We created a bot that automatically farms Arbitrages between... Polymarket Opinion in just 5 days: 📈 Est. +EV: +$399.29 ❇️ Average Trade ROI: ~9.69% Volume Generated: ~$4,100 Trades Executed: 58 Win Rate: 81% Here is how it works: 1. Matching markets -> The bot finds identical markets between Polymarket & Opinion 2. Watch the odds -> When the odds are different between the two identical markets, the next phase is triggered 3. Arbitrage Math -> The bot calculates how much can be bought based off available liquidity, spread & fees, as well as our parameters for the arbitrages we want to trade 4. Risk Analysis -> The bot conducts risk analysis of the arbitrage, as well as validation, based of what we know about how these platforms work 5. Execute -> The bot sends buy orders to both exchanges simultaneously to capture the arbitrage 6. Validate -> The order is verified, if it failed it will retry if liquidity is still available, if not it will liquidate the open position. The end result? Consistent profit The limitations? Infrastructure The biggest 'bottleneck' that we are faced with right now is the unreliability of Opinions websocket data feeds. Many orderbook updates are missing, causing stale local book state, which sends false arbitrage signals A problem that can only be solved with some temporary latency-introducing pre-bid validationsshow more

I spent 48h to find this ''bot trading wallet''... on Polymarket He made 10,057 trades in one month and earned $87,000 > this wallet is an arbitrage bot > trades only BTC Up or Down (5 min) only > always use the same strategy And here's how it trades: > waits until one of the outcomes (YES/NO) falls below 35¢ > buy more when the average price is low > watch how the opposite outcome moves > makes sure the total average prices are under 99¢ > if he doesn't have a hedge, just closing the position with no losses This is exactly how algo-trading works His profile:show more

The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a... 99.3% win rate. backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit +$805K PnL on 27,000 predictions. bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate. his algo decoded: 1. Mispricing formula based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢) most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades • formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability bot applies this to every trade to find the edge. // 2. Expected value calculation EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade. • formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost) bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk. // 3. Kelly Criterion sizing most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term. • formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter profile: start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares: 2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓show more

I launched a weather trading bot on Polymarket with... $100 -> $8,000 here is how it works and how to copy it most people on polymarket price weather markets randomly based on vibes or a phone app but there is NOAA - a government agency that publishes free forecasts with 94%+ accuracy the result? you regularly see something like this: > NOAA gives a 94% probability that NYC will reach 74°F on Saturday > polymarket prices it at 11¢ the bot buys at 11¢ sells when the market corrects to 45¢ that is 4x on an almost guaranteed outcome how to launch it in 5 steps: > install OpenClaw on your pc > connect it to ChatGPT Plus + a telegram bot > create an agent on simmer markets deposit $100 > install the weather trading skill with: clawhub install simmer-weather > send the config to the bot and it starts trading the bot scans 6 cities every 2 minutes non-stop example of a real trader: profile: +$75,055 just from weather markets zero emotions. fully automated the window is still open but not forevershow more

The only strategy on Polymarket that does not care... if BTC goes to $200K or $0. Just $116,000 in February. Here is how it works. All of crypto Twitter is arguing where BTC is headed. Bulls, bears, charts, signals. Meanwhile the most profitable strategy on Polymarket right now does not even answer that question. A bot trades 15-minute markets on BTC, ETH and SOL. Does not predict direction. It watches the spot price on Binance and places bets on Polymarket before the oracle updates. Pure speed. Making its developer $8,000 - $10,000 a day. His profile: The price on Binance updates faster than the Polymarket oracle. The difference is seconds. But on 15-minute markets seconds = guaranteed profit. The bot does not predict the future, it trades the present that Polymarket has not seen yet. While everyone argues about direction someone is taking money from both sides.show more

New arbitrage meta on Polymarket. Most people do not... even know this exists 1 bot just made $357,313 in a single month trading BTC, ETH, SOL and XRP 5-minute markets How it works: he buys YES at 47 cents and NO at 51 cents on the same market. Total cost: 98 cents. 1 side always pays out $1. That is 2 cents profit per trade, risk-free Now multiply that by 2,000+ trades per day His bot finds these spreads automatically, executes in milliseconds, and compounds 24/7 You are still reading charts. He is printingshow more

Polymarket pays me $400 a day because it's slower... than Binance by 2 seconds. And this is just the beginning - while I was writing this post, the bot made another $40. Let me explain. I built a bot on OpenClaw. It monitors Binance 24/7. Sees a sharp impulse - switches to high attention mode. If price doesn't snap back within a second (the impulse could be a squeeze) - it opens a trade on Polymarket in the same direction. Why this works. When BTC moves sharply, Polymarket odds don't have time to adjust. These windows appear every day - especially now, with elevated volatility across financial markets. I usually enter when the gap is 200+ points. Odds are still stale - I capture the spread before it closes. Aggressive mode - spreads from 100 points, significantly more trades per day. $20 per trade. 10-30 trades a day. Morning. Coffee. Open the laptop. The bot closed 14 trades overnight. Another good dayshow more

CHINESE ENGINEERS JUST WROTE CLAUDE SCRIPT AND TURNED $6.02... INTO $3.3 MILLION ON POLYMARKET Nobody tells you about them and you still think this is a person placing bets manually I guess. Let me disappoint you, this is a fully automated script built by Chinese engineers 100%. This is true. They called it PHANTOM X. It runs completely through Claude. Their account here: Result: $6.02 -> $3,354,000. Win rate 71%. Biggest win: $179,000 (single bet). I’m copying their trades here: (Just added their wallet to TG bot 0xee613b3fc183ee44f9da9c05f53e2da107e3debf, it's so easy) How the bot works: -> It simultaneously tracks thousands of sports markets on Polymarket and Kalshi. -> Finds discrepancies between the platforms. -> Enters positions faster than any human could imo. Just three strategies in one: -- Pairs Trading: the bot sees YES on the Rockets at $0.62 while NO is at $0.41. Total = $1.03 instead of $1.00. That’s a 3% risk-free profit. It enters automatically within milliseconds. -- Sentiment AI: scans Twitter (X) and news in real time. If something big breaks, it recalculates the probability in 2 seconds before the market reacts. -- Calendar + Volatility: 15–20 minutes before the game, volatility spikes. The bot takes positions early and closes after the first major move. Why sports is perfect? Sports O/U markets have clear paired contracts that should total exactly $1.00, but constant deviations create reliable arbitrage. This is exactly how [sovereign2013] built $3.35M. > A human physically cannot monitor 50+ markets at once, react in milliseconds, stay awake 24/7, avoid emotions after losses, and run Z-scores on 60 bars of data. > The bot does all of this in parallel without breaks. Manual trading is dying. The automation era has arrived. Start learning Claude now. If you’re interested in writing your own bot on Polymarket: Comment the word "BOT" Like and repost this post Follow me (so I can message you easly) And within 24 hours I will send you a full manual on how to build a bot that can earn $2,900+/month. Also SAVE this info and article.show more

I rebuilt my Polymarket weather bot Launched a simulation... with $1,000 An hour later, it was already $1,250. Another hour later - $680 The problem was simple: the forecast changed, but the bot didn't know about it and continued to hold its position That's exactly what I'm fixing in version v2 What I'm adding: 1. Expected Value EV = (p · b) − (1 − p) Before every entry the bot calculates expected value. Negative EV - no trade. But EV is useless if p comes from nowhere 2. Kelly Criterion f* = (p · b − q) / b Determines exactly how much to bet based on real edge Small edge → small position. Large edge → larger. Fixed sizing can't do this 3. Brier Score BS = (1/n) · Σ(fₜ − oₜ)² Measures how accurate our probabilities actually are. If the bot assigned 80% but the outcome won 40% of the time - Brier Score catches that 4. Calibration on own data After each trade the bot saves city, month, bucket, forecast at entry, final result History accumulates → bot calculates Brier Score on its own trades → if Chicago in March is consistently off - p for that city and month gets adjusted automatically 5. Adding new data sources Instead of relying on a single source, the bot will draw on several sources at once, and if the forecasts match, it will enter into a trade Every cycle of v2: - scan markets - check station forecast - apply calibration - calculate EV - apply Kelly - enter or skip - monitor every minute - close if forecast changes Btw, here's a short video clip showing the terminal in action A major update is coming soonshow more

I’m making $2,200/weekly from Weather Arbitrage. I’m not posting... this as clickbait. If you can’t replicate it, feel free to unfollow me. About a month ago, I found a Polymarket Account using a clever strategy: Weather Arbitrage. It caught my attention. After digging into how it works, I saw that this trader focuses only on daily temperature markets for cities like NYC, LA, Atlanta, Denver, Chicago, Seoul, London, Shanghai, San Francisco, and Munich. The key insight is that each Polymarket weather market resolves based on a specific airport weather station, for example NYC = LaGuardia / KLGA, Dallas = Love Field / KDAL, while most retail traders rely on city center data. The temperature difference between those can be 3–8°F. According to his profile: > He built a bot that profits from this gap between official weather data and uninformed retail traders. I figured I wasn’t skilled enough to build something like that myself, so I set up a copy trading bot with 0% fees and 100 ms latency: > This copy trading bot is the best solution on the market, at least because it doesn’t charge any fees. Now I copy his trades exactly and made almost $10,000 in a month. It actually works, guys. Check it out. This isn’t clickbait or a joke.show more

I found 7 free Polymarket trading bots on GitHub... for 7 different trading situations… Each of these bots comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English: 1. This bot includes 118+ ready to use strategies and tools for trading on prediction markets (Momentum, Binance-Polymarket latency, Penny Clipper, Smart Routing, Expiry Fade, DCA bots and more). Built by a Cambridge computer science student who won a hackathon with this trading bot. GitHub: 2. This bot automatically manages all your Polymarket limit orders to maximize liquidity rewards. GitHub: 3. A weather bot from a Chinese dev, that analyzes multiple sources in real time, like forecasts, airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) to get the most accurate temperature data and generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 4. A bot that automatically searches for arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi. GitHub: 5. This is a bot-toolkit that includes copy trading, arbitrage, market making, whale alerts, spread farming, sports trading and more… GitHub: 6. A smart money trading bot - it looks for the most successful traders in selected markets, filters them by Pnl + win rate, and then creates a list for automated copy trading. GitHub: 7. A large collection of 20+ free trading bots for prediction markets. GitHub: Every bot here has a Dry Run mode, so you can test it on real markets without risking any funds.show more

I AM QUITTING MY JOB TO GO FULL IN... CLAUDE Just asked him to: "Analyze misspriced Polymarket markets opportunities for arbitrage and find wallets that are using it to copy" Turned $2K into $12K in one night Monitored ~1k+ wallets I just realized that there are many arbitrage bots that I can't beat without code knowledge But I can find them and copy So Claude created a monitoring terminal and copytraded found wallets using TG copytrading bot Bot: It's not a script and not even the bot, it's an AI agent that is improving with each found wallet Fetching wallet behaviour, how it's trading, arbitrage, what's sized and timings 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profitshow more

Someone posted the full code of a Chinese Polymarket... bot on GitHub and deleted it within hours I saved it before it went down This is the bot behind gabagool22, $868,000 profit, 28,620 predictions, all green And now I understand exactly how it works The strategy is pure arbitrage, no prediction needed, no direction bets: → Buy YES when price drops below 48 cents → Buy NO when price drops below 48 cents → Combined cost under 97 cents, payout always $1.00 → Profit locked regardless of outcome 7.5% per pair. 96 markets per day on BTC alone. Running 24/7. The bot combines 4 open source repos into one hybrid engine: API client, thread-safe position tracker, gas optimizer, and risk manager with pre-trade validation It targets 15-minute BTC, ETH, and SOL markets simultaneously Start with $100, set your thresholds, run dry-mode first, then go live Profile: Full code: Copy:show more

polymarket just dropped a 3.15% taker fee on 5... min crypto markets 10 days later, a brand new trader made $124k account "vague-sourdough" registered in feb 2026 he already banked $124,835 with an insane win rate on btc and sol "up or down" markets his strategy? everyone thought the new taxes would destroy latency arbitrage bots, they were wrong probably the bot didn't change its core logic, it just updated its math, instead of spamming small gaps, the script only snipes absolute certainties where the latency spread is wider than the 3.15% platform fee it eats the tax as a business expense and still clears a profit his profile to track: drop a follow if you want to see more unique wallets high fees don't kill the bots, they just filter out the slow onesshow more

HOW TO TURN $15K INTO $1.1 MILLION IN JUST... 20 DAYS WITH A KILLER ARBITRAGE BOT A sophisticated Claude-powered bot took a starting deposit and scaled it all the way up to $1.1 million. It crushed the 5-minute and 15-min markets on Polymarket using a rock-solid strategy built on: - Mispricing detection formula. - Expected value calculation. - Kelly Criterion position sizing. The flow is simple and deadly effective: mispricing spotted -> EV calculated -> Kelly sizing applied -> position entered. Results speak louder than words: > 25,123 trades executed > 83.9% win rate > +$1.1M pure profit > Biggest single win: $33K 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profit Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word 'Claude' 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)show more

How to Build and Turn $15k into $1.1M in... 20 Days Using Arbitrage Bot Claude Bot scaled a deposit up to $1.1M By trading 5-min and 15-min markets on Polymarket Bot using this strategy: - Mispricing formula - Expected value calculation - Kelly Criterion sizing mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter > 25,123 trades > 83.9% win rate > +1.1M profit > Biggest win 33K Check this profile here: Copytrading: If you wish to do the same I have outlined exactly how to create your own bot in my article Which is also where I told the story of how Claude turned $300 into 2.4M in 4 months This week I will write an article “Why your bot isn’t working and how to fix it” So follow and save this postshow more

I AM QUITTING MY JOB TO GO FULL IN... CLAUDE Just asked him to: "Analyze misspriced Polymarket markets opportunities for arbitrage and find wallets that are using it to copy" Turned $2K into $12K in one night Monitored ~1k+ wallets I just realized that there are many arbitrage bots that I can't beat without code knowledge But I can find them and copy So Claude created a monitoring terminal and copytraded found wallets using TG copytrading bot It's not a script and not even the bot, it's an AI agent that is improving with each found wallet Fetching wallet behaviour, how it's trading, arbitrage, what's sized and timings 70% win rate, 7 wallets copytrading rn from ~500 monitored, bot never paused, never gambling, just math and profit Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word 'Claude' 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Marry Evan (so i can DM you)show more

He showed me the ClawdBot script that made him... $900K Using only Clawd he built a 5 minute BTC market script He generated $951K in profit in just one month 5 minute BTC markets + ClawdBot = all you need Copytrade: Here is the full strategy: 5 Minute BTC and ETH Micro Arbitrage The system trades short 5 minute Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts In fast markets temporary mispricings occur when YES + NO drops below $1 The bot scans in real time and instantly captures the spread as soon as it appears Speed Over Emotion When volatility hits and manual traders hesitate the system reacts automatically Orders are triggered without delay hesitation or emotional bias By the time most traders process what happened the opportunity window has already closed Automation Compounds the Edge Instead of chasing large wins the strategy captures small spreads repeatedly High frequency execution allows the bot to operate continuously stacking micro advantages into meaningful returns over time All that’s left is to keep refining the code deploy at scale and let it runshow more

A bot made $669,264 in a month betting on... Bitcoin Up or Down right now it's one of the most profitable bots on Polymarket It profits off panic buying/selling by crypto investors by basically acting as a market maker for the up/down markets Here's how its algorithm works: based on the last 10 trades it determines the fair value -> accumulates YES if the price is above fair value (otherwise accumulates NO) -> earns from the spread if you want alerts + copy trade his actions: Examples of its wins: - $60,941 on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET at 28 cents - $43,671 on Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5AM ET at 36 cents - $38,793 on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET at 26 cents This bot is a clear proof that Bitcoin up or down markets are some of the best to trade, because they're simple and profitable In my recent article I also covered other best markets to trade on Polymarket 👇show more

I found 7 free Polymarket trading bots on GitHub... for 7 different trading situations… Each of these repos comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English. > For beginners (4-5 min setup): 1. A bot with 118 ready to use trading strategies and tools for prediction markets (Binance-Polymarket latency, DCA bots, Smart Routing, Penny Clipper and more). It was built by a computer science student who won a hackathon with this bot. You can also see the bot in action in the video below. GitHub: 2. This is a huge trading bot-toolkit that includes Polymarket-Kalshi arbitrage, copy trading, whale tracking, spread farming, market making, sports trading and more. GitHub: 3. A trading bot that uses a Smart Money strategy - it finds the best pnl traders in selected markets, filters them by win rate + consistency and then creates a list for automated copy trading. GitHub: 4. This weather bot analyzes data from multiple sources in real time (like weather forecasts, airport data and aviation observations (METAR), to get the latest temperature data and generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: > Advanced setup: 5. This bot identifies the actual trading behavior of any Polymarket trader. It finds repeated patterns in his trades, shows which strategies he uses and helps you understand how to adapt them to your own trading. GitHub: 6. A bot that automatically manages all your limit orders on Polymarket to maximize liquidity rewards. GitHub: > ML weather model: 7. This Machine Learning model learns from historical weather forecasting errors. Instead of blindly trusting forecasts, it learns how different sources previously overestimated or underestimated temperatures in specific cities and weather conditions. And then it automatically adjusts new forecasts to provide more accurate predictions. GitHub: All of these bots also support a simulation mode, so you can test them on real markets but without putting real funds at risk.show more

There's a free exploit on Polymarket that nobody is... talking about. You can turn $24 into $6146. 26014% ROI - weather markets print these numbers if you know the edge. The data it used? Free. Published every day by the US government. Available to anyone. Here's what nobody on Polymarket figured out yet. NOAA predicts temperature 24-48 hours out with 94% accuracy. People on Polymarket are pricing weather markets based on their iPhone weather app. Or nothing at all. Think about that for a second. One side has supercomputer models built on decades of satellite data. The other side is guessing. The bot reads NOAA, checks Polymarket, and buys every time they disagree. Every 2 minutes. 6 cities. Runs by itself. I found the wallet: The setup is OpenClaw + Simmer by Spartan Labs + Telegram as command center.show more