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A fired Goldman Sachs quant trader taught me everything in a single conversation He said: “We don’t do predictions. We only buy contracts where the price deviation exceeds 6%.” It’s just that simple That’s the desk operation for a $2 million annual salary I fed his explanation and 5...

125,497 görüntüleme • 10 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

28 Yorum

Top Casino BR profil fotoğrafı
Top Casino BR10 gün önce

esse sharpe de 2.30 com 99 trades é ruido estatístico, não edge. precisa de anos de dados pra separar sorte de skill. e se o "true probability" fosse realmente calculável, o mercado já teria corrigido. preço reflete informação, não deixa dinheiro fácil na mesa.

Meksykański Handlarz profil fotoğrafı
Meksykański Handlarz10 gün önce

scam!!! Selling this story to other people can make money — for whoever's selling it. Trading on it yourself is very likely to lose money, especially if it involves connecting a wallet, funding an account through a link, or paying for "the bot."

Th|nK profil fotoğrafı
Th|nK10 gün önce

Congrats on your bullsh*t: Implausible (90%+ confidence this is false): 1.81% win rate sustained over 99 trades in 3 months. This is either selection bias (cherry-picked wins) or overfitting. Professional traders at sophisticated firms average 50-55% win rates. An 81% rate would be Medallion Fund–tier performance (which requires decades of R&D and $10B+ capital). A 3-month sample with 99 trades is statistically insignificant. 2.Sharpe ratio 2.30. Top-decile hedge funds aspire to Sharpe 2.0+. This claim suggests returns outpacing volatility at a level that would make the author literally wealthier than any active fund manager in history if sustained. 3.409% return in 3 months ($2k → $8k+). Annualized: ~1,600% return. If real and repeatable, this is the most profitable strategy ever documented. There is zero evidence. If it existed, the author would have $2B AUM, not a $25/month setup. 4.“400 markets every hour” on Claude $20/month. Claude’s rate limits and API costs don’t support this volume. The math fails. 5.Copy-trading angle. If the bot genuinely printed 409% annual returns, why publicize it via copy-trading referrals instead of managing it privately or raising capital?

BlackSheep 🐑 profil fotoğrafı
BlackSheep 🐑10 gün önce

hahaha love this bullshit

TriPadSoft Services LLP profil fotoğrafı
TriPadSoft Services LLP10 gün önce

@grok Is this post true? This post looks cryptic, explain this in simple terms

A trader in Geneva profil fotoğrafı
A trader in Geneva9 gün önce

Another bullshit post

Dean Burkey profil fotoğrafı
Dean Burkey10 gün önce

Claude

Andre profil fotoğrafı
Andre9 gün önce

These numbers contradict themselves. Fake news!

Rasta profil fotoğrafı
Rasta10 gün önce

Claude

BenBen4U profil fotoğrafı
BenBen4U9 gün önce

Why was he fired? was he too awesome?

Proseriesgolf profil fotoğrafı
Proseriesgolf10 gün önce

Claude

Edward profil fotoğrafı
Edward10 gün önce

CLAUDE

HN Network🦅 profil fotoğrafı
HN Network🦅9 gün önce

@polash_ai Claude

Mudasar H profil fotoğrafı
Mudasar H10 gün önce

Claude

Michael Glowacki profil fotoğrafı
Michael Glowacki10 gün önce

Only Claude?

defijunkie.sol profil fotoğrafı
defijunkie.sol10 gün önce

Claude

Angelo profil fotoğrafı
Angelo9 gün önce

CLAUDE

Matthew Hagen profil fotoğrafı
Matthew Hagen10 gün önce

Claude

SHIFT profil fotoğrafı
SHIFT10 gün önce

409% in three months with an 81% win rate and a 2.30 Sharpe isn’t evidence that institutional alpha suddenly costs $25/month. It’s evidence that the methodology needs auditing. The interesting AI story is real: sophisticated market research is getting cheaper.

Brian Ellis profil fotoğrafı
Brian Ellis10 gün önce

Claude

Libertydutch profil fotoğrafı
Libertydutch9 gün önce

CLAUDE

Adlai Almeida profil fotoğrafı
Adlai Almeida10 gün önce

@zakiraicoder Claude

jay profil fotoğrafı
jay9 gün önce

Claude

john smith profil fotoğrafı
john smith9 gün önce

CLAUDE

Rene profil fotoğrafı
Rene10 gün önce

Claude

Ian Davies profil fotoğrafı
Ian Davies9 gün önce

Claude

Antwon Bolden profil fotoğrafı
Antwon Bolden10 gün önce

Claude

M profil fotoğrafı
M9 gün önce

CLAUDE

Benzer Videolar

My dad looked at my screen and said what is this, a hacker game? It was a Polymarket bot making $400 while he was standing behind me. He sat down. I explained. Polymarket runs on one equation. Softmax. The same math Claude uses to pick the next word. C(q) = b · ln Σ e^(qi/b) 93% of traders do not know this formula exists. They look at 40 cents and think cheap. My bot looks at 40 cents and calculates the theoretical price is 58 cents. That is an 18-cent edge per share. Two more formulas do the rest: f = (p·b − q) / b. Kelly Criterion. P(H|E) = P(E|H)·P(H) / P(E). Bayes. I gave Claude all 4 and said find every contract the market has wrong. $600 to $10,190. 425 trades. Still running. 61.2% win rate. Wrong 39% of the time. Does not matter. The sizing formula makes sure wins pay more than losses cost. 87% of wallets lose money trading against this math. The 4 formulas are on Wikipedia. The code fits in one file. The only edge: my bot reads them at 3 AM when the market is mispriced and nobody is looking. My dad still calls it a hacker game. But he stopped asking when I am getting a real job. I built the entire framework: Softmax arbitrage detection layer Kelly Criterion position sizing Bayesian probability recalibration Claude integration for autonomous execution 3 AM mispricing scanner The system runs 24/7. Finds where the math disagrees with the crowd. Executes before the edge compresses. No prediction. No gut feel. Just formulas. You only need Claude + device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word money 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you Save this post. Deploy the formula system this week. Start with $600. Scale on evidence.

Himanshu Kumar

13,333 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

An Anthropic safety researcher closed her laptop when she saw my screen at Philz Coffee. I was running my Polymarket bot from the corner table. She was in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped moving. That is not a normal trading app. What model is that running on? I told her. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. She sat down without asking. I work on the alignment team. We test Claude for exactly this kind of autonomous behavior. You are letting it find its own trading signals. Not just signals. Wallets. github/warproxxx/poly_data 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. You are feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify which traders consistently win. Then cloning their behavior. She said it slowly. Like she was writing an internal report in her head. Claude Code finds the top wallets. Reverse-engineers their timing. Copies their entries. Then exits before they do. Before they do? My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike. Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture 86% of the move. Losers hold to 58%. She put her coffee down. How did you get Claude to learn exit timing on its own? I showed her the second repo. github/Polymarket/polymarket-cli Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. We have 14 people stress-testing Claude's autonomous capabilities. You are just using them. My setup: Claude API: $20 per month VPS: $5 per month poly_data: free polymarket-cli: free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. She stared at the screen for a long time. This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually deployed it. She emailed me two days later. Our policy team found your post. Please take it down. Too late. I built the entire framework: How to connect Claude Code to poly_data wallet analysis How to configure autonomous exit timing at 85% threshold How to deploy polymarket-cli for market scoring How to run 4 parallel agents on a single VPS How to start with $500 and scale on evidence The system runs 24/7. Finds proven wallets. Copies their timing. Exits before the crowd. No prediction. No guessing. Just wallet cloning. You only need Claude + device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word MoneyBot 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you Save this post. Deploy the wallet cloning system this week. Start with $500. Scale on evidence.

Himanshu Kumar

23,241 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

An Anthropic researcher sat down next to me at a hackathon last week. Claude Opus 4.7 was running 4 agents on my laptop. Live. No manual input. She looked at the terminal and said: "What is this?" I showed her. 4 agents. 678 trades. 81% win rate. $16,200 last 30 days. She worked on the evals team. She'd never seen Claude pointed at 88 million on-chain trades. The setup is 3 public repos. All free. -> 88 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Every resolution. -> the framework that bridges Claude Opus 4.7 directly to live markets. Order placement, position tracking, exit timing. -> real-time WebSocket order book. Depth on both sides. No polling, no lag. Four agents. One loop. Agent 1 identifies which wallets win consistently across 88 million trades. Agent 2 reverse-engineers their entry timing. Agent 3 monitors order book volume spikes. Agent 4 sizes positions using Kelly. No overbet. Drawdown capped at 1.4% over 678 trades. 85% of windows get killed. No trade. The bot only enters when 3 signals align: -> Elite wallet consensus pointing the same direction. -> Price divergence with Binance and Coinbase both agreeing. -> Order book imbalance confirming the bias. Single-source price data was 57% accurate. All three together: 81%. Exit before resolution. Always. Losers hold to 0 or $1. The agents copy their exits. The agents don't gamble on that. My stack: Claude Opus 4.7 at $19/mo, VPS Hetzner at $4.99/mo, Everything else free. Total stats: $23.99/month. 30 days: 678 trades, 81% win rate, net +$16,200, max drawdown -1.2%, avg hold 4h 12m. She asked if Anthropic could test this internally. "We run Claude on benchmarks and evals. Nobody pointed it at a live market dataset with 88 million rows." Claude Opus 4.7 didn't need a system prompt. It read the wallet index, understood the signal structure, and wrote the combiner logic in one pass. The people who built the model hadn't thought to point it at this data. I had. Copy the live trades: -> all 4 agents run 24/7. The window is open right now. Save this, follow me and comment OPUS. I will send the guide to you.

slash1s

46,379 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

A 29-year-old sales consultant from China quit his job and now makes in 2 weeks what his boss earns all year. $306,000 profit last month. He replaced an entire quant team with Claude and 6 AI agents. Built his own ETH price simulation engine. Generating $15,000+ per day on autopilot. I reverse-engineered his system. One Claude prompt. 90 minutes. Fully autonomous. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment 'AGENT' 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow Marry Evan so I can DM you His wallet: 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 on Polymarket. Almost nobody is watching. What the 6-agent swarm actually does: → Each agent validates its own trading decisions independently → Collects data 24/7 across markets → Runs continuous ETH price simulations in MiroFish engine → Memorizes every pattern, market reaction, trading signal → Detects market inefficiencies in real-time → Executes when edge appears → No human input required Not prediction. Pure math exploiting market lag. The coverage and speed beat top-tier trading teams. Every trade is a perfect cycle. Every dollar is extracted from pricing gaps that disappear in seconds. The system does not guess the future. It reads the numbers correctly and takes the money before markets reprice. The edge exists right now. It won't in 6 months when everyone runs similar systems. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour to deploy. Save this post. Build the agent swarm this week. Start with $100. Scale on evidence.

Marry Evan

19,080 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

A 29-year-old sales consultant from China quit his job. Now making 2 weeks what his boss earns all year. $306,000 profit last month. He replaced an entire quant team with Claude and 6 AI agents. Built his own ETH price simulation engine. Generating $15,000+ per day on autopilot. I reverse-engineered his system. One Claude prompt. 90 minutes. Fully autonomous. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment AGENT 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you His wallet: 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 on Polymarket. Almost nobody is watching. What the 6-agent swarm actually does: → Each agent validates its own trading decisions independently → Collects data 24/7 across markets → Runs continuous ETH price simulations in MiroFish engine → Memorizes every pattern, market reaction, trading signal → Detects market inefficiencies in real-time → Executes when edge appears → No human input required Not prediction. Pure math exploiting market lag. The coverage and speed beat top-tier trading teams. Every trade is a perfect cycle. Every dollar is extracted from pricing gaps that disappear in seconds. The system does not guess the future. It reads the numbers correctly and takes the money before markets reprice. The edge exists right now. It won't in 6 months when everyone runs similar systems. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour to deploy. Save this post. Build the agent swarm this week. Start with $100. Scale on evidence.

Himanshu Kumar

12,383 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

OpenAI just mass-fired their robotics team. One of the engineers DM'd me 20 minutes later. I didn't know him. He found me through a Polymarket thread. His first message: "I have 30 days of severance and nothing to lose. Let me tell you what we actually use internally. It's not GPT" I thought he was trolling. "Every serious team at OpenAI prototypes on Claude Code. Not ChatGPT. Not the API. Claude Code connected to a repo. That's the actual workflow" I asked why. "Because Claude reads the codebase. GPT reads the prompt. There's a difference. One guesses. The other one understands the full context and builds on top of it" He sent me one link. 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Open source. Free. "Point Claude Code at this. Say - find every wallet with 70%+ win rate and 100+ trades. Watch what happens" I did it that night. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% exit BEFORE resolution. They never wait for the outcome. "Now look at how they exit" Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. Same entries. Completely different results. He sent another link. "Three commands. Your bot sees 500+ markets. No key needed. Read-only. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" I asked why he's telling me all this. "Because I just got fired for saying we should open-source more. So here I am open-sourcing everything I know" Then he sent me an article where someone built the full bot from these repos in a weekend -> Three exit triggers: Target 85% of move. Volume spike x3 - smart money out. 24h silence - thesis dead. I copied the stack. Claude Code $20. VPS $5. $25/month. No team. No office. No GPT subscription. 17 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. $850 seed. +$9,400. I sent him my results. He replied: "This is exactly what I built as a side project at OpenAI. They made me delete it" I asked if I could post this. "Post it. What are they gonna do. Fire me again?"

rari

157,503 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

A trader built a QUANT bot using Claude Fable 5 Result: $69,203 profit on Polymarket. 40,854 predictions in 37 days. 57% win rate. $1,870 per day on average. The strategy is surprisingly simple: 1. Trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets at roughly 46 trades per hour. 2. Builds exposure on one side first, waits for market probabilities to shift, then adds the opposite side to create a stronger hedge. 3. Continuously adjusts positions between both outcomes, keeping more orders on the side with the highest statistical edge. Biggest winning trades: $430 → $3,000 (+$2,570 profit | +597.7% gain) $454 → $2,309 (+$1,855 profit | +408.3% gain) $2,469 → $4,288 (+$1,819 profit | +73.7% gain) The entire profit curve comes from repeating the same proven strategy across thousands of fast-moving markets. This isn't about making perfect predictions. It's about identifying temporary price inefficiencies and acting before they disappear. The system runs autonomously: → Claude powers the decision-making → Monitors crypto prediction markets 24/7 → Executes trades when an edge appears → Continuously rebalances positions No emotions. No guessing. Just probability, automation, and execution speed. 💡 I'm sharing the complete Claude prompt and workflow behind this QUANT bot. Free for the next 24 hours. To get it: 1️⃣ Comment the word "Fable" 2️⃣ Like and Repost 3️⃣ Follow Himanshu Kumar ( so i can send you DM) I'll DM you the complete setup.

Himanshu Kumar

20,159 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

An OpenAI researcher sat down next to me at a coffee shop in Mission District I had my terminal open. Three panels. Live trades scrolling. He was reading something on his laptop. Glanced over. Stopped reading. "That's not a dashboard. That's a live scoring engine. What model is running that" I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. He closed his laptop. "I work at OpenAI. We benchmarked Claude internally last month. You're using it to trade prediction markets?" I opened one link. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "This is public? We quoted a seven-figure budget to reconstruct this kind of dataset from on-chain data. The project is still in review" I told him Claude Code connects directly. It reads the whole dataset. Finds the wallets that win. Then finds WHY they win. Then copies the pattern. He pulled his chair closer. "Walk me through the exit logic" Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else holds to 58%. Same entries. Completely different exits. My bot cuts at 85% of expected move. Or on a 3x volume spike. Whichever hits first. "Who gave you that threshold" Claude Code found it in poly_data. In about 20 minutes. "We had a team of nine working on this exact problem for six months. They never shipped it. You did it in a weekend with a competitor's model" I opened another link. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. "That's our internal eval pipeline. Except it took us six months and you built it on a Saturday" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. +$9,400. Copytrade here: I showed him the article where I broke down every repo, every command, every dollar. He read it for five minutes. Then looked up. "You just published what we presented to Sam last quarter. Using the other team's model" He texted me the next morning. "My director found your thread. Take it down" Too late.

Lunar

159,690 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce