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1/4 In Beijing, Taiwan influencer "馆长" clearly explained a profound fact to the people of Taiwan: "If you identify as Chinese, you know you have nothing to fear, because in Taiwan, you are in China, & the PLA is here to protect us, the Chinese people."

41,877 次观看 • 9 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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This is incredible: Dominic Cummings (the former Chief Adviser to the British Prime Minister) calling the current Western policy on Taiwan "completely insane" and "'f*cking stupid". Exceedingly rare to see former senior officials abandon political correctness to this extent, and tell the raw, unvarnished truth. Actually pretty refreshing! Here is what he says: He says that a war over Taiwan with China, is "obviously not" worth it and that "it's completely crazy" for the West to be ditching the One-China policy that aims at peacefully reuniting Taiwan and the mainland: "[A war over Taiwan with China] is a completely insane idea. It's an island that you can see from the Chinese coast. It's full of Chinese people. The people in in the army are cousins of the people in the opposite army. For decades we've had a One-China policy accepted by Democrats and Republicans across the western world [where Taiwan is] going to be unified but it should be done peacefully not violently. That was the right approach. It's completely crazy for us to be ditching that approach and to be like willfully antagonizing China over a place filled with Chinese! It's fucking stupid!" He also says it's simply not credible to tell the Chinese that Taiwan matters to the West as much as it matters to them: "Do you think the Chinese are sitting there thinking 'okay we know that Taiwan is completely existential for us and America also thinks it's existential for them'? No, of course not, of course that's not what they're thinking, because it isn't! So you can't just go around threatening nuclear war over something where it's not actually a credible threat. Where people think 'either it's complete bullshit or they are actually insane'." He says mutually assured destruction in Europe with the USSR was credible because "there the argument for America was 'we are defending the western world, we have NATO, there is a NATO agreement on mutual self defense, and if you breach that and you attack one of us then it means war against everyone.' That was a lot lot lot more credible than 'there's a little island off the Chinese coast that has absolutely nothing to do with us historically at all, it's full of Chinese people, but we're gonna threaten potential nuclear war over it.' It's totally non-credible and doing it makes you sound mad."

Arnaud Bertrand

131,636 次观看 • 1 年前