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🇺🇸 A pattern is emerging around Trump's presidency: traders keep making millions right before his announcements move markets. Early trades ahead of his Iran war comments that tanked oil prices. A bet predicting Venezuela's Maduro removal before it happened, on a platform where Trump Jr. is an investor. How...

47,275 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Peter Schiff: Trump didn't win the Iran war; he handed Tehran the cards, then called it a strategy. Most people are asking whether America destroyed enough targets, whether Iran's nuclear programme was set back, or whether the ceasefire will hold. Schiff's question is much simpler: Who needs a deal more? And in his view, the answer isn't Iran, it's Trump. He argues Trump started a war he now has to end before the political cost catches up with him, because oil prices, the economy, and the midterms matter. And Iran knows it. That's why Schiff believes Tehran is negotiating from a position of strength, not weakness, and could actually emerge from this conflict in a better economic position than it was before the first bombs fell. Sanctions could be lifted, oil exports could surge, and a richer Iran eventually becomes a stronger Iran. Then we got onto JD Vance's comments about the MOU. Schiff thinks Vance accidentally revealed far more than he should have. If the MOU is really just about calming energy markets, rebuilding reserves, and buying political breathing room before deciding whether to strike again later, why would Iran trust any of it? And if Tehran believes another round of bombing is simply being delayed until conditions are more favourable for Washington, why would it make life easier for Trump in the meantime? While Washington is trying to convince the world it negotiated from strength, Schiff thinks the opposite happened. He believes the war exposed how dependent America still is on stable energy markets, and how much leverage that gives Iran once the shooting stops. Peter Schiff

Mario Nawfal

324,275 次观看 • 2 个月前

IRAN'S OIL WEAPON: TRUMP IS STUCK IN A LOSE-LOSE CATCH-22 University of Chicago strategist Prof. Robert Pape, just mapped the last few days of the Iran fight. He says this is not random tit-for-tat. Iran built a trap. The scoreboard he uses is simple: the daily price of oil. THE OIL SCOREBOARD ➡️ Early in the war, Pape says, oil stayed surprisingly low. ➡️ Trump could still talk the price down, and SPR inventories helped. ➡️ “What’s happened since the midpoint in July is it’s basically straight up.” ➡️ “Who’s controlling that price of oil? Not Trump. And his ability to talk it down is essentially disappeared.” ➡️ That chart, Pape argues, is not just energy. It is power. It is also the price of gas outside his door in Chicago. THE CATCH-22 ➡️ Iran built an offensive pattern that puts Trump on two bad horns. ➡️ Do nothing, and Iran looks like it is gaining power. ➡️ Hit back, and Iran out-escalates him — and he looks like he is losing power anyway. ➡️ “This is a no-win scenario for Trump.” ➡️ Tactical hits can still look like wins. Strategically, Pape says, the United States gets weaker. THE MIDTERM WEAPON ➡️ As oil ticks higher, Pape says Trump’s midterm prospects move the other way. ➡️ He calls that path “tremendous damage” to the presidency — “maybe irrevocable.” ➡️ CNN this morning, he notes, already has national gas prices rising in red states and blue states alike. ➡️ “Trump has lost control of the economy and Iran has gained it.” ➡️ That, in his reading, is the point of the strategy: keep baiting, keep the price climbing, and let November do the rest. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape’s claim is blunt. Iran is not just firing back. It is using oil as a political weapon, and Trump keeps walking into the same lose-lose trap. Watch the pump, not the press conference. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Robert A. Pape #IranOil #RobertPape #OilPrices #EscalationTrap #Trump #Midterms #Hormuz

Mark

38,926 次观看 • 16 天前