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A banking regulation called Basel 3 is changing how silver gets priced. It's not making headlines, but commodity pricing influences inflation, which touches everything from your grocery bill to what's sitting inside your retirement account. For decades, banks traded silver they didn't actually own. Paper IOUs with very little...

99,192 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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The New Banking Rule No One Is Talking About: Basel III Endgame 🏦⚖️ I actually liked how Asian Guy broke down Basel III Endgame, because even though this rule officially went live on January 1st, most people still have no idea how big this is, especially for silver. Here’s the part that matters 👇 Basel III Endgame forces banks to treat precious metals differently on their balance sheets. Paper games, leverage tricks, and synthetic exposure don’t cut it anymore. Physical metal matters. Risk matters. Capital requirements matter. That’s why: ▫️ Banks that were short silver for years quietly repositioned ▫️ Shorts were covered ▫️ Long positions started appearing ▫️ And physical silver began trading at higher premiums globally than what you see on COMEX This also explains why: ▫️ Other countries are selling silver above COMEX prices ▫️ Physical demand keeps draining inventories ▫️ And the paper price keeps looking “off” compared to reality Basel III Endgame didn’t cause silver to rise overnight. It removed the ability to suppress it indefinitely. We’re watching a slow-motion repricing where: ▫️ Paper silver ≠ physical silver ▫️ Balance sheets are being cleaned up ▫️ And the real value of scarce, tangible assets is being rediscovered This isn’t hype. This is plumbing-level change in the banking system. And once the market fully wakes up to that? Silver won’t be asking for permission anymore. Know What You Hold!!!!

Echo 𝕏

77,446 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

🚨 JAMIE DIMON WARNED OF THE BASEL III “ENDGAME” (DEC 2023) 🚨 This wasn’t random. Jamie Dimon knew banks were on the wrong side of precious metals, and that the paper system was not built for what’s coming. Basel III Endgame is the final phase of post-2008 banking reform. It tightens: • How banks calculate risk • How much capital they must hold • What qualifies as “high-quality” capital Physical gold is now Tier 1, but only if it’s REAL. Allocated. Delivered. Specific bars. In a vault. No counterparty risk. Paper promises don’t qualify anymore. Why this matters beyond gold 👇 Precious and base metals all run through the same: • Bullion banks • Derivative infrastructure • Rehypothecation model When physical delivery demand rises in one metal, stress spreads to all of them. Silver is the weakest link: • Extremely thin physical market • Heavily shorted via derivatives • Historically suppressed • High paper-to-physical ratios COMEX and LBMA are built on paper. Unallocated metal trades 100x+ larger than physical supply. They are not designed for sustained delivery demand. What stress looks like: • Backwardation • Delivery delays • Premium spikes on physical bars • Contract roll failures There is a real risk of delivery stress in silver this month and into March. Basel III Endgame doesn’t “end manipulation” overnight, it removes the leverage that made it possible. Paper only works when confidence does. That confidence is being tested.

Echo 𝕏

14,923 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

George Noble

447,963 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

THE SILVER LIQUIDITY TRAP IS SNAPPING SHUT 🚨 The paper silver market is collapsing into a 15-year void. Tonight, we witness history. 🕵️‍♂️ THE PLAYERS: COMEX Shorts, Rafi Farber, and The Physical Stacker. THE PATTERN 🔥 Open interest in silver futures is crashing toward 100,000 contracts. This is rare air—a level of participation we haven't seen since the 2009 financial crisis recovery. The massive "Paper Flood" that usually suppresses price is evaporating. We are entering a structural vacuum where the fake supply can no longer satisfy real demand. THE EVIDENCE 📊 While the price sits suppressed, the underlying leverage is unwinding. Low open interest at these extremes suggests that speculative "tourist" money has fled, leaving the metal in stronger hands. We are seeing a historic divergence: paper claims are disappearing while physical supply dynamics tighten to the breaking point. The age of infinite rehypothecation is hitting a wall. THE COVERUP 🛡️ They have used leveraged paper bets to create a mirage of silver abundance for decades. But look at the precedent: when Jupiter aligns with Mars, the paper market breaks. We saw it in 2009. The manipulation narrative relies on high open interest to churn the price. Without it, the "Paper-to-Physical" ratio becomes a ticking time bomb for anyone short the real metal. THE CLIMAX 📅 Tonight. The break below 100k contracts signals the dawning of a new silver cycle. 1. RETWEET if you hold real metal. 2. REPLY with your silver price target for 2026. 3. TAG a stacker who needs to see this chart. Rafi Farber #SilverSqueeze #COMEX #PreciousMetals Entertainment purposes only • DYOR

Eronima

50,917 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

THE BANKS' LAST STAND IN SILVER IS FAILING For years, institutional short positions have been the primary weapon to suppress the silver price. That mechanism is now breaking. 🏦They Are Deeply Short & Underwater Major banks are reportedly "knee-deep" in silver shorts. Every sustained move above ~$50/oz causes massive losses on these positions. The recent explosive move to ~$59/oz has likely triggered significant pain. 🔄 The Power Shift is Real Manipulation requires control of the physical inventory. That control has been lost: ➡️ China is seeing the largest weekly inflows to the Shanghai Exchange in 1.5 years. ➡️ India is importing record amounts (~1,600T in November). The East is draining available physical supply, leaving Western paper markets exposed. 📊The Official Outlook Admits the Problem Even major banks like UBS are now vocal about the 300 million ounce physical deficit. They are turning bullish, recommending long positions. This is a seismic shift from their historical role. ⛏️ The Mining Stock Disconnect Silver miners have not kept pace with the metal's rise. This divergence represents a major opportunity. When institutional capital realizes the record profits these companies will generate, the re-rating will be explosive. 📈 The Bottom Line: This is the squeeze we've been waiting for. The physical shortage is real, the paper market is failing, and the banking system is exposed. The run has just begun—and the miners are next. #Silver #SilverSqueeze #MarketManipulation #Banks #CME #Commodities #Trading $SLV

Mark

84,710 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

SILVER MINERS REVOLT: KEITH NEUMEYER DEMANDS NEW PRICING SYSTEM TO ESCAPE BANK MANIPULATION Keith Neumeyer, CEO of First Majestic Silver, just delivered a bold message at the Rick Rule Symposium. He exposed how banks manipulate silver prices through paper markets and called on miners to break free by building their own pricing system. This idea could reshape the entire silver industry for years to come. THE RIGGED GAME ➡️ Keith Neumeyer calls the current silver pricing system a complete scam controlled by banks through the COMEX and LBMA. ➡️ First Majestic and other miners produce real physical silver but have no say in setting its price unlike almost every other industry on earth. ➡️ Banks closely track future mine production and use that knowledge to hedge positions and keep prices artificially low. THE BOLD SOLUTION ➡️ Keith Neumeyer is urging silver mining CEOs to come together and create their own independent pricing mechanism immediately. ➡️ The industry must stop relying on the bank-run system that has suppressed silver prices for far too long. ➡️ A new producer-led system would finally align prices with actual physical supply and surging global demand. THE PHYSICAL TRUTH ➡️ Explosive physical demand for silver continues to grow from electronics, solar panels, electric vehicles and everyday household appliances. ➡️ Worldwide silver mine production has remained flat at around 860 million ounces per year for a decade. ➡️ At the same time consumption has risen sharply to 1.3 billion ounces annually creating a massive and growing deficit. THE BOTTOM LINE Keith Neumeyer has thrown down the gauntlet. Silver miners have the power to end the manipulation if they act together. The future of fair silver pricing starts with their decision to lead. This is the sound of an industry finally waking up to its own strength. HT: YouTube ITM TRADING, INC. #SilverMinersRevolt #NewSilverSystem #KeithNeumeyer #FirstMajestic #BreakBankControl #PhysicalSilverDemand #TripleDigitSilver

Mark

113,857 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

SHANGHAI GOES DARK — PAPER PIRATES ABOUT TO RAID YOUR METALS 🚨 The world's biggest physical gold & silver exchange is shutting down for 9 days and Wall Street vultures are already circling. 🕵️‍♂️ THE PLAYERS: - Subject: Shanghai Metals Exchange Chinese New Year Closure - The Victims: Every retail stacker holding paper contracts - The Villains: COMEX & London paper traders ready to manipulate WITHOUT physical accountability THE CRIME 🔥 February 15-23: Shanghai CLOSES. That's 9 straight days with NO physical price anchor from the world's largest real metals buyer. The West's paper casinos lose their referee. History doesn't lie — every time Shanghai goes dark, the COMEX magicians slam prices with naked shorts and phantom supply. They flood the zone with paper contracts backed by NOTHING while retail traders panic-sell real metal at fake discounts. THE EVIDENCE 📊 - Shanghai processes MORE physical gold than the entire Western hemisphere combined - Past holiday closures saw 8-12% artificial dips followed by EXPLOSIVE rebounds when Asian buyers returned - Central banks added 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024 — they're not stupid - Inflation still running hot despite Fed propaganda - Your paper contract can't stop a bank run THE SETUP 🛡️ This isn't just another dip. Global debt spiraling. Currency wars heating up. BRICS nations ditching the dollar. Smart money is ALREADY positioned. When Asia comes back online Feb 24th, that pent-up physical demand is going to hit these suppressed prices like a freight train. THE WINDOW 📅 Manipulation zone: February 15-23, 2025 Prime stacking opportunity: RIGHT NOW through the smackdown Revenge of physical demand: February 24+ when Shanghai reopens YOUR MOVE: 1. Retweet if you're DONE watching paper traders steal your purchasing power 2. Reply with "PHYSICAL ONLY" if you hold real metal not promises 3. Tag someone who's still playing their rigged casino game Shoutout to @LibertyAndFin for exposing this pattern — they've been tracking this playbook for years. They want you scared. They want you selling physical for their worthless paper. Don't give them the satisfaction. #Silver #Gold #ShanghaiBullion Entertainment purposes only • DYOR

Eronima

66,599 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten