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After this interview, Jane Street hired this Quant analyst at $220,000–$600,000/year In 21 minutes, you’ll learn what a Tier 1 hedge fund interview is like Here are some of the questions they ask: 1. You have $100, fair coin. Heads - you get 2x your bet back, tails -...

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Citadel hired this Quant analyst at $450,000-$700,000/year after this interview In 23-min, you’ll learn what a Tier-1 fund interview is like Here are some of the questions they ask: 1. What is the probability of randomly selecting three acceptable pairs of shoes (differing by at most one size) - from six shoes (two each of sizes 4, 5, and 6) without replacement? 2. What is the probability that none of the three baskets will remain empty if K ball - which are given when the first heads appears on the Kth flip of a fair coin - are distributed among them completely at random? 3. What does the resulting value of 9/10 represent? 4. Could you briefly explain your solution methodology? Quant intern answered all these questions in the video __ Bookmark & watch - you'll learn how to answer questions in a hedge fund interview
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Citadel hired this Quant analyst at $450,000-$700,000/year after this interview In 23-min, you’ll learn what a Tier-1 fund interview is like Here are some of the questions they ask: 1. What is the probability of randomly selecting three acceptable pairs of shoes (differing by at most one size) - from six shoes (two each of sizes 4, 5, and 6) without replacement? 2. What is the probability that none of the three baskets will remain empty if K ball - which are given when the first heads appears on the Kth flip of a fair coin - are distributed among them completely at random? 3. What does the resulting value of 9/10 represent? 4. Could you briefly explain your solution methodology? Quant intern answered all these questions in the video __ Bookmark & watch - you'll learn how to answer questions in a hedge fund interview

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Warren Buffett won a $1 million bet by proving a simple S&P 500 beats the 100 best hedge funds - the index returned 126%, the hedge funds 36% this is him breaking down why doing nothing beats the smartest managers on Wall Street "these managers get paid $180M/year merely for breathing - it's a compensation scheme that is unbelievable" the greatest investor of all time just explained why you should never give a hedge fund a dollar "the hedge fund industry is a machine for taking your money - I bet anyone $1 million a simple index would beat any 5 funds they picked - nobody dared" "one man finally took it - 200 hedge funds underneath, all charging huge sums for expertise they don't have" "no consultant will tell you to just buy an index and sit -you don't get a fee that way" hedge funds returned 36% - the index returned 126% - he conceded 7 months early "the people you pay to find winners don't know how - they only know how to sell you" bookmark & watch today ↓
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Warren Buffett won a $1 million bet by proving a simple S&P 500 beats the 100 best hedge funds - the index returned 126%, the hedge funds 36% this is him breaking down why doing nothing beats the smartest managers on Wall Street "these managers get paid $180M/year merely for breathing - it's a compensation scheme that is unbelievable" the greatest investor of all time just explained why you should never give a hedge fund a dollar "the hedge fund industry is a machine for taking your money - I bet anyone $1 million a simple index would beat any 5 funds they picked - nobody dared" "one man finally took it - 200 hedge funds underneath, all charging huge sums for expertise they don't have" "no consultant will tell you to just buy an index and sit -you don't get a fee that way" hedge funds returned 36% - the index returned 126% - he conceded 7 months early "the people you pay to find winners don't know how - they only know how to sell you" bookmark & watch today ↓

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A scientist offered people free money on the street, almost everyone refused Coin flip → heads you win $20, tails you lose $10 50/50, +$5 expected value every flip Almost everyone said NO "my gut says don't bet," "I'm thinking more about what I lose than what I win" One person demanded $100 to risk $10, another said no amount would work Kahneman called this loss aversion humans feel losses 2× harder than gains // > Now here's what matters: That same flip, 100 times? +$500 expected, 1 in 2,300 chance of losing anything Example: Market at 30¢ with 40% true odds = +$0.10 EV per share Your brain sees "60% chance I lose," the math sees 33% ROI The main idea is that traders skipping +EV markets on Polymarket with yhe same mistake They optimize for how each bet feels, not what the series pays Bookmark this & watch the full 6 minute experiment this is the clearest visual explanation of how your brain sabotages +EV decisions
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Stanley Druckenmiller walked into George Soros's office ready to make the most aggressive bet of his life His plan was to sell $5.5 billion of British pounds, buy deutsche marks and put 100% of the fund into that single trade He laid out the whole thesis, certain Soros would think he had lost his mind Soros started wincing Druckenmiller figured he was about to get his idea torn apart Then Soros said this: "That is the most ridiculous use of money management I've ever heard. What you describe is an incredible one-way bet. We should have 200% of our net worth in this trade, not 100%. Do you know how often something like this comes around? Like once every 20 years. What is wrong with you?" The part most people get backwards is right here Finding the right bet is only half the job When a true one-way bet finally shows up, the real mistake is betting too small These setups are rare, so when the odds are massively in your favor you press, you don't tiptoe That is the whole game on Polymarket Spot the bet the crowd has priced wrong, then size it like you actually believe it I broke the full framework down in the article below
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Stanley Druckenmiller walked into George Soros's office ready to make the most aggressive bet of his life His plan was to sell $5.5 billion of British pounds, buy deutsche marks and put 100% of the fund into that single trade He laid out the whole thesis, certain Soros would think he had lost his mind Soros started wincing Druckenmiller figured he was about to get his idea torn apart Then Soros said this: "That is the most ridiculous use of money management I've ever heard. What you describe is an incredible one-way bet. We should have 200% of our net worth in this trade, not 100%. Do you know how often something like this comes around? Like once every 20 years. What is wrong with you?" The part most people get backwards is right here Finding the right bet is only half the job When a true one-way bet finally shows up, the real mistake is betting too small These setups are rare, so when the odds are massively in your favor you press, you don't tiptoe That is the whole game on Polymarket Spot the bet the crowd has priced wrong, then size it like you actually believe it I broke the full framework down in the article below

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Nassim Taleb on a bet most people would take: 70% chance to win $1, 30% chance to lose $1 - should you bet? His answer: in most cases no. Not because of risk aversion. Because it's a bad strategy in multi-period reality Same Kelly Criterion math that powers Shannon's information theory - there's a sweet spot, and most behavioral finance papers ignore it Bet too much and the law of large numbers ruins you. Bet too little and you leave returns on the table this is what every quant learns before they touch capital
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Nassim Taleb on a bet most people would take: 70% chance to win $1, 30% chance to lose $1 - should you bet? His answer: in most cases no. Not because of risk aversion. Because it's a bad strategy in multi-period reality Same Kelly Criterion math that powers Shannon's information theory - there's a sweet spot, and most behavioral finance papers ignore it Bet too much and the law of large numbers ruins you. Bet too little and you leave returns on the table this is what every quant learns before they touch capital

0xDipper

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we all dream of those big wins in life the 100x, the multi-million dollar trade, or even just 10x of what you started with in 7 days i’ve been fortunate enough to experience a few of those over the past few years, and the reality is when you do win big, it doesn’t feel like it at all it hits for a split second, and then your brain just normalizes it it's a part of how to get there in the first place, but makes it a lot easier to lose it if you don't have the right guardrails in place and in that exact moment, you being even keeled doesn’t mean the number in front of you isn’t life changing it is this is where you have to slow down a bit, breathe, settle your mind don’t just roll it into some bullshit take some off the table, step away for a few days if you have to, funny enough, blowing let's say 10k of it on a beautiful trip to tokyo will save you so much because once you actually process what just happened, your future self will thank you for it the truth is, even if you think you’re going for a certain number, the moment you hit it, you’ll want more and more, and more anyone who's been in the same position will tell you the exact same thing ironically the people that win are addicted to winning and if you ask the same people in a year after that big win, what they regret and where are they proud of themselves? they will tell you they regretted rolling it over and giving some/all back or they are proud for switching back on the switch all of this is real, but it’s also exactly how i imagined it would feel years ago before it ever happened manifest your life, the feeling not just the number everything happens twice, first in your mind, then in reality
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Richard U. | Web Developer

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Imagine you walk into the line at CVS and this is going on. What's your next move? What kills me the most while watching this is how calm everyone is waiting in line. If I saw something like this in real time you could bet I would share it with all of you here.
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Imagine you walk into the line at CVS and this is going on. What's your next move? What kills me the most while watching this is how calm everyone is waiting in line. If I saw something like this in real time you could bet I would share it with all of you here.

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MR SHIFT 🦁

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The highest-expected-value bet is also the one most likely to wipe you out: Victor Haghani co-founded LTCM & wrote The Missing Billionaires. Now runs Elm Wealth. Victor Haghani explains: "Take a coin that lands heads 60% of the time. You get 20 flips." "The highest-expected-value play is to bet it all on heads, every single time." "And you have almost no chance of ending with any money at all." "The whole expected value sits in one outcome: 20 heads, a million-fold return." "Everyone instantly knows they'd never do it." "Expected value and risk-adjusted value are two different things — and it's the second one that matters."
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Ethan Kho

17,979 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This is absolutely the right advice Too many people come into the corporate workplace thinking they are a rebel and will change how things work The reality is that if you want to get ahead, you need to play the game that has been laid out You can opt out of the game if you wish and follow your own path Maybe once you are senior enough at the MD or PM level, you can try to change the culture But until then, learning to play it is your best bet of moving ahead in your career
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This is absolutely the right advice Too many people come into the corporate workplace thinking they are a rebel and will change how things work The reality is that if you want to get ahead, you need to play the game that has been laid out You can opt out of the game if you wish and follow your own path Maybe once you are senior enough at the MD or PM level, you can try to change the culture But until then, learning to play it is your best bet of moving ahead in your career

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Martin Shkreli says running a hedge fund is the worst job in finance, that a newsletter doing $50 million of revenue beats almost every fund on the planet, and that people only take the job because it's the "sexiest thing" being master of the universe. "I have a friend who wants to start a hedge fund. I told him, this is the most painful, horrible business in the world. Why do this?" "If you start a newsletter business that makes $100 million a year, even $50 million a year of revenue, you've done better than almost every hedge fund on the planet." "You do not want to do this job." "And the reason people do it, and I did it too, and I would never do it again, is it's the sexiest thing in the world. You think you're the master of the universe..." "It's waking up at 3 a.m. checking Korean stock prices and waking back up at 6 wondering what's happening in the world."

Fireside Alpha

203,781 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

a former quant PM at Tudor Investment Corp and Moore Capital, two of the most legendary hedge funds ever built. on the trap he's watched destroy traders over and over again: "you can go out there and sell options for the premium and make money 99 days out of 100." "and for 98 of those 99 days, you're sure you're brilliant. you've come up with something totally new." "you don't make much money every day, but you make it every day. so all you need to do is multiply your size by 10,000 and you're going to get rich because it makes money every day." "you think you've cracked the code. you haven't cracked the code." "what you've done is you've compressed your risk. you've traded a half percent gain every day for a 150% loss on the 99th day." "when you average that over years, you're going to be a loser. but on the way up, you get paid." "year one, you get paid. year two, you get paid. year three, you lose more than you made in the last two. maybe you get fired. you go to another shop and do the same thing over again." this is the most common failure in systematic trading. a strategy that wins almost every day feels great, but often it's a time bomb with a fuse you can't see. if your equity curve looks too smooth to be true, you probably found tail risk.
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a former quant PM at Tudor Investment Corp and Moore Capital, two of the most legendary hedge funds ever built. on the trap he's watched destroy traders over and over again: "you can go out there and sell options for the premium and make money 99 days out of 100." "and for 98 of those 99 days, you're sure you're brilliant. you've come up with something totally new." "you don't make much money every day, but you make it every day. so all you need to do is multiply your size by 10,000 and you're going to get rich because it makes money every day." "you think you've cracked the code. you haven't cracked the code." "what you've done is you've compressed your risk. you've traded a half percent gain every day for a 150% loss on the 99th day." "when you average that over years, you're going to be a loser. but on the way up, you get paid." "year one, you get paid. year two, you get paid. year three, you lose more than you made in the last two. maybe you get fired. you go to another shop and do the same thing over again." this is the most common failure in systematic trading. a strategy that wins almost every day feels great, but often it's a time bomb with a fuse you can't see. if your equity curve looks too smooth to be true, you probably found tail risk.

Goshawk Trades

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"When you deviate from owning everything you're making an active bet, and if you get it wrong you get fired" Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan on why zero crypto allocation is now the risky bet for institutions "The base case for institutional investors is to own everything. When you deviate from owning everything you're making an active bet, and if you get it wrong you get fired. What Ryan was saying is now crypto is part of everything" "So the default case is you have a little bit of crypto, and if you're at zero you're deviating from that. If David Solomon, Larry Fink and Vlad Tenev are right, you get fired because you missed out on this huge growth thing. That's been a huge shift. For a while crypto was off piste, outside of consideration, now it's part of the capital stack" "That means the default is a couple percent, and when you multiply that by $30 trillion, you get a lot of money that has to come into the space over the next couple of years"
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"When you deviate from owning everything you're making an active bet, and if you get it wrong you get fired" Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan on why zero crypto allocation is now the risky bet for institutions "The base case for institutional investors is to own everything. When you deviate from owning everything you're making an active bet, and if you get it wrong you get fired. What Ryan was saying is now crypto is part of everything" "So the default case is you have a little bit of crypto, and if you're at zero you're deviating from that. If David Solomon, Larry Fink and Vlad Tenev are right, you get fired because you missed out on this huge growth thing. That's been a huge shift. For a while crypto was off piste, outside of consideration, now it's part of the capital stack" "That means the default is a couple percent, and when you multiply that by $30 trillion, you get a lot of money that has to come into the space over the next couple of years"

The Wolf Of All Streets

32,184 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen

‼️ Donald Trump just posted the video saying any immigrant that comes to America and demand we change our culture is not an immigrant, they are an invader and must be removed “Just so we we’re clear, if a foreigner comes to your country and demands that you accept their culture as your culture or demands that you change your beliefs, that is not a foreigner, that is not an immigrant. What that is, is an invader. That is someone that is coming over to your space to take over and invade it. So when you sit there and you look at what's happening in New York, you look at what's happening in Texas, you look at what's happening in the places where these people came from, you look at Somalia, you look at all of these individuals who are being put into a position of power who support this type of invasion. You need to understand what's coming next. - They will take away our weapons - They will tell us that we cannot eat certain foods - They will tell us that we cannot go to certain places - They will tell that our women that they have to wear certain clothes - They will tell them that they have to dress modest. They will forced them to do a lot of different things. - You will have to deal with people praying in the middle of the street while you're driving and stopping you and invading your movement, your space You need to understand what's taking place in America so that you can understand that these people are not coming here with good intentions. This is not me saying that I hate people. This is me basically saying, look, if you like the fact that America is a free place where you get the freedom to believe in what religion you want to, to believe in. If you get the freedom to decide what you want to do as long as nobody is getting hurt. If you love that part of America, the freedom of choice part of America, you need to understand when people come over and they say that you don't have a choice, they probably should go because you don't get to tell us what to do in our own country. It's not being rude. It's just saying, hey, look, this country was built in a way where everybody can come here and feel happy and feel blessed. And enjoy the fact that this is a free nation, not a nation that will be enslaved by any Foreigner invading it”
2:03

‼️ Donald Trump just posted the video saying any immigrant that comes to America and demand we change our culture is not an immigrant, they are an invader and must be removed “Just so we we’re clear, if a foreigner comes to your country and demands that you accept their culture as your culture or demands that you change your beliefs, that is not a foreigner, that is not an immigrant. What that is, is an invader. That is someone that is coming over to your space to take over and invade it. So when you sit there and you look at what's happening in New York, you look at what's happening in Texas, you look at what's happening in the places where these people came from, you look at Somalia, you look at all of these individuals who are being put into a position of power who support this type of invasion. You need to understand what's coming next. - They will take away our weapons - They will tell us that we cannot eat certain foods - They will tell us that we cannot go to certain places - They will tell that our women that they have to wear certain clothes - They will tell them that they have to dress modest. They will forced them to do a lot of different things. - You will have to deal with people praying in the middle of the street while you're driving and stopping you and invading your movement, your space You need to understand what's taking place in America so that you can understand that these people are not coming here with good intentions. This is not me saying that I hate people. This is me basically saying, look, if you like the fact that America is a free place where you get the freedom to believe in what religion you want to, to believe in. If you get the freedom to decide what you want to do as long as nobody is getting hurt. If you love that part of America, the freedom of choice part of America, you need to understand when people come over and they say that you don't have a choice, they probably should go because you don't get to tell us what to do in our own country. It's not being rude. It's just saying, hey, look, this country was built in a way where everybody can come here and feel happy and feel blessed. And enjoy the fact that this is a free nation, not a nation that will be enslaved by any Foreigner invading it”

Wall Street Apes

88,662 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

How dangerous is Mercedes' strategy? Mercedes new strategy could dramatically change not just Germany's economy, but Europe's as a whole. After all, the automotive industry is the key economic sector. Mercedes is largely pulling out of the lower segments of small and cheaper cars to refocus on the luxury market. But will this strategy turn out to be successful? And what does it mean for you? What can you learn from it? Let's dig into these questions together and find the answers. More on this in the video. #mercedes #ElectricVehicles #automobile #foresight
18:10

How dangerous is Mercedes' strategy? Mercedes new strategy could dramatically change not just Germany's economy, but Europe's as a whole. After all, the automotive industry is the key economic sector. Mercedes is largely pulling out of the lower segments of small and cheaper cars to refocus on the luxury market. But will this strategy turn out to be successful? And what does it mean for you? What can you learn from it? Let's dig into these questions together and find the answers. More on this in the video. #mercedes #ElectricVehicles #automobile #foresight

Dr Pero Micic

23,542,415 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

A Professional Fundraiser EXPOSES Oprah & The Rocks Lahaina, Maui, Hawaii Fires Fundraising SCAM. Salaries of Executives Managing The Fund MAKING $400K PER YEAR “Now this woman has worked in fundraising for years, so she actually went through the receipts — This is a fund, the Maui fund is within the Entertainment Industry Foundation” —- “Again, this is the nonprofit. Look at the salaries of the executives. The president of the nonprofit that manages this fund is making over $400,000 a year. You got the CEO making over $300,000. You have the CFO making over $290,000 a year. These are the executives. All these people, you go all the way down, right, except for the people on the board. You go all the way down to VP Advocacy, and they're making over $171,000 a year. These are the salaries of the people that are executives of the nonprofit that's managing this fund.” “They're giving these people $1,200. The fuck are they going to do with $1,200? Can you get an apartment in Hawaii with $1,200? Not based on the cost of living report. You can't. We went over that on this show multiple times. So what are they supposed to do? They could use that to get food, to get some supplies, but that's it. After billions and billions of dollars have gone to Ukraine, $1,200.” This is a long video with a lot of VERY good information. I can’t transcribe it all due to X’s text limits. It’s DEFINITELY worth a watch! DEWs, Direct Energy Weapons #Hawaii #Maui #MauiFires #Lahaina #LahainaFires #DEWs #DirectedEnergyWeapons
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A Professional Fundraiser EXPOSES Oprah & The Rocks Lahaina, Maui, Hawaii Fires Fundraising SCAM. Salaries of Executives Managing The Fund MAKING $400K PER YEAR “Now this woman has worked in fundraising for years, so she actually went through the receipts — This is a fund, the Maui fund is within the Entertainment Industry Foundation” —- “Again, this is the nonprofit. Look at the salaries of the executives. The president of the nonprofit that manages this fund is making over $400,000 a year. You got the CEO making over $300,000. You have the CFO making over $290,000 a year. These are the executives. All these people, you go all the way down, right, except for the people on the board. You go all the way down to VP Advocacy, and they're making over $171,000 a year. These are the salaries of the people that are executives of the nonprofit that's managing this fund.” “They're giving these people $1,200. The fuck are they going to do with $1,200? Can you get an apartment in Hawaii with $1,200? Not based on the cost of living report. You can't. We went over that on this show multiple times. So what are they supposed to do? They could use that to get food, to get some supplies, but that's it. After billions and billions of dollars have gone to Ukraine, $1,200.” This is a long video with a lot of VERY good information. I can’t transcribe it all due to X’s text limits. It’s DEFINITELY worth a watch! DEWs, Direct Energy Weapons #Hawaii #Maui #MauiFires #Lahaina #LahainaFires #DEWs #DirectedEnergyWeapons

Wall Street Apes

398,630 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

Here is the story of a married woman from the Nashik TCS office. Her testimony is one of the most disturbing among all. The accused made such obscene remarks that they are beyond imagination. Some of them include: 1. You just got married, where did you go for your honeymoon, what did you do there, and how did you do it? 2. How can your husband leave you? If I were in his place, I would never have left you. 3. You have a zero figure. 4. I want to see you in a saree to see how sexy you are. 5. If the lace of your blouse comes off, the show must be visible. 6. Have you brought oranges? What size of oranges have you brought? And more... Listen, as I break it Organiser Weekly and share the full video linked in next tweet, to make more girls aware of the targeting that is being carried out by Islamists.
3:04

Sensitive content

Here is the story of a married woman from the Nashik TCS office. Her testimony is one of the most disturbing among all. The accused made such obscene remarks that they are beyond imagination. Some of them include: 1. You just got married, where did you go for your honeymoon, what did you do there, and how did you do it? 2. How can your husband leave you? If I were in his place, I would never have left you. 3. You have a zero figure. 4. I want to see you in a saree to see how sexy you are. 5. If the lace of your blouse comes off, the show must be visible. 6. Have you brought oranges? What size of oranges have you brought? And more... Listen, as I break it Organiser Weekly and share the full video linked in next tweet, to make more girls aware of the targeting that is being carried out by Islamists.

Subhi Vishwakarma

163,996 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

"If you go outside the studio right now and you find a rock that's the same size and you ask how much energy is in that nuclear energy? The answer is about 100 times more energy than the chunk of coal." "Every single rock that you pick up outside of the studio is as if you're holding a 100x chunk of coal in terms of energy. If you take those trace amounts of uranium and thorium, and you were to fully fission those in a fast reactor, you would get 100 times more energy, which is, to take our original example, enough to propel you about 30km... off of the Earth. So about a third of the way to space..." Isaiah Taylor - making nuclear reactors
9:39

"If you go outside the studio right now and you find a rock that's the same size and you ask how much energy is in that nuclear energy? The answer is about 100 times more energy than the chunk of coal." "Every single rock that you pick up outside of the studio is as if you're holding a 100x chunk of coal in terms of energy. If you take those trace amounts of uranium and thorium, and you were to fully fission those in a fast reactor, you would get 100 times more energy, which is, to take our original example, enough to propel you about 30km... off of the Earth. So about a third of the way to space..." Isaiah Taylor - making nuclear reactors

Shawn Ryan

300,512 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr