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A PHYSICS PROFESSOR GAVE THE SAME LECTURE 1,742 TIMES TO WARN ABOUT ONE IDEA QUIETLY BREAKING THE HUMAN RACE. IT IS THE WORD EVERY AI LAB THROWS AROUND TODAY AND ALMOST NONE OF THEM ACTUALLY UNDERSTAND IT. 72 minutes from Albert Bartlett, a University of Colorado physicist, on the...

100,138 次观看 • 2 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Elon Musk was asked how fast AI is moving. His answer wasn’t about the technology. It was about the one man who got it all right and was still too conservative. Musk: “I have to give credit to Ray Kurzweil in being actually remarkably accurate in his predictions. If anything, I think he was perhaps a bit conservative in his predictions.” Kurzweil spent 30 years making forecasts that made serious people uncomfortable. He predicted timelines that sounded impossible. He was mocked for it. He was right about nearly all of them. And Musk just called him conservative. Musk: “The dedicated AI compute appears to be growing by a factor of 10 every six months.” 10x every six months. Musk: “Almost a 100x improvement per year, at least for the next few years.” Moore’s Law was a 2x improvement every two years. That single curve drove every technological shift of the last 50 years. The internet. Smartphones. Cloud computing. All of it rode a 2x curve. AI is on a 100x curve. And the current infrastructure isn’t running beside the new one. It’s becoming it. Musk: “Probably a lot of the data centers, maybe most of the data centers that currently do conventional compute, will transition to AI compute.” Everything that runs the world you know is being rewired for the world that comes next. Human beings process the future in straight lines. We take the speed of the last decade and project it forward. Exponential growth doesn’t work that way. It’s invisible until it’s everywhere. The most aggressive forecaster in the history of technology was too conservative. That’s not about Kurzweil being wrong about the direction. That’s about the human brain being wrong about the speed. The limit was never the technology. It was the organ we use to comprehend it. And that organ hasn’t been upgraded in 200,000 years.

Dustin

214,158 次观看 • 3 个月前

Ten million people have watched an MIT professor teach a course whose first lecture is literally titled "What is a Derivative?" Almost none have written down the two-line answer. He filmed the lecture once in the fall of 2007 and it has been on YouTube ever since. Math tutors charge $200 an hour to teach a diluted version of what he covered in 50 minutes for free. His name is David Jerison. He is a professor of mathematics at MIT and the instructor of 18.01 Single Variable Calculus, one of the most-watched math courses in the history of the internet. The 50-minute clip in this video is Lecture 1, filmed at MIT in the fall of 2007. Jerison is deriving the definition of a derivative from a single tangent line. The whole framework fits on a napkin. A derivative is just how much y changes when x moves a tiny bit. Draw a tangent line to any curve at any point. The slope of that line is the derivative. Memorize one formula, the power rule, and you can differentiate every polynomial on earth in your head. Chain that with a handful of exceptions and you can differentiate almost every function humanity has ever written down. That single set of rules is what every neural network runs on gradient descent, what every rocket landing at SpaceX solves in real time, and what every options desk at Goldman Sachs is running behind every quote you see on the screen. "In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them." That is John von Neumann, the mathematician who helped design the atomic bomb and invent the modern computer. Jerison returns to the same idea in every lecture. Almost no student giving up on calculus has heard von Neumann say it out loud. Every quant fund on Wall Street pays entry-level analysts $250,000 to know the same power rule Jerison derives on the board. Every AI bootcamp charges tens of thousands to teach a diluted version of the same equation on a laptop. The lecture is free on MIT OpenCourseWare. The textbook is under sixty dollars. Almost none of the millions who watched have ever taken the power rule and applied it to their own numbers on their own paper. The math is free. The willingness to actually take one derivative before your next model, trade, or engineering trade-off is the entire edge.

Lumen

24,218 次观看 • 5 天前