholds, run dry-mode first, then go live Profile: Full code: Copy:show more

I AM QUITTING MY JOB TO GO FULL IN... CLAUDE Just asked him to: "Analyze misspriced Polymarket markets opportunities for arbitrage and find wallets that are using it to copy" Turned $2K into $12K in one night Monitored ~1k+ wallets I just realized that there are many arbitrage bots that I can't beat without code knowledge But I can find them and copy So Claude created a monitoring terminal and copytraded found wallets using TG copytrading bot Bot: It's not a script and not even the bot, it's an AI agent that is improving with each found wallet Fetching wallet behaviour, how it's trading, arbitrage, what's sized and timings 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profitshow more

i tried to visualize how Scottynooo’s trading actually works... and why this low-latency, event-driven market making + micro-arbitrage bot managed to print $300k+ on Polymarket this isn’t about predicting outcomes. it’s about reacting faster than the market the bot trades both sides, stays mostly delta-neutral, waits for mispricing, spread dislocations, volatility compression, and exits fast when liquidity shows up what most people miss: > the edge isn’t a single strategy it’s infra, monitoring, execution logic, and constant tuning. code is just the starting point most people underestimate how hard that is account:show more

How to Turn $15k into $529k in 15 Days... A Clawdbot scaled a deposit up to $529k By trading 5-min and 15-min markets on Polymarket > the bot buys YES and NO simultaneously > If their combined price is below $1, making 4% profit instantly > 9,866 trades > 83.9% win rate > +$529k profit Check this profile here: If you wish to do the same I have outlined exactly how to create your own bot in my article Which is also where I told the story of an account making $101k in 48 hoursshow more

We’ve officially crossed $50,000 total profit on Kalshi! 🥂... Halfway to the $100K goal Here is a long post on what I've learned to succeed on Prediction Markets 1. Find a niche category of markets to focus in If you truly want to have an edge, you need to be an expert in your category. Don’t spread yourself too thin by trying to stay on top of too many markets. 2. If it seems too good to be true, it probably is When you find a market that you think is wildly mispriced after just reading the title, take a pause, pull up the full market contract with resolution criteria and try to understand what you could be missing. While acting quickly can be profitable in reacting to new developments, it can also lead to some big losses if you’re not careful to confirm you fully understand the contract. 3. News trading is still one of the best strategies These markets are always open and operating 24/7. If you are dialed in to new developments in your niche, you can frequently interpret how they impact certain markets and react fast enough before probabilities shift. The reverse of this is also true where sometimes people overreact to news and you can take the other side at often really good prices. 4. Start small if you are new There are a lot of intricacies to trading on prediction markets that you may not realize as a new user. It is a rite of passage that you will make plenty of mistakes so starting small while you learn the ropes is the best way to proceed. I’d even recommend starting with no cash in the beginning and just watching markets and seeing how their odds fluctuate in response to new developments. 5. If you’re size does not move the market odds, you are probably in the wrong market The higher the volume and deeper the liquidity, the more efficient a market will be since there is more incentive for larger players to price them correctly (ie. You can make more money if you’re right). There are now thousands of markets everyday on these platforms, many of which are illiquid. There is not much incentive for sharp market participants to want to focus on these illiquid markets. If you’re a new user with a small bankroll, I’d recommend scouring through illiquid markets to try to find edge. You would be shocked how many already resolvable markets you will find that will still have standing orders up (but make sure to also consider #2 above before buying). 6. Whenever possible, use limit orders instead of market orders This one’s pretty self-explanatory - With limit orders you’ll earn liquidity rewards (on eligible markets), get in at a better price, and won’t run the risk of dealing with high slippage in illiquid markets. One of the top complaints I hear from new users is not understanding why they are getting filled at a bad price and I have even heard some horror stories of new users market selling their already won positions at 1 cent because the order book was empty. If you’re new, spend some time to understand how order books work. 7. Talk to other people in the community! Kalshi has built a really great discord and there are also a ton of other great prediction market focused discords with knowledgeable traders that are open to sharing their thoughts and providing guidance. Overall, I think the prediction market community is extremely positive and welcoming to new users. Most OG prediction market traders just want to see more volume and liquidity in their markets so they will spend the time interacting and helping new users. I will shoutout Foster, Gaeten Dugas and as just some examples (there are many more!) of people I think are really great in the community and help new users understand these markets. In conclusion, there is so much more I could write about but these are just a few topics I wanted to cover. I absolutely love prediction markets and it has been the most exciting past month seeing how mainstream they are getting with volumes skyrocketing.show more

polymarket just dropped a 3.15% taker fee on 5... min crypto markets 10 days later, a brand new trader made $124k account "vague-sourdough" registered in feb 2026 he already banked $124,835 with an insane win rate on btc and sol "up or down" markets his strategy? everyone thought the new taxes would destroy latency arbitrage bots, they were wrong probably the bot didn't change its core logic, it just updated its math, instead of spamming small gaps, the script only snipes absolute certainties where the latency spread is wider than the 3.15% platform fee it eats the tax as a business expense and still clears a profit his profile to track: drop a follow if you want to see more unique wallets high fees don't kill the bots, they just filter out the slow onesshow more