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🇺🇸 🇮🇱 A single 32-second offhand comment may have quietly upended 25 years of Washington consensus on Iran. Trita Parsi breaks down why it was anything but offhand. "The Israelis know that it's false." Trump is laying the groundwork, and he's only just getting started. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

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64,338 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

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Trita Parsi: I Think The Israelis Have Convinced Trump That Iran Is Much Weaker Than It Actually Is. Reality Is The Iranians Have Their Backs Against The Wall, So Their Best Shot Is To Strike Back And Strike Back Hard. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 This strategy may be backfiring on the U.S. economy. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says the blockade is pushing oil prices up instead of down, hurting Trump politically. Both sides think the other will break first, but both may be miscalculating. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 This strategy may be backfiring on the U.S. economy. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says the blockade is pushing oil prices up instead of down, hurting Trump politically. Both sides think the other will break first, but both may be miscalculating. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸 The old rules of the strait may already be dead. Trita Parsi explains why Washington is now scrambling to split allies apart before the negotiating table is even set. "There was clearly some sort of an effort to decouple the Iranians from the Omanis." If Oman and Iran are singing from the same sheet, the Trump administration's leverage just got a lot thinner. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 The old rules of the strait may already be dead. Trita Parsi explains why Washington is now scrambling to split allies apart before the negotiating table is even set. "There was clearly some sort of an effort to decouple the Iranians from the Omanis." If Oman and Iran are singing from the same sheet, the Trump administration's leverage just got a lot thinner. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran told Washington it would strike hard if Israel didn't hold back in Lebanon, and the U.S. watched Iran deliver on its promise. Trita Parsi explained why Trump called Netanyahu out and didn't even try to hide it. This was a historically rare moment of foreign policy pressure on Israel. "Trump forced Netanyahu to apologize to the emir of Qatar. The only other example I could find of that was when Obama forced him to apologize to Erdogan." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran told Washington it would strike hard if Israel didn't hold back in Lebanon, and the U.S. watched Iran deliver on its promise. Trita Parsi explained why Trump called Netanyahu out and didn't even try to hide it. This was a historically rare moment of foreign policy pressure on Israel. "Trump forced Netanyahu to apologize to the emir of Qatar. The only other example I could find of that was when Obama forced him to apologize to Erdogan." Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi

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TRITA PARSI: Trump went into this conflict with clear objectives, but they were based on a false understanding of the reality on the ground that had been sold to him by the Israelis. Now it looks like the only option left is periodic strikes every 6-24 months. That’s not a solution; it’s a permanent state of war. And that’s exactly what Trump campaigned against. Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: Trump went into this conflict with clear objectives, but they were based on a false understanding of the reality on the ground that had been sold to him by the Israelis. Now it looks like the only option left is periodic strikes every 6-24 months. That’s not a solution; it’s a permanent state of war. And that’s exactly what Trump campaigned against. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 The White House is quietly laying down a hard red line, warning Israel that their era of completely unrestricted military campaigns is officially over. Trita Parsi reveals that behind-the-scenes pressure from the Trump administration is forcing Netanyahu’s hand, despite public pushback from his domestic opposition. Trita suspects the US will continue turning the screws because saving this regional ceasefire deal has become more important than Israel for Washington. "At the end of this, they will be completely out of Lebanon or there won't be a deal between U.S. and Iran." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 The White House is quietly laying down a hard red line, warning Israel that their era of completely unrestricted military campaigns is officially over. Trita Parsi reveals that behind-the-scenes pressure from the Trump administration is forcing Netanyahu’s hand, despite public pushback from his domestic opposition. Trita suspects the US will continue turning the screws because saving this regional ceasefire deal has become more important than Israel for Washington. "At the end of this, they will be completely out of Lebanon or there won't be a deal between U.S. and Iran." Trita Parsi

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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱🇱🇧 Netanyahu's entire Washington play reportedly hinges on one swap, getting the Israel-Lebanon agreement prioritized ahead of the MoU. Quincy Institute EVP and Middle East Analyst Trita Parsi says it's a major blow that could allegedly collapse the MoU altogether. The kicker, per Parsi: a "disarm Hezbollah first" standoff, or outright civil war, is the exact pressure point that makes the whole thing unravel. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Trump rarely pressures Israel over Hezbollah or Lebanon. Trita Parsi argues that changed only after Iran linked progress on a nuclear deal to a regional ceasefire. "We've never seen Trump, frankly we've never seen many other American presidents in recent history putting that type of pressure on the Israelis when they're in pursuit of Hezbollah or Hamas, unless there's some other factor at play." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Trump rarely pressures Israel over Hezbollah or Lebanon. Trita Parsi argues that changed only after Iran linked progress on a nuclear deal to a regional ceasefire. "We've never seen Trump, frankly we've never seen many other American presidents in recent history putting that type of pressure on the Israelis when they're in pursuit of Hezbollah or Hamas, unless there's some other factor at play." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Washington may have to choose between Iranian control of the strait and no shipping at all. Trita Parsi says the real American standard was never about who owns the water, only that traffic keeps moving. Faced with bad options, the administration may decide that oil flowing under Iranian terms, fees included, beats a strait nobody uses. But Tehran's position has hardened. Parsi thought Iran would accept an arrangement including Oman and other Gulf states. Now the formula is stricter: only countries with territorial waters in the strait get a seat, which means Iran and Oman alone. That rule was designed to dilute Iranian control, and Iran just closed the door on it. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Washington may have to choose between Iranian control of the strait and no shipping at all. Trita Parsi says the real American standard was never about who owns the water, only that traffic keeps moving. Faced with bad options, the administration may decide that oil flowing under Iranian terms, fees included, beats a strait nobody uses. But Tehran's position has hardened. Parsi thought Iran would accept an arrangement including Oman and other Gulf states. Now the formula is stricter: only countries with territorial waters in the strait get a seat, which means Iran and Oman alone. That rule was designed to dilute Iranian control, and Iran just closed the door on it. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

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🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel can hit Lebanon without American help, which is exactly why the warnings don't hold. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, draws the line between the two theaters. Anything major against Iran needs U.S. coordination, so it's unlikely. Lebanon requires nothing from Washington at all: "The Israelis interpret the American no as being extremely wishy washy. And to be frank, they're probably right." He also clarifies the Iranian red line, which was never all of Lebanon. It was Beirut. Trita Parsi

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel can hit Lebanon without American help, which is exactly why the warnings don't hold. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, draws the line between the two theaters. Anything major against Iran needs U.S. coordination, so it's unlikely. Lebanon requires nothing from Washington at all: "The Israelis interpret the American no as being extremely wishy washy. And to be frank, they're probably right." He also clarifies the Iranian red line, which was never all of Lebanon. It was Beirut. Trita Parsi

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71,098 views • 1 month ago

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

29,346 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants reparations FROM Iran, and says America won't be paying any. Trita Parsi waves it off as Trump being Trump, and predicts compensation eventually flows anyway, just packaged under a different name. His sharper point lands on the war's premise. He cites Israeli reporting of Netanyahu's own cabinet minutes, where the prime minister said Iran would have a bomb in a few years. Not weeks. Years. Trita Parsi & Jonathan Conricus

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants reparations FROM Iran, and says America won't be paying any. Trita Parsi waves it off as Trump being Trump, and predicts compensation eventually flows anyway, just packaged under a different name. His sharper point lands on the war's premise. He cites Israeli reporting of Netanyahu's own cabinet minutes, where the prime minister said Iran would have a bomb in a few years. Not weeks. Years. Trita Parsi & Jonathan Conricus

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83,347 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 THE U.S. AND IRAN DISAGREE ON WHAT THE CEASEFIRE COVERS Middle East geopolitical analyst, Trita Parsi, says that's Netanyahu building his own off-ramp. If the threat is gone, the war can stop without admitting defeat. But he's also excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire and escalating against Hezbollah. The White House agreed. Iran and Pakistan say Lebanon is included. Parsi says Iran will push this specifically to answer one question: can Trump actually control Israel? Friday in Islamabad may give us the answer. Trita Parsi

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36,683 views • 5 months ago

🇺🇸 Sink the ceasefire to score political points, and the next round of casualties is on you too. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "Right now this is Trump's war. He started it together with the Israelis. He owns the consequences of it. But if anyone is helping make sure that this MOU collapses and the war restarts, they co-own this war." The political game has a body count. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 Sink the ceasefire to score political points, and the next round of casualties is on you too. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "Right now this is Trump's war. He started it together with the Israelis. He owns the consequences of it. But if anyone is helping make sure that this MOU collapses and the war restarts, they co-own this war." The political game has a body count. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

39,904 views • 3 months ago

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

62,515 views • 6 months ago