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🇺🇸 A single coordinated attack on Gulf Coast infrastructure could take 30 to 40% off the world economy. Economist Chris Martenson maps out how it would work without a nuclear weapon anywhere in the picture, just the right targets struck in the right sequence, with every major currency following...

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Mario Nawfal

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62,389 просмотров • 3 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 A supermax crude carrier is burning in the strait, and ship owners still won't move. PhD economist Chris Martenson breaks down why the gulf between the US and Iran may be impossible to bridge right now: "That's a really profound disconnect between those two positions." The standoff is brutally simple. One side wants the strait open today, the other wants tolls, terms, and a 60-day clock. And while they dig in, Martenson says the sea stays closed and the tankers stay put. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 A supermax crude carrier is burning in the strait, and ship owners still won't move. PhD economist Chris Martenson breaks down why the gulf between the US and Iran may be impossible to bridge right now: "That's a really profound disconnect between those two positions." The standoff is brutally simple. One side wants the strait open today, the other wants tolls, terms, and a 60-day clock. And while they dig in, Martenson says the sea stays closed and the tankers stay put. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇺🇦 The same week the Iran war began, Ukraine escalated its strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. Different war, same target: energy. Economist Chris Martenson says the timing is hard to ignore, even though he doesn't love where it leads: "It felt to me like there was actually a fairly sustained attack on world energy output at that point in time, one at the Strait and two in Russia at the same time. Or it's one of the biggest coincidences ever. And I hate being a coincidence theorist, because there's usually a better explanation." Coincidence or not, the timing did exactly what a coordinated strike would do. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇺🇦 The same week the Iran war began, Ukraine escalated its strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. Different war, same target: energy. Economist Chris Martenson says the timing is hard to ignore, even though he doesn't love where it leads: "It felt to me like there was actually a fairly sustained attack on world energy output at that point in time, one at the Strait and two in Russia at the same time. Or it's one of the biggest coincidences ever. And I hate being a coincidence theorist, because there's usually a better explanation." Coincidence or not, the timing did exactly what a coordinated strike would do. Chris Martenson

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 China built enough electricity in ten years to match everything the United States has ever built. Chris Martenson talked about how much further China has gone in preparing for current times through self-sufficiency. "If someday China wakes up and says, until United States, until you settle down, we're just going to suspend trade for a while, you could just put an egg timer on our economy before it absolutely implodes." Chris Martenson
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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 China built enough electricity in ten years to match everything the United States has ever built. Chris Martenson talked about how much further China has gone in preparing for current times through self-sufficiency. "If someday China wakes up and says, until United States, until you settle down, we're just going to suspend trade for a while, you could just put an egg timer on our economy before it absolutely implodes." Chris Martenson

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The world has never seen a supply disruption like this one, and it could get far worse before it gets better. Chris Martenson breaks down exactly how bad it gets if the Strait stays closed another month. "We have to get out of this thing, and stop pretending we can achieve something militarily. We can't, not without risking global worldwide depression." One month more and normal oil flows may not return until 2027. Chris Martenson
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The world has never seen a supply disruption like this one, and it could get far worse before it gets better. Chris Martenson breaks down exactly how bad it gets if the Strait stays closed another month. "We have to get out of this thing, and stop pretending we can achieve something militarily. We can't, not without risking global worldwide depression." One month more and normal oil flows may not return until 2027. Chris Martenson

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🚨 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The damage is done, and the markets just haven't fully figured it out yet. Chris Martenson explained how dire the circumstances of global energy security are, surpassing what most people have come to terms with. "The last time the world was consuming 10 million barrels per day less of those same things, the world economy was 30% smaller than it currently is." If bombing resumes, he says set the egg timer for a Great Depression. Chris Martenson
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🚨 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The damage is done, and the markets just haven't fully figured it out yet. Chris Martenson explained how dire the circumstances of global energy security are, surpassing what most people have come to terms with. "The last time the world was consuming 10 million barrels per day less of those same things, the world economy was 30% smaller than it currently is." If bombing resumes, he says set the egg timer for a Great Depression. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷🇺🇸A few hundred missiles could shut down the region's entire oil supply, and only half of them need to get through. PhD economist Chris Martenson walks through just how fragile the system underneath the global economy really is. Two pipelines carry the weight of the world's energy security, and everyone in Tehran knows their coordinates. "If they take out either of those two pipelines in a meaningful way, the world is in a lot of trouble, right? Very, very quickly." And then comes the wildcard nobody saw coming. China quietly pulled 4 million barrels a day off the market and asked for nothing in return. Sit with that one for a minute. Chris Martenson
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🇮🇷🇺🇸A few hundred missiles could shut down the region's entire oil supply, and only half of them need to get through. PhD economist Chris Martenson walks through just how fragile the system underneath the global economy really is. Two pipelines carry the weight of the world's energy security, and everyone in Tehran knows their coordinates. "If they take out either of those two pipelines in a meaningful way, the world is in a lot of trouble, right? Very, very quickly." And then comes the wildcard nobody saw coming. China quietly pulled 4 million barrels a day off the market and asked for nothing in return. Sit with that one for a minute. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 Even if you add up every barrel in America, Canada and Venezuela, it's still only 30% of the world's oil. Economist Chris Martenson says the energy independence story falls apart on the numbers, because the Middle East sits on more than half of global reserves. And reserves in the ground aren't the same as fuel in a tank. Turning them into flowing barrels takes decades and hundreds of billions of dollars, which is why no amount of AI or drilling at home changes who really holds the prize. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 Even if you add up every barrel in America, Canada and Venezuela, it's still only 30% of the world's oil. Economist Chris Martenson says the energy independence story falls apart on the numbers, because the Middle East sits on more than half of global reserves. And reserves in the ground aren't the same as fuel in a tank. Turning them into flowing barrels takes decades and hundreds of billions of dollars, which is why no amount of AI or drilling at home changes who really holds the prize. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran is reportedly floating the possibility of striking the UAE in response to future Israeli actions in Lebanon, a scenario that would drag Gulf states even deeper into the region's conflict. Economist Chris Martenson argues the Gulf is trapped in an increasingly impossible position. "If those facilities went down, you'd be looking at roughly 7 to 9 million barrels a day coming off the market." For years, the Gulf tried balancing normalization with Israel, economic integration, and regional stability. Now the fear is that any escalation could force those priorities into direct collision. Chris Martenson
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🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran is reportedly floating the possibility of striking the UAE in response to future Israeli actions in Lebanon, a scenario that would drag Gulf states even deeper into the region's conflict. Economist Chris Martenson argues the Gulf is trapped in an increasingly impossible position. "If those facilities went down, you'd be looking at roughly 7 to 9 million barrels a day coming off the market." For years, the Gulf tried balancing normalization with Israel, economic integration, and regional stability. Now the fear is that any escalation could force those priorities into direct collision. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran has already named its next target if the bombing escalates, and it's the one thing holding the global economy together. PhD economist Chris Martenson says the warning from Tehran could not be clearer, especially with Trump now openly floating strikes on power plants and bridges after two of the heaviest nights of the war. "If they do that, if we do that to Iran, Iran has clearly said, well, now we're coming after your energy targets." One miscalculation on either side and the entire world pays the bill. The only question left is how bad it gets. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran has already named its next target if the bombing escalates, and it's the one thing holding the global economy together. PhD economist Chris Martenson says the warning from Tehran could not be clearer, especially with Trump now openly floating strikes on power plants and bridges after two of the heaviest nights of the war. "If they do that, if we do that to Iran, Iran has clearly said, well, now we're coming after your energy targets." One miscalculation on either side and the entire world pays the bill. The only question left is how bad it gets. Chris Martenson

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🚨🇺🇸 Going against the political establishment in Washington has officially become a suicidal career move. The ruthless nature of modern attack ads reveals how easily voters can be programed by media narrative loops, completely stripping them of any data-driven context. Economist Chris Martenson breaks down how this psychological conditioning isn't reserved for the left, as conservatives are equally vulnerable to blindly go along with the establishment. Chris Martenson
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🚨🇺🇸 Going against the political establishment in Washington has officially become a suicidal career move. The ruthless nature of modern attack ads reveals how easily voters can be programed by media narrative loops, completely stripping them of any data-driven context. Economist Chris Martenson breaks down how this psychological conditioning isn't reserved for the left, as conservatives are equally vulnerable to blindly go along with the establishment. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Western leaders are completely delusional if they think they can paper over a localized war targeting real-world infrastructure. Economic researcher Chris Martenson says the hard reality is that Iran holds de facto control over the Strait of Hormuz, and a second wave of escalation could push the global economy into a full-scale depression. If another 10 to 12 million barrels of oil per day disappear from the market after further strikes, Chris warns the resulting famine, shortages, and economic chaos would land squarely on the West’s shoulders. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Western leaders are completely delusional if they think they can paper over a localized war targeting real-world infrastructure. Economic researcher Chris Martenson says the hard reality is that Iran holds de facto control over the Strait of Hormuz, and a second wave of escalation could push the global economy into a full-scale depression. If another 10 to 12 million barrels of oil per day disappear from the market after further strikes, Chris warns the resulting famine, shortages, and economic chaos would land squarely on the West’s shoulders. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Markets don't fade out. They blow out, like Lehman Brothers did: fine one minute, frozen the next. Economist Chris Martenson says that risk isn't sitting somewhere far off. It's underneath this war right now. It wouldn't take much: one more round of bombing, Gulf energy infrastructure hit, and a shock that doesn't stay regional. "All of a sudden, everything was fine until it wasn't." This isn't just a war in the Middle East anymore. One wrong move, and it's 2008 all over again. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 The stadium looks nearly empty for 45 minutes, then fills completely in the last five. Economist Chris Martenson uses that image to explain why exponential debt growth stays invisible right up until it isn't, and then he puts the American numbers against it: "It took all of American history to get to 20 trillion. And now we're at 40." Two centuries to reach the first half, a handful of years to double it. By his own analogy, we're standing at minute 45. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 The stadium looks nearly empty for 45 minutes, then fills completely in the last five. Economist Chris Martenson uses that image to explain why exponential debt growth stays invisible right up until it isn't, and then he puts the American numbers against it: "It took all of American history to get to 20 trillion. And now we're at 40." Two centuries to reach the first half, a handful of years to double it. By his own analogy, we're standing at minute 45. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 Something has driven money managers to their most bearish position on oil in 15 years, and the data suggests it isn't fundamentals. PHD Economist Chris Martenson says when the numbers this far from reality, there are only two explanations. "One, they've completely lost the plot line and they've become idiots or two somebody in there selling a lot, just selling." If it's manipulation, someone with very deep pockets needs the price down, and that someone might be a government. Chris Martenson
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🇺🇸 Chris Martenson argues that Washington made a catastrophic strategic error by assuming it could maintain “escalation dominance” over Iran while drawing down the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. His warning: Iran can simply wait. As global inventories fall toward “tank bottoms,” Martenson says the U.S. has put itself in a position where its adversaries effectively determine how quickly the SPR is emptied and when Washington can afford to rebuild it. “The Iranians dictate when the petroleum reserves will empty out and when the U.S. can start refilling them.” Chris Martenson
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🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine allegedly sank or disabled up to 120 Russian ships in a single month, and almost nobody noticed. Economic researcher and Peak Prosperity founder Chris Martenson says the released footage looks legitimate: cargo carriers, bulk carriers, tankers, in what could be the largest single-month commercial shipping loss since World War Two. The timing is what turns it global. While every camera points at the Strait of Hormuz, a second major shipping corridor is being taken offline simultaneously. Two chokepoints under attack at once adds up to a supply chain crisis in slow motion. Chris Martenson
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