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A brilliant analysis by Chamath Palihapitiya on future value creation opportunities based on generative AI: “Most of the money made off the invention of refrigeration wasn't by the makers, but companies like Coke. If AI/LLMs are refrigeration, who is next Coca-Cola?”

1,124,295 views • 2 years ago •via X (Twitter)

10 Comments

Vala Afshar's profile picture
Vala Afshar2 years ago

Coca-Cola is one of the most popular drinks on any menu and is also one of the oldest drinks. Lexington Candy Shop is a 97-year-old diner on the upper east side of New York City that still makes their Coke the old-fashioned way.

Ric Levin's profile picture
Ric Levin2 years ago

@chamath Chamath lost me years ago as a disingenuous, self-interested dude masquerading as a benefactor of the little guy. I would never play in that guy‘s pen.

John Neil Conkle's profile picture
John Neil Conkle2 years ago

@chamath focus on the gray band there’s the long leg: finding the next Coca-Cola? also there’s a short leg: late 19th century ice trade was a ~$600m biz, inflation adjusted, in US alone 1/2

Arny Trezzi's profile picture
Arny Trezzi2 years ago

@chamath $PLTR since it let clients drink LLMs to drive their happiness

Priyank's profile picture
Priyank2 years ago

@chamath Not Really ! He is wrong more than right all the time. LLMs are synonyms to Mac ,Windows, or Android, IOS. Coke is like an app on these operating systems. Now do you think Microsoft and Apple are making less money than app providers ?

TSLATALK's profile picture
TSLATALK2 years ago

@all_in_tok @chamath What about the companies making the robots that get you the Coca Cola from the fridge? @chamath

Human | Michael Rush's profile picture
Human | Michael Rush2 years ago

Yes and this is because consumers don't care at all about what something is built on or how or why. They care about what it does for them. Every company is a tech company and every company is B2P(people) Biz twitter is obnoxious with the obsession of categorization and assigning value to the wrong place. It's all mouse traps all the way through in consumerism.

OCShree's profile picture
OCShree2 years ago

@chamath The secret sauce will be the company that is able to tweak the base model to create unique insights. Google with their search history and ad models, Meta and X with their social media and user data and Microsoft with their business content. Will be fascinating!

Nunzio Presta's profile picture
Nunzio Presta2 years ago

@chamath 💯 First millionaires of the Gold Rush were not the diggers but those who sold them shovels and picks.

Onward and Upward's profile picture
Onward and Upward2 years ago

@chamath Coca Cola doesn’t *require* refrigeration. But ok

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Chamath Palihapitiya on why the trillion-dollar AI opportunity is being ignored: "The people and the person that invented refrigeration made some money, but most of the money was made by Coca-Cola who used refrigeration to build an empire." Most people are competing for the wrong prize entirely. "The Coca-Cola has yet to be built. And those are the companies that are really going to monetize it." But to understand why, you need to grasp one fundamental truth about how machine learning actually works: "If you take 1,000 of the same inputs and give it to Facebook and Microsoft and Google and Amazon, they'll all come up with the same machine learning model." Think about what that means. The most well-resourced companies on the planet, with billions in compute, armies of researchers, and decades of engineering talent, are all arriving at the same destination. The model race is a race to a tie. So where does the real value get created? One extra ingredient. "If you have one extra thing, one little ingredient that all of those other companies don't have, your output can be markedly different. It's like giving two great chefs the same ingredients, but one has an extra one. That person has the ability to do something very special." The trillion-dollar opportunity belongs to whoever finds the one ingredient nobody else has and builds the Coca-Cola on top of it. Everyone is staring at the refrigerator. Nobody is building the Coca-Cola. That's exactly where the opportunity is.

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