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a quant who started as a technical trader explained what changed everything for him he stopped trying to predict where price goes he started measuring the probability of each market state and betting only when the math was asymmetric that shift took him from drawing trendlines to writing models...

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110,791 просмотров • 7 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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quants don't predict markets. they stopped trying years ago retail is still asking "where is price going?" - quants switched to a different question entirely "given the current state, what's the probability distribution of outcomes" that's not a semantics game. it changes the math entirely stochastic processes model how a system evolves probabilistically - not picking a direction, mapping where each path leads and how likely it is ornstein-uhlenbeck does this for mean reversion: drift rate back to equilibrium, variance around that path same price data everybody has. different equation math is a century old, free in every applied probability textbook Bookmark and learn this before it gone you've been drawing trend lines while they ran probability distributions on same numbers it was never about data it was the question you were taught to ask
1:27

quants don't predict markets. they stopped trying years ago retail is still asking "where is price going?" - quants switched to a different question entirely "given the current state, what's the probability distribution of outcomes" that's not a semantics game. it changes the math entirely stochastic processes model how a system evolves probabilistically - not picking a direction, mapping where each path leads and how likely it is ornstein-uhlenbeck does this for mean reversion: drift rate back to equilibrium, variance around that path same price data everybody has. different equation math is a century old, free in every applied probability textbook Bookmark and learn this before it gone you've been drawing trend lines while they ran probability distributions on same numbers it was never about data it was the question you were taught to ask

Livsun

13,176 просмотров • 11 дней назад

He was just a janitor at MIT. One day, while mopping the floor, he glanced at a math problem on the blackboard. He had no idea it was one of the most advanced, difficult equations in the world, yet he solved it effortlessly,this gained him a lot of attention.
4:11

He was just a janitor at MIT. One day, while mopping the floor, he glanced at a math problem on the blackboard. He had no idea it was one of the most advanced, difficult equations in the world, yet he solved it effortlessly,this gained him a lot of attention.

Ola

63,466 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

100 billion dollars made without predicting a single price direction not a direction call, a macro bet, or a news trade in sight they asked a completely different question than every retail trader alive retail: "will this go up?" quant: "what state is the market in, and where does that state historically lead?" same data. completely different game markets aren't random - they cycle through states: trending, ranging, compressing, reversing each state has a fixed historical probability of transitioning to the next that's the whole edge. not a signal, not an indicator - just conditional probability you don't need to know what fed will do or what earnings will print you need to know which state you're in and what that state leads to 68% of the time framework has been public since 1906 Bookmark it before it gone data is free, implementation is 200 lines of python, paper costs nothing they built 100 billion off math sitting in statistics textbooks your whole life you were staring at candles while they ran probability tables
0:52

100 billion dollars made without predicting a single price direction not a direction call, a macro bet, or a news trade in sight they asked a completely different question than every retail trader alive retail: "will this go up?" quant: "what state is the market in, and where does that state historically lead?" same data. completely different game markets aren't random - they cycle through states: trending, ranging, compressing, reversing each state has a fixed historical probability of transitioning to the next that's the whole edge. not a signal, not an indicator - just conditional probability you don't need to know what fed will do or what earnings will print you need to know which state you're in and what that state leads to 68% of the time framework has been public since 1906 Bookmark it before it gone data is free, implementation is 200 lines of python, paper costs nothing they built 100 billion off math sitting in statistics textbooks your whole life you were staring at candles while they ran probability tables

Livsun

13,335 просмотров • 9 дней назад

THIS GUY CONNECTED CLAUDE TO TRADINGVIEW AND CUT 200+ HOURS OF MANUAL CHART WORK 40 trades a week used to mean the same loop: open the chart, check RSI, compare EMA, write notes and wait for the next setup now Claude reads TradingView 24/7, tracks volume, indicators and price conditions while he is not even at the desk this is not a $20k trading terminal and not a quant fund setup, just one laptop, one chart and one strategy written in plain English the crazy part is not that Claude predicts the market, it is that a regular trader can remove the boring human loop from every setup ↓
0:26

THIS GUY CONNECTED CLAUDE TO TRADINGVIEW AND CUT 200+ HOURS OF MANUAL CHART WORK 40 trades a week used to mean the same loop: open the chart, check RSI, compare EMA, write notes and wait for the next setup now Claude reads TradingView 24/7, tracks volume, indicators and price conditions while he is not even at the desk this is not a $20k trading terminal and not a quant fund setup, just one laptop, one chart and one strategy written in plain English the crazy part is not that Claude predicts the market, it is that a regular trader can remove the boring human loop from every setup ↓

Gipp 🦅

54,844 просмотров • 11 дней назад

a quant at a prop firm showed me a 5x5 grid on a napkin said: > this is our entire edge. we don't predict price. we predict which box the market is in and where that box historically leads i didn't understand it for weeks. then it clicked never looked at a chart the same way since grid is called a Markov Chain transition matrix. the math is from 1906, it's in every probability textbook on earth and hedge funds use it because it asks a completely different question than retail traders ever ask retail: will this go up or down quant: what state is this market in, and where does this state typically go every market lives in one of maybe 5-6 states at any given moment tight range, volatility compression, trending with momentum, post-spike reversal, pre-breakout coil not random labels - clusters you identify from actual data using volatility, volume, and momentum readings stacked together once you have the states, you build the matrix: P(state 2 -> state 4) = 73% P(state 4 -> state 1) = 61% P(state 1 -> state 3) = 68% each cell is a historical probability. now when the market is in state 2, you're not guessing you're betting on 73% historical completion. you size it with Kelly. you take the trade when the math says to, not when it feels right i built this on BTC using 2 years of 4-hour data. identified 5 states one i labeled "volatility compression below 20-day mean for 6+ consecutive candles" transitioned to a directional move above 1.8 ATR in 71% of cases average reward/risk on those trades: 5.4 that's not prediction. that's reading a probability table the market keeps filling in for you every single day the part that should bother you: the data to build this is free. the framework is in any quant textbook python to implement it is maybe 200 lines what Renaissance Technologies has that you don't isn't secret data or proprietary signals it's this framework applied to higher-resolution data with more sophisticated state definitions you're not missing information you're asking the wrong question every single time you open a chart
0:26

a quant at a prop firm showed me a 5x5 grid on a napkin said: > this is our entire edge. we don't predict price. we predict which box the market is in and where that box historically leads i didn't understand it for weeks. then it clicked never looked at a chart the same way since grid is called a Markov Chain transition matrix. the math is from 1906, it's in every probability textbook on earth and hedge funds use it because it asks a completely different question than retail traders ever ask retail: will this go up or down quant: what state is this market in, and where does this state typically go every market lives in one of maybe 5-6 states at any given moment tight range, volatility compression, trending with momentum, post-spike reversal, pre-breakout coil not random labels - clusters you identify from actual data using volatility, volume, and momentum readings stacked together once you have the states, you build the matrix: P(state 2 -> state 4) = 73% P(state 4 -> state 1) = 61% P(state 1 -> state 3) = 68% each cell is a historical probability. now when the market is in state 2, you're not guessing you're betting on 73% historical completion. you size it with Kelly. you take the trade when the math says to, not when it feels right i built this on BTC using 2 years of 4-hour data. identified 5 states one i labeled "volatility compression below 20-day mean for 6+ consecutive candles" transitioned to a directional move above 1.8 ATR in 71% of cases average reward/risk on those trades: 5.4 that's not prediction. that's reading a probability table the market keeps filling in for you every single day the part that should bother you: the data to build this is free. the framework is in any quant textbook python to implement it is maybe 200 lines what Renaissance Technologies has that you don't isn't secret data or proprietary signals it's this framework applied to higher-resolution data with more sophisticated state definitions you're not missing information you're asking the wrong question every single time you open a chart

Livsun

187,776 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Kevin O'Leary reveals the cruelest sentence of his life was the one that saved it. Kevin O'Leary said he has always wanted to be a photographer. He was already working as a cameraman, ready to bet his life on a lens. His stepfather sat him down and said: "I'm sorry, but you're just not good enough. You don't have what it takes to survive against the level of quality that's out there." Kevin calls it the harshest sentence anyone ever delivered to him. He also calls it the most important one. He went back to school. Got a business degree. Started a production company called Special Event Television out of spite — but he didn't put himself behind the camera. He hired a real cameraman. He learned to edit. He sold the company. That was his first deal. The thing he took from that day became his operating system: knowing what you're bad at matters more than knowing what you're good at. Logistics bore him, so he gives up equity to anyone who can do it. He stays in marketing because that's the only seat where he compounds. Then he stopped pretending. The cruelest sentence of his life was the one that saved it. P.S. Pull the thread on any story like this and you'll find the hidden incentive at the other end. As Munger said: "Show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome." So I wrote a short book on how to spot them and design your own. Comment "INCENTIVES" and I'll send you the details. If you're new here, follow GeniusThinking for content on the greatest minds in economics, psychology, and history. — Kevin O'Leary ( Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful ), chairman of O'Leary Ventures and Shark Tank investor, on Graham Stephan's ( Graham Stephan ) and Jack Selby's ( Jack Selby ) Iced Coffee Hour podcast
1:07

Kevin O'Leary reveals the cruelest sentence of his life was the one that saved it. Kevin O'Leary said he has always wanted to be a photographer. He was already working as a cameraman, ready to bet his life on a lens. His stepfather sat him down and said: "I'm sorry, but you're just not good enough. You don't have what it takes to survive against the level of quality that's out there." Kevin calls it the harshest sentence anyone ever delivered to him. He also calls it the most important one. He went back to school. Got a business degree. Started a production company called Special Event Television out of spite — but he didn't put himself behind the camera. He hired a real cameraman. He learned to edit. He sold the company. That was his first deal. The thing he took from that day became his operating system: knowing what you're bad at matters more than knowing what you're good at. Logistics bore him, so he gives up equity to anyone who can do it. He stays in marketing because that's the only seat where he compounds. Then he stopped pretending. The cruelest sentence of his life was the one that saved it. P.S. Pull the thread on any story like this and you'll find the hidden incentive at the other end. As Munger said: "Show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome." So I wrote a short book on how to spot them and design your own. Comment "INCENTIVES" and I'll send you the details. If you're new here, follow GeniusThinking for content on the greatest minds in economics, psychology, and history. — Kevin O'Leary ( Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful ), chairman of O'Leary Ventures and Shark Tank investor, on Graham Stephan's ( Graham Stephan ) and Jack Selby's ( Jack Selby ) Iced Coffee Hour podcast

GeniusThinking

25,562 просмотров • 20 дней назад

"[Lewis Hamilton] was really down on himself. And no one likes to see that because at the end of the day, whether you're a fan or not, Lewis Hamilton is the greatest racing driver we've ever seen." "Statistically, he is the greatest. I think he's the greatest even without the stats." "He wears his heart on his sleeve and should be applauded for that because it does a lot of good when he wears his heart on his sleeve. He did apologise to Rachel Brookes for being so down in the dumps off camera. He said, 'I'm really sorry about that. I'm just so down.' And that just shows the extent that he really was down. He's not putting this on for the cameras, trust me." "And once again, it's right after the race. He's not had time for a debrief. He's not had time to have a chat with his race engineer. So he probably didn't know the extent of whatever damage the car had at the time he spoke to Rachel. And he probably didn't realise that it was the car that was hindering him more so than his driving in that one. And look, when you're in a Ferrari and you're overtaken by Nico Hülkenberg, albeit in a Ferrari powered Sauber, you're going to question, 'is it me really? Am I doing something wrong here?' Because it just didn't go for him really from the outset." [📹 The Fast And The Curious]
1:11

"[Lewis Hamilton] was really down on himself. And no one likes to see that because at the end of the day, whether you're a fan or not, Lewis Hamilton is the greatest racing driver we've ever seen." "Statistically, he is the greatest. I think he's the greatest even without the stats." "He wears his heart on his sleeve and should be applauded for that because it does a lot of good when he wears his heart on his sleeve. He did apologise to Rachel Brookes for being so down in the dumps off camera. He said, 'I'm really sorry about that. I'm just so down.' And that just shows the extent that he really was down. He's not putting this on for the cameras, trust me." "And once again, it's right after the race. He's not had time for a debrief. He's not had time to have a chat with his race engineer. So he probably didn't know the extent of whatever damage the car had at the time he spoke to Rachel. And he probably didn't realise that it was the car that was hindering him more so than his driving in that one. And look, when you're in a Ferrari and you're overtaken by Nico Hülkenberg, albeit in a Ferrari powered Sauber, you're going to question, 'is it me really? Am I doing something wrong here?' Because it just didn't go for him really from the outset." [📹 The Fast And The Curious]

sim 🇧🇷🇲🇽🇸🇳🇫🇷🇭🇹

97,656 просмотров • 1 год назад

The biggest play in the Mets/White Sox game yesterday, Tyrone Taylor's 2B to center. The ball had a 90% catch probability. That's for all outfielders, not just center fielders. Luis Robert's jump was -7.1 feet below average. And that guy in LF? Michael A. Taylor, one of the best CF in the league. He had a 10% probability from where he was and probably would have caught it if Robert didn't go after it. No excuse for him to be anywhere but CF if he's on the field for the Sox.
0:20

The biggest play in the Mets/White Sox game yesterday, Tyrone Taylor's 2B to center. The ball had a 90% catch probability. That's for all outfielders, not just center fielders. Luis Robert's jump was -7.1 feet below average. And that guy in LF? Michael A. Taylor, one of the best CF in the league. He had a 10% probability from where he was and probably would have caught it if Robert didn't go after it. No excuse for him to be anywhere but CF if he's on the field for the Sox.

The WARmonger

191,446 просмотров • 1 год назад

How Jeffrey Epstein rose from maths nerd, to a financial fixer for elites, to the boss of blackmail: ‘If you look at Epstein’s operation, what it looks like to me is that it’s a criminal operation on a number of different levels. Epstein is an interesting case because where does he come from? Well, he doesn’t come from a wealthy family. He doesn’t come from an influential family. He was a Long Island kid who was good at mathematics…he was a kind of smart, nerdy kid who made friends by doing their math homework. You’re not popular because you’re a jock. You’re not popular necessarily because you’re that good-looking or you dance well. You’re popular because you can do other people’s math homework and get them to pass. His whole career is ingratiating himself to wealthy, powerful people. What did he do as a financial advisor? Look at it. Just stand back and look at what he did. And what he did was that he helped them dodge taxes. He also helped them hide money. He could help people discover money that had been hidden abroad. He could help them hide money. If you do one, you can do the other. And that’s how he moved as a kind of fixer and arranger into the realm of the rich and powerful. And in that process, either he or other people who were working with him found out that these people can be compromised in a number of ways. And so then you start installing cameras in your residences, in the bedrooms and the bathrooms. There’s only one reason you do that. It’s fairly simple. The only reason why you collect all of this video information on your rich and powerful friends is to potentially use it as leverage against them. You don’t have to actually use it. You simply have to make them aware that you have it and could use it.’ -Prof. Richard Spence on the latest episode of Going Underground FULL INTERVIEW:
3:19

How Jeffrey Epstein rose from maths nerd, to a financial fixer for elites, to the boss of blackmail: ‘If you look at Epstein’s operation, what it looks like to me is that it’s a criminal operation on a number of different levels. Epstein is an interesting case because where does he come from? Well, he doesn’t come from a wealthy family. He doesn’t come from an influential family. He was a Long Island kid who was good at mathematics…he was a kind of smart, nerdy kid who made friends by doing their math homework. You’re not popular because you’re a jock. You’re not popular necessarily because you’re that good-looking or you dance well. You’re popular because you can do other people’s math homework and get them to pass. His whole career is ingratiating himself to wealthy, powerful people. What did he do as a financial advisor? Look at it. Just stand back and look at what he did. And what he did was that he helped them dodge taxes. He also helped them hide money. He could help people discover money that had been hidden abroad. He could help them hide money. If you do one, you can do the other. And that’s how he moved as a kind of fixer and arranger into the realm of the rich and powerful. And in that process, either he or other people who were working with him found out that these people can be compromised in a number of ways. And so then you start installing cameras in your residences, in the bedrooms and the bathrooms. There’s only one reason you do that. It’s fairly simple. The only reason why you collect all of this video information on your rich and powerful friends is to potentially use it as leverage against them. You don’t have to actually use it. You simply have to make them aware that you have it and could use it.’ -Prof. Richard Spence on the latest episode of Going Underground FULL INTERVIEW:

Going Underground

68,766 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Tupac was a performer through and through. At his core, he was an actor, a poet, and a thinker—not a gangster. Sure, he rapped about the streets and the struggles that came with them, but that was more about telling the stories of the people around him than living that life himself. He had the smarts and the charisma to pull people in, whether it was on stage, on screen, or in his music. He trained at the Baltimore School for the Arts, where he honed his craft, showing he was born to entertain. The "gangster" image? That was more about the industry and the media pushing a narrative than who Tupac really was at heart. Tupac was an artist first, using his voice and talent to speak for the people, share their pain, and make you feel something. He wasn’t about the gangster life—he was about the art and the message.
2:18

Tupac was a performer through and through. At his core, he was an actor, a poet, and a thinker—not a gangster. Sure, he rapped about the streets and the struggles that came with them, but that was more about telling the stories of the people around him than living that life himself. He had the smarts and the charisma to pull people in, whether it was on stage, on screen, or in his music. He trained at the Baltimore School for the Arts, where he honed his craft, showing he was born to entertain. The "gangster" image? That was more about the industry and the media pushing a narrative than who Tupac really was at heart. Tupac was an artist first, using his voice and talent to speak for the people, share their pain, and make you feel something. He wasn’t about the gangster life—he was about the art and the message.

Gerry

33,998 просмотров • 1 год назад

Jonni Skinner is a heroic young man Jonni S🦎. If you are willing to understand what Gender Affirming "Care" actually entails from what it looks like in a gender clinic here in Michigan, please listen to his experience. He was naturally effeminate and gay as a boy where he was therefore not accepted by many around him. He sought answers for the traumas he was living through. At 13 years old, he was placed on a medicalized path at the University of Michigan to attempt to change him into a girl. The doctor contended that he was not gay, he was just a girl. He was diagnosed with "tall stature" because the doctor told him if he was too tall as a girl, he would not be able to find a mate. They therefore deliberately stunted his growth as if being tall was a disease. He was 5'7 at the time. Nine years later, he is 5'8. He was diagnosed with an endocrine disorder related puberty that he did not have to be placed on puberty blockers and cross sex hormones. The doctor used fraudulent coding more than 100 times in his medical records. He was prescribed "affirming gear" where they sent him to a sex shop across the state in Wyandotte. His doctors fearmongered him and his mother saying the phrase "would you like to have a dead son, or a living daughter". They threatened to take him from his mother if she refused their malicious pharmaceutical path. His doctor ignored the ailments related to the powerful drugs he was placed on and dismissed the sexual disfunction they were causing him by saying he could seek other means of "pleasure". The doctors ultimately ghosted him in 2021 by legitimately hanging up on him and never speaking with him again. His unique ailments related to this "care" have him being turned away from doctors today. He deserves justice and actual care. We hope to aid him in that endeavor.
52:17

Jonni Skinner is a heroic young man Jonni S🦎. If you are willing to understand what Gender Affirming "Care" actually entails from what it looks like in a gender clinic here in Michigan, please listen to his experience. He was naturally effeminate and gay as a boy where he was therefore not accepted by many around him. He sought answers for the traumas he was living through. At 13 years old, he was placed on a medicalized path at the University of Michigan to attempt to change him into a girl. The doctor contended that he was not gay, he was just a girl. He was diagnosed with "tall stature" because the doctor told him if he was too tall as a girl, he would not be able to find a mate. They therefore deliberately stunted his growth as if being tall was a disease. He was 5'7 at the time. Nine years later, he is 5'8. He was diagnosed with an endocrine disorder related puberty that he did not have to be placed on puberty blockers and cross sex hormones. The doctor used fraudulent coding more than 100 times in his medical records. He was prescribed "affirming gear" where they sent him to a sex shop across the state in Wyandotte. His doctors fearmongered him and his mother saying the phrase "would you like to have a dead son, or a living daughter". They threatened to take him from his mother if she refused their malicious pharmaceutical path. His doctor ignored the ailments related to the powerful drugs he was placed on and dismissed the sexual disfunction they were causing him by saying he could seek other means of "pleasure". The doctors ultimately ghosted him in 2021 by legitimately hanging up on him and never speaking with him again. His unique ailments related to this "care" have him being turned away from doctors today. He deserves justice and actual care. We hope to aid him in that endeavor.

Brad Paquette

110,000 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

The Complete Journey to (Peaceful Community) Islam.🤯 1. During the last ten nights of Ramadan, something deeply changed inside his heart. In those sacred nights, he felt a peace and clarity he could hardly explain. It was as if his soul had finally discovered the truth it had been searching for his entire life. In those quiet moments of reflection and prayer, a strong connection to Islam began to grow within him. 2. In those nights, people seek forgiveness, guidance, and closeness to Allah. In that calm and spiritual atmosphere, his heart felt transformed. On a blessed Friday, he went to the mosque and took his Shahada, declaring that there is no god but Allah and that Muhammad ﷺ is His Messenger. In that moment, he felt as if he had finally come home spiritually, and a heavy burden was lifted from his heart. 3. After embracing Islam, what touched him the most was the love and kindness of the Muslim community. He had only been living in Dubai for six months, yet the Muslims there welcomed him with open arms. People from different countries, languages, and cultures treated him like a brother. There was no judgment or discrimination—only sincerity, compassion, and love for the sake of Allah. 4. He shared that he grew up without a father, and strong guidance was something he rarely experienced. But among the Muslim community, he saw men supporting one another, guiding each other, and reminding each other to stay on the straight path. Standing in the mosque surrounded by believers from all over the world, he felt a deep sense of belonging for the first time in his life. 5. Now Dubai is not just a city for him—it feels like home. He sees this moment as the beginning of a new chapter in his life. It is a journey of faith, discipline, humility, and personal growth. He prays that Allah keeps his heart firm on this path, continues to guide him, and blesses everyone who supported him on this journey.
0:46

The Complete Journey to (Peaceful Community) Islam.🤯 1. During the last ten nights of Ramadan, something deeply changed inside his heart. In those sacred nights, he felt a peace and clarity he could hardly explain. It was as if his soul had finally discovered the truth it had been searching for his entire life. In those quiet moments of reflection and prayer, a strong connection to Islam began to grow within him. 2. In those nights, people seek forgiveness, guidance, and closeness to Allah. In that calm and spiritual atmosphere, his heart felt transformed. On a blessed Friday, he went to the mosque and took his Shahada, declaring that there is no god but Allah and that Muhammad ﷺ is His Messenger. In that moment, he felt as if he had finally come home spiritually, and a heavy burden was lifted from his heart. 3. After embracing Islam, what touched him the most was the love and kindness of the Muslim community. He had only been living in Dubai for six months, yet the Muslims there welcomed him with open arms. People from different countries, languages, and cultures treated him like a brother. There was no judgment or discrimination—only sincerity, compassion, and love for the sake of Allah. 4. He shared that he grew up without a father, and strong guidance was something he rarely experienced. But among the Muslim community, he saw men supporting one another, guiding each other, and reminding each other to stay on the straight path. Standing in the mosque surrounded by believers from all over the world, he felt a deep sense of belonging for the first time in his life. 5. Now Dubai is not just a city for him—it feels like home. He sees this moment as the beginning of a new chapter in his life. It is a journey of faith, discipline, humility, and personal growth. He prays that Allah keeps his heart firm on this path, continues to guide him, and blesses everyone who supported him on this journey.

Nawazish Ahmad

28,188 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This woman rented a horse drawn carriage for a wedding procession, everything was going according to plan he showed up on time at the proper location everything was perfect in his eyes however the lady who rented the buggy took exception to the way the horse handler/groom was dressed and came completely unglued and started cursing at the buggy driver and threw a drink on him, when he returned serve and started moving away with the buggy the whole crowd started to converge on him ready to pounce forcing him to go to the whip on the horses to make his getaway. Why is it everywhere you look People ! think this is acceptable behavior ?
0:42

This woman rented a horse drawn carriage for a wedding procession, everything was going according to plan he showed up on time at the proper location everything was perfect in his eyes however the lady who rented the buggy took exception to the way the horse handler/groom was dressed and came completely unglued and started cursing at the buggy driver and threw a drink on him, when he returned serve and started moving away with the buggy the whole crowd started to converge on him ready to pounce forcing him to go to the whip on the horses to make his getaway. Why is it everywhere you look People ! think this is acceptable behavior ?

MAGA X Times Daily News 🇺🇸

1,056,841 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

ABC News photojournalist Chris Plater, a witness to the scene after two National Guardsmen were shot in D.C.: "One person said something like, you know, man, the guy went up there and started shooting at the National Guard. I didn't get to talk to him, but I didn't get to, you know, know who he was. But it seemed like he suggested that somebody went up and started shooting at the National Guard." "One National Guard was lying on his side. They were rendering aid to him. He wasn't moving, but he was on his side. And then I looked at the the other National Guard member that was down, and I saw compressions going on. I, you know, it was -- it was a lot of people around there. So I don't think it was the person that had done the shooting. And all I could tell you is that I identified two National Guard members that were being worked on. Eventually, the one National Guard that was on the side, he got to move a little bit while he was on his side. And they were still, you know, kind of, you know, working with him. But the other national Guard member, I just saw compression going on with him in the chest area, and that's that's all I can tell you."
1:25

ABC News photojournalist Chris Plater, a witness to the scene after two National Guardsmen were shot in D.C.: "One person said something like, you know, man, the guy went up there and started shooting at the National Guard. I didn't get to talk to him, but I didn't get to, you know, know who he was. But it seemed like he suggested that somebody went up and started shooting at the National Guard." "One National Guard was lying on his side. They were rendering aid to him. He wasn't moving, but he was on his side. And then I looked at the the other National Guard member that was down, and I saw compressions going on. I, you know, it was -- it was a lot of people around there. So I don't think it was the person that had done the shooting. And all I could tell you is that I identified two National Guard members that were being worked on. Eventually, the one National Guard that was on the side, he got to move a little bit while he was on his side. And they were still, you know, kind of, you know, working with him. But the other national Guard member, I just saw compression going on with him in the chest area, and that's that's all I can tell you."

Curtis Houck

697,899 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

the Atlassian engineer who was laid off dropped a full guide to becoming a senior engineer after 15 years in the industry Vasilios Syrakis - no university degree. Made it to Senior Engineer anyway the things that actually worked: > taught himself Regex by mass-answering Stack Overflow until he became the expert people came to > learned Python for free, immediately built a DNS web interface and shipped it - didn't wait to feel ready > watched the same conference talks dozens of times until concepts actually stuck if he was starting from zero today: > get a CS degree - he skipped it and says that was a mistake > build a home Kubernetes cluster and try to sell what you make > grind LeetCode - not for the code, for the vocabulary to prompt Claude correctly > share everything publicly - the audience compounds faster than the skills > show up to meetups in person the one mindset shift that separates juniors from seniors: when you join a new team, write a deep analysis of how everything works before touching a single line of code > 15 years at the top of the industry and he still gets impostor syndrome so does everyone else who's actually good the roadmap is in the video 👇
11:30

the Atlassian engineer who was laid off dropped a full guide to becoming a senior engineer after 15 years in the industry Vasilios Syrakis - no university degree. Made it to Senior Engineer anyway the things that actually worked: > taught himself Regex by mass-answering Stack Overflow until he became the expert people came to > learned Python for free, immediately built a DNS web interface and shipped it - didn't wait to feel ready > watched the same conference talks dozens of times until concepts actually stuck if he was starting from zero today: > get a CS degree - he skipped it and says that was a mistake > build a home Kubernetes cluster and try to sell what you make > grind LeetCode - not for the code, for the vocabulary to prompt Claude correctly > share everything publicly - the audience compounds faster than the skills > show up to meetups in person the one mindset shift that separates juniors from seniors: when you join a new team, write a deep analysis of how everything works before touching a single line of code > 15 years at the top of the industry and he still gets impostor syndrome so does everyone else who's actually good the roadmap is in the video 👇

Mr. Buzzoni

56,614 просмотров • 16 дней назад

It boils down to this concept of signal-to-noise ratio. Steve was not a nice guy, but he was myopically focused on his business in an almost perverse way. He worked 18 hours a day. And I've started to realize that he didn't let anything get in the way of whatever tasks he had to achieve in that 18-hour period. Not a long vision for the year, not for the month, for that day. He didn't let anything get in the way of the four or five things he was going to get done that day. Elon Musk is 100% signal, zero noise. I've seen him walk away from a conversation the minute he realized that there was no useful information in it. But look at what he's achieved. So, what I've learned is you have to figure out how much noise in the day are you gonna actually let distract you from the goals you have to achieve that day.
2:38

It boils down to this concept of signal-to-noise ratio. Steve was not a nice guy, but he was myopically focused on his business in an almost perverse way. He worked 18 hours a day. And I've started to realize that he didn't let anything get in the way of whatever tasks he had to achieve in that 18-hour period. Not a long vision for the year, not for the month, for that day. He didn't let anything get in the way of the four or five things he was going to get done that day. Elon Musk is 100% signal, zero noise. I've seen him walk away from a conversation the minute he realized that there was no useful information in it. But look at what he's achieved. So, what I've learned is you have to figure out how much noise in the day are you gonna actually let distract you from the goals you have to achieve that day.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

37,211 просмотров • 1 год назад

Here is my last point on Kimmel. If Kimmel came on and apologized like this the day after his remarks he probably wouldn’t have been suspended. But by all accounts he wanted to double down. Again for the billionth time this isn’t a free speech issue. He works for Mickey Mouse on NETWORK TV. Nobody said he was going to jail. He was dealing with the consequences of making off color jokes about the murder of a guy who meant a ton to a ton of people and blamed it on the very people who love him the most before the body was even cold. So yeah there was outrage that Mickey had to deal with. Then the pendulum swung the other way and they put him back on air. Either way it was never a free speech issue. When you work for somebody else and you offend a ton of people you deal with the consequences. Him framing this as free speech is a joke.
1:42

Here is my last point on Kimmel. If Kimmel came on and apologized like this the day after his remarks he probably wouldn’t have been suspended. But by all accounts he wanted to double down. Again for the billionth time this isn’t a free speech issue. He works for Mickey Mouse on NETWORK TV. Nobody said he was going to jail. He was dealing with the consequences of making off color jokes about the murder of a guy who meant a ton to a ton of people and blamed it on the very people who love him the most before the body was even cold. So yeah there was outrage that Mickey had to deal with. Then the pendulum swung the other way and they put him back on air. Either way it was never a free speech issue. When you work for somebody else and you offend a ton of people you deal with the consequences. Him framing this as free speech is a joke.

Dave Portnoy

7,393,117 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Yanis Varoufakis has been explaining why Bitcoin can't work since 2009 while people who can't spell "blockchain" got rich buying it. "It's a brilliant answer to a problem we haven't discovered yet" he said in 2009. The problem was him. Smart people paralyzed by theory while stupid people solved poverty by clicking buy. Fifteen years later he's still theorizing and they're still rich. This is peak midwit energy. Reading Nakamoto's paper looking for political theory when it was just code that worked. Overthinking the sociology while underthinking the math. The Marxist professor needed Bitcoin to fit his framework. Bitcoin didn't care about his framework. "Money can't be removed from politics" he says while Bitcoin removes money from politics every ten minutes for fifteen years. "Big Finance usurped crypto" he says while kids in Nigeria trade peer-to-peer without touching a bank. He's analyzing a revolution he can't see because his theories are blocking his vision. Your economist is still explaining why Bitcoin can't work. Your cousin who bought because "number go up" will actually have a chance at retirement. The thing about smart people is that they need permission from their frameworks. Stupid people just need price to move. The cost of thinking exceeded the benefit of thought and Varoufakis thought so deep he completely missed the surface where everything actually happened. We've entered the era where the guy writing papers about why something can't work is losing to the guy who didn't read the paper but bought anyway. I love that. Intelligence is a liability and stupidity is the edge.
1:00

Yanis Varoufakis has been explaining why Bitcoin can't work since 2009 while people who can't spell "blockchain" got rich buying it. "It's a brilliant answer to a problem we haven't discovered yet" he said in 2009. The problem was him. Smart people paralyzed by theory while stupid people solved poverty by clicking buy. Fifteen years later he's still theorizing and they're still rich. This is peak midwit energy. Reading Nakamoto's paper looking for political theory when it was just code that worked. Overthinking the sociology while underthinking the math. The Marxist professor needed Bitcoin to fit his framework. Bitcoin didn't care about his framework. "Money can't be removed from politics" he says while Bitcoin removes money from politics every ten minutes for fifteen years. "Big Finance usurped crypto" he says while kids in Nigeria trade peer-to-peer without touching a bank. He's analyzing a revolution he can't see because his theories are blocking his vision. Your economist is still explaining why Bitcoin can't work. Your cousin who bought because "number go up" will actually have a chance at retirement. The thing about smart people is that they need permission from their frameworks. Stupid people just need price to move. The cost of thinking exceeded the benefit of thought and Varoufakis thought so deep he completely missed the surface where everything actually happened. We've entered the era where the guy writing papers about why something can't work is losing to the guy who didn't read the paper but bought anyway. I love that. Intelligence is a liability and stupidity is the edge.

Fernando Nikolić 🇦🇷 🟠

141,000 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Showed a friend these 50 quant formulas He dropped them into Claude and built a risk calculator for his portfolio in one prompt His first discovery: his 'profitable' strategy was actually bleeding 12% a year to variance drag and he never knew He was up 30% one month, down 30% the next, thought he broke even Actual return: -9% Two years of this. Compounding against him every single day He recalculated his entire portfolio in 10 minutes using code from the article. Found out his real Sharpe ratio was 0.3, not the 1.2 he assumed Then he ran the drawdown analysis. His max drawdown was -58% He thought it was -30% Every number he believed about his own performance was wrong These 50 concepts aren't theory. They're the exact toolkit quant desks use to see what retail never sees Full breakdown with runnable Python code below
0:34

Showed a friend these 50 quant formulas He dropped them into Claude and built a risk calculator for his portfolio in one prompt His first discovery: his 'profitable' strategy was actually bleeding 12% a year to variance drag and he never knew He was up 30% one month, down 30% the next, thought he broke even Actual return: -9% Two years of this. Compounding against him every single day He recalculated his entire portfolio in 10 minutes using code from the article. Found out his real Sharpe ratio was 0.3, not the 1.2 he assumed Then he ran the drawdown analysis. His max drawdown was -58% He thought it was -30% Every number he believed about his own performance was wrong These 50 concepts aren't theory. They're the exact toolkit quant desks use to see what retail never sees Full breakdown with runnable Python code below

Phosphen

127,339 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Neville Addresses Being Called A “W*nker” In Public: “I Thought He Was Gonna Set The Dog On Me!” 😬 Gary Neville has addressed the moment a man approached him and his wife on their way to watch James at a concert, calling him a “w*nker” and a “f*cking pr*ck”. He said the part that really bothered him was the fact his wife was with him, but he soon forgot about it and enjoyed the concert. Gary admitted his mistake was not filming the man himself, because now no one can see who he is, and if he had filmed it, the guy may not have posted the video. He also revealed the man had a really aggressive dog with him, and at one point Gary thought he was going to let it off the lead to savage him! Roy Keane, never missing, chimed in at the end: “Let him go back to his slip and have a good night’s sleep.” 😂
1:35

Neville Addresses Being Called A “W*nker” In Public: “I Thought He Was Gonna Set The Dog On Me!” 😬 Gary Neville has addressed the moment a man approached him and his wife on their way to watch James at a concert, calling him a “w*nker” and a “f*cking pr*ck”. He said the part that really bothered him was the fact his wife was with him, but he soon forgot about it and enjoyed the concert. Gary admitted his mistake was not filming the man himself, because now no one can see who he is, and if he had filmed it, the guy may not have posted the video. He also revealed the man had a really aggressive dog with him, and at one point Gary thought he was going to let it off the lead to savage him! Roy Keane, never missing, chimed in at the end: “Let him go back to his slip and have a good night’s sleep.” 😂

J Stewart

295,520 просмотров • 1 месяц назад