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A Proven Trading Strategies With A 91.03% Win Rate

89,694 views • 8 days ago •via X (Twitter)

17 Comments

Davidd Tech's profile picture
Davidd Tech7 days ago

91% win rate isn't feasible long term. Also think win rate is such an overrated metric. One of my most profitable strategies has a 39% win rate.

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com7 days ago

It depends on the strategy type. This is a mean reversion strategy that trades infrequently. Trend following, for example, has a much lower win rate.

atul bhavsar's profile picture
atul bhavsar8 days ago

Can you please post chart with RSI?

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com7 days ago

Hi, we recommend starting backtesting this yourself. It does not work on all markets, though.

Basweshwar's profile picture
Basweshwar8 days ago

Should have explained with charts with given rules. Entry & Exit, the RSI conditions are confusing. sorry for negative remark but this is just simple experience-based opinion.

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com7 days ago

Thanks for the input.

JayaPrakash P's profile picture
JayaPrakash P7 days ago

Low trade count: Only 78 trades over 33 years (~2 trades per year). That’s statistically weak — too few data points to prove robustness. Small average gain: 1.4% per trade is modest. With slippage, commissions, and taxes, net returns could shrink significantly.

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com7 days ago

You are not trading SPY. Commission is practically zero, and slippage is very low inn such a heavy asset. 1.4% per trade is modest?

AlgoForge's profile picture
AlgoForge7 days ago

The number I'd want next to 91% is average win vs average loss. High win rates on mean reversion usually mean many small wins and occasional large ones against you, which is workable, but the win rate alone doesn't tell you if it is. Also, that curve looks like it spans 30+ years. Was the RSI parameter set chosen before or after seeing the full history?

Sextius Niger sequens's profile picture
Sextius Niger sequens7 days ago

Any strategy should be post with a benchmark to give context.

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com6 days ago

Why? The point is to add many strategies, not necessarily having one strategy beating the index. It's like comparing apples to oranges.

JayaPrakash P's profile picture
JayaPrakash P7 days ago

Opportunity cost: Being invested only ~6 days per trade means long idle periods. Capital may sit unused for months. Psychological sustainability: A strategy that triggers so rarely can be frustrating — traders may abandon it before the edge plays out.

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com7 days ago

Of course, that is this can be a strategy of several other, both mean reversion and trend following. Not to mention other assets!

Nebiaro's profile picture
Nebiaro7 days ago

Wtf is this? Paper trading? Test it LIVE and we'll see the results.

Bryan Westbrook's profile picture
Bryan Westbrook7 days ago

Successful institutional traders ignore RSI

QuantifiedStrategies.com's profile picture
QuantifiedStrategies.com6 days ago

Do they?

Arkabrata Das's profile picture
Arkabrata Das6 days ago

Most profitable strategies will have a 30% to 40% win rate.

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