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🤖 AI turned out to be too expensive to replace humans Microsoft has started limiting employee access to Anthropic models and revoking Claude Code licenses. Uber is also cutting AI spending: the technology is becoming too expensive and failing to justify expectations. According to an NVIDIA executive, some teams...

61,994 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Microsoft just betrayed OpenAI and Anthropic, the two companies it helped build. And it could break the entire AI trade... Here's what happened: Inside Excel and Outlook, two of the most used business apps on Earth, Microsoft has started routing tens of thousands of AI requests every week to its own in-house models instead of OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft's own AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, said himself: "We pay a lot of money to Anthropic, so our goal is to reduce and ultimately ELIMINATE that cost." This is the company that poured $13 billion into OpenAI and effectively created the modern AI industry, and it just decided the most advanced models on the market are NOT worth paying for. And here's the thing... Microsoft is not just ripping out OpenAI everywhere - it is being surgical about it. The hardest and rarest tasks can still go to OpenAI or Anthropic. What Microsoft is taking back is the boring, high-volume work, like the email replies, the thread summaries, and the simple spreadsheet formulas. Why does that matter so much? Because that boring, repetitive work is where the actual money lives. The frontier labs assumed businesses would push BILLIONS of these tiny requests through expensive models forever. That endless river of tokens is the entire reason OpenAI and Anthropic are valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Microsoft looked at that river, decided it was massively overpaying, and rerouted it to models it owns outright. So the single biggest customer in the industry just walked off with the most profitable part of the business. And it is not only Microsoft: That same week, CNBC reported that American companies have been escaping to Chinese AI models to dodge rising US prices. Chinese models now handle more than 30% of US companies' AI usage on one major platform, peaking at 46%, up from an average of 11% a year earlier. They cost 60 to 90% less, and on some benchmarks they land within a single point of the best American model. One US startup moved ALL of its AI traffic off Claude and onto China's DeepSeek, and expects to save millions. Meanwhile Meta just admitted it has "excess" AI compute it wants to sell, becoming the first giant to concede it built far too much. Do you see the pattern forming? For two years, the entire AI story rested on one assumption: Every company on Earth would happily pay premium prices for the best model, forever. That assumption literally died in a single week. And the market noticed. More than a trillion dollars has been wiped off AI and chip stocks in a matter of days, as Wall Street finally started asking whether all of this spending will ever pay for itself. What this means for OpenAI and Anthropic: Their models are extraordinary, and it may not matter because their own biggest customers have decided they do not NEED the best model in the world to answer an email, and "good enough" now costs a fraction of the price. When even Microsoft refuses to pay full price for AI, the real question becomes who exactly IS left to pay it. What do you think?

Ricardo

92,526 görüntüleme • 7 gün önce

🚨 THE WORLD’S CENTRAL BANKERS ARE STARTING TO PANIC ABOUT AI. Not because AI is failing. Because the entire AI boom is now being built on debt, leverage, shadow banking, and financial structures that are starting to look disturbingly similar to 2008. The BIS just warned that an “AI bust” could trigger serious global financial instability. And once you look at the numbers, the concern starts making sense very quickly. Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Google and Oracle are expected to spend more than $1 TRILLION on AI capex between 2025 and 2026 alone. For 2026 itself, hyperscaler AI spending is tracking around $750 BILLION. That is a 77% jump from already record levels last year. The problem? A massive part of this expansion is being financed through debt. Morgan Stanley estimates hyperscalers and AI joint ventures alone could generate $250–300 BILLION in debt issuance by 2026. AI-focused companies already secured at least $200 BILLION through debt financing in 2025. And some companies are now literally borrowing money using Nvidia GPUs as collateral. That is where things start getting dangerous. CoreWeave, one of the biggest AI infrastructure companies, now has liabilities above $21 BILLION after pioneering GPU-backed debt financing. Its entire structure depends on Nvidia chips holding value long enough for the debt to get repaid. But GPUs depreciate extremely fast. Every new Nvidia generation immediately weakens the value of the previous one. Which means billions in loans are now backed by hardware that can lose relevance before the debt even matures. And according to the BIS, the financing structures around AI are becoming increasingly opaque. The same assets may be pledged multiple times across different financing vehicles. That is exactly the type of circular leverage that made the 2008 system so fragile. At the same time, the actual economic returns from AI still remain largely unproven. Goldman Sachs found “basically zero” economy-wide productivity gains from AI in 2025 despite hundreds of billions already being spent. Only 1% of S&P 500 companies were even able to quantify any earnings impact from AI. Yet markets are behaving like the returns are already guaranteed. Now combine this with: • Global debt at a record $353 TRILLION • Inflation jumping back to 4.2% • Private credit stress already appearing • AI chip shortages • Data center bottlenecks • And AI valuations approaching dot-com bubble extremes according to the IMF, ECB, BIS and Bank of England. This is why central banks are suddenly sounding alarmed. Because if hyperscalers ever slow AI spending, the debt chain behind the entire boom starts getting tested immediately. And right now, the global financial system is more leveraged than ever.

Crypto Rover

86,404 görüntüleme • 16 gün önce

Elon Musk just pulled off the biggest AI power grab of 2026. Tesla is capping every employee at $200 a week on AI spending starting Monday, July 6. Media's celebrating it as cost control. But what Elon actually built is an expense policy that redirects his own engineering workforce off Claude and onto Grok, while every competitor gets throttled by internal procurement rules. Here's what happened: Tesla spent the last six months pushing engineers to use AI as aggressively as possible. Leadership built an internal platform called Bottle Rocket that gave employees access to Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, and Cursor. They gamified adoption by ranking engineers on internal leaderboards by how many AI tokens they consumed. The strategy worked. Software engineers started burning THOUSANDS of dollars a week on Claude and Cursor. Then the invoices arrived and Tesla panicked. But they didn't pull the standard cost-control response... The loophole: The $200 weekly cap does not apply to beta products from xAI. Grok is completely exempt from the cap. Anthropic's Claude, OpenAI's GPT, and Google's Gemini all get throttled at the same $200 line. Four Tesla engineers told Electrek that internal usage overwhelmingly favors Claude over Grok. That preference is about to become financially punishing overnight. The genius part: This quarter SpaceX is closing a $60 billion all-stock acquisition of Anysphere, the parent company of Cursor. The moment that deal closes, Cursor's Composer coding model falls under the same Musk-controlled ecosystem, and any Tesla engineer choosing between a capped Claude session and an uncapped Composer session will pay a financial penalty for using the tool they actually prefer. By exempting only his own products from the cap, Elon is using Tesla shareholder money to build market share for xAI without ever having to disclose that is what he is doing. Because on paper, it is cost control. Now zoom out to what this signals for the wider AI narrative: Uber capped employees at $1,500 a month after burning $3.4 billion in four months. Meta introduced spending caps. Amazon and Walmart pushed staff toward cheaper models. Microsoft canceled Claude Code licenses across 100,000 engineers. Every Fortune 500 that pushed heavy AI adoption in 2025 is now rationing it in 2026. Meanwhile Nvidia is trading at a $5 trillion market cap. That entire valuation assumes enterprise AI consumption is about to explode across the economy. But every company actually deploying AI at scale is telling their own engineers to slow down. One of these narratives is lying. Goldman Sachs still forecasts a 24x increase in token consumption by 2030. Gartner says total enterprise AI costs will keep climbing because agents consume exponentially more tokens per task. Jensen Huang keeps repeating that 100 AI agents will work alongside every employee. And now the CEO of the most agentic company on the planet just told his own engineers they cannot spend more than $200 a week on the tools those agents need to run. Retail investors buying Nvidia and Palantir today are betting enterprise AI adoption compounds without limit. The CEOs deploying AI inside those same enterprises are betting the exact opposite, in writing, by internal memo. Thoughts?

Ricardo

187,875 görüntüleme • 10 gün önce

When asked about whether AI stocks are priced too high, Jeremy Siegel said: "I think the biggest risk in AI investing is not whether it will work or not, but can it be done more cheaply?” Firstly, Siegel is a professor at the Wharton School of Business and has been analyzing markets for decades. His point is AI will work and transform the economy—there’s no doubt in this. The real risk is whether tech companies are spending too much ($1 trillion) on data centers to power AI. He pointed to a historical example: During the dot-com boom in the late 1990s, telecom companies laid thousands of miles of fiber optic cables across the country. They spent BILLIONS doing this. Then engineers discovered multiplexing—a way to send a thousand times more data through the same cables. Suddenly, all that infrastructure spending was unnecessary, contributing to the inevitable crash. Siegel is suggesting something similar could happen with AI. What if someone figures out how to run AI much more efficiently? The technology might work perfectly, but the current approach could be massively overbuilt. PS - Siegel covers this in more detail on his interview with CNBC. If you'd like to watch this to learn: - The 3 reasons why AI will transform the world just like the internet did in 90s - Why the biggest risk right now is if it can run more efficiently - How to position yourself when the inevitable crash happens RT and comment "SIEGEL" and I'll DM it to you immediately.

Felix Prehn 🐶

88,068 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce