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A codebreaker made $31 billion. he returned 66% a year for thirty years. Buffett averaged 20%. Soros averaged 30%. nobody came close. he gave one lecture about it at MIT. Wall Street has spent forty years trying to reverse-engineer what he said. he didn't hire traders. not one MBA....

17,622 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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One man turned $20 million into $14 billion in thirteen years. he retired at 46. then he walked into the National Press Club and explained the entire method to a room of journalists. for free. the fund industry has spent thirty years pretending nobody recorded it. his name is Peter Lynch. he ran Fidelity's Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990. 29% a year. every year. when he started, the fund had $20 million. when he left, it was the largest mutual fund on earth. over a million shareholders. then he quit, walked away from billions in fees, and never managed outside money again. the first thing he says is the one rule Wall Street will never teach you. if you cannot explain to a ten-year-old in two minutes why you own a stock, you should not own it. he says 80% of people who own stocks cannot do this. then he explains why the number has not changed in thirty years. he did not use algorithms. he did not use quant models. he found stocks at the mall. at the grocery store. in his own neighborhood. he made more money on Dunkin' Donuts than on any sophisticated trade. the most boring companies with the simplest products, bought by a man who actually used them. the part nobody repeats: he says individual investors have a structural advantage over every institution on Wall Street. the funds are forced to follow rules that you are not. when they panic-sell, you benefit. when they cannot hold a small position, you can. he said this to a room full of financial journalists. not one of them ran the story. your financial advisor charges 1% of everything you own every year to underperform a method a retired fund manager gave away in one hour. there are 5,000 mutual funds competing for your money. the man who beat all of them told you exactly how. thirty years ago. the lecture is 61 minutes. it has been free since 1994. the people charging you to invest are hoping you never find it.

Tigerflow

262,036 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

A hedge fund returned 50% a year for ten years straight. In 2005 the man who ran it sat on a desk at Columbia and taught the entire method to 30 students for free. No bank, no fund, no business school has ever promoted the recording. His name is Joel Greenblatt. He ran Gotham Capital from 1985 to 1994. Almost nobody sustains 50% annually for a single year. He did it for ten. Then in 1995 he returned all outside capital, kept running his own money, and walked into a classroom. The first lecture is about corners of the market where the usual buyers are structurally forced to sell regardless of price. Spinoffs, restructurings, situations where an index fund must dump a stock the day it leaves the index. He does not teach a screener or a formula. He teaches why these corners exist at all, and why they keep existing after everybody knows about them. The uncomfortable part is what he says about diversification. He held very few positions. It runs directly against everything the business school teaches two floors down. Columbia charges $80K a year in tuition. The man upstairs gave away the method for free. Every screener is free now. Every filing is searchable. The constraint was never information. It was knowing which information to ignore. Filmed from the back row, audio uneven, students blocking the frame. He gave away 50% a year to a room of 30 people. Almost nobody traded on it. One classroom. One camera. The full lecture is free. It is in the video.

Tigerflow

1,328,372 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

A billionaire who predicted the 2008 crash sat in a room in New York and said America could go broke. for free. the finance industry has spent the last year pretending he didn't say it. his name is Ray Dalio. he built the largest hedge fund in history. $150 billion under management. in 2008 while every bank on Wall Street collapsed, his fund made $14 billion. last year he sat across from another billionaire and explained exactly how countries go broke. step by step. he says it follows the same pattern every time. debt grows faster than income. the government prints money to cover it. the currency weakens. wealth gaps explode. internal conflict rises. then an external rival shows up and the cycle resets. every empire. every century. same sequence. the part nobody wants to hear: he maps each stage to the United States today. where we sit on the curve. which indicators have already crossed. he does not say it might happen. he says the data shows it is happening. MBA programs charge $200,000 to teach macroeconomics. two billionaires sat in a room for 51 minutes and gave the entire framework away. for free. the people managing your money are hoping you never press play. two billionaires. one room. 51 minutes. he explained why countries go broke and pointed at America. the conversation is free. it is in this post. I've been finding what the finance industry buries. next one is already done. follow or keep finding out late.

Tigerflow

15,707 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

One billionaire. One whiteboard. Forty-two minutes. Three lines. And Wall Street spent the next decade pretending this video didn't exist. He didn't sell a course. He didn't plug a fund. He had no sponsor. He walked on stage, picked up a marker, and in half an hour explained why every crash since 1929 happened exactly when it did, and why the next one is already visible if you know where to look. Harvard MBA charges $220,000 to teach half of what he covered in the first 15 minutes. Six of the models he drew on that board are still classified as proprietary inside Goldman, JP Morgan and Bridgewater. Analysts at those banks sign NDAs on those exact models. He put them on YouTube for free. The part nobody says out loud: two years before 2020, he drew on that same whiteboard exactly what happened. Rates at zero. The Fed running out of tools. The money printer. Deflation drowned in inflation until you get hyperinflation. He drew it in 2018 like he was reading tomorrow's newspaper. A partner at a top-three fund told me over whiskey, one line: "every new analyst on my desk watches this video on day one. Not CFA. Not the Bloomberg training. This." Nobody pays him to recommend it. He just knows that without those 42 minutes, a person doesn't see the market, they see charts. Forty million views. Of them, at least 39.9 million people still cannot name the three forces he draws in the first ten minutes. Those three forces explain everything. Every crisis. Every bull run. Every Fed move. Every bitcoin cycle. Every tech crash. The video has been sitting in the open for 12 years. It is still free. And it is still the one thing no MBA will ever put on the curriculum. Because if they did, the MBA would lose its point.

Isa

95,246 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

CEO of a trillion-dollar company sat in a Stanford classroom in 2011 and explained exactly how he built it. No PR team, no prepared remarks, no investors in the room. No business school has ever added the recording to a syllabus. His name is Jensen Huang. He co-founded NVIDIA in 1993 with $40,000. By 2011 the company was worth $9 billion. Today it is worth over $3 trillion. He walked into the Stanford ASES Summit and gave away the entire playbook to a room of fifty students for free. The lecture is about when to bet everything on one technology before the market knows it exists. He did it with GPUs. Then with CUDA. Then with AI infrastructure. Three bets, same logic, same company, three different industries. The uncomfortable part is what he says about risk. He almost went bankrupt twice. What he did both times is the opposite of what every MBA program teaches. Business schools charge $200K in tuition to teach frameworks he rejected before his company was worth a billion. Every founder podcast repeats the same five lessons. Almost none of them mention what Huang actually did when the company was ninety days from dying. That part is in the lecture. It has been free for fifteen years. Filmed by a student with a handheld camera. Audio cuts in and out. He gave away the playbook of the most valuable company on Earth to fifty people. Almost nobody watched it. One classroom. One camera. The full lecture is free. It is in the video.

Tigerflow

74,298 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

In 1988, Jim Simons flew to Berkeley to beg a math professor to fix his hedge fund. The professor had never traded a stock. He had spent his career on coding theory and mathematical board games. He agreed to help on the condition he could leave when he wanted. He delivered 55 percent net in his full year running it. Then he handed the whole thing back and went home to teach undergraduates. His name was Elwyn Berlekamp. He is one of two people who ever ran what would become the most profitable trading operation in history. Simons was the other one. MIT math PhD, 1964. Berlekamp wrote foundational papers in coding theory that still run every CD, DVD, satellite link, and QR code on Earth. The Berlekamp-Massey algorithm, published 1968, is why every scratched CD you owned still played through to the end. He also co-wrote "Winning Ways for Your Mathematical Plays" with John Conway and Richard Guy. Four volumes. It became the foundational text of combinatorial game theory. Berlekamp thought about board games the way most mathematicians think about theorems. He proved endgame results in Go that professional masters had assumed were unprovable. His 1994 book "Mathematical Go" reduced the last moves of a Go game to a formula. Top-ranked professionals started studying it. Simons had a problem in the late 1980s. His trading partnership was falling apart. The fund was losing money. He flew west to see the game theorist. Berlekamp bought a controlling stake, cut what was not working, and rebuilt the trading logic from combinatorial game theory principles. The fund returned 55 percent net after fees in his full year running it. In December 1990, Berlekamp sold his stake back to Simons and walked out. He wanted to go back to Berkeley. In interviews he said the same thing many times, in different words: Berkeley was where he belonged. Simons kept building on the system Berlekamp rebuilt. It became the Medallion Fund. Over the next 30 years, Medallion compounded at roughly 66 percent gross per year. It is the most profitable trading strategy in the history of finance. Berlekamp took his cut in 1990 and never went back. He spent the rest of his life at UC Berkeley. He gave a lecture called "Mathematics and Go" that is on YouTube. He died in 2019, aged 78. The paradox is not that Berlekamp made a fortune. It is that he had the door to the biggest fortune in trading history held open for him and walked out. The math was fun. The billions were not.

Veles

73,226 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Paul Tudor Jones predicted the 1987 crash and made $100 million shorting Black Monday. He is 71 years old and still trading. He just gave a new interview where he names the two things that will trigger the next 1987-scale event. Most traders are watching neither. Tudor Investment Corp, the fund he founded in 1980, has compounded at roughly 19 percent a year for 45 years. He is one of the four or five people alive who have done that continuously. The interview is with Patrick O'Shaughnessy. Jones's two warnings: One, the U.S. debt bubble. The government is running fiscal deficits at a pace historically reserved for wartime. He has seen bubbles before. He has never seen a debt structure that could not be reversed by a rate cut. This one, he says, is not reversible without pain that voters will not accept. It ends the same way every debt bubble in history has ended. Not this year. Not next. But it ends. Two, unregulated AI. He has been early on every major macro move for 45 years, and he says he has never been more concerned about a single technology in his career. He is not worried about AI taking jobs. He is worried about AI making mistakes at speeds no human can supervise. He has publicly called for regulation because he believes the alternative is a market event that makes 1987 look modest. His trading rule has not changed in five decades: "The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense." He does not try to be right. He tries not to lose. He sets stops tight. He cuts positions fast. He never averages down on a loser. His return record is not built on being clever. It is built on refusing to be dead. He also spent much of the interview talking about the Robin Hood Foundation, which he co-founded in 1988 to reduce poverty in New York. His advice for the next generation was to find significance outside of money. The last words of the interview are: kill them with kindness. A man who has shorted markets for 45 years ends every conversation with an argument for kindness. That contrast is the whole post. Greatness in markets is not a talent. It is a refusal. Refusal to be reckless. Refusal to be certain. Refusal to be indifferent. Tudor Jones has refused all three for half a century. The interview is free. The warnings are specific. Most people will scroll past both

Veles

91,408 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

A billionaire trader has spent 40 years trying to delete a one-hour documentary. It shows him making $100 million in a single afternoon. He predicted the crash that made it possible three months in advance. He has never explained why he wants the film gone. His name is Paul Tudor Jones. The film is on YouTube. The documentary is called "Trader." PBS filmed it in 1987, three months before Black Monday. Jones was 32 years old, working from a small New York office, wearing shorts and a t-shirt, yelling at his phones, throwing paper across the room, and sleeping under his desk. The film captures him and his research partner Peter Borish overlaying a chart of the 1929 market on 1987, month by month. The two charts tracked within one percent. Borish said this is exactly what happened in 1929. Jones said if the analog holds, October is when it breaks. On October 19, 1987, the Dow fell 22.6 percent in a single day. It remains the largest one-day percentage loss in stock market history. That afternoon, Tudor Jones covered his shorts and made roughly $100 million. He was 33 years old. He was one of the very few traders on the street who came out ahead. He tried to bury the tape because it made him look reckless in a professional world that punished swagger. Twenty years of legal effort did not delete it. Someone kept a copy. It is on YouTube. It has fewer views than most makeup tutorials. The film is not really about a crash. It is about a specific philosophy of trading. Jones is shown building conviction slowly, sizing carefully, then striking hard when the setup arrives. He is never once shown making a random bet. He is shown doing the same thing five times a day, every day, for three months. His signature line, repeated across a 45-year career: "The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense." He does not try to be right. He tries not to lose. He sets stops tight, cuts positions fast, and never averages down on a loser. Every trade in the film follows this template. Tudor Investment Corp, the fund he founded in 1980, has compounded at roughly 19 percent a year for 45 years. He is 71 years old and still trading. His method has not changed since the film. The lesson: greatness in markets is a refusal, not a talent. Refusal to be reckless. Refusal to be certain. Refusal to average down. Refusal to trust yourself in a drawdown. Tudor Jones has refused those refusals for 45 years. The tape is free. The philosophy is repeated in every trade. Most traders will never watch it.

Veles

3,649,467 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

A man who has made 19% a year for forty-five years spent most of them telling people Warren Buffett was just lucky. Then he listened to a podcast and apologised on air. "Wow, this guy is a genius, and I've been the biggest fool all along." That is Paul Tudor Jones. His original argument was never stupid, which is the part worth staying for. Buffett, he thought, was in the right place at the right time, riding the longest bull market in history. Put the same man in Japan starting in 1989 and see how well the genius holds up. It is a real objection. The Nikkei peaked in December 1989 and did not get back there until February 2024. Thirty-four years underwater. Buy and hold would have ruined you. He changed his mind anyway. He now calls Buffett the OG of compound interest, and then he says the line that should stop you. "He understood the power of compound interest at age nine, while I brilliantly avoided it throughout my entire career." That is not a man who failed at anything. So what exactly did he avoid? Selling. Run the same 19% two ways. Hold everything and pay capital gains once at the end, and forty years turns a dollar into 842. Realise your gains every year and pay tax as you go, and the same 19% turns a dollar into 287. Identical returns. Roughly three times the money, purely from not touching it. That is the price of being right often instead of being right once and then waiting. And here is what makes this honest rather than a lecture. Jones knows all of it now and still cannot do it. He says plainly he could not sit through a 50% drawdown, that his own wiring will not permit it. He wondered aloud why he couldn't just believe in America and ride it out. He can't. Fifty years of reflexes do not get argued away by arithmetic. So the lesson is not to go and be Buffett. It is to work out which one you actually are before the market tells you, because the two strategies are not interchangeable and neither are the people who run them. He is 71. He apologised to a man he had doubted for decades, and then admitted he would probably do it the same way again.

Veles

48,073 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

A 27 year old with no government job stole $4.5 BILLION from an entire country and used it to fund the Wolf of Wall Street. He is still free. > Jho Low graduated from the University of Pennsylvania in 2005 > Within four years he had talked his way onto the board of a Malaysian government sovereign wealth fund called 1MDB > He had no official position. No formal title. Just access. > Between 2009 and 2015 he moved over $4.5 billion through offshore shell companies across 8 countries > He used Goldman Sachs to raise $6.5 billion in bonds for the fund. Goldman earned $600 million in fees. Billions went missing. > Then came the spending > He paid Britney Spears $1 million to pop out of a birthday cake at his New Year's Eve party in Vegas > He rented an entire Las Vegas resort for a single weekend > He hired Jamie Foxx to perform privately at his parties > Leonardo DiCaprio thanked him by name at the Golden Globes in 2014 > The Wolf of Wall Street was financed with money stolen from Malaysian taxpayers > He bought a $120 million superyacht, a $35 million private jet and a Paris apartment full of Monet and Warhol paintings > In 2015 a journalist exposed the scheme > $700 million had landed directly in the Malaysian Prime Minister's personal bank account > Goldman Sachs paid $2.9 billion in fines > The Prime Minister was convicted and sentenced to 12 years in prison > Jho Low vanished > Interpol has been hunting him since 2016 > He is believed to be living under a new identity in China > He has never been arrested. He has never appeared in court. The man who stole $4.5 billion from an entire country is somewhere in China right now watching the world look for him.

Jeremy

86,050 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад