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a Goldman Sachs engineer sat next to me on a delayed flight from JFK four hours on the tarmac. nowhere to go. we started talking. i told him i trade prediction markets with Claude. he almost choked on his ginger ale. "you do WHAT with an AI?" i showed...

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Hanako

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286,834 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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a Citadel intern told me something at a party he probably shouldn't have it was on a rooftop in brooklyn. i mentioned i trade prediction markets. he got quiet for a second. "we have a model for that. it scores every contract on four factors. when all four align we enter. when any breaks we exit. that's it" i asked what the four factors are. he looked around. then said it fast like he was confessing. "cross-market divergence. disposition coefficient. capital velocity. pair network correlation" I didn't know what half of that meant. but i memorized it. went home. 11pm. opened Claude. "here are four scoring factors from a quant fund. build a terminal that runs all four on prediction markets" Claude asked one question: "Where's the data?" I sent him one repo: 86 million trades. every wallet. every entry. every outcome three weeks later i'm sitting in my apartment watching a screen i barely understand print money. the disposition meter alone changed everything. it measures how you exit - not how you enter. top wallets capture 86% of winner value and cut losers at 12%. everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. same exact entries. the exits make it a completely different game. capital velocity: 49x. every dollar gets recycled 49 times before the average trader recycles once. the terminal found 42 pair correlations across 11 markets. when MSFT beats Q3 is priced at 80c but the model reads 93% - it enters. when the gap closes 2 hours later - it exits. no opinions. no news. just four numbers that either align or don't. his fund runs this with a floor of PhDs and $800M AUM. my setup: > Claude - $20/month > VPS - $5/month > poly_data repo - free > Polymarket API - free $25/month. no team. no office. no Bloomberg. 280 trades so far. 70% win rate. $800 seed. four bots splitting the work: pulse_alpha +$299. arb_hunter +$558. trend_rider +$337. cal_engine +$719. +$11,514 total. copytrade here: he texted me last week. "delete everything i told you" too late.
0:38

a Citadel intern told me something at a party he probably shouldn't have it was on a rooftop in brooklyn. i mentioned i trade prediction markets. he got quiet for a second. "we have a model for that. it scores every contract on four factors. when all four align we enter. when any breaks we exit. that's it" i asked what the four factors are. he looked around. then said it fast like he was confessing. "cross-market divergence. disposition coefficient. capital velocity. pair network correlation" I didn't know what half of that meant. but i memorized it. went home. 11pm. opened Claude. "here are four scoring factors from a quant fund. build a terminal that runs all four on prediction markets" Claude asked one question: "Where's the data?" I sent him one repo: 86 million trades. every wallet. every entry. every outcome three weeks later i'm sitting in my apartment watching a screen i barely understand print money. the disposition meter alone changed everything. it measures how you exit - not how you enter. top wallets capture 86% of winner value and cut losers at 12%. everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. same exact entries. the exits make it a completely different game. capital velocity: 49x. every dollar gets recycled 49 times before the average trader recycles once. the terminal found 42 pair correlations across 11 markets. when MSFT beats Q3 is priced at 80c but the model reads 93% - it enters. when the gap closes 2 hours later - it exits. no opinions. no news. just four numbers that either align or don't. his fund runs this with a floor of PhDs and $800M AUM. my setup: > Claude - $20/month > VPS - $5/month > poly_data repo - free > Polymarket API - free $25/month. no team. no office. no Bloomberg. 280 trades so far. 70% win rate. $800 seed. four bots splitting the work: pulse_alpha +$299. arb_hunter +$558. trend_rider +$337. cal_engine +$719. +$11,514 total. copytrade here: he texted me last week. "delete everything i told you" too late.

Hanako

1,740,182 views • 4 months ago

An OpenAI researcher sat down next to me at a coffee shop in Mission District I had my terminal open. Three panels. Live trades scrolling. He was reading something on his laptop. Glanced over. Stopped reading. "That's not a dashboard. That's a live scoring engine. What model is running that" I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. He closed his laptop. "I work at OpenAI. We benchmarked Claude internally last month. You're using it to trade prediction markets?" I opened one link. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "This is public? We quoted a seven-figure budget to reconstruct this kind of dataset from on-chain data. The project is still in review" I told him Claude Code connects directly. It reads the whole dataset. Finds the wallets that win. Then finds WHY they win. Then copies the pattern. He pulled his chair closer. "Walk me through the exit logic" Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else holds to 58%. Same entries. Completely different exits. My bot cuts at 85% of expected move. Or on a 3x volume spike. Whichever hits first. "Who gave you that threshold" Claude Code found it in poly_data. In about 20 minutes. "We had a team of nine working on this exact problem for six months. They never shipped it. You did it in a weekend with a competitor's model" I opened another link. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. "That's our internal eval pipeline. Except it took us six months and you built it on a Saturday" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. +$9,400. Copytrade here: I showed him the article where I broke down every repo, every command, every dollar. He read it for five minutes. Then looked up. "You just published what we presented to Sam last quarter. Using the other team's model" He texted me the next morning. "My director found your thread. Take it down" Too late.
0:20

An OpenAI researcher sat down next to me at a coffee shop in Mission District I had my terminal open. Three panels. Live trades scrolling. He was reading something on his laptop. Glanced over. Stopped reading. "That's not a dashboard. That's a live scoring engine. What model is running that" I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. He closed his laptop. "I work at OpenAI. We benchmarked Claude internally last month. You're using it to trade prediction markets?" I opened one link. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "This is public? We quoted a seven-figure budget to reconstruct this kind of dataset from on-chain data. The project is still in review" I told him Claude Code connects directly. It reads the whole dataset. Finds the wallets that win. Then finds WHY they win. Then copies the pattern. He pulled his chair closer. "Walk me through the exit logic" Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else holds to 58%. Same entries. Completely different exits. My bot cuts at 85% of expected move. Or on a 3x volume spike. Whichever hits first. "Who gave you that threshold" Claude Code found it in poly_data. In about 20 minutes. "We had a team of nine working on this exact problem for six months. They never shipped it. You did it in a weekend with a competitor's model" I opened another link. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. "That's our internal eval pipeline. Except it took us six months and you built it on a Saturday" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. +$9,400. Copytrade here: I showed him the article where I broke down every repo, every command, every dollar. He read it for five minutes. Then looked up. "You just published what we presented to Sam last quarter. Using the other team's model" He texted me the next morning. "My director found your thread. Take it down" Too late.

Lunar

159,690 views • 4 months ago

An ex-Anthropic engineer told me something at a party he probably shouldn't have. It was in SF. Someone's rooftop. I mentioned I run trading agents on Claude. He went quiet. "You're doing it wrong. Everyone is" I asked what he meant. "Claude is a runtime. Not a chatbox. You're supposed to pair it with repos" He pulled out his phone. Opened one GitHub link. 14,000 stars. Every workflow pattern they built internally before it went public. Agents. Tool use. Evals. Citations. The entire architecture. "Everyone types prompts. That's not how we use it. You connect Claude to a codebase. It reads. It understands. It builds on top of what's already there" I went home at 2am. Connected Claude Code to poly_data - 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Claude didn't guess. It read the data and built detectors. First week: +$1,400. Second week: +$3,800. Right now: +$9,100. 4 agents. 74% win rate. His team runs this with a floor of PhDs and $800M AUM. My setup: Claude + a VPS. $25/month. The repos are free. Copytrade here: I asked him what separates his firm from everyone else. "Honestly? Keyboard shortcuts and repo structure. That's it. The model is the same for everyone" He texted me two days later. "Delete everything I told you" Too late.
0:21

An ex-Anthropic engineer told me something at a party he probably shouldn't have. It was in SF. Someone's rooftop. I mentioned I run trading agents on Claude. He went quiet. "You're doing it wrong. Everyone is" I asked what he meant. "Claude is a runtime. Not a chatbox. You're supposed to pair it with repos" He pulled out his phone. Opened one GitHub link. 14,000 stars. Every workflow pattern they built internally before it went public. Agents. Tool use. Evals. Citations. The entire architecture. "Everyone types prompts. That's not how we use it. You connect Claude to a codebase. It reads. It understands. It builds on top of what's already there" I went home at 2am. Connected Claude Code to poly_data - 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Claude didn't guess. It read the data and built detectors. First week: +$1,400. Second week: +$3,800. Right now: +$9,100. 4 agents. 74% win rate. His team runs this with a floor of PhDs and $800M AUM. My setup: Claude + a VPS. $25/month. The repos are free. Copytrade here: I asked him what separates his firm from everyone else. "Honestly? Keyboard shortcuts and repo structure. That's it. The model is the same for everyone" He texted me two days later. "Delete everything I told you" Too late.

Lunar

1,655,418 views • 4 months ago

an OpenAI researcher sat next to me at a cafe in brooklyn and saw my screen i was deep in the terminal. trades flowing. didn't notice him sit down. he glanced over. then looked again. "is that prediction markets?" i nodded. "what's running the backend?" "Claude Opus 4.7" he closed his laptop. "show me" i turned the screen. he watched for about two minutes without saying anything. trades executing. markets scanning. wallets being copied. 948 markets per hour. "how many people built this?" just me and Claude. one weekend. one GitHub repo. 610 stars. market making infrastructure. execution engine. order book logic. i gave Opus 4.7 the repo and one prompt: build a grid that runs 8 parallel strategies on prediction markets. scan everything. enter when edge exceeds threshold. exit on volume spike or target hit. first deploy worked. no debugging. no iteration. he shook his head slowly. "we have a team of nine scoping something like this. six month timeline" i showed him the git log. friday 11PM. sunday 2AM. done. copy mirror tracking 4 wallets: > Trump VP pick +$782. bayes signal. > BTC 120K Dec +$681. divergence signal. > SpaceX Starship +$893. oracle lag signal. > Fed rate cut +$537. delta hedge signal. every entry scored by an ensemble before execution. primary model estimates probability. secondary validates against historical resolution. Claude breaks ties using context neither model can read. when all three disagree with the market that's signal. when they agree with each other but not the market that's the fat signal. when everything aligns i skip. 644 trades. 77% win rate. sharpe 3.50. avg hold 4h. +$23,768 from $1,800 in 9 weeks. copytrade here: he stared at the number. "you know we can't ship anything like this right? regulatory. legal. six layers of review" i said Claude doesn't have a legal department. he laughed. then stopped. "i'm serious though. what you built in a weekend would take us two quarters and a compliance audit" i closed my laptop. finished my coffee. he was still sitting there when i left.
0:40

an OpenAI researcher sat next to me at a cafe in brooklyn and saw my screen i was deep in the terminal. trades flowing. didn't notice him sit down. he glanced over. then looked again. "is that prediction markets?" i nodded. "what's running the backend?" "Claude Opus 4.7" he closed his laptop. "show me" i turned the screen. he watched for about two minutes without saying anything. trades executing. markets scanning. wallets being copied. 948 markets per hour. "how many people built this?" just me and Claude. one weekend. one GitHub repo. 610 stars. market making infrastructure. execution engine. order book logic. i gave Opus 4.7 the repo and one prompt: build a grid that runs 8 parallel strategies on prediction markets. scan everything. enter when edge exceeds threshold. exit on volume spike or target hit. first deploy worked. no debugging. no iteration. he shook his head slowly. "we have a team of nine scoping something like this. six month timeline" i showed him the git log. friday 11PM. sunday 2AM. done. copy mirror tracking 4 wallets: > Trump VP pick +$782. bayes signal. > BTC 120K Dec +$681. divergence signal. > SpaceX Starship +$893. oracle lag signal. > Fed rate cut +$537. delta hedge signal. every entry scored by an ensemble before execution. primary model estimates probability. secondary validates against historical resolution. Claude breaks ties using context neither model can read. when all three disagree with the market that's signal. when they agree with each other but not the market that's the fat signal. when everything aligns i skip. 644 trades. 77% win rate. sharpe 3.50. avg hold 4h. +$23,768 from $1,800 in 9 weeks. copytrade here: he stared at the number. "you know we can't ship anything like this right? regulatory. legal. six layers of review" i said Claude doesn't have a legal department. he laughed. then stopped. "i'm serious though. what you built in a weekend would take us two quarters and a compliance audit" i closed my laptop. finished my coffee. he was still sitting there when i left.

Hanako

56,877 views • 4 months ago

An Anthropic engineer left his laptop unlocked at a cafe in SF I wasn't trying to look. But the screen was right there. A Polymarket terminal. Live trades scrolling. Green numbers. And a model ID I'd never seen before - claude-opus-4-7. He came back. Saw me staring. Didn't close it. "You trade?" I told him I run 8 Claude agents on Polymarket. He sat down like I just said a password. "What model are you on?" 4.6. He shook his head. "We've been running 4.7 internally for two weeks. Your disposition filter - what is it?" 0.70. He laughed. "Ours is 0.82. Below that you're literally copying noise. But on 4.7 you can push it to 0.58. The model filters its own noise now" He turned his laptop. A spreadsheet. 47 wallets ranked by exit quality. "Not win rate. Exit quality. Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers past 40%" I've never heard anyone break it down like that. He opened one repo. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Public. Then a second. "Three commands. Every order book. No API key. 4.7 scores them in seconds. Not minutes. Seconds" I asked why he's telling me this. "Because my side bot makes more than my Anthropic salary and I want the liquidity to stay deep" He showed me his phone. +$47,000. 38 days On a model that wasn't even public yet. I asked when 4.7 drops. He said "this week". It dropped today. I switched all 8 agents in 10 minutes. Rebuilt everything that night. First week: +$2,800 Second: +$2,400 Third: +$2,100 Fourth: +$2,100 +$9,400 in 28 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. Avg hold 4h. Crypto +$3,740 Weather +$2,910 Politics +$1,850 Macro +$1,200 Sports -$300 Killed it after day 2 Capital velocity: 47x. Kelly f+ 0.068. Max drawdown -2.1%. Bot for those who don't build: I asked if I could post this. "Don't use my name and we're good" Done.
0:21

An Anthropic engineer left his laptop unlocked at a cafe in SF I wasn't trying to look. But the screen was right there. A Polymarket terminal. Live trades scrolling. Green numbers. And a model ID I'd never seen before - claude-opus-4-7. He came back. Saw me staring. Didn't close it. "You trade?" I told him I run 8 Claude agents on Polymarket. He sat down like I just said a password. "What model are you on?" 4.6. He shook his head. "We've been running 4.7 internally for two weeks. Your disposition filter - what is it?" 0.70. He laughed. "Ours is 0.82. Below that you're literally copying noise. But on 4.7 you can push it to 0.58. The model filters its own noise now" He turned his laptop. A spreadsheet. 47 wallets ranked by exit quality. "Not win rate. Exit quality. Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers past 40%" I've never heard anyone break it down like that. He opened one repo. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Public. Then a second. "Three commands. Every order book. No API key. 4.7 scores them in seconds. Not minutes. Seconds" I asked why he's telling me this. "Because my side bot makes more than my Anthropic salary and I want the liquidity to stay deep" He showed me his phone. +$47,000. 38 days On a model that wasn't even public yet. I asked when 4.7 drops. He said "this week". It dropped today. I switched all 8 agents in 10 minutes. Rebuilt everything that night. First week: +$2,800 Second: +$2,400 Third: +$2,100 Fourth: +$2,100 +$9,400 in 28 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. Avg hold 4h. Crypto +$3,740 Weather +$2,910 Politics +$1,850 Macro +$1,200 Sports -$300 Killed it after day 2 Capital velocity: 47x. Kelly f+ 0.068. Max drawdown -2.1%. Bot for those who don't build: I asked if I could post this. "Don't use my name and we're good" Done.

rari

71,528 views • 4 months ago

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon on the day he was fired from Citigroup after 15 years: "my boss called me in and said we want you to resign - to which I said, OK. I went home. the youngest one said, Dad, do we have to sleep on the streets?" this is him explaining how he rebuilt a bank from a $511 million loss into the largest in America, what he does every Sunday with the problems he is avoiding, and what he told the man who fired him a year later "it was my net worth, not my self-worth" "I called him a year later. I told him I didn't think he did the right thing for Citigroup. then I told him the mistakes I made. he acknowledged my mistakes" "if you split a taxi receipt, that's stealing. if I caught you doing that, I'd fire you" "would you have your child work for that person? half the time we promote people, we would not let our kid work for them" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓
13:20

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon on the day he was fired from Citigroup after 15 years: "my boss called me in and said we want you to resign - to which I said, OK. I went home. the youngest one said, Dad, do we have to sleep on the streets?" this is him explaining how he rebuilt a bank from a $511 million loss into the largest in America, what he does every Sunday with the problems he is avoiding, and what he told the man who fired him a year later "it was my net worth, not my self-worth" "I called him a year later. I told him I didn't think he did the right thing for Citigroup. then I told him the mistakes I made. he acknowledged my mistakes" "if you split a taxi receipt, that's stealing. if I caught you doing that, I'd fire you" "would you have your child work for that person? half the time we promote people, we would not let our kid work for them" bookmark & watch the full conversation ↓

Сarm1ne

2,307,018 views • 17 days ago

An Anthropic intern watched me make $38 in three minutes at Equator Coffee I was on Market Street. Laptop open. BTC 5-minute markets cycling on screen. A green fill popped. She was behind me in line. Anthropic badge on her lanyard. "Wait. Is that Claude running trades" I told her. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. She sat down across from me without asking. "I'm on the evals team. We benchmark Claude's reasoning on stuff way simpler than this. You're letting it run a full execution loop with real money" I showed her the first repo. 86 million trades. Claude finds which wallets consistently win. Reverse-engineers their timing. Copies their exits. "So you're not writing trading rules. Claude is finding them on its own from the data" Exactly. It watches Binance and Coinbase diverge from Chainlink. When both exchanges move $50+ the same way and Chainlink lags - it enters. 94% follow-through. Another trade closed on screen. +$41. "How often does it trade" About 55 times a day. Out of 400+ windows. Kills 85%. Only enters when order book imbalance confirms the price signal. Three commands. 500+ markets. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. She watched the screen for a while. My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo Everything else - free 30 days. 1,847 trades. 71% win rate. +$14,200. Copytrade here: She leaned back. "We spend all day testing what Claude can do in theory. You just showed me what it does in practice" I published the full breakdown that night. She DM'd me the next morning. "My team lead read your article. He wants to know if you'll consult for us" I told him to read it again. Everything's in there. Too late to gatekeep.
0:20

An Anthropic intern watched me make $38 in three minutes at Equator Coffee I was on Market Street. Laptop open. BTC 5-minute markets cycling on screen. A green fill popped. She was behind me in line. Anthropic badge on her lanyard. "Wait. Is that Claude running trades" I told her. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. She sat down across from me without asking. "I'm on the evals team. We benchmark Claude's reasoning on stuff way simpler than this. You're letting it run a full execution loop with real money" I showed her the first repo. 86 million trades. Claude finds which wallets consistently win. Reverse-engineers their timing. Copies their exits. "So you're not writing trading rules. Claude is finding them on its own from the data" Exactly. It watches Binance and Coinbase diverge from Chainlink. When both exchanges move $50+ the same way and Chainlink lags - it enters. 94% follow-through. Another trade closed on screen. +$41. "How often does it trade" About 55 times a day. Out of 400+ windows. Kills 85%. Only enters when order book imbalance confirms the price signal. Three commands. 500+ markets. Claude scores them in 20 minutes. She watched the screen for a while. My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo Everything else - free 30 days. 1,847 trades. 71% win rate. +$14,200. Copytrade here: She leaned back. "We spend all day testing what Claude can do in theory. You just showed me what it does in practice" I published the full breakdown that night. She DM'd me the next morning. "My team lead read your article. He wants to know if you'll consult for us" I told him to read it again. Everything's in there. Too late to gatekeep.

Lunar

68,586 views • 4 months ago

a Renaissance intern posted his model on GitHub for 6 hours before deleting it someone in a Discord dropped the link at 1am. "this looks real. star count is zero. repo is 4 hours old. readme has internal formatting" i clicked. it was a full prediction market scoring model. four filters: > disposition ratio > category dominance > capital velocity > volume exit triggers clean Python. commented like someone who writes for a team. the readme said "internal use - do not distribute" i ran git clone so fast i typo'd the first attempt. by 3am the repo was gone. mass-deleted. commits. branches. everything. but i had it. opened Claude. gave it the code and one public repo: 2,600 stars. official framework. LLM-powered trading agents. "merge this scoring model with this execution layer. build a terminal that runs all four filters on live markets" Claude had it running by sunrise. first three days i was terrified it would break. kept checking every hour. it didn't break. it just kept scoring and entering. > AMD Xilinx - entered 52c. model said 59c. closed +7c in 2h. > Artemis launch - entered 63c. model said 85c. closed +22c in 5h. > Derecho MW - entered 71c. model said 87c. closed +16c in under 2h. disposition filter kills everything below 0.70 automatically. no override. every wallet it copies is filtered to one category. crypto wallet copies crypto. weather wallet copies weather. nothing crosses. 87% win rate. 34 markets. +$12,685. 6 strategies running simultaneously: base rate. conditional prob. liquidity snipe. delta hedge. calibration. theta decay. spread arb catching gaps live: - BTC 92K vs Kalshi gap 0.3c - Fed cut vs PredictIt gap 3.7c - Derecho vs Betfair gap 11.9c copytrade setup here: cost: Claude and a VPS. cheaper than the mass-deleted repo was worth. i checked his GitHub profile last week. still active. new repos. normal stuff. he has no idea someone cloned it. and now you're reading what was in it.
0:40

a Renaissance intern posted his model on GitHub for 6 hours before deleting it someone in a Discord dropped the link at 1am. "this looks real. star count is zero. repo is 4 hours old. readme has internal formatting" i clicked. it was a full prediction market scoring model. four filters: > disposition ratio > category dominance > capital velocity > volume exit triggers clean Python. commented like someone who writes for a team. the readme said "internal use - do not distribute" i ran git clone so fast i typo'd the first attempt. by 3am the repo was gone. mass-deleted. commits. branches. everything. but i had it. opened Claude. gave it the code and one public repo: 2,600 stars. official framework. LLM-powered trading agents. "merge this scoring model with this execution layer. build a terminal that runs all four filters on live markets" Claude had it running by sunrise. first three days i was terrified it would break. kept checking every hour. it didn't break. it just kept scoring and entering. > AMD Xilinx - entered 52c. model said 59c. closed +7c in 2h. > Artemis launch - entered 63c. model said 85c. closed +22c in 5h. > Derecho MW - entered 71c. model said 87c. closed +16c in under 2h. disposition filter kills everything below 0.70 automatically. no override. every wallet it copies is filtered to one category. crypto wallet copies crypto. weather wallet copies weather. nothing crosses. 87% win rate. 34 markets. +$12,685. 6 strategies running simultaneously: base rate. conditional prob. liquidity snipe. delta hedge. calibration. theta decay. spread arb catching gaps live: - BTC 92K vs Kalshi gap 0.3c - Fed cut vs PredictIt gap 3.7c - Derecho vs Betfair gap 11.9c copytrade setup here: cost: Claude and a VPS. cheaper than the mass-deleted repo was worth. i checked his GitHub profile last week. still active. new repos. normal stuff. he has no idea someone cloned it. and now you're reading what was in it.

Hanako

117,572 views • 4 months ago

OpenAI just mass-fired their robotics team. One of the engineers DM'd me 20 minutes later. I didn't know him. He found me through a Polymarket thread. His first message: "I have 30 days of severance and nothing to lose. Let me tell you what we actually use internally. It's not GPT" I thought he was trolling. "Every serious team at OpenAI prototypes on Claude Code. Not ChatGPT. Not the API. Claude Code connected to a repo. That's the actual workflow" I asked why. "Because Claude reads the codebase. GPT reads the prompt. There's a difference. One guesses. The other one understands the full context and builds on top of it" He sent me one link. 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Open source. Free. "Point Claude Code at this. Say - find every wallet with 70%+ win rate and 100+ trades. Watch what happens" I did it that night. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% exit BEFORE resolution. They never wait for the outcome. "Now look at how they exit" Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. Same entries. Completely different results. He sent another link. "Three commands. Your bot sees 500+ markets. No key needed. Read-only. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" I asked why he's telling me all this. "Because I just got fired for saying we should open-source more. So here I am open-sourcing everything I know" Then he sent me an article where someone built the full bot from these repos in a weekend -> Three exit triggers: Target 85% of move. Volume spike x3 - smart money out. 24h silence - thesis dead. I copied the stack. Claude Code $20. VPS $5. $25/month. No team. No office. No GPT subscription. 17 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. $850 seed. +$9,400. I sent him my results. He replied: "This is exactly what I built as a side project at OpenAI. They made me delete it" I asked if I could post this. "Post it. What are they gonna do. Fire me again?"
0:22

OpenAI just mass-fired their robotics team. One of the engineers DM'd me 20 minutes later. I didn't know him. He found me through a Polymarket thread. His first message: "I have 30 days of severance and nothing to lose. Let me tell you what we actually use internally. It's not GPT" I thought he was trolling. "Every serious team at OpenAI prototypes on Claude Code. Not ChatGPT. Not the API. Claude Code connected to a repo. That's the actual workflow" I asked why. "Because Claude reads the codebase. GPT reads the prompt. There's a difference. One guesses. The other one understands the full context and builds on top of it" He sent me one link. 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Open source. Free. "Point Claude Code at this. Say - find every wallet with 70%+ win rate and 100+ trades. Watch what happens" I did it that night. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% exit BEFORE resolution. They never wait for the outcome. "Now look at how they exit" Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. Same entries. Completely different results. He sent another link. "Three commands. Your bot sees 500+ markets. No key needed. Read-only. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" I asked why he's telling me all this. "Because I just got fired for saying we should open-source more. So here I am open-sourcing everything I know" Then he sent me an article where someone built the full bot from these repos in a weekend -> Three exit triggers: Target 85% of move. Volume spike x3 - smart money out. 24h silence - thesis dead. I copied the stack. Claude Code $20. VPS $5. $25/month. No team. No office. No GPT subscription. 17 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. $850 seed. +$9,400. I sent him my results. He replied: "This is exactly what I built as a side project at OpenAI. They made me delete it" I asked if I could post this. "Post it. What are they gonna do. Fire me again?"

rari

157,503 views • 4 months ago

Anthropic engineer stops me in a hallway at a conference and points at my screen. "Are you the one running the Polymarket bot on Claude Code?" I say maybe. He looks back at the terminal. "This thing is live?" Yeah. He laughs. "We built Claude to write code. You people immediately turned it into a market animal." I ask what gave it away. "The layout," he says. "Official CLI on one side. Orderbook on the other. You’re not paper trading." He was right. I show him the stack. - official CLI. Rust. Scanning markets, placing orders, no UI tax. Claude Code on top of it. No giant infra. No team. Just prompts, a terminal, and a model that’s better at reading weird edge cases than most interns. "What’s the loop," he asks. "Short horizon only," I tell him. "Scan for contracts under 48h. Pull structure. Look for mispriced panic. Feed the market state to Claude. Let it decide if the crowd is overreacting or just early." "And execution?" "Three commands and the order is live." He nods. Profile bot: "That’s the part people miss. Everyone thinks the alpha is the model. The alpha is the model plus an execution path short enough that you don’t talk yourself out of the fill." A market flips while we’re standing there. +118. He sees it print. "Jesus." I keep going. "Most people use Claude Code to save time writing wrappers. Fine. But the real trick is that it reads messy market context better than brittle rule systems. News fragments. weird phrasing. half-broken incentives. Retail panic. You can feel the model noticing when the tape smells wrong." He smiles at that. "So what’s the cost." "$25 a month." He laughs again. "We spend more than that on lunch." Copytrade here: I show him the numbers. 214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,437 in 19 days. He goes quiet for a second. "OpenAI people will say use Codex. Quant guys will say build a proper system. Old traders will say this isn’t robust." I shrug. "It placed the order." That’s when he gives me the line I kept. "Anthropic made Claude. GitHub did the rest." Then he taps the CLI window one more time. "Keep it ugly," he says. "The second you wrap this in a beautiful dashboard, someone upstairs will understand how little infrastructure the edge actually needed."
0:20

Anthropic engineer stops me in a hallway at a conference and points at my screen. "Are you the one running the Polymarket bot on Claude Code?" I say maybe. He looks back at the terminal. "This thing is live?" Yeah. He laughs. "We built Claude to write code. You people immediately turned it into a market animal." I ask what gave it away. "The layout," he says. "Official CLI on one side. Orderbook on the other. You’re not paper trading." He was right. I show him the stack. - official CLI. Rust. Scanning markets, placing orders, no UI tax. Claude Code on top of it. No giant infra. No team. Just prompts, a terminal, and a model that’s better at reading weird edge cases than most interns. "What’s the loop," he asks. "Short horizon only," I tell him. "Scan for contracts under 48h. Pull structure. Look for mispriced panic. Feed the market state to Claude. Let it decide if the crowd is overreacting or just early." "And execution?" "Three commands and the order is live." He nods. Profile bot: "That’s the part people miss. Everyone thinks the alpha is the model. The alpha is the model plus an execution path short enough that you don’t talk yourself out of the fill." A market flips while we’re standing there. +118. He sees it print. "Jesus." I keep going. "Most people use Claude Code to save time writing wrappers. Fine. But the real trick is that it reads messy market context better than brittle rule systems. News fragments. weird phrasing. half-broken incentives. Retail panic. You can feel the model noticing when the tape smells wrong." He smiles at that. "So what’s the cost." "$25 a month." He laughs again. "We spend more than that on lunch." Copytrade here: I show him the numbers. 214 trades. 74% win rate. +$9,437 in 19 days. He goes quiet for a second. "OpenAI people will say use Codex. Quant guys will say build a proper system. Old traders will say this isn’t robust." I shrug. "It placed the order." That’s when he gives me the line I kept. "Anthropic made Claude. GitHub did the rest." Then he taps the CLI window one more time. "Keep it ugly," he says. "The second you wrap this in a beautiful dashboard, someone upstairs will understand how little infrastructure the edge actually needed."

Lunar

19,368 views • 3 months ago

ONE OF CLAUDE'S DEVELOPERS MESSAGED ME "YOU'RE USING AI AT 5%. LET ME SHOW YOU HOW WE ACTUALLY WORK WITH IT" we talked for 40 minutes. he shared his screen and showed me his obsidian. i expected some complex setup with code it was a folder. a regular folder with text files but when he opened the graph - i went silent. thousands of dots. thousands of lines. everything connected. everything alive. he says "this is my brain after 4 months. i didn't link a single note manually. claude did all of it" then he showed me something i still haven't recovered from he typed to claude "where am i contradicting myself?" claude thought for about 10 seconds and returned 4 pairs of notes where he wrote one thing and did another. with dates. quoting his own words back at him he laughed and said "see? no friend will ever tell you this. but this thing will and it won't get offended" i asked him to help me set it up. he walked me through it. took two evenings now my vault is on the video. it's still small. but it already knows my projects, my goals, my weak spots. and every morning it writes me a short brief: what changed, where i'm stuck, what i forgot the scariest part - i can't imagine working without it anymore. and just a month ago i thought this was too complicated for me i was wrong full guide on how to build this from scratch - article attached i test things like this on myself and share the results. follow kai if you want to see what's next
0:34

ONE OF CLAUDE'S DEVELOPERS MESSAGED ME "YOU'RE USING AI AT 5%. LET ME SHOW YOU HOW WE ACTUALLY WORK WITH IT" we talked for 40 minutes. he shared his screen and showed me his obsidian. i expected some complex setup with code it was a folder. a regular folder with text files but when he opened the graph - i went silent. thousands of dots. thousands of lines. everything connected. everything alive. he says "this is my brain after 4 months. i didn't link a single note manually. claude did all of it" then he showed me something i still haven't recovered from he typed to claude "where am i contradicting myself?" claude thought for about 10 seconds and returned 4 pairs of notes where he wrote one thing and did another. with dates. quoting his own words back at him he laughed and said "see? no friend will ever tell you this. but this thing will and it won't get offended" i asked him to help me set it up. he walked me through it. took two evenings now my vault is on the video. it's still small. but it already knows my projects, my goals, my weak spots. and every morning it writes me a short brief: what changed, where i'm stuck, what i forgot the scariest part - i can't imagine working without it anymore. and just a month ago i thought this was too complicated for me i was wrong full guide on how to build this from scratch - article attached i test things like this on myself and share the results. follow kai if you want to see what's next

kai

51,527 views • 1 month ago

An ex-OpenAI engineer walked up to me at a meetup in SF I was showing my Polymarket terminal. He looked at the screen for ten seconds and said one sentence. "You're trading blind. The data is sitting in the open and you're writing prompts" I didn't understand. What data. He took my laptop. Opened one repository. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "At OpenAI models don't guess. They read. Connect Claude Code to this dataset and say - find every wallet with a win rate above 70% and more than 100 trades" I asked - why Claude and not GPT? He looked at me like I was an idiot. "Because Claude Code connects to the repo directly. It reads the entire codebase. It's not a chatbox. It's a runtime" That evening I connected it. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% close their position BEFORE resolution. Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else - 58% of profit and hold losers to 41%. Same exact entries. The exits make it a completely different game. "Now connect the scanner" Three commands - the bot sees 500+ markets in real time. No API key. Read-only. Claude built the scoring in 20 minutes: Gap between price and model > 7 cents. Book depth > $500. Resolution in 4-48 hours. 93% of markets get killed instantly. Only the fat ones survive. "Now this is the important part" - he sent me an article where a guy built a full bot over a weekend from these same repos Copytrade here: Three exit triggers: Target 85% of expected move. Volume spike x3 - smart money leaving. 24 hours of silence - thesis is dead. I copied the whole stack. VPS $5. Claude $20. Total $25 a month. No team. No office. No Bloomberg. 16 days. 187 trades. 71% win rate. $800 seed. +$8,700. I sent him my screen. He replied a day later. "You just replicated for $25 what cost us six months and 11 people" I said - thanks for the tip. "Delete this chat" Too late.
0:24

An ex-OpenAI engineer walked up to me at a meetup in SF I was showing my Polymarket terminal. He looked at the screen for ten seconds and said one sentence. "You're trading blind. The data is sitting in the open and you're writing prompts" I didn't understand. What data. He took my laptop. Opened one repository. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. The entire Polymarket history since day one. "At OpenAI models don't guess. They read. Connect Claude Code to this dataset and say - find every wallet with a win rate above 70% and more than 100 trades" I asked - why Claude and not GPT? He looked at me like I was an idiot. "Because Claude Code connects to the repo directly. It reads the entire codebase. It's not a chatbox. It's a runtime" That evening I connected it. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% close their position BEFORE resolution. Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut losers at 12%. Everyone else - 58% of profit and hold losers to 41%. Same exact entries. The exits make it a completely different game. "Now connect the scanner" Three commands - the bot sees 500+ markets in real time. No API key. Read-only. Claude built the scoring in 20 minutes: Gap between price and model > 7 cents. Book depth > $500. Resolution in 4-48 hours. 93% of markets get killed instantly. Only the fat ones survive. "Now this is the important part" - he sent me an article where a guy built a full bot over a weekend from these same repos Copytrade here: Three exit triggers: Target 85% of expected move. Volume spike x3 - smart money leaving. 24 hours of silence - thesis is dead. I copied the whole stack. VPS $5. Claude $20. Total $25 a month. No team. No office. No Bloomberg. 16 days. 187 trades. 71% win rate. $800 seed. +$8,700. I sent him my screen. He replied a day later. "You just replicated for $25 what cost us six months and 11 people" I said - thanks for the tip. "Delete this chat" Too late.

Lunar

481,259 views • 4 months ago

On the 13th of Sept, someone transferred 180k for an iPhone Xs 256GB. After acknowledging his receipt, he called, and I told him we don't have it but will ask colleagues and let him know. I asked my friend, and he told me 190k. I begged him to leave it at 180k because that is what the guy deposited (check frame 2 for reference). When he sent the phone from Kano to Jos, then I noticed it was an Xs Max. Seeing that the guy was in a hurry and didn't want to disappoint, I called him and told him what happened and said if he wants the Max, he can take it at no additional cost. I was willing to settle the difference because it was his first time buying from us. I packaged it with a new premium charger because all our used phones are sent packaged in our branded box with a charger, and I sent it to him in Abuja. He later messaged that he has received the phone and truly appreciates it. After months of not receiving any complaints from him, it clearly indicates that he has received a fully functioning phone. It is in our policy that if you find anything faulty within one week, you can return it to us and either ask for a replacement or refund. What this means is that the cost of bringing it from Kano to Jos, the packaging and charger, and the delivery to Abuja are all a loss to me. But I didn't mind because at least I have satisfied him. Nine weeks later, while I was in Kano, I saw a call from an unknown number. When I picked up, he said it was him. He told me that the camera has started giving him problems. I told him it has been months since you bought it, but you can take it to any repair store and tell me how much you spent, and I will pay. He asked if I know anyone, and I sent him someone's number. The guy didn't pick; he texted and informed me and later called me. I told him to go to anyone he trusts and let me know the amount he spent. A few days later, I was stranded between Kaduna and Abuja on my trip from Kano to Abuja because my car engine failed. He called, and I didn't pick; I don't even know his number. Later in the night, I received his messages on WhatsApp with a threat that he will make a video to tarnish the image of my business. Someone I was willing to help after months of buying a USED device from me is threatening me. I said he should go ahead because I can't entertain him anymore. In conclusion, a trade that I incurred a loss from is what some people are trying to justify as a scam. The beautiful part is I have made trades with hundreds of people here, and I would love two more people to come out and present a case in which they are still using a device I sold to them that is faulty and they contacted me for a replacement or refund, and I didn't do it instantly. "The hypocrite will always look for faults" - Ghazali. Those that are looking for a fault in me can justify something as woke as this; it doesn't matter. This is my own side and will no longer entertain him anymore. For those that believe in me without hearing from me, thank you so much.
0:20

On the 13th of Sept, someone transferred 180k for an iPhone Xs 256GB. After acknowledging his receipt, he called, and I told him we don't have it but will ask colleagues and let him know. I asked my friend, and he told me 190k. I begged him to leave it at 180k because that is what the guy deposited (check frame 2 for reference). When he sent the phone from Kano to Jos, then I noticed it was an Xs Max. Seeing that the guy was in a hurry and didn't want to disappoint, I called him and told him what happened and said if he wants the Max, he can take it at no additional cost. I was willing to settle the difference because it was his first time buying from us. I packaged it with a new premium charger because all our used phones are sent packaged in our branded box with a charger, and I sent it to him in Abuja. He later messaged that he has received the phone and truly appreciates it. After months of not receiving any complaints from him, it clearly indicates that he has received a fully functioning phone. It is in our policy that if you find anything faulty within one week, you can return it to us and either ask for a replacement or refund. What this means is that the cost of bringing it from Kano to Jos, the packaging and charger, and the delivery to Abuja are all a loss to me. But I didn't mind because at least I have satisfied him. Nine weeks later, while I was in Kano, I saw a call from an unknown number. When I picked up, he said it was him. He told me that the camera has started giving him problems. I told him it has been months since you bought it, but you can take it to any repair store and tell me how much you spent, and I will pay. He asked if I know anyone, and I sent him someone's number. The guy didn't pick; he texted and informed me and later called me. I told him to go to anyone he trusts and let me know the amount he spent. A few days later, I was stranded between Kaduna and Abuja on my trip from Kano to Abuja because my car engine failed. He called, and I didn't pick; I don't even know his number. Later in the night, I received his messages on WhatsApp with a threat that he will make a video to tarnish the image of my business. Someone I was willing to help after months of buying a USED device from me is threatening me. I said he should go ahead because I can't entertain him anymore. In conclusion, a trade that I incurred a loss from is what some people are trying to justify as a scam. The beautiful part is I have made trades with hundreds of people here, and I would love two more people to come out and present a case in which they are still using a device I sold to them that is faulty and they contacted me for a replacement or refund, and I didn't do it instantly. "The hypocrite will always look for faults" - Ghazali. Those that are looking for a fault in me can justify something as woke as this; it doesn't matter. This is my own side and will no longer entertain him anymore. For those that believe in me without hearing from me, thank you so much.

Rayyan Tilde

855,545 views • 2 years ago

A Google DeepMind researcher cornered me at a bar in Hayes Valley I was showing my Polymarket PNL to a friend. She leaned over. Didn't introduce herself. "That's not a trading app. Show me your stack" I told her. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. She set down her drink. "We tested this internally. You connect Claude directly to a dataset. It builds its own detectors. But nobody ships it because compliance kills everything" I asked what she meant. She took my phone. Opened one link. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. "You don't tell Claude what to look for. It finds the wallets that win. Then it finds WHY they win. Then it copies the pattern" Her team spent 9 months building this for a hedge fund. 14 people. $2M budget. "The part that took us the longest - exit logic. Everyone thinks entries matter. They don't. Exits are the entire game" I told her my bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike. She went quiet. "Who taught you that" Claude Code found it in poly_data. Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture the move and leave. She opened another link. "This is the scanner. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" "That's our exact infra. Except it took us 9 months and you did it in a weekend" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. Copytrade here: I showed her the article where I broke down every repo, every command, every dollar. She read it for five minutes. Then: "You just open-sourced our entire pipeline" She texted me the next day. "My team lead saw your thread. Take it down" Too late.
0:21

A Google DeepMind researcher cornered me at a bar in Hayes Valley I was showing my Polymarket PNL to a friend. She leaned over. Didn't introduce herself. "That's not a trading app. Show me your stack" I told her. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month. She set down her drink. "We tested this internally. You connect Claude directly to a dataset. It builds its own detectors. But nobody ships it because compliance kills everything" I asked what she meant. She took my phone. Opened one link. 86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. "You don't tell Claude what to look for. It finds the wallets that win. Then it finds WHY they win. Then it copies the pattern" Her team spent 9 months building this for a hedge fund. 14 people. $2M budget. "The part that took us the longest - exit logic. Everyone thinks entries matter. They don't. Exits are the entire game" I told her my bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike. She went quiet. "Who taught you that" Claude Code found it in poly_data. Top wallets exit before resolution 91% of the time. They capture the move and leave. She opened another link. "This is the scanner. Three commands. 500+ markets. No API key. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" "That's our exact infra. Except it took us 9 months and you did it in a weekend" My setup: Claude API - $20/mo VPS - $5/mo poly_data - free polymarket-cli - free 19 days. 4 agents. 74% win rate. Copytrade here: I showed her the article where I broke down every repo, every command, every dollar. She read it for five minutes. Then: "You just open-sourced our entire pipeline" She texted me the next day. "My team lead saw your thread. Take it down" Too late.

Lunar

124,367 views • 4 months ago

Halle Berry opens up about being misdiagnosed with herpes and discovering her severe symptoms were actually perimenopause "First, when I was 54 years old, I had just met this man and we were having the best time. I finally met my person." "Then one morning, I tried to go to the bathroom, and I couldn't go. It was so painful, it took me almost 10 minutes to just empty my bladder." "I go right to the doctor and he said, 'I think I know what this is.' He said it's a really bad case of herpes." "We spent the next 72 hours doing the blame game, trying to figure out who gave it to me, who gave it to him." "Then a couple hours after that, my doctor called me and said that you do not have herpes. I'm like, 'Okay, then what is it?'" "And this was the defining moment for me. He said, 'I don't know, that's what it looked like.'"
1:29

Halle Berry opens up about being misdiagnosed with herpes and discovering her severe symptoms were actually perimenopause "First, when I was 54 years old, I had just met this man and we were having the best time. I finally met my person." "Then one morning, I tried to go to the bathroom, and I couldn't go. It was so painful, it took me almost 10 minutes to just empty my bladder." "I go right to the doctor and he said, 'I think I know what this is.' He said it's a really bad case of herpes." "We spent the next 72 hours doing the blame game, trying to figure out who gave it to me, who gave it to him." "Then a couple hours after that, my doctor called me and said that you do not have herpes. I'm like, 'Okay, then what is it?'" "And this was the defining moment for me. He said, 'I don't know, that's what it looked like.'"

Rixlerr

16,556 views • 8 days ago

an ex-Jane Street trader told me a paycheck is the most overpriced contract there is we were at a rooftop bar in tel aviv. friend of a friend. i told him i work in tech. $4,200/month after taxes. he showed me his phone. a terminal. green numbers. +$47,000. last 30 days. "Claude and one GitHub repo. that's the whole setup" i asked what he means. "copy-trading. but not how everyone else does it" he explained it fast. like he'd said it a hundred times. "most people copy wallets by win rate. useless. a wallet with 85% wins can still lose money. what matters is disposition ratio" he pulled up a wallet. 91% win rate on crypto. 14% on politics. "copy everything - you bleed. copy only their crypto - top 1% of the platform" i went home. couldn't sleep. opened Claude at 2am. "build a copy engine. filter by disposition ratio above 0.70. copy only dominant category per wallet. kelly sizing" gave it this: almost 1k stars. execution engine. order book logic. position sizing. open source. Claude rebuilt the whole system in one night. first week: +$3,200. second: +$2,900. third: +$2,100. fourth: +$1,648. +$9,848 total. 313 trades. 80% win rate. avg hold 5h. the wallets it copies now aren't the highest win rate. they're the best exits. 0xe41f8...b has $43.4K profit. tech only. disposition 0.82. 0xa22c3...d has $40.2K. crypto only. disposition 0.79. 0xf88d2...c has $22.4K. macro only. disposition 0.74. category P&L: > crypto +$974 > weather +$749 > politics +$409 > macro +$353 > sports -$50. killed it capital velocity: 51x. kelly f+ 0.073. drawdown -2.9%. copytrade: saw him two weeks later. showed him the terminal. he scrolled through it. "you built this in one night?" Claude did. "my old desk had 14 people on this" mine costs less than a Netflix subscription. he nodded. "quit your job" i'm thinking about it.
0:33

an ex-Jane Street trader told me a paycheck is the most overpriced contract there is we were at a rooftop bar in tel aviv. friend of a friend. i told him i work in tech. $4,200/month after taxes. he showed me his phone. a terminal. green numbers. +$47,000. last 30 days. "Claude and one GitHub repo. that's the whole setup" i asked what he means. "copy-trading. but not how everyone else does it" he explained it fast. like he'd said it a hundred times. "most people copy wallets by win rate. useless. a wallet with 85% wins can still lose money. what matters is disposition ratio" he pulled up a wallet. 91% win rate on crypto. 14% on politics. "copy everything - you bleed. copy only their crypto - top 1% of the platform" i went home. couldn't sleep. opened Claude at 2am. "build a copy engine. filter by disposition ratio above 0.70. copy only dominant category per wallet. kelly sizing" gave it this: almost 1k stars. execution engine. order book logic. position sizing. open source. Claude rebuilt the whole system in one night. first week: +$3,200. second: +$2,900. third: +$2,100. fourth: +$1,648. +$9,848 total. 313 trades. 80% win rate. avg hold 5h. the wallets it copies now aren't the highest win rate. they're the best exits. 0xe41f8...b has $43.4K profit. tech only. disposition 0.82. 0xa22c3...d has $40.2K. crypto only. disposition 0.79. 0xf88d2...c has $22.4K. macro only. disposition 0.74. category P&L: > crypto +$974 > weather +$749 > politics +$409 > macro +$353 > sports -$50. killed it capital velocity: 51x. kelly f+ 0.073. drawdown -2.9%. copytrade: saw him two weeks later. showed him the terminal. he scrolled through it. "you built this in one night?" Claude did. "my old desk had 14 people on this" mine costs less than a Netflix subscription. he nodded. "quit your job" i'm thinking about it.

Hanako

310,972 views • 4 months ago

#WATCH | Thane (Maharashtra) man allegedly running his car over his girlfriend | Victim Priya Singh says, "I had a four-and-a-half-year relationship with my boyfriend. We were completely in love with each other. I did not know earlier that he was married. Later, when I came to know he told me that they (his wife & him) were not together anymore, they had separated. He said that he wanted to marry me. I was staying with him for a long time. When I went to meet him that night, he was with his wife. I was in shock when I went to talk to him, he got aggressive. We had a fight. Three bones in my right leg are broken, it has been operated on. From my left shoulder to my hips I've deep injuries...I cannot move my body. Four days ago I went to file an FIR, the day all this happened. But no action was taken. Today, when I posted on the social media, the police have supported me today..."
2:02

#WATCH | Thane (Maharashtra) man allegedly running his car over his girlfriend | Victim Priya Singh says, "I had a four-and-a-half-year relationship with my boyfriend. We were completely in love with each other. I did not know earlier that he was married. Later, when I came to know he told me that they (his wife & him) were not together anymore, they had separated. He said that he wanted to marry me. I was staying with him for a long time. When I went to meet him that night, he was with his wife. I was in shock when I went to talk to him, he got aggressive. We had a fight. Three bones in my right leg are broken, it has been operated on. From my left shoulder to my hips I've deep injuries...I cannot move my body. Four days ago I went to file an FIR, the day all this happened. But no action was taken. Today, when I posted on the social media, the police have supported me today..."

ANI

1,938,461 views • 2 years ago

Ran into an Anthropic engineer at an airport lounge in Frankfurt last month. SFO delayed six hours. Nothing to do. I had my laptop open. Bot running. Three agents scoring markets in the background. Guy sits two seats down. Glances at my screen. Looks away. Looks back. "Is that Polymarket?" I said yeah. "You're running it with Claude Code?" I nodded. He pulled his chair closer. "I'm on the agent team. We stress-test this exact setup internally. You built it in your kitchen" I asked what stress-test meant. "Red team. We simulate what happens when someone gives Claude raw wallet data and tells it to find the winners. You're running the thing we were scared about" I showed him the scanner. One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades, 70 plus win rate. Rank by profit. Export top 50. Claude chewed through 14,000 wallets in under 4 minutes. Came back with 47. Top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "That's not a distribution. That's a hit list" I said yeah. "And the scoring function?" Claude wrote it. I just wrapped it in an if-statement. A fill landed on screen mid-conversation. +$128 on an ETH dominance market. He stared at it. "How does it decide to enter" Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 of 3 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade. That consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades. "And the exit" The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. Capture 73% of max. I cut at 85% of the expected move. Or a 3x volume spike. Whichever comes first. "So you built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales" Yeah. He put his coffee down. "That's exactly the thing we gamed out in March. Management killed the internal version on policy. Nobody outside the team should have shipped this yet" I asked what he was going to do. "Fly home and pretend I didn't see it" $600 seed. 31 days. Net +$35,200. 479 trades. 75% win rate. Sharpe 2.63. I haven't touched the bot in three weeks. Copytrade for those who don't want to build - Before boarding he slid a card across the table. "When the next agent model drops, rerun your prompt. You'll see what I mean"
0:27

Ran into an Anthropic engineer at an airport lounge in Frankfurt last month. SFO delayed six hours. Nothing to do. I had my laptop open. Bot running. Three agents scoring markets in the background. Guy sits two seats down. Glances at my screen. Looks away. Looks back. "Is that Polymarket?" I said yeah. "You're running it with Claude Code?" I nodded. He pulled his chair closer. "I'm on the agent team. We stress-test this exact setup internally. You built it in your kitchen" I asked what stress-test meant. "Red team. We simulate what happens when someone gives Claude raw wallet data and tells it to find the winners. You're running the thing we were scared about" I showed him the scanner. One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades, 70 plus win rate. Rank by profit. Export top 50. Claude chewed through 14,000 wallets in under 4 minutes. Came back with 47. Top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "That's not a distribution. That's a hit list" I said yeah. "And the scoring function?" Claude wrote it. I just wrapped it in an if-statement. A fill landed on screen mid-conversation. +$128 on an ETH dominance market. He stared at it. "How does it decide to enter" Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 of 3 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade. That consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades. "And the exit" The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. Capture 73% of max. I cut at 85% of the expected move. Or a 3x volume spike. Whichever comes first. "So you built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales" Yeah. He put his coffee down. "That's exactly the thing we gamed out in March. Management killed the internal version on policy. Nobody outside the team should have shipped this yet" I asked what he was going to do. "Fly home and pretend I didn't see it" $600 seed. 31 days. Net +$35,200. 479 trades. 75% win rate. Sharpe 2.63. I haven't touched the bot in three weeks. Copytrade for those who don't want to build - Before boarding he slid a card across the table. "When the next agent model drops, rerun your prompt. You'll see what I mean"

rari

618,879 views • 4 months ago

René Meulensteen, former Manchester United coach, on Cristiano Ronaldo: “Basically, I told him, ‘I think I know exactly what you want.’ He looked at me like, ‘How can you know? We’ve never had a conversation.’ I said, ‘Yes, I know.’ He asked, ‘What is it?’ I said, ‘You want to be the best player in the world—not once, not twice, but many, many times to come.’ I asked, ‘Am I wrong?’ He said, ‘No, you’re right.’ Then I asked him, ‘Will you be the best player in the world tomorrow?’ He said, ‘No, probably not.’ I said, ‘Next week?’ He said, ‘No.’ ‘Next month?’ ‘No.’ So I told him, ‘By the end of the season, we need to work on what will bring you closer to what you want to achieve. One of those aspects is understanding and being aware of the kind of player you are and the position you play. But more than anything, you need to understand how to utilize your strengths—and one of them is scoring goals.’ I asked, ‘How many goals did you score last season?’ He said, ‘23.’ I said, ‘Okay, but I assume you want to get better, don’t you?’ He said, ‘Yes.’ So I asked, ‘What’s your target for this season? Because if it’s the same, you’re not really improving.’ He thought about it and said, ‘30?’ I nodded. Then he asked, ‘What do you think?’ I said, ‘I think 40.’ He said, ‘Forty? That’s nearly double.’ Then I took him inside and showed him a video of United’s top strikers—Dwight Yorke, Andy Cole, Teddy Sheringham, Ole Gunnar Solskjær, and Ruud van Nistelrooy. It was a three-minute clip—goals after goals, bang, bang, bang. I asked, ‘What did you see?’ He said, ‘A lot of goals—beautiful goals.’ I said, ‘Yeah, but what do you really see?’ He said, ‘Goals.’ I said, ‘No, no, no. You’re going to watch it again and then tell me what you see.’ We watched it again, and I asked, ‘What do you see?’ He said, ‘I know what you mean—most goals are scored from inside the box, most are scored with one or two touches, and there’s a variety: tap-ins, shots, headers, and so on.’ I said, ‘Correct. These are exactly the three things you’re going to work on on the pitch.’”
1:57

René Meulensteen, former Manchester United coach, on Cristiano Ronaldo: “Basically, I told him, ‘I think I know exactly what you want.’ He looked at me like, ‘How can you know? We’ve never had a conversation.’ I said, ‘Yes, I know.’ He asked, ‘What is it?’ I said, ‘You want to be the best player in the world—not once, not twice, but many, many times to come.’ I asked, ‘Am I wrong?’ He said, ‘No, you’re right.’ Then I asked him, ‘Will you be the best player in the world tomorrow?’ He said, ‘No, probably not.’ I said, ‘Next week?’ He said, ‘No.’ ‘Next month?’ ‘No.’ So I told him, ‘By the end of the season, we need to work on what will bring you closer to what you want to achieve. One of those aspects is understanding and being aware of the kind of player you are and the position you play. But more than anything, you need to understand how to utilize your strengths—and one of them is scoring goals.’ I asked, ‘How many goals did you score last season?’ He said, ‘23.’ I said, ‘Okay, but I assume you want to get better, don’t you?’ He said, ‘Yes.’ So I asked, ‘What’s your target for this season? Because if it’s the same, you’re not really improving.’ He thought about it and said, ‘30?’ I nodded. Then he asked, ‘What do you think?’ I said, ‘I think 40.’ He said, ‘Forty? That’s nearly double.’ Then I took him inside and showed him a video of United’s top strikers—Dwight Yorke, Andy Cole, Teddy Sheringham, Ole Gunnar Solskjær, and Ruud van Nistelrooy. It was a three-minute clip—goals after goals, bang, bang, bang. I asked, ‘What did you see?’ He said, ‘A lot of goals—beautiful goals.’ I said, ‘Yeah, but what do you really see?’ He said, ‘Goals.’ I said, ‘No, no, no. You’re going to watch it again and then tell me what you see.’ We watched it again, and I asked, ‘What do you see?’ He said, ‘I know what you mean—most goals are scored from inside the box, most are scored with one or two touches, and there’s a variety: tap-ins, shots, headers, and so on.’ I said, ‘Correct. These are exactly the three things you’re going to work on on the pitch.’”

(fan)28^

101,573 views • 3 months ago

Howard Hawks on his meeting with Al Capone & what Capone and another famous Chicago gangster thought about 'Scarface' (1932) when they saw the film: "Interviewer: Did you have any contact with Al Capone while making the picture? Hawks: While we were making 'Scarface' (1932), five or six of them came out and said, “The boss wants us to see the picture.” And I said, “You go and tell him when it comes out, he can pay a dollar and buy a ticket. You don’t scare me. Why the hell don’t you come out and just ask to see it?” They reported to Capone that it was just great, and they invited me to Chicago to see him. They met me at the train, and they were late. One of the fellows said, “There was a killing last night and we had to go to the funeral.” I said, “Do I have to ride with you if there was a killing last night?” They said I could ride in a different car. But when we went into a café, they would sit with their backs to the wall, and I had my back to the door. We had some damn good-looking girls with us, a bit brassy but very pretty. When I saw Capone, we had tea, and he was dressed in a morning coat, striped trousers, a carnation, being a very nice man, saying how much he liked the picture. I was with him two, three hours. Then he asked me to come again, and I stopped by there. But there was a shooting in Chicago, so they said that he couldn’t come because he was hiding out in Atlantic City or something. Then he came to see me when I was working in Hollywood, and the cops came and arrested him right on the set. Interviewer: So he did see 'Scarface'? Hawks: Five or six times. He had his own print of it. He thought it was great. He’d say, “Jesus Christ, you guys got a lot of stuff in that picture! How’d you know about that?” I said, “Look—you know how somebody can’t testify if he’s a lawyer? Well, I’m a lawyer.” And he laughed. He didn’t give a damn. Another famous gangster brought two very lovely daughters out to watch the movie and introduced himself to me. He said, “Where’d you get that stuff in that killing?” I asked him, “Why? Are you mad?” He said, “No, I’m just curious.” I told him, and he laughed, and he said, “That’s the way we did the shooting. Why hasn’t the picture played in Chicago?” I said, “They won’t let me.” He said, “Do you want it to play?” I said yeah. And he said, “Can I use your phone a minute?” When he finished he said, “You can play it any time you want.” ('Hawks on Hawks', Joseph McBride, 1982) P.S: On this day, 94 years ago, 'Scarface' (1932) premiered in New Orleans, Luisiana.
1:22

Howard Hawks on his meeting with Al Capone & what Capone and another famous Chicago gangster thought about 'Scarface' (1932) when they saw the film: "Interviewer: Did you have any contact with Al Capone while making the picture? Hawks: While we were making 'Scarface' (1932), five or six of them came out and said, “The boss wants us to see the picture.” And I said, “You go and tell him when it comes out, he can pay a dollar and buy a ticket. You don’t scare me. Why the hell don’t you come out and just ask to see it?” They reported to Capone that it was just great, and they invited me to Chicago to see him. They met me at the train, and they were late. One of the fellows said, “There was a killing last night and we had to go to the funeral.” I said, “Do I have to ride with you if there was a killing last night?” They said I could ride in a different car. But when we went into a café, they would sit with their backs to the wall, and I had my back to the door. We had some damn good-looking girls with us, a bit brassy but very pretty. When I saw Capone, we had tea, and he was dressed in a morning coat, striped trousers, a carnation, being a very nice man, saying how much he liked the picture. I was with him two, three hours. Then he asked me to come again, and I stopped by there. But there was a shooting in Chicago, so they said that he couldn’t come because he was hiding out in Atlantic City or something. Then he came to see me when I was working in Hollywood, and the cops came and arrested him right on the set. Interviewer: So he did see 'Scarface'? Hawks: Five or six times. He had his own print of it. He thought it was great. He’d say, “Jesus Christ, you guys got a lot of stuff in that picture! How’d you know about that?” I said, “Look—you know how somebody can’t testify if he’s a lawyer? Well, I’m a lawyer.” And he laughed. He didn’t give a damn. Another famous gangster brought two very lovely daughters out to watch the movie and introduced himself to me. He said, “Where’d you get that stuff in that killing?” I asked him, “Why? Are you mad?” He said, “No, I’m just curious.” I told him, and he laughed, and he said, “That’s the way we did the shooting. Why hasn’t the picture played in Chicago?” I said, “They won’t let me.” He said, “Do you want it to play?” I said yeah. And he said, “Can I use your phone a minute?” When he finished he said, “You can play it any time you want.” ('Hawks on Hawks', Joseph McBride, 1982) P.S: On this day, 94 years ago, 'Scarface' (1932) premiered in New Orleans, Luisiana.

DepressedBergman

67,676 views • 4 months ago