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390 feet, 100 mph exit velo 🚀 What can't Trinity Christian's (TCA Conquerors Athletics) Ethan Wheeler do?

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19,742 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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He's arrived. #MNTwins 2020 1st rounder AaronSabato goes where few have gone. A grand slam OVER the batter's eye. 1st Triple-a HR. Just the 8th player to do so, 6th Saints player, & just the third Saints player since becoming a Triple-A affiliate. 111.7 mph exit velo, 426 feet.

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64,944 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🇺🇸 ELON: HOW CAN WE REBUILD HOMES LESS SUSCEPTIBLE TO FIRE? "What things could be done in the future to ensure that houses are less susceptible to burning down? We can't rewind the clock, but what should we do to minimize the probability that people's homes and businesses will burn down?" Fire Command Team: "Defensible space is the biggest thing to save structures—clearing brush about 100 feet around your home creates a buffer. Hardening your home and building fuel breaks make a huge difference." Source: Elon Musk

🇺🇸 ELON: HOW CAN WE REBUILD HOMES LESS SUSCEPTIBLE TO FIRE? "What things could be done in the future to ensure that houses are less susceptible to burning down? We can't rewind the clock, but what should we do to minimize the probability that people's homes and businesses will burn down?" Fire Command Team: "Defensible space is the biggest thing to save structures—clearing brush about 100 feet around your home creates a buffer. Hardening your home and building fuel breaks make a huge difference." Source: Elon Musk

Mario Nawfal

158,397 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Train biceps? I'd bet that your standing barbell curl is training your lower back and front delts more than your biceps. Watch any guy over 40 curl heavy. What you’ll see is his hips shoot forward, ribs flare, and then the lower back finishes the rep. Fix? Feet elevated straight bar cable curl. Feet up → pelvis tucks → spine can't cheat → biceps do 100% of the work (plus it protracts the shoulder into a healthier position). The result is you get constant cable tension with zero momentum and zero back tax. If your arm growth has stalled recently or you just need fresh inspiration, give this exercise a try and let me know what you think.

Train biceps? I'd bet that your standing barbell curl is training your lower back and front delts more than your biceps. Watch any guy over 40 curl heavy. What you’ll see is his hips shoot forward, ribs flare, and then the lower back finishes the rep. Fix? Feet elevated straight bar cable curl. Feet up → pelvis tucks → spine can't cheat → biceps do 100% of the work (plus it protracts the shoulder into a healthier position). The result is you get constant cable tension with zero momentum and zero back tax. If your arm growth has stalled recently or you just need fresh inspiration, give this exercise a try and let me know what you think.

Simmo

22,086 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨CONNECT THE DOTS: DTCC Talks $100 TRILLION Tokenization… Then APPROVES Ripple Prime — JoelKatz Says “I can't say NO MORE.” 👀🔥 Do you remember this interview where the DTCC Director said the goal is to tokenize ALL $100 TRILLION of DTCC assets? 🤫 Fast forward. DTCC APPROVES and adds Hidden Road (aka Ripple Prime) to the NSCC directory — effective March 2, 2026. ✅ Then David 'JoelKatz' Schwartz posts this 👇 “I was hoping I could find something public that I could link to, but couldn’t. So I don’t think I can say ANYTHING MORE.” 🤯 Now CONNECT THE DOTES. That’s Ripple Board Member saying there’s context he cannot publicly disclose. Something MUCH BIGGER. 👀 What if DTCC's TRILLIONS of assets get tokenized through $XRP Ledger? 😳🚀

🚨CONNECT THE DOTS: DTCC Talks $100 TRILLION Tokenization… Then APPROVES Ripple Prime — JoelKatz Says “I can't say NO MORE.” 👀🔥 Do you remember this interview where the DTCC Director said the goal is to tokenize ALL $100 TRILLION of DTCC assets? 🤫 Fast forward. DTCC APPROVES and adds Hidden Road (aka Ripple Prime) to the NSCC directory — effective March 2, 2026. ✅ Then David 'JoelKatz' Schwartz posts this 👇 “I was hoping I could find something public that I could link to, but couldn’t. So I don’t think I can say ANYTHING MORE.” 🤯 Now CONNECT THE DOTES. That’s Ripple Board Member saying there’s context he cannot publicly disclose. Something MUCH BIGGER. 👀 What if DTCC's TRILLIONS of assets get tokenized through $XRP Ledger? 😳🚀

Diana

139,107 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Hetty Simoes: "The only reason more people don't know the truth [is] because they haven't done autopsies or histology" Nicolas Hulscher, MPH: "That is the vaccine spike protein, directly in the cardiac tissue" Hetty Simoes went through an exhaustive amount of tests and specialist consultations, getting a paper published based on the clinical findings presented in this clip, finding out 100% for certain, her son died from the mRNA injection. Hetty Simoes: "This is real, this has happened and the only reason more people don't know the truth about the deaths of those people that have died in their families, is because they haven't done autopsies or histology" "There's no nucleocapsid [so] this case is so important, because they can't blame it, as they usually try to do [on] covid" The system knows that mothers, fathers and families are so overwhelmed with the grief, they don't have the emotional capacity to go through all this. You can't find what you're not looking for.

Hetty Simoes: "The only reason more people don't know the truth [is] because they haven't done autopsies or histology" Nicolas Hulscher, MPH: "That is the vaccine spike protein, directly in the cardiac tissue" Hetty Simoes went through an exhaustive amount of tests and specialist consultations, getting a paper published based on the clinical findings presented in this clip, finding out 100% for certain, her son died from the mRNA injection. Hetty Simoes: "This is real, this has happened and the only reason more people don't know the truth about the deaths of those people that have died in their families, is because they haven't done autopsies or histology" "There's no nucleocapsid [so] this case is so important, because they can't blame it, as they usually try to do [on] covid" The system knows that mothers, fathers and families are so overwhelmed with the grief, they don't have the emotional capacity to go through all this. You can't find what you're not looking for.

Humanspective

29,220 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Democrat Poll Watcher exposes the Philadelphia, PA ballot chaos during the 2020 ELECTION. Brian McCaffrey, a registered Democrat and certified election observer, exposes alleged corruption at the Philadelphia Convention Center, Barred from getting within 30-100 feet of the action, he calls it a outright "coup against the President of the United States." McCaffrey doesn't hold back, naming key figures: Mayor Jim Kenney, Attorney General Josh Shapiro (who tweeted Trump couldn't win), and DA Larry Krasner. "I can't believe what I'm seeing right before my eyes," he says. "This has nothing to do with Joe Biden or Donald Trump—this is a deal with our democracy. There's corruption at the highest level in the City of Philadelphia." A stark reminder of why election transparency is non-negotiable.

Democrat Poll Watcher exposes the Philadelphia, PA ballot chaos during the 2020 ELECTION. Brian McCaffrey, a registered Democrat and certified election observer, exposes alleged corruption at the Philadelphia Convention Center, Barred from getting within 30-100 feet of the action, he calls it a outright "coup against the President of the United States." McCaffrey doesn't hold back, naming key figures: Mayor Jim Kenney, Attorney General Josh Shapiro (who tweeted Trump couldn't win), and DA Larry Krasner. "I can't believe what I'm seeing right before my eyes," he says. "This has nothing to do with Joe Biden or Donald Trump—this is a deal with our democracy. There's corruption at the highest level in the City of Philadelphia." A stark reminder of why election transparency is non-negotiable.

The SCIF

30,389 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

This is the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen Nick Fuentes ever say. “When a bullet enters skin it can change trajectory and speed.” Skin?? I own a weapon that fires a 30-06 and so do lots of Americans. I genuinely pity people who are tricked by this wizard because lies get stuck into peoples thought patterns and then they make bad decisions for the rest of their lives. Nick, I had to shoot an animal in the head tonight. She was a good goat but old and had what looked like a stroke/seizure and couldn’t walk or close her eyes. It was the humane thing to do but I’ve had restless sleep still. Her milk fed my four sons for years. And some babies of friends that couldn’t get breast milk. The Nigerian dwarf goat milk is fine even for babies with cow milk allergies. I feel like I could have done more for her but the truth is animals die. All of them. And so far I’ve been extremely fortunate. She was my first adult goat to ever die under my stewardship. A .22 will tumble inside the skull. Subsonic low caliber rounds do even more. But there’s always blood and even a .22 can have an exit wound. If there isn’t an exit wound the energy is dumped wherever it’s stopped just like a motorcycle hitting a brick wall. A 30-06 is like a Mac truck going 100 mph versus a .22 which is like nicks dream car (the Miata) in park.

This is the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen Nick Fuentes ever say. “When a bullet enters skin it can change trajectory and speed.” Skin?? I own a weapon that fires a 30-06 and so do lots of Americans. I genuinely pity people who are tricked by this wizard because lies get stuck into peoples thought patterns and then they make bad decisions for the rest of their lives. Nick, I had to shoot an animal in the head tonight. She was a good goat but old and had what looked like a stroke/seizure and couldn’t walk or close her eyes. It was the humane thing to do but I’ve had restless sleep still. Her milk fed my four sons for years. And some babies of friends that couldn’t get breast milk. The Nigerian dwarf goat milk is fine even for babies with cow milk allergies. I feel like I could have done more for her but the truth is animals die. All of them. And so far I’ve been extremely fortunate. She was my first adult goat to ever die under my stewardship. A .22 will tumble inside the skull. Subsonic low caliber rounds do even more. But there’s always blood and even a .22 can have an exit wound. If there isn’t an exit wound the energy is dumped wherever it’s stopped just like a motorcycle hitting a brick wall. A 30-06 is like a Mac truck going 100 mph versus a .22 which is like nicks dream car (the Miata) in park.

Owen Benjamin 🐻

137,738 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🐶: can you be friends with guinzly? 🌸: *nods head* 🐶: you can be friends? 🌸: *nods head* ☁️: *shakes head no* 🐶: is he annoying/bothersome? 🌸☁️: *shakes head no* 🐶: not annoying! 🐶: aow... why are you playing around... 🌸: *pats smyle* 🐶: you're waiting for smyle to decide if being friends (with guinzly) is approved or not 🌸: *nods head* ☁️: *shakes head no* (so not approved 😅) 🐶: what's up smyle? ☁️: *shakes head no* 🐶: noo?? ☁️: *shakes head no* 🐶: what has to be traded to be friends with him? what will make you allow jeje (big sis) to be friends (with guinzly)? 🌸: *stomps feet* 😡‼️ 🐶: what? you're stomping your feettt 👥: it's hia (big bro)! 🐶: what do you want? are you hungry? 👥: it's not jeje! he wants to be hia! 🌸: *points to fans, agreeing with them* 🐶: call you that? or not? 🌸: *stomps feet* 🐶: (is it) ninaaa? 👥: he wants to be hia! he wants to be hia! 🐶: ...but that can't be~ 🌸: *stomps feet and runs to 🐱 sulking* 🐶: tattling! tattling again! ☁️: *walks over to stand by 🌸* 🌸: *tattles to 🐱 while wiping tears* 🐱: *consoles 🌸 and wipes the tears away* 🐶: .... 🐶: so tired... signing for 100 people isn't as tiring as raising/taking care of these two //i need more of my family of 4 drama 😭 it's my favourite show 🥹 SKYNANI FANIVAL WITH U #GMMTVFANIVALxSkyNani #GMMTVFANIVAL2026xSkyNani #skynani #สกายนานิ #SmyleNeonaTwins

🐶: can you be friends with guinzly? 🌸: nods head 🐶: you can be friends? 🌸: nods head ☁️: shakes head no 🐶: is he annoying/bothersome? 🌸☁️: shakes head no 🐶: not annoying! 🐶: aow... why are you playing around... 🌸: pats smyle 🐶: you're waiting for smyle to decide if being friends (with guinzly) is approved or not 🌸: nods head ☁️: shakes head no (so not approved 😅) 🐶: what's up smyle? ☁️: shakes head no 🐶: noo?? ☁️: shakes head no 🐶: what has to be traded to be friends with him? what will make you allow jeje (big sis) to be friends (with guinzly)? 🌸: stomps feet 😡‼️ 🐶: what? you're stomping your feettt 👥: it's hia (big bro)! 🐶: what do you want? are you hungry? 👥: it's not jeje! he wants to be hia! 🌸: points to fans, agreeing with them 🐶: call you that? or not? 🌸: stomps feet 🐶: (is it) ninaaa? 👥: he wants to be hia! he wants to be hia! 🐶: ...but that can't be~ 🌸: stomps feet and runs to 🐱 sulking 🐶: tattling! tattling again! ☁️: walks over to stand by 🌸 🌸: tattles to 🐱 while wiping tears 🐱: consoles 🌸 and wipes the tears away 🐶: .... 🐶: so tired... signing for 100 people isn't as tiring as raising/taking care of these two //i need more of my family of 4 drama 😭 it's my favourite show 🥹 SKYNANI FANIVAL WITH U #GMMTVFANIVALxSkyNani #GMMTVFANIVAL2026xSkyNani #skynani #สกายนานิ #SmyleNeonaTwins

𝙚𝙧𝙜𝙤 ✧

42,963 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

"Once you're in this system, you can check in, but you can't leave." Francis Hunt (Francis Hunt - The Market Sniper, CMT (MBA)) has a name for how the modern financial system works: Hotel California debt. A system built so it can only expand, never contract, and every exit door leads back inside. The mechanism he walked me through explains the thing confusing everyone right now: why markets keep climbing while the fundamentals scream otherwise. It's not strength. It's the trap doing what traps do. We cover: - The long-term debt cycle, and why this one can't resolve quietly - The Ernest Hemingway bankruptcy curve: systems fail slowly, then all at once - The precedent nobody studied: Britain's 2022 pension crisis, where a slow leak became a bond market crash in days - Forced sellers, collapsing prices, and why only cash buyers win that moment - Why most investors are positioned for a world that's about to change under their feet - Gold vs #Bitcoin as the exits from the hotel Thanks to OKX for being the sponsor of the show. Make sure to check their deposit bonus, this ends at August 31st. Timestamps: 00:00 - The Long-Term Debt Cycle 02:52 - Hotel California Debt 07:14 - Why Markets Keep Rising 12:12 - Rates Are Spiking 15:21 - The Devaluation Chart 19:38 - Gold vs Bitcoin 24:19 - Trapped By Design 25:41 - The Market Cap Illusion 28:35 - Financial Purgatory 30:19 - Japan's Trap 32:12 - The End Of Gold-Backed Money 38:59 - Why Gold Was Suppressed 39:35 - Correction Of Distortions 41:31 - Sovereignty Over Your Assets 42:41 - What's Next For Gold

"Once you're in this system, you can check in, but you can't leave." Francis Hunt (Francis Hunt - The Market Sniper, CMT (MBA)) has a name for how the modern financial system works: Hotel California debt. A system built so it can only expand, never contract, and every exit door leads back inside. The mechanism he walked me through explains the thing confusing everyone right now: why markets keep climbing while the fundamentals scream otherwise. It's not strength. It's the trap doing what traps do. We cover: - The long-term debt cycle, and why this one can't resolve quietly - The Ernest Hemingway bankruptcy curve: systems fail slowly, then all at once - The precedent nobody studied: Britain's 2022 pension crisis, where a slow leak became a bond market crash in days - Forced sellers, collapsing prices, and why only cash buyers win that moment - Why most investors are positioned for a world that's about to change under their feet - Gold vs #Bitcoin as the exits from the hotel Thanks to OKX for being the sponsor of the show. Make sure to check their deposit bonus, this ends at August 31st. Timestamps: 00:00 - The Long-Term Debt Cycle 02:52 - Hotel California Debt 07:14 - Why Markets Keep Rising 12:12 - Rates Are Spiking 15:21 - The Devaluation Chart 19:38 - Gold vs Bitcoin 24:19 - Trapped By Design 25:41 - The Market Cap Illusion 28:35 - Financial Purgatory 30:19 - Japan's Trap 32:12 - The End Of Gold-Backed Money 38:59 - Why Gold Was Suppressed 39:35 - Correction Of Distortions 41:31 - Sovereignty Over Your Assets 42:41 - What's Next For Gold

Michaël van de Poppe

157,716 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

After 1,000+ trades, this is the only setup that consistently works in any market condition. It's called liquidity sweep reversal—and it's the highest probability trading strategy I know. Before I show you what it is, here are the two things most traders get wrong with it: 1) They enter too early and get stopped out on the second sweep. 2) They try to predict the LAST sweep with certainty This is a sure-fire way to burn your money. Here's what to do instead: Step 1: Identify market control Look at structure. Higher highs and higher lows? Buyers are in control. We're only trading from demand zones. Step 2: Mark your liquidity zones Find equal lows. When retail sees a "double bottom," they go long because textbooks tell them to. Their stop losses sit right below those lows. Available liquidity for institutions to sweep. Step 3: Wait for the sweep Price drops, sweeps those stops, liquidates retail traders, then creates a sharp V-shaped reaction. This sweep breaks structure. Zoom into 1-hour timeframe - price was making lower highs and lows. After the sweep? Higher highs and higher lows. That sweep zone becomes your institutional demand zone. Step 4: Enter on mitigation Wait for price to pull back to the liquidity zone. Enter there. Stop below the zone. Target 2-3R. Remember: You'll NEVER predict with 100% certainty when it's the LAST liquidity sweep. Sometimes price sweeps 2-3 times before the real move. But that's trading—we trade probabilities, not certainties. Also, keep in mind: If you can't spot the liquidity, you ARE the liquidity. — This is just a breakdown of one of the trading strategies we covered in our 2-hour long cryptocurrency trading course. I also discussed the trend pullback strategy, how to trade breakout retests without getting stopped out on fake moves, and why understanding liquidity is the only way to avoid becoming exit liquidity. Just comment "COURSE" and I'll DM it to you immediately so you can watch it.

After 1,000+ trades, this is the only setup that consistently works in any market condition. It's called liquidity sweep reversal—and it's the highest probability trading strategy I know. Before I show you what it is, here are the two things most traders get wrong with it: 1) They enter too early and get stopped out on the second sweep. 2) They try to predict the LAST sweep with certainty This is a sure-fire way to burn your money. Here's what to do instead: Step 1: Identify market control Look at structure. Higher highs and higher lows? Buyers are in control. We're only trading from demand zones. Step 2: Mark your liquidity zones Find equal lows. When retail sees a "double bottom," they go long because textbooks tell them to. Their stop losses sit right below those lows. Available liquidity for institutions to sweep. Step 3: Wait for the sweep Price drops, sweeps those stops, liquidates retail traders, then creates a sharp V-shaped reaction. This sweep breaks structure. Zoom into 1-hour timeframe - price was making lower highs and lows. After the sweep? Higher highs and higher lows. That sweep zone becomes your institutional demand zone. Step 4: Enter on mitigation Wait for price to pull back to the liquidity zone. Enter there. Stop below the zone. Target 2-3R. Remember: You'll NEVER predict with 100% certainty when it's the LAST liquidity sweep. Sometimes price sweeps 2-3 times before the real move. But that's trading—we trade probabilities, not certainties. Also, keep in mind: If you can't spot the liquidity, you ARE the liquidity. — This is just a breakdown of one of the trading strategies we covered in our 2-hour long cryptocurrency trading course. I also discussed the trend pullback strategy, how to trade breakout retests without getting stopped out on fake moves, and why understanding liquidity is the only way to avoid becoming exit liquidity. Just comment "COURSE" and I'll DM it to you immediately so you can watch it.

The Trading Geek (Brad Goh)

54,151 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Let’s talk about Zipline’s test sites and who we’re hiring for 🧵 They are where elite talent meets 24/7 large scale high volume testing. They’re the engine that helped scale Zipline to the largest autonomous delivery service on earth, 5,000+ autonomous trips around the world and we’re just getting started. Zipline's testing in 2025: 315,000+ test flights 🚀 35,000+ flight hours (480+ straight days of nonstop flying) 🙂‍ 3,000+ flights per day 📈 Our test sites are built to push our system to the max so that we de-risk tomorrow. Each one tackles a different brutal edgecase to make sure the system’s reliability is bulletproof. Our 'engineering test site' in the video I posted is reconfigured every few weeks: new obstacles are added, new flight apps reviewed, new edge cases are tested in any weather condition. Every new software build deploys here first, into live airspace. Our other sites are placed around the U.S. and are focused on testing in severe conditions that ground most if not all other forms of transport. They operate in scorching heat of up to 125 degrees, high-altitudes, intense rainstorms, 60+ mph winds, hail, sleet, and extreme cold-weather, down to -20F. Heavy ice and snow accumulation on propulsion and sensors is the norm. We aggressively chase these conditions in test so we dominate when it really matters. We are now developing 5+ new test sites, each one dialed in to push even more extreme weather and edge conditions. What I am especially proud of is that our safety has kept improving even as flight volume, complexity and environmental hostility increases. We’ve been able to test and develop at a scale that’s unprecedented in aviation history because our teams own a 100% fully vertical tech stack, built hand in hand with our flight and application software teams. We have to have the most robust airspace and fleet management tools on earth because Zipline will soon operate the largest fleet of aircraft on earth. Now to the fun part, we're hiring! DM me or send me an email to marcusZipline.com if you want to join Zipline Test Operations! We're hiring Flight Test Operators, Test Site Operators, Flight Test Electricians, Flight Test Construction Staff, Flight Test Project and Program Managers, Flight Test Engineers, Flight Test Safety Managers, Flight Test Security and, most importantly, Flight and Fleet Application Software Engineers. Please, cut to the chase. We have zero requirements on degrees, formal education or tenure. What counts is what you can do, merit, and what you’ve shown you’re capable of. Highlight that. Let's go!

Let’s talk about Zipline’s test sites and who we’re hiring for 🧵 They are where elite talent meets 24/7 large scale high volume testing. They’re the engine that helped scale Zipline to the largest autonomous delivery service on earth, 5,000+ autonomous trips around the world and we’re just getting started. Zipline's testing in 2025: 315,000+ test flights 🚀 35,000+ flight hours (480+ straight days of nonstop flying) 🙂‍ 3,000+ flights per day 📈 Our test sites are built to push our system to the max so that we de-risk tomorrow. Each one tackles a different brutal edgecase to make sure the system’s reliability is bulletproof. Our 'engineering test site' in the video I posted is reconfigured every few weeks: new obstacles are added, new flight apps reviewed, new edge cases are tested in any weather condition. Every new software build deploys here first, into live airspace. Our other sites are placed around the U.S. and are focused on testing in severe conditions that ground most if not all other forms of transport. They operate in scorching heat of up to 125 degrees, high-altitudes, intense rainstorms, 60+ mph winds, hail, sleet, and extreme cold-weather, down to -20F. Heavy ice and snow accumulation on propulsion and sensors is the norm. We aggressively chase these conditions in test so we dominate when it really matters. We are now developing 5+ new test sites, each one dialed in to push even more extreme weather and edge conditions. What I am especially proud of is that our safety has kept improving even as flight volume, complexity and environmental hostility increases. We’ve been able to test and develop at a scale that’s unprecedented in aviation history because our teams own a 100% fully vertical tech stack, built hand in hand with our flight and application software teams. We have to have the most robust airspace and fleet management tools on earth because Zipline will soon operate the largest fleet of aircraft on earth. Now to the fun part, we're hiring! DM me or send me an email to marcusZipline.com if you want to join Zipline Test Operations! We're hiring Flight Test Operators, Test Site Operators, Flight Test Electricians, Flight Test Construction Staff, Flight Test Project and Program Managers, Flight Test Engineers, Flight Test Safety Managers, Flight Test Security and, most importantly, Flight and Fleet Application Software Engineers. Please, cut to the chase. We have zero requirements on degrees, formal education or tenure. What counts is what you can do, merit, and what you’ve shown you’re capable of. Highlight that. Let's go!

Marcus Mueller

312,539 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

And Tim Wilson gave us MORE. As if the "Salon" - which is seemingly a predominantly online business 'run' by an 18-year-old, wasn't enough, he gave us this also: See Speers very specific questions: David Speers asked at the #NPC: David Spears from the ABC. Thanks Tim Wilson for your address. The government says there's a whole lot of misinformation around its capital gains tax changes. I wonder if I could ask you to explain the example you just used in your speech. You talked about Sienna who started Tweenyskin five years ago, done well, business has grown. You said half of her profits will be taken by the silent shareholder, the Prime Minister. Can you just explain how that would happen? The government says existing exemptions for small business would remain. So how exactly would Sienna lose half her profit? And here is what goober TIM replied - Remember, NPC rules mean Speers cannot ask another question so Tim's reply goes unchecked. Read this bullshit, or better still, watch him say it. ▓ Skip the bit BETWEEN the bricks ▓ if you are going to watch the video, but read the explanation below. ▓ Tim's reply and its full of shit: Well it depends on when Sienna chooses to opt out of her business and sell it and for what price. I mean she started from her bedroom, her cost structures were zero so of course she's going to have a maximum uplift associated with her businesses. A lot of the people who are setting up businesses are the treasurers out there today spinning a message, as often he does, highlighting existing exemptions for CGT. Most of those are focused at the back end of people's lives, particularly as they head towards retirement and also based on the price at which they sell. I can't tell you what Sienna's going to sell but I can tell you the work, saving and sacrifice and everything they have put into it could, depending on the exit strategy and price, ultimately face up to 47%. But is it possible she could pay no capital gains tax as well? Well I can't give you, we're dealing with hypotheticals, I'm telling you what her story is. It depends on when she decides to exit, it depends on what she sells for, it depends on what stage of life she's at based on the current application of the law. But there are a lot of small business owners all around the country that are looking at the proposals put in this budget and not just do they think it comes in a tax them, they are looking at it and saying we worked, we sacrificed, we saved, we were there at 2am on a Sunday morning when nobody else was there. And all of a sudden the government, which traditionally takes some of the capital gain, no one's disputing that, is essentially working towards doubling that and in some cases it would be that much. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>▓ 1. The Hypothetical Dodge Tim Wilson explicitly admits his example is hypothetical: "I'm telling you what her story is. It depends on when she decides to exit, it depends on what she sells for, it depends on what stage of life she's at..." Translation: He has no concrete evidence that Sienna (or any small business owner like her) would face a 47% tax under the current or proposed CGT rules. Reality: The government’s proposed changes do not affect small business CGT concessions. Sienna, as a small business owner, would still qualify for: →15-year exemption (100% tax-free if she retires and owned the business for 15+ years). →50% active asset reduction (only 25% of the gain is taxable after discounts). Retirement exemption (up to $500k lifetime exemption). →Roll-over relief (defer CGT by reinvesting). Result: Her effective CGT rate would likely be 0–25%, not 47%. His answer is a word salad to avoid admitting the truth: His example is baseless. 2. The "Silent Shareholder" Myth - Tim claims: "...the government, which traditionally takes some of the capital gain, no one's disputing that, is essentially working towards doubling that and in some cases it would be that much." Reality Check: The current top marginal tax rate is 47% (45% + 2% Medicare levy), but this only applies to salary earners on income over $190k. For small business owners like Sienna: If structured as a company (Probably not she is under 18 or just turned 18, so likely, we will come back to this, 'held' by her ex-beautician mother/family): 25% company tax rate. If selling the business: 0–25% CGT after concessions. No scenario exists where the government takes 47% of her business sale profits under the proposed changes. The "doubling" claim is false. The budget does not double CGT for small businesses. It tightens loopholes for high-income earners (>$450k) and super funds, not small business owners. 3. The Emotional Manipulation Tim leans on melodrama: "...we worked, we sacrificed, we saved, we were there at 2 am on a Sunday morning..." Irrelevant to tax policy. Hard work doesn’t justify false claims about tax rates. Distraction tactic: He avoids the Speers direct question ("How exactly would Sienna lose half her profit?") by appealing to emotion. 4. The Press Club Rules Loophole David Speers couldn’t follow up due to Press Club rules. Tim knew this. He used the format to dodge accountability, knowing he couldn’t be pressed for details. TIM IS SPREADING MISINFORMATION like a PRO COOKER. Quote - Tim Wilson: "We're dealing with hypotheticals"

And Tim Wilson gave us MORE. As if the "Salon" - which is seemingly a predominantly online business 'run' by an 18-year-old, wasn't enough, he gave us this also: See Speers very specific questions: David Speers asked at the #NPC: David Spears from the ABC. Thanks Tim Wilson for your address. The government says there's a whole lot of misinformation around its capital gains tax changes. I wonder if I could ask you to explain the example you just used in your speech. You talked about Sienna who started Tweenyskin five years ago, done well, business has grown. You said half of her profits will be taken by the silent shareholder, the Prime Minister. Can you just explain how that would happen? The government says existing exemptions for small business would remain. So how exactly would Sienna lose half her profit? And here is what goober TIM replied - Remember, NPC rules mean Speers cannot ask another question so Tim's reply goes unchecked. Read this bullshit, or better still, watch him say it. ▓ Skip the bit BETWEEN the bricks ▓ if you are going to watch the video, but read the explanation below. ▓ Tim's reply and its full of shit: Well it depends on when Sienna chooses to opt out of her business and sell it and for what price. I mean she started from her bedroom, her cost structures were zero so of course she's going to have a maximum uplift associated with her businesses. A lot of the people who are setting up businesses are the treasurers out there today spinning a message, as often he does, highlighting existing exemptions for CGT. Most of those are focused at the back end of people's lives, particularly as they head towards retirement and also based on the price at which they sell. I can't tell you what Sienna's going to sell but I can tell you the work, saving and sacrifice and everything they have put into it could, depending on the exit strategy and price, ultimately face up to 47%. But is it possible she could pay no capital gains tax as well? Well I can't give you, we're dealing with hypotheticals, I'm telling you what her story is. It depends on when she decides to exit, it depends on what she sells for, it depends on what stage of life she's at based on the current application of the law. But there are a lot of small business owners all around the country that are looking at the proposals put in this budget and not just do they think it comes in a tax them, they are looking at it and saying we worked, we sacrificed, we saved, we were there at 2am on a Sunday morning when nobody else was there. And all of a sudden the government, which traditionally takes some of the capital gain, no one's disputing that, is essentially working towards doubling that and in some cases it would be that much. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>▓ 1. The Hypothetical Dodge Tim Wilson explicitly admits his example is hypothetical: "I'm telling you what her story is. It depends on when she decides to exit, it depends on what she sells for, it depends on what stage of life she's at..." Translation: He has no concrete evidence that Sienna (or any small business owner like her) would face a 47% tax under the current or proposed CGT rules. Reality: The government’s proposed changes do not affect small business CGT concessions. Sienna, as a small business owner, would still qualify for: →15-year exemption (100% tax-free if she retires and owned the business for 15+ years). →50% active asset reduction (only 25% of the gain is taxable after discounts). Retirement exemption (up to $500k lifetime exemption). →Roll-over relief (defer CGT by reinvesting). Result: Her effective CGT rate would likely be 0–25%, not 47%. His answer is a word salad to avoid admitting the truth: His example is baseless. 2. The "Silent Shareholder" Myth - Tim claims: "...the government, which traditionally takes some of the capital gain, no one's disputing that, is essentially working towards doubling that and in some cases it would be that much." Reality Check: The current top marginal tax rate is 47% (45% + 2% Medicare levy), but this only applies to salary earners on income over $190k. For small business owners like Sienna: If structured as a company (Probably not she is under 18 or just turned 18, so likely, we will come back to this, 'held' by her ex-beautician mother/family): 25% company tax rate. If selling the business: 0–25% CGT after concessions. No scenario exists where the government takes 47% of her business sale profits under the proposed changes. The "doubling" claim is false. The budget does not double CGT for small businesses. It tightens loopholes for high-income earners (>$450k) and super funds, not small business owners. 3. The Emotional Manipulation Tim leans on melodrama: "...we worked, we sacrificed, we saved, we were there at 2 am on a Sunday morning..." Irrelevant to tax policy. Hard work doesn’t justify false claims about tax rates. Distraction tactic: He avoids the Speers direct question ("How exactly would Sienna lose half her profit?") by appealing to emotion. 4. The Press Club Rules Loophole David Speers couldn’t follow up due to Press Club rules. Tim knew this. He used the format to dodge accountability, knowing he couldn’t be pressed for details. TIM IS SPREADING MISINFORMATION like a PRO COOKER. Quote - Tim Wilson: "We're dealing with hypotheticals"

The Noisy Elephant

25,563 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🙌Meet Artifig: A Figma Plugin to Generate Figma Plugins Do you use Figma and ever feel like this: - Your mind is bursting with plugin ideas, but you can't bring them to life because you don't know how to code? - You want to focus on design, but repetitive tasks keep slowing you down? - You dream of creating custom tools for your team, but lack the time or resources? I’ve been there too. That’s why I created Artifig. ✨ What is Artifig? Artifig is an AI-powered Figma plugin that empowers anyone to build their own Figma plugins using just natural language. No coding needed—simply describe what you want, and watch as your idea transforms into a fully functional, real-time plugin. 🚀 Redefining Figma Plugin Development The core philosophy of Artifig is simple: Designers often have countless ideas and creative visions, but many of them remain unrealized due to a lack of technical skills. We believe designers shouldn’t be limited by their inability to code. You should focus on creating, not be held back by technical barriers or repetitive tasks. Artifig takes you directly from "description" to "implementation." 🛠️ How Does It Work? 1. Describe Your Needs: Tell Artifig what you want, like “Create a skew transformation tool for objects, supporting horizontal and vertical skew with real-time preview functionality.” 2. Generate and Run the Plugin: Artifig instantly generates the plugin and runs it right within Figma. For example, the generated plugin can apply skew transformations to objects, precisely controlled via matrix transformations, with an intuitive user experience. 3. Optimize and Iteration: Need adjustments? Simply describe them, and Artifig will Iterating the plugin step by step. 4. Share Your Creations: Publish your plugins to the Artifig community, or remix plugins shared by others to build on their ideas. No learning curve. No complex steps. It’s as simple as that. 🌟 Key Features - Zero Barrier to Entry: No coding experience needed—any Figma user can create plugins effortlessly. - Multilingual Support: Works in multiple languages, including English, Chinese, French, Japanese, and German. - What-You-See-Is-What-You-Get: Generated plugins run in real-time, so you can quickly validate and refine your ideas. - Open and Flexible: The generated plugin code is 100% yours—modify it, distribute it, even use it commercially. - Global Community: Share your plugins, explore others’ creations, and publish your plugins to the Figma community. 🎯 Why is Artifig a Game-Changer? 1. No More Repetitive Work Let AI handle the tedious, time-consuming tasks: batch renaming layers, auto-aligning elements, or applying styles in bulk. All you need to do is say, “Import a PDF and arrange each image on the canvas with 20px spacing.” 2. Quickly Bring Ideas to Life From color contrast checks to data imports and custom components, all your “what if we could” ideas can now become plugins. Just one natural language description, and Artifig makes it happen. 3. Custom Tools for Your Team Build tailored tools for your team, creating unique solutions to streamline your workflow. 4. Not Just a Tool, But a Learning Experience Artifig explains the logic behind the code it generates, helping you understand Figma APIs and JavaScript. Today, you’re a designer; tomorrow, you could also be a design engineer. 🧑‍🚀👩🏻‍💻🥷🏻 Who is Artifig For? - Beginners: No development experience needed—just describe your ideas and let Artifig do the rest. - Experts: Save time and focus on high-value tasks while Artifig handles the repetitive work. - Learners: Use Artifig as a bridge to deepen your understanding of development. - Teams: Build custom tools to enhance collaboration and efficiency. 🎉 Ready to Get Started? I believe designers’ time and focus should be spent on creating, not on wrestling with complex tools. Artifig is the first step toward realizing this vision. Try Artifig now and experience an unprecedented flow of creativity!

🙌Meet Artifig: A Figma Plugin to Generate Figma Plugins Do you use Figma and ever feel like this: - Your mind is bursting with plugin ideas, but you can't bring them to life because you don't know how to code? - You want to focus on design, but repetitive tasks keep slowing you down? - You dream of creating custom tools for your team, but lack the time or resources? I’ve been there too. That’s why I created Artifig. ✨ What is Artifig? Artifig is an AI-powered Figma plugin that empowers anyone to build their own Figma plugins using just natural language. No coding needed—simply describe what you want, and watch as your idea transforms into a fully functional, real-time plugin. 🚀 Redefining Figma Plugin Development The core philosophy of Artifig is simple: Designers often have countless ideas and creative visions, but many of them remain unrealized due to a lack of technical skills. We believe designers shouldn’t be limited by their inability to code. You should focus on creating, not be held back by technical barriers or repetitive tasks. Artifig takes you directly from "description" to "implementation." 🛠️ How Does It Work? 1. Describe Your Needs: Tell Artifig what you want, like “Create a skew transformation tool for objects, supporting horizontal and vertical skew with real-time preview functionality.” 2. Generate and Run the Plugin: Artifig instantly generates the plugin and runs it right within Figma. For example, the generated plugin can apply skew transformations to objects, precisely controlled via matrix transformations, with an intuitive user experience. 3. Optimize and Iteration: Need adjustments? Simply describe them, and Artifig will Iterating the plugin step by step. 4. Share Your Creations: Publish your plugins to the Artifig community, or remix plugins shared by others to build on their ideas. No learning curve. No complex steps. It’s as simple as that. 🌟 Key Features - Zero Barrier to Entry: No coding experience needed—any Figma user can create plugins effortlessly. - Multilingual Support: Works in multiple languages, including English, Chinese, French, Japanese, and German. - What-You-See-Is-What-You-Get: Generated plugins run in real-time, so you can quickly validate and refine your ideas. - Open and Flexible: The generated plugin code is 100% yours—modify it, distribute it, even use it commercially. - Global Community: Share your plugins, explore others’ creations, and publish your plugins to the Figma community. 🎯 Why is Artifig a Game-Changer? 1. No More Repetitive Work Let AI handle the tedious, time-consuming tasks: batch renaming layers, auto-aligning elements, or applying styles in bulk. All you need to do is say, “Import a PDF and arrange each image on the canvas with 20px spacing.” 2. Quickly Bring Ideas to Life From color contrast checks to data imports and custom components, all your “what if we could” ideas can now become plugins. Just one natural language description, and Artifig makes it happen. 3. Custom Tools for Your Team Build tailored tools for your team, creating unique solutions to streamline your workflow. 4. Not Just a Tool, But a Learning Experience Artifig explains the logic behind the code it generates, helping you understand Figma APIs and JavaScript. Today, you’re a designer; tomorrow, you could also be a design engineer. 🧑‍🚀👩🏻‍💻🥷🏻 Who is Artifig For? - Beginners: No development experience needed—just describe your ideas and let Artifig do the rest. - Experts: Save time and focus on high-value tasks while Artifig handles the repetitive work. - Learners: Use Artifig as a bridge to deepen your understanding of development. - Teams: Build custom tools to enhance collaboration and efficiency. 🎉 Ready to Get Started? I believe designers’ time and focus should be spent on creating, not on wrestling with complex tools. Artifig is the first step toward realizing this vision. Try Artifig now and experience an unprecedented flow of creativity!

yancymin

21,222 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

What's happening right now in our capital markets is going to DESTROY the retirement savings of millions of Americans. Anyone of good conscience needs to rise up and say enough. This must be stopped. I don't say that lightly. I've been doing this for 45 years, and what's happening right now to the integrity of our capital markets is unlike anything I have ever seen. This is not about Elon Musk or Donald Trump. This is not about whether you like rockets or hate rockets. This is about the systematic CORRUPTION of the financial system that every American depends on for their retirement. In the entirety of its existence, Tesla has generated approximately $36 billion in cumulative profit. That includes over $20 billion in government emission credits and tax subsidies. The company is valued at $1.7 trillion and its CEO is the richest man on the planet. I'm not talking about the stock price. I know the stock has made people money. That's the popularity contest. I'm talking about whether this company creates enough economic value to JUSTIFY the capital invested in it. And it doesn't. The returns on invested capital have been chronically below what any serious investor would demand. That's not wealth creation. So the product here isn't the car. The product is the STOCK PRICE. Elon Musk is selling hopium and an entire generation of investors is buying it without even knowing what a PE ratio is. I posted two pieces recently on Tesla and SpaceX. Each got over 1.5 million impressions. Thousands of hate replies but NOT ONE response with an actual argument. Not one. It was all "Libtard" and "Elon derangement syndrome." You would not get past a first-round interview at Fidelity thinking this way. But Tesla is just the opening act... SpaceX just filed for a $1.75 TRILLION IPO. $15 billion in revenue but no profit in sight. The private valuation was walked up from $200 billion to $400 billion to $800 billion to $1.75 trillion in two years. And Reuters has confirmed that SpaceX made early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 a necessary condition for listing on the exchange. Nasdaq obliged by adopting a "Fast Entry" rule in March that lets mega-cap IPOs join the index after just 15 trading days, completely exempt from the normal seasoning and liquidity requirements every other company had to meet. And this matters because over $600 billion in passive funds track the Nasdaq-100. Unlike the S&P 500, which still requires months of seasoning and stricter float thresholds, the Nasdaq-100 is now a 15-day on-ramp for trillion-dollar IPOs. Every ETF and mutual fund benchmarked to that index will be FORCED to buy SpaceX within weeks of it going public regardless of whether the valuation makes any sense. Your 401(k) is literally the exit liquidity. You don't even get a choice. The structure of the market makes you a participant whether you want to be or not. That's what makes this different from every other bubble in history... You can't opt out. And the agencies that were supposed to protect you from exactly this? They're doing NOTHING. Peter Lynch would always say the product is not the stock and the stock is not the product. Show me one Hall of Fame investor who ever made his fortune chasing hype. Lynch, Druckenmiller, Soros, Buffett, Griffin, Cohen. Not one of them managed money this way. It's only the cult on X who thinks momentum and greater fool is an investment strategy. As Buffett said, in the short run the market is a popularity contest. In the long run it's a weighing machine. This popularity contest has gone on longer than any I've witnessed in my career. But gravity always wins. And when it does, the people who forced your pension fund into a money-losing rocket company at 120x revenue will have a lot of explaining to do. This must stop. And it WILL stop. The only question is how much damage gets done first. Are you listening?

What's happening right now in our capital markets is going to DESTROY the retirement savings of millions of Americans. Anyone of good conscience needs to rise up and say enough. This must be stopped. I don't say that lightly. I've been doing this for 45 years, and what's happening right now to the integrity of our capital markets is unlike anything I have ever seen. This is not about Elon Musk or Donald Trump. This is not about whether you like rockets or hate rockets. This is about the systematic CORRUPTION of the financial system that every American depends on for their retirement. In the entirety of its existence, Tesla has generated approximately $36 billion in cumulative profit. That includes over $20 billion in government emission credits and tax subsidies. The company is valued at $1.7 trillion and its CEO is the richest man on the planet. I'm not talking about the stock price. I know the stock has made people money. That's the popularity contest. I'm talking about whether this company creates enough economic value to JUSTIFY the capital invested in it. And it doesn't. The returns on invested capital have been chronically below what any serious investor would demand. That's not wealth creation. So the product here isn't the car. The product is the STOCK PRICE. Elon Musk is selling hopium and an entire generation of investors is buying it without even knowing what a PE ratio is. I posted two pieces recently on Tesla and SpaceX. Each got over 1.5 million impressions. Thousands of hate replies but NOT ONE response with an actual argument. Not one. It was all "Libtard" and "Elon derangement syndrome." You would not get past a first-round interview at Fidelity thinking this way. But Tesla is just the opening act... SpaceX just filed for a $1.75 TRILLION IPO. $15 billion in revenue but no profit in sight. The private valuation was walked up from $200 billion to $400 billion to $800 billion to $1.75 trillion in two years. And Reuters has confirmed that SpaceX made early inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 a necessary condition for listing on the exchange. Nasdaq obliged by adopting a "Fast Entry" rule in March that lets mega-cap IPOs join the index after just 15 trading days, completely exempt from the normal seasoning and liquidity requirements every other company had to meet. And this matters because over $600 billion in passive funds track the Nasdaq-100. Unlike the S&P 500, which still requires months of seasoning and stricter float thresholds, the Nasdaq-100 is now a 15-day on-ramp for trillion-dollar IPOs. Every ETF and mutual fund benchmarked to that index will be FORCED to buy SpaceX within weeks of it going public regardless of whether the valuation makes any sense. Your 401(k) is literally the exit liquidity. You don't even get a choice. The structure of the market makes you a participant whether you want to be or not. That's what makes this different from every other bubble in history... You can't opt out. And the agencies that were supposed to protect you from exactly this? They're doing NOTHING. Peter Lynch would always say the product is not the stock and the stock is not the product. Show me one Hall of Fame investor who ever made his fortune chasing hype. Lynch, Druckenmiller, Soros, Buffett, Griffin, Cohen. Not one of them managed money this way. It's only the cult on X who thinks momentum and greater fool is an investment strategy. As Buffett said, in the short run the market is a popularity contest. In the long run it's a weighing machine. This popularity contest has gone on longer than any I've witnessed in my career. But gravity always wins. And when it does, the people who forced your pension fund into a money-losing rocket company at 120x revenue will have a lot of explaining to do. This must stop. And it WILL stop. The only question is how much damage gets done first. Are you listening?

George Noble

192,605 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

A study proved that $40 million was extracted from Polymarket in one year using a single mathematical formula I found a wallet that is using it right now on Iran war markets and made $1.4M in one week. Most people on Polymarket try to predict the future. Will there be a war. Who will win the election. What will happen next. I spent months doing the same thing. Reading news. Watching debates. Building my little models of what I thought should happen. And losing money. Not because I was wrong about events. Because I was wrong about the game itself. The game is not about predictions. And the wallet I'm about to show you is living proof. Three weeks ago I pulled the full trade history of this wallet: What I saw at first didn't make sense. He was opening the same market more than 30 times. US strikes Iran by January 11. US strikes Iran by January 12. January 13. January 14. January 15. January 16. January 17. The same event. Different dates. Over and over. First thought: this person is obsessed with Iran. Second thought: this person doesn't care about Iran at all. Here's what he's actually doing. Polymarket creates separate markets for the same event with different deadlines. Will the US strike Iran by March. By April. By June. These are not independent questions. If the strike happens in March then April and June automatically resolve to YES as well. But Polymarket prices each market separately. And the crowd prices them emotionally. Fear spikes on Tuesday night because someone tweeted something. One market jumps. The others lag behind. For a few minutes and sometimes hours prices on related markets stop converging. When you buy NO across multiple dates and the total cost is 94 cents and the guaranteed payout is $1 regardless of what happens you're not betting. You're collecting a 6% return on mathematical inevitability. That's the entire strategy. He buys dollars for 94 cents. I checked his numbers. On the Iran series alone he pulled $247,000 in realized profit across seven markets with different dates. Average purchase price of NO positions from 72 to 95 cents. Each one resolved at $1. The biggest hit was the government shutdown market. $88,000 in profit. Same logic. Buy both sides when the total cost is less than a dollar. One side pays. Math does the rest. 85% of his capital is in political markets. Wars. Elections. Geopolitics. Not because he has strong geopolitical convictions. Because political markets on Polymarket are where the math breaks most often. Why political markets specifically? Because they generate the most emotion. When CNN runs breaking news about Iran at 11 PM thousands of people rush to buy YES on the nearest date. They overbid the price. They panic. They push one market out of line with the rest. That panic is his paycheck. And now the part that actually matters. I dug deeper into how this type of arbitrage works at scale and found a study that made everything click. A team analyzed every trade on Polymarket over 12 months. They found 17,218 market conditions. 41% of them had an exploitable pricing error. And the total profit extracted by arbitrageurs was $40 million. The top single wallet made $2 million using one algorithm. The Frank-Wolfe method. I'll explain without math because the concept is simple even if the calculations aren't. Imagine you walk into a store that sells lottery tickets for 7 different drawings. Each ticket is priced separately. The store doesn't coordinate prices between drawings. You notice that if you buy a certain combination of tickets across all 7 drawings the total cost is $94 but you're guaranteed to win exactly $100 no matter which drawing hits. You don't need to predict which drawing will win. You just need to notice that the store mispriced the tickets. Here's Frank-Wolfe in one sentence. It scans thousands of related markets simultaneously and finds combinations where the total price is less than the guaranteed payout. Then it calculates the exact amounts to buy on each side to maximize the spread. The reason a human can't do this manually is scale. There are hundreds of active markets on Polymarket. Many are connected by logic. If event A happens then event B must also happen. If candidate X wins state Y then the national result shifts. The number of possible combinations grows exponentially. While you're checking 10 markets by hand the algorithm has scanned 17,000. What anoin123 does is a manual version of this. He picks one cluster of related markets like the Iran date series and runs the logic in his head. Buy NO across seven dates. Total cost less than a dollar. Wait. Collect. The automated version does the same thing but across all markets on the platform simultaneously. My personal takeaway after three weeks of studying this. I spent months trying to be smarter than the crowd. Reading polls. Watching news. Forming opinions. And the whole time there was a category of traders who had zero opinions about anything. They just waited for the crowd to misprice related markets and collected the difference. The uncomfortable realization is that prediction markets are not actually about predictions for those who make the most money. They're about math. And the math breaks every day because people trade on emotions and the platform prices markets independently of each other. I don't have the infrastructure to run Frank-Wolfe at scale. But I don't need to. Wallets like anoin123 do this in plain sight. Every trade on the blockchain. Every entry price. Every exit. Every timestamp. I stopped trying to predict events. I started watching wallets that make money regardless of what happens. The difference in my results is so stark it's uncomfortable to think about. If you want to understand the full math behind this the study is publicly available. Search for Arbitrage in Prediction Markets on arXiv. But the short version is this. Every time the crowd panics about a war or an election and pushes one market out of line with its related markets someone on the other side quietly buys dollars for 94 cents. The question is not whether they'll strike Iran. The question is whether you noticed that seven markets about the same event are priced as if they have nothing to do with each other. That gap is where the money lives.

A study proved that $40 million was extracted from Polymarket in one year using a single mathematical formula I found a wallet that is using it right now on Iran war markets and made $1.4M in one week. Most people on Polymarket try to predict the future. Will there be a war. Who will win the election. What will happen next. I spent months doing the same thing. Reading news. Watching debates. Building my little models of what I thought should happen. And losing money. Not because I was wrong about events. Because I was wrong about the game itself. The game is not about predictions. And the wallet I'm about to show you is living proof. Three weeks ago I pulled the full trade history of this wallet: What I saw at first didn't make sense. He was opening the same market more than 30 times. US strikes Iran by January 11. US strikes Iran by January 12. January 13. January 14. January 15. January 16. January 17. The same event. Different dates. Over and over. First thought: this person is obsessed with Iran. Second thought: this person doesn't care about Iran at all. Here's what he's actually doing. Polymarket creates separate markets for the same event with different deadlines. Will the US strike Iran by March. By April. By June. These are not independent questions. If the strike happens in March then April and June automatically resolve to YES as well. But Polymarket prices each market separately. And the crowd prices them emotionally. Fear spikes on Tuesday night because someone tweeted something. One market jumps. The others lag behind. For a few minutes and sometimes hours prices on related markets stop converging. When you buy NO across multiple dates and the total cost is 94 cents and the guaranteed payout is $1 regardless of what happens you're not betting. You're collecting a 6% return on mathematical inevitability. That's the entire strategy. He buys dollars for 94 cents. I checked his numbers. On the Iran series alone he pulled $247,000 in realized profit across seven markets with different dates. Average purchase price of NO positions from 72 to 95 cents. Each one resolved at $1. The biggest hit was the government shutdown market. $88,000 in profit. Same logic. Buy both sides when the total cost is less than a dollar. One side pays. Math does the rest. 85% of his capital is in political markets. Wars. Elections. Geopolitics. Not because he has strong geopolitical convictions. Because political markets on Polymarket are where the math breaks most often. Why political markets specifically? Because they generate the most emotion. When CNN runs breaking news about Iran at 11 PM thousands of people rush to buy YES on the nearest date. They overbid the price. They panic. They push one market out of line with the rest. That panic is his paycheck. And now the part that actually matters. I dug deeper into how this type of arbitrage works at scale and found a study that made everything click. A team analyzed every trade on Polymarket over 12 months. They found 17,218 market conditions. 41% of them had an exploitable pricing error. And the total profit extracted by arbitrageurs was $40 million. The top single wallet made $2 million using one algorithm. The Frank-Wolfe method. I'll explain without math because the concept is simple even if the calculations aren't. Imagine you walk into a store that sells lottery tickets for 7 different drawings. Each ticket is priced separately. The store doesn't coordinate prices between drawings. You notice that if you buy a certain combination of tickets across all 7 drawings the total cost is $94 but you're guaranteed to win exactly $100 no matter which drawing hits. You don't need to predict which drawing will win. You just need to notice that the store mispriced the tickets. Here's Frank-Wolfe in one sentence. It scans thousands of related markets simultaneously and finds combinations where the total price is less than the guaranteed payout. Then it calculates the exact amounts to buy on each side to maximize the spread. The reason a human can't do this manually is scale. There are hundreds of active markets on Polymarket. Many are connected by logic. If event A happens then event B must also happen. If candidate X wins state Y then the national result shifts. The number of possible combinations grows exponentially. While you're checking 10 markets by hand the algorithm has scanned 17,000. What anoin123 does is a manual version of this. He picks one cluster of related markets like the Iran date series and runs the logic in his head. Buy NO across seven dates. Total cost less than a dollar. Wait. Collect. The automated version does the same thing but across all markets on the platform simultaneously. My personal takeaway after three weeks of studying this. I spent months trying to be smarter than the crowd. Reading polls. Watching news. Forming opinions. And the whole time there was a category of traders who had zero opinions about anything. They just waited for the crowd to misprice related markets and collected the difference. The uncomfortable realization is that prediction markets are not actually about predictions for those who make the most money. They're about math. And the math breaks every day because people trade on emotions and the platform prices markets independently of each other. I don't have the infrastructure to run Frank-Wolfe at scale. But I don't need to. Wallets like anoin123 do this in plain sight. Every trade on the blockchain. Every entry price. Every exit. Every timestamp. I stopped trying to predict events. I started watching wallets that make money regardless of what happens. The difference in my results is so stark it's uncomfortable to think about. If you want to understand the full math behind this the study is publicly available. Search for Arbitrage in Prediction Markets on arXiv. But the short version is this. Every time the crowd panics about a war or an election and pushes one market out of line with its related markets someone on the other side quietly buys dollars for 94 cents. The question is not whether they'll strike Iran. The question is whether you noticed that seven markets about the same event are priced as if they have nothing to do with each other. That gap is where the money lives.

Blaze

31,373 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten