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24,735 次观看 • 6 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,360,895 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 READ THIS TWICE Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. Everyone is focused on price. Nobody is talking about timing. Days from cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet. The highest-probability zone for the real bottom: July–November 2026. That single fact matters more than any level on your chart. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.” But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing. My rules are simple: Below $60,000, I’m a buyer. July–November 2026, I’m a buyer. Either condition. No hesitation. Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago. The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric. “BTC will never see $100K again.” Now we’re here. One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL. Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022. When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

687,264 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin has just entered the relief phase of the bear market. 2022 structure is repeating perfectly: 54% drop from ATH → complete Relief rally → now Final capitulation → next This is where the trap is. Most traders think the bottom is in during this phase. It isn’t. The part almost nobody understands: Timing. Days from cycle top → final bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at X.” But real bottoms don’t form where it feels obvious. They form where people give up. And before that happens: There has to be pain. - Forced selling (happening). - Liquidations (in progress). - Panic (almost there). - Sentiment collapse (soon). When people stop buying dips… Narratives break… Everyone turns bearish… That’s when bottoms form. We’re not there yet. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

2,309,012 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 PAY ATTENTION Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price. The only thing that matters now: Time. Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure: 35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction. 2015–2017: expansion 2018: contraction 2018–2021: expansion 2022: contraction Now look at where we are. The expansion phase is complete. The contraction has just begun. And this phase always takes time. Days from cycle top → final low: 2012: ~400 days 2016: ~360 days 2020: ~370 days We are not there yet. Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is: July–November 2026. That matters more than any price level people are watching. Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy when it hits X.” But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If one of those conditions is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already. Even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, around $120k, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People ignored it. “BTC will never go below $100k again.” Now we’re here. And there’s still one signal missing: NUPL. Every major bottom: - 2018 - COVID - 2022 Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone. We haven’t seen that yet. Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,145,142 次观看 • 3 个月前

We have not forgotten the humiliation inflicted on our sailors. In January 2016, under the previous administration, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) illegally seized two U.S. Navy riverine boats after they inadvertently entered Iranian waters due to a mechanical issue. Iranian forces boarded the vessels at gunpoint, forced 10 American sailors to their knees with hands behind their heads, and broadcast propaganda footage worldwide—images of our service members kneeling in submission, some visibly distressed and appearing to wipe away tears. This was a deliberate act of provocation and a violation of international law, as later confirmed by the U.S. Navy’s own investigation, which concluded that Iran impeded innocent passage, violated sovereign immunity, and used the incident for propaganda. Just five days later, on January 17, 2016, the same administration delivered $400 million in cash—stacked on pallets and flown in an unmarked plane—to Iran as the first installment of a $1.7 billion settlement resolving a decades-old financial dispute from pre-1979 arms deals. While officially described as repayment of principal plus interest (avoiding potentially larger losses at an international tribunal), the timing—coinciding closely with both the sailors’ release and the implementation of the Iran nuclear deal—sent a clear message of weakness and accommodation in the face of aggression. We remember this episode as a stark example of how leniency and rushed concessions only emboldened Iran’s regime, rewarding hostility rather than deterring it. Our current actions are driven by the resolve to restore deterrence, protect American personnel and interests, and ensure that such humiliations are never repeated. The United States will no longer tolerate provocations without consequence—our response is measured, necessary, and long overdue to safeguard our sovereignty and prevent future escalations.

🦅 Eagle Wings 🦅

26,193 次观看 • 4 个月前