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ALTSEASON NEEDS ONE THING: BTC Dominance to roll over. Last time this setup broke: $BTC.D dumped 36%. We’ve pierced the trendline twice… still no breakdown. But ETH is already holding up better than BTC. Rotation starting? Maybe. Stay cautious. Alts follow, they don’t lead.

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Merlijn The Trader

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93,272 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Week 42 of trading from $100 to $1,000,000! I'm up $100k this week on $MOG, my portfolio broke ATH and hit $267k. $BTC made an ATH and $ETH broke $3,000! BTC.d is starting to roll over so altcoins should gain strength soon. PulseChain is bottoming out so I'm expecting some memecoin plays there soon! Currently at $249,396, +$97,999 for the week
9:39

Week 42 of trading from $100 to $1,000,000! I'm up $100k this week on $MOG, my portfolio broke ATH and hit $267k. $BTC made an ATH and $ETH broke $3,000! BTC.d is starting to roll over so altcoins should gain strength soon. PulseChain is bottoming out so I'm expecting some memecoin plays there soon! Currently at $249,396, +$97,999 for the week

Travis Connors

65,110 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

BTC pushed above the TBO cloud over the weekend and is technically strong bullish in the short term, but Aaron’s core message today was still caution. Volume remains weak, the Slow line is still macro bearish, and RSI is putting in lower highs while price stalls just under 80K. Even with OBV still technically bullish, this move does not yet look strong enough to change the bigger bearish view. ETH looks even weaker than BTC here. It bounced, but it still has not cleanly cleared overhead resistance, RSI continues to trend lower, and volume plus OBV both look fragile. Aaron is still expecting a lower low on ETH, and that fits with the broader setup where BTC is holding up better than the rest of the market. The bigger macro warning signs are still in dominance and risk sentiment. BTC.D remains very strong, stablecoin dominance looks ready to push higher, and TOTALES plus OTHERS/BTC still look vulnerable to rejection. If stablecoin dominance rises while BTC.D stays firm, alts are likely to keep getting punished even if BTC itself only pulls back modestly. TradFi is also flashing risk-on excess while Aaron stays skeptical. DXY looks like it could bounce, USDJPY remains important after Japan intervention talk, GameStop pumping again is a sign of greed, and oil still looks strong while gold and silver stay mixed. On the watchlist, Aaron leaned bearish on names like XLM, NEAR, ICP, ARB, RENDER, DEXE, PENGU, MON, and AERO, while stronger charts like DOGE, HYPE, and MORPHO still look impressive but increasingly suspicious if momentum keeps fading. Chapters: 00:00 BTC above the cloud but still lacking conviction 03:10 ETH looks weaker than BTC 06:13 BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance warnings 10:42 TOTALES and OTHERS/BTC rejection risk 12:50 DXY, USDJPY, and stock market risk sentiment 16:57 Oil, gold, and silver check-in 18:56 TRX, ZEC, TAO, ONDO, and H 22:55 XLM, WLFI, NEAR, ICP, ARB, and ZRO 27:12 DEXE, PENGU, MON, and AERO 31:17 DOGE, HYPE, XMR, ALGO, MORPHO, and viewer picks 34:22 Final outlook for May and June
35:01

BTC pushed above the TBO cloud over the weekend and is technically strong bullish in the short term, but Aaron’s core message today was still caution. Volume remains weak, the Slow line is still macro bearish, and RSI is putting in lower highs while price stalls just under 80K. Even with OBV still technically bullish, this move does not yet look strong enough to change the bigger bearish view. ETH looks even weaker than BTC here. It bounced, but it still has not cleanly cleared overhead resistance, RSI continues to trend lower, and volume plus OBV both look fragile. Aaron is still expecting a lower low on ETH, and that fits with the broader setup where BTC is holding up better than the rest of the market. The bigger macro warning signs are still in dominance and risk sentiment. BTC.D remains very strong, stablecoin dominance looks ready to push higher, and TOTALES plus OTHERS/BTC still look vulnerable to rejection. If stablecoin dominance rises while BTC.D stays firm, alts are likely to keep getting punished even if BTC itself only pulls back modestly. TradFi is also flashing risk-on excess while Aaron stays skeptical. DXY looks like it could bounce, USDJPY remains important after Japan intervention talk, GameStop pumping again is a sign of greed, and oil still looks strong while gold and silver stay mixed. On the watchlist, Aaron leaned bearish on names like XLM, NEAR, ICP, ARB, RENDER, DEXE, PENGU, MON, and AERO, while stronger charts like DOGE, HYPE, and MORPHO still look impressive but increasingly suspicious if momentum keeps fading. Chapters: 00:00 BTC above the cloud but still lacking conviction 03:10 ETH looks weaker than BTC 06:13 BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance warnings 10:42 TOTALES and OTHERS/BTC rejection risk 12:50 DXY, USDJPY, and stock market risk sentiment 16:57 Oil, gold, and silver check-in 18:56 TRX, ZEC, TAO, ONDO, and H 22:55 XLM, WLFI, NEAR, ICP, ARB, and ZRO 27:12 DEXE, PENGU, MON, and AERO 31:17 DOGE, HYPE, XMR, ALGO, MORPHO, and viewer picks 34:22 Final outlook for May and June

Aaron Dishner

13,239 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Is This $BTC Final Rally Before a Bear Market? w/ Until $BTC dominance peaks and $ETH holds $5K, altseason is just a dream. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:56 – Flash Crash Recap 08:12 – Bitcoin’s Q4 Prediction 14:00 – $ETH Drop + Recovery Outlook 17:10 – Why ETH Needs $5K 20:58 – Nexo 21:32 – Figure Markets 22:06 – When Will Altseason Begin? 26:02 – Does Narrative Follow Price? 33:37 – How to Survive the Next Bear Market 40:10 – Satoshi Valuation Explained 45:10 – Cowen’s Top Q4 Watch Signals 52:20 – Wrap-Up
53:17

Is This $BTC Final Rally Before a Bear Market? w/ Until $BTC dominance peaks and $ETH holds $5K, altseason is just a dream. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:56 – Flash Crash Recap 08:12 – Bitcoin’s Q4 Prediction 14:00 – $ETH Drop + Recovery Outlook 17:10 – Why ETH Needs $5K 20:58 – Nexo 21:32 – Figure Markets 22:06 – When Will Altseason Begin? 26:02 – Does Narrative Follow Price? 33:37 – How to Survive the Next Bear Market 40:10 – Satoshi Valuation Explained 45:10 – Cowen’s Top Q4 Watch Signals 52:20 – Wrap-Up

Milk Road

136,049 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

BTC has now wicked above the same resistance three times in five days, and that keeps weakening the level. I still think the most likely short-term move is a push toward the CME gap at $81,145, but I do not like the risk to reward for longs up here. If my bigger bearish thesis is right, this rally is setting up a much better short later, not a chase long now. That bigger picture still matters more to me. April has already done the heavy lifting, while the historical setup for May and June still points to deeper downside and much bigger volatility. If that pattern keeps tracking, BTC could still be setting up for a much harder drop over the next two months. ETH still looks weaker than BTC, BTC dominance keeps pressing higher, and TOTALES is holding up better than the smaller alt indexes. But TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 are both flashing more bearish reversal pressure underneath, so I still think altcoins are vulnerable even if some charts are bouncing for now. In TradFi, DXY and USDJPY both still look capable of pushing higher, ES finally cooled off after a strong streak, the VIX is trying to turn, and the Nikkei still looks strong but not invincible. On the watchlist, I am paying closest attention to XMR, XLM, CHZ, STRK, H, HYPE, TAO, XRP, RENDER, and SOL.
45:59

BTC has now wicked above the same resistance three times in five days, and that keeps weakening the level. I still think the most likely short-term move is a push toward the CME gap at $81,145, but I do not like the risk to reward for longs up here. If my bigger bearish thesis is right, this rally is setting up a much better short later, not a chase long now. That bigger picture still matters more to me. April has already done the heavy lifting, while the historical setup for May and June still points to deeper downside and much bigger volatility. If that pattern keeps tracking, BTC could still be setting up for a much harder drop over the next two months. ETH still looks weaker than BTC, BTC dominance keeps pressing higher, and TOTALES is holding up better than the smaller alt indexes. But TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 are both flashing more bearish reversal pressure underneath, so I still think altcoins are vulnerable even if some charts are bouncing for now. In TradFi, DXY and USDJPY both still look capable of pushing higher, ES finally cooled off after a strong streak, the VIX is trying to turn, and the Nikkei still looks strong but not invincible. On the watchlist, I am paying closest attention to XMR, XLM, CHZ, STRK, H, HYPE, TAO, XRP, RENDER, and SOL.

Aaron Dishner

69,553 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

I gotta say, Apple’s new official Finewoven cases may be more environmentally friendly, but they really don’t seem as good at holding up over time This is the second one we’ve tried and both have had permanent stains as well as the outer layer starting to peel off
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I gotta say, Apple’s new official Finewoven cases may be more environmentally friendly, but they really don’t seem as good at holding up over time This is the second one we’ve tried and both have had permanent stains as well as the outer layer starting to peel off

Arun Maini

159,644 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

Bitcoin dumped to $74,000 for a reason. $BTC just confirmed the most dangerous pattern on the chart. Most people still think this is just a temporary dip. But structurally, this is the most bearish setup of the cycle. $74K → $77K → $66K → $60K Quick reminder: I called Bitcoin’s 2022 bottom and the 2025 top before the crowd saw it coming. If you missed those calls, don’t miss this one. Follow and turn notifications on now.
0:45

Bitcoin dumped to $74,000 for a reason. $BTC just confirmed the most dangerous pattern on the chart. Most people still think this is just a temporary dip. But structurally, this is the most bearish setup of the cycle. $74K → $77K → $66K → $60K Quick reminder: I called Bitcoin’s 2022 bottom and the 2025 top before the crowd saw it coming. If you missed those calls, don’t miss this one. Follow and turn notifications on now.

Chiefy

221,326 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

MA FAST JUST CROSSED MA SLOW ON $BTC Every single time this pattern formed in a bear market Price dumped to the cycle bottom shortly after Not sometimes, not usually - every time without exception $60K already broke, touched $59K, bounced back slightly The market gave everyone one last chance to exit Cross just printed, $60K already cracked Road from here leads to one place only $52K is the next stop Follow me - bottom call incoming when we get there
0:39

MA FAST JUST CROSSED MA SLOW ON $BTC Every single time this pattern formed in a bear market Price dumped to the cycle bottom shortly after Not sometimes, not usually - every time without exception $60K already broke, touched $59K, bounced back slightly The market gave everyone one last chance to exit Cross just printed, $60K already cracked Road from here leads to one place only $52K is the next stop Follow me - bottom call incoming when we get there

philarekt

12,619 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Mark my take: “Sell in May and go away.” Every year during MID-TERM ELECTIONS. - 2014: -72% DUMPED - 2018: -70% DUMPED - 2022: -68% DUMPED - 2026: ??? Same month. Same cycle structure. And if it happens, $BTC could be pointing straight to the $30K. And many people think.. It’s just an old Wall Street saying. CYCLE PATTERN OR TRAP? Three cycles. And the fourth one is still running. But maybe this time is different. Either way, I’ll keep you updated. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on.
0:28

Mark my take: “Sell in May and go away.” Every year during MID-TERM ELECTIONS. - 2014: -72% DUMPED - 2018: -70% DUMPED - 2022: -68% DUMPED - 2026: ??? Same month. Same cycle structure. And if it happens, $BTC could be pointing straight to the $30K. And many people think.. It’s just an old Wall Street saying. CYCLE PATTERN OR TRAP? Three cycles. And the fourth one is still running. But maybe this time is different. Either way, I’ll keep you updated. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on.

DANNY

28,358 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 I’VE IDENTIFIED WHERE $BTC WILL BOTTOM We’ve finally seen BTC pullback from the 200 MA! Of course, we’ll still need to watch how the market reacts at key support levels BUT im expecting roughly 85K - and here’s why: In every bear market, Bitcoin has reached the weekly Fibonacci 0.382 level before putting in the real bottom. For more details, check out MY VIDEO 2018: → Reached 0.382 Fib → Dumped to –0.18 2022: → Reached 0.382 Fib → Dumped to –0.618 2026: → Reach: 0.382 Fib → Then dump into: –0.18/–0.27 range? ($48K/$41K) This pattern has already worked in 2 cycles and could repeat in this one as well. In any case, DYOR. Im also still expecting Bitcoin to make new lows, just like I wrote earlier! Drop a comment and let me know what you think: has $BTC already put in the BOTTOM, or is the real bottom still ahead? EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DON’T WORRY TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS, FOLLOW ME, AND BOOKMARK THIS
1:16

🚨 I’VE IDENTIFIED WHERE $BTC WILL BOTTOM We’ve finally seen BTC pullback from the 200 MA! Of course, we’ll still need to watch how the market reacts at key support levels BUT im expecting roughly 85K - and here’s why: In every bear market, Bitcoin has reached the weekly Fibonacci 0.382 level before putting in the real bottom. For more details, check out MY VIDEO 2018: → Reached 0.382 Fib → Dumped to –0.18 2022: → Reached 0.382 Fib → Dumped to –0.618 2026: → Reach: 0.382 Fib → Then dump into: –0.18/–0.27 range? ($48K/$41K) This pattern has already worked in 2 cycles and could repeat in this one as well. In any case, DYOR. Im also still expecting Bitcoin to make new lows, just like I wrote earlier! Drop a comment and let me know what you think: has $BTC already put in the BOTTOM, or is the real bottom still ahead? EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DON’T WORRY TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS, FOLLOW ME, AND BOOKMARK THIS

Tony Research

150,168 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨EVERYONE THINKS ETHEREUM IS DEAD That's exactly why I'm paying attention The market is treating $ETH like it's just another altcoin It isn't Ethereum has already fallen almost 70% from its all-time high, while Bitcoin has held up much better That underperformance is exactly why the narrative has become so one-sided "ETH is dead" "The cycle is over" "Just buy BTC" I've heard this before The easiest way to see what's happening is the ETH/BTC chart The ratio has been crushed for years and is sitting near levels we haven't seen in a long time After months of underperformance, people stopped comparing Ethereum to Bitcoin and started comparing it to every failing altcoin That's the mistake $BTC and $ETH are still the only two crypto assets with more than a decade of history, no insider unlocks, no VC emissions and real institutional adoption The difference is that their economics are no longer the same Around a third of all $ETH is staked, earning native yield while remaining locked inside the network Bitcoin doesn't do that New $BTC is still issued every day, and miners regularly sell part of it to cover electricity, hardware and operating costs Then look at the corporate treasuries Companies holding Bitcoin own an asset that doesn't generate cash flow on its own Companies building Ethereum treasuries can stake their $ETH and earn yield while they wait It's the difference between holding an asset... And holding an asset that pays you to stay patient That's why I think the market is pricing Ethereum like a broken asset while ignoring how much its structure has changed over the last few years Could ETH still go lower? Of course. Markets always overshoot. That's why my interest starts between $1,400 and $1,050 Not because I know the exact bottom, but because that's where the risk/reward finally becomes asymmetric Last cycle everyone was calling for $10,000 $ETH It never happened This cycle everyone is calling Ethereum dead Markets have a funny habit of disappointing the majority I'm not bearish on both I just think the asset everyone has already given up on often becomes the one that surprises the most That's why I'm buying fear instead of chasing strength Maybe I'm early But I'd rather accumulate when everyone hates Ethereum than fight the crowd after it starts making new highs again Follow and turn notifications on Next few months could completely change the narrative
0:23

🚨EVERYONE THINKS ETHEREUM IS DEAD That's exactly why I'm paying attention The market is treating $ETH like it's just another altcoin It isn't Ethereum has already fallen almost 70% from its all-time high, while Bitcoin has held up much better That underperformance is exactly why the narrative has become so one-sided "ETH is dead" "The cycle is over" "Just buy BTC" I've heard this before The easiest way to see what's happening is the ETH/BTC chart The ratio has been crushed for years and is sitting near levels we haven't seen in a long time After months of underperformance, people stopped comparing Ethereum to Bitcoin and started comparing it to every failing altcoin That's the mistake $BTC and $ETH are still the only two crypto assets with more than a decade of history, no insider unlocks, no VC emissions and real institutional adoption The difference is that their economics are no longer the same Around a third of all $ETH is staked, earning native yield while remaining locked inside the network Bitcoin doesn't do that New $BTC is still issued every day, and miners regularly sell part of it to cover electricity, hardware and operating costs Then look at the corporate treasuries Companies holding Bitcoin own an asset that doesn't generate cash flow on its own Companies building Ethereum treasuries can stake their $ETH and earn yield while they wait It's the difference between holding an asset... And holding an asset that pays you to stay patient That's why I think the market is pricing Ethereum like a broken asset while ignoring how much its structure has changed over the last few years Could ETH still go lower? Of course. Markets always overshoot. That's why my interest starts between $1,400 and $1,050 Not because I know the exact bottom, but because that's where the risk/reward finally becomes asymmetric Last cycle everyone was calling for $10,000 $ETH It never happened This cycle everyone is calling Ethereum dead Markets have a funny habit of disappointing the majority I'm not bearish on both I just think the asset everyone has already given up on often becomes the one that surprises the most That's why I'm buying fear instead of chasing strength Maybe I'm early But I'd rather accumulate when everyone hates Ethereum than fight the crowd after it starts making new highs again Follow and turn notifications on Next few months could completely change the narrative

BLADE

27,548 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$ETH My local view on #ETH So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. We broke out of the wedge and are now retesting it 2. Liquidity sweep at $1,804 3. First long zone: $1,720/$1,800 4. Second long zone: $1,744/$1,680 5. Conservative target: $2,000 6. If $BTC reaches $70K/$72K, then $ETH target is $2,100/$2,200 As I mentioned earlier, $ETH looks stronger than $BTC, so in my opinion, the probability of reaching the second zone is low. Of course, there’s still a chance we won’t even reach the first long zone, but I can’t recommend taking an overly risky long. $ETH has performed better than $BTC and other altcoins during this correction. However, be careful with long positions. Over the next 30–90 days, I expect the final correction to begin. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.
0:27

$ETH My local view on #ETH So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. We broke out of the wedge and are now retesting it 2. Liquidity sweep at $1,804 3. First long zone: $1,720/$1,800 4. Second long zone: $1,744/$1,680 5. Conservative target: $2,000 6. If $BTC reaches $70K/$72K, then $ETH target is $2,100/$2,200 As I mentioned earlier, $ETH looks stronger than $BTC, so in my opinion, the probability of reaching the second zone is low. Of course, there’s still a chance we won’t even reach the first long zone, but I can’t recommend taking an overly risky long. $ETH has performed better than $BTC and other altcoins during this correction. However, be careful with long positions. Over the next 30–90 days, I expect the final correction to begin. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

Tony Research

121,572 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

The next 6-10 months will feel like a money printer. Bitcoin will break ATH, then ETH follows. Billions will flood into mid and low caps. Alts and memes will send 10x-100x. Total crypto market cap is heading for $8-$10T. Last cycle hit $2.7T, and we still saw 100x plays. Imagine 3x that. Just hold. Whales will try to shake you out, don’t fall for it. The real money is in patience. Altseason and Memeseason are locked in. BlackRock isn’t getting our bags cheap. BTC to $150K-$200K is inevitable. Like this tweet, and I’ll share the alts and memes I’m buying. Follow me so you don’t miss it.
0:57

The next 6-10 months will feel like a money printer. Bitcoin will break ATH, then ETH follows. Billions will flood into mid and low caps. Alts and memes will send 10x-100x. Total crypto market cap is heading for $8-$10T. Last cycle hit $2.7T, and we still saw 100x plays. Imagine 3x that. Just hold. Whales will try to shake you out, don’t fall for it. The real money is in patience. Altseason and Memeseason are locked in. BlackRock isn’t getting our bags cheap. BTC to $150K-$200K is inevitable. Like this tweet, and I’ll share the alts and memes I’m buying. Follow me so you don’t miss it.

Crypto Fergani

181,843 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

The next 6-10 months will feel like a money printer. Bitcoin will break ATH, then ETH follows. Billions will flood into mid and low caps. Alts and memes will send 10x-100x. Total crypto market cap is heading for $8-$10T. Last cycle hit $2.7T, and we still saw 100x plays. Imagine 3x that. Just hold. Whales will try to shake you out, don’t fall for it. The real money is in patience. Altseason and Memeseason are locked in. BlackRock isn’t getting our bags cheap. BTC to $150K-$200K is inevitable. Like this tweet, and I’ll share the alts and memes I’m buying. Follow me so you don’t miss it.
0:24

The next 6-10 months will feel like a money printer. Bitcoin will break ATH, then ETH follows. Billions will flood into mid and low caps. Alts and memes will send 10x-100x. Total crypto market cap is heading for $8-$10T. Last cycle hit $2.7T, and we still saw 100x plays. Imagine 3x that. Just hold. Whales will try to shake you out, don’t fall for it. The real money is in patience. Altseason and Memeseason are locked in. BlackRock isn’t getting our bags cheap. BTC to $150K-$200K is inevitable. Like this tweet, and I’ll share the alts and memes I’m buying. Follow me so you don’t miss it.

Crypto Fergani

280,996 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

BTC finally took out the February 6 low at 60K and wicked to 59,130, which was the support target I have been waiting on. The short-term supports are done, the daily chart confirmed another TBO breakdown, and the next levels I care about are TBO support near 53K, then the artificial support target around 49K, with 38,555 still lower if the final liquidation dump gets spicy. ETH dropped 10.58%, printed an extremely low daily RSI, and still has 1,385 and 1,073 as the major downside targets I am watching. TOTALES confirmed another TBO breakdown and the market still needs more fear, even though the fear is finally getting interesting. Stablecoin dominance is right at the 13% accumulation trigger, but that does not mean ape into everything - it means start thinking in scale-in zones and keep dry powder in case stablecoin dominance rips toward 17%-18%. BTC dominance rising while BTC dumps is constructive for long-term confidence, but OTHERS, OTHERS/BTC, TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 all still look like they want lower. TradFi finally joined the risk-off party too: DXY pushed back toward 100, USDJPY is in trouble, S&P futures dropped 2.9%, the Dow and Nasdaq printed bearish divergence signals, NVDA and TSLA dumped, VIX ripped almost 40%, gold fell 3.29%, silver dropped 8.3%, and uranium gave back the fast-line move. My picks were mostly a mix of relative strength and caution. HYPE is still technically bullish but risky in this BTC environment, with 39.55 the real support area I care about, DEXE and VVV are still holding up better than most, XRP likely wants the fair value gap near 0.60, SOL is still tracking toward the bigger downside targets, and DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI, SHIB, MNT, DOT, PEPE, AAVE, ETC, WLD, APT, BONK and others are showing breakdown pressure. Viewer picks: FET is one AI chart I still want to watch for future accumulation, TAO lost support, HOME is too hot to trust after the pump, NBIS and OKTA have bearish risk, AAPL is still holding up, PATH had a clean bounce into rejection, and ADBE still looks weak. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC loses 60K and targets 49K 08:55 ETH breakdown, RSI panic and downside targets 13:12 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance and alt dominance 18:24 TradFi risk-off, DXY, USDJPY and indices 23:17 Gold, silver, copper and uranium 25:30 TBO, club, journal and trading mindset 28:21 My picks: HYPE, DEXE and VVV 31:22 Major alt breakdowns: DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI and more 37:25 Viewer picks: FET, TAO, HOME, NBIS, OKTA, AAPL, PATH and ADBE 41:31 HYPE deep dive preview and wrap-up
42:31

BTC finally took out the February 6 low at 60K and wicked to 59,130, which was the support target I have been waiting on. The short-term supports are done, the daily chart confirmed another TBO breakdown, and the next levels I care about are TBO support near 53K, then the artificial support target around 49K, with 38,555 still lower if the final liquidation dump gets spicy. ETH dropped 10.58%, printed an extremely low daily RSI, and still has 1,385 and 1,073 as the major downside targets I am watching. TOTALES confirmed another TBO breakdown and the market still needs more fear, even though the fear is finally getting interesting. Stablecoin dominance is right at the 13% accumulation trigger, but that does not mean ape into everything - it means start thinking in scale-in zones and keep dry powder in case stablecoin dominance rips toward 17%-18%. BTC dominance rising while BTC dumps is constructive for long-term confidence, but OTHERS, OTHERS/BTC, TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 all still look like they want lower. TradFi finally joined the risk-off party too: DXY pushed back toward 100, USDJPY is in trouble, S&P futures dropped 2.9%, the Dow and Nasdaq printed bearish divergence signals, NVDA and TSLA dumped, VIX ripped almost 40%, gold fell 3.29%, silver dropped 8.3%, and uranium gave back the fast-line move. My picks were mostly a mix of relative strength and caution. HYPE is still technically bullish but risky in this BTC environment, with 39.55 the real support area I care about, DEXE and VVV are still holding up better than most, XRP likely wants the fair value gap near 0.60, SOL is still tracking toward the bigger downside targets, and DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI, SHIB, MNT, DOT, PEPE, AAVE, ETC, WLD, APT, BONK and others are showing breakdown pressure. Viewer picks: FET is one AI chart I still want to watch for future accumulation, TAO lost support, HOME is too hot to trust after the pump, NBIS and OKTA have bearish risk, AAPL is still holding up, PATH had a clean bounce into rejection, and ADBE still looks weak. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC loses 60K and targets 49K 08:55 ETH breakdown, RSI panic and downside targets 13:12 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance and alt dominance 18:24 TradFi risk-off, DXY, USDJPY and indices 23:17 Gold, silver, copper and uranium 25:30 TBO, club, journal and trading mindset 28:21 My picks: HYPE, DEXE and VVV 31:22 Major alt breakdowns: DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI and more 37:25 Viewer picks: FET, TAO, HOME, NBIS, OKTA, AAPL, PATH and ADBE 41:31 HYPE deep dive preview and wrap-up

Aaron Dishner

63,224 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 ETHEREUM JUST BROKE ITS 9-YEAR GOLDEN TRIANGLE This doesn’t look bullish. But the last time $ETH broke this exact structure? COVID CRASH 2020. Ethereum bottomed near $100. Then exploded 30x to $4,800. Same triangle. Same breakdown. Same opportunity loading. The last break became the biggest buying opportunity in Ethereum history. DON’T MISS IT TWICE. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.
0:32

🚨 ETHEREUM JUST BROKE ITS 9-YEAR GOLDEN TRIANGLE This doesn’t look bullish. But the last time $ETH broke this exact structure? COVID CRASH 2020. Ethereum bottomed near $100. Then exploded 30x to $4,800. Same triangle. Same breakdown. Same opportunity loading. The last break became the biggest buying opportunity in Ethereum history. DON’T MISS IT TWICE. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

40,606 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

BTC just confirmed the bearish divergence I have been waiting for, and for me that changes the whole map. With BTC now joining the TOTALES warning, I am no longer looking at this as a normal pullback. I think the market is setting up for a much deeper move over the next two months, and that is why I am treating any short term bounce as noise unless price can reclaim key levels with real strength. ETH is starting to crack in the same way. It has not printed the same daily divergence as BTC yet, but the structure is weakening, RSI broke support, and price is losing the fast line. Stablecoin dominance keeps pressing higher, TOTALES has already rolled over, and that combination still points to broad market weakness instead of a healthy reset. TradFi is not helping the bulls either. DXY looks ready for another push higher, USDJPY is back in the danger zone, and if Japan is forced into another intervention cycle the Nikkei, U.S. equities, and crypto could all get hit together again. At the same time, WTI looks overextended after filling its gap, while gold and silver are still chopping without giving me a strong risk-on signal. For today’s picks, I am still leaning toward bearish setups over heroic longs. XRP, QNT, ICP, NEAR, TRUMP, DCR, RENDER, ATOM, CHZ, and MORPHO all still look vulnerable if this broader risk-off move keeps building. A few names like DOGE, SKY, and some smaller caps can still bounce, but for me the bigger message today is simple: the warning signs are stacking up, and I would rather stay patient and defensive than fight the trend. 00:00 BTC confirms the bearish divergence 03:03 ETH weakness and stablecoin dominance 05:25 TOTALES breakdown and market-wide risk 06:54 DXY, USDJPY, and Japan intervention risk 13:41 WTI, gold, and silver check-in 20:12 Altcoin picks and short-side setups
49:12

BTC just confirmed the bearish divergence I have been waiting for, and for me that changes the whole map. With BTC now joining the TOTALES warning, I am no longer looking at this as a normal pullback. I think the market is setting up for a much deeper move over the next two months, and that is why I am treating any short term bounce as noise unless price can reclaim key levels with real strength. ETH is starting to crack in the same way. It has not printed the same daily divergence as BTC yet, but the structure is weakening, RSI broke support, and price is losing the fast line. Stablecoin dominance keeps pressing higher, TOTALES has already rolled over, and that combination still points to broad market weakness instead of a healthy reset. TradFi is not helping the bulls either. DXY looks ready for another push higher, USDJPY is back in the danger zone, and if Japan is forced into another intervention cycle the Nikkei, U.S. equities, and crypto could all get hit together again. At the same time, WTI looks overextended after filling its gap, while gold and silver are still chopping without giving me a strong risk-on signal. For today’s picks, I am still leaning toward bearish setups over heroic longs. XRP, QNT, ICP, NEAR, TRUMP, DCR, RENDER, ATOM, CHZ, and MORPHO all still look vulnerable if this broader risk-off move keeps building. A few names like DOGE, SKY, and some smaller caps can still bounce, but for me the bigger message today is simple: the warning signs are stacking up, and I would rather stay patient and defensive than fight the trend. 00:00 BTC confirms the bearish divergence 03:03 ETH weakness and stablecoin dominance 05:25 TOTALES breakdown and market-wide risk 06:54 DXY, USDJPY, and Japan intervention risk 13:41 WTI, gold, and silver check-in 20:12 Altcoin picks and short-side setups

Aaron Dishner

19,547 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

DON’T SHORT $BTC NOW First, $BTC will close the FVG at 70K Then we’ll see the final drop Here’s my plan: 1. Local correction into the 62K area (DONE) ✅ 2. Then a rally to $70K 3. 7–14 days of distribution 4. Then a breakdown below $59K 5. Flush to $48K 6. Final bottom test in the $38K–$44K zone Let me also remind you: when #BTC reaches the 68K–70K zone, we’ll see an altcoin bounce of roughly 40–100%. $ETH and $SOL have already shown a decent bounce, but they still have room to grow. After that, a drop will follow, because this is another bull trap. Many believe the bottom has already been reached. I think the final part hasn’t started yet. As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE
0:33

DON’T SHORT $BTC NOW First, $BTC will close the FVG at 70K Then we’ll see the final drop Here’s my plan: 1. Local correction into the 62K area (DONE) ✅ 2. Then a rally to $70K 3. 7–14 days of distribution 4. Then a breakdown below $59K 5. Flush to $48K 6. Final bottom test in the $38K–$44K zone Let me also remind you: when #BTC reaches the 68K–70K zone, we’ll see an altcoin bounce of roughly 40–100%. $ETH and $SOL have already shown a decent bounce, but they still have room to grow. After that, a drop will follow, because this is another bull trap. Many believe the bottom has already been reached. I think the final part hasn’t started yet. As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE

Tony Research

314,881 Aufrufe • vor 24 Tagen

Bitcoin has officially failed to break the key resistance! The Bull Trap is now over, and next week $BTC will crash to $60K before testing new lows. Are you still bullish? Most people won’t realize what’s happening until it’s too late. I publicly called the biggest reversals of the last 3 cycles before they happened. Follow and turn notifications on now. Don’t be late this time.
0:46

Bitcoin has officially failed to break the key resistance! The Bull Trap is now over, and next week $BTC will crash to $60K before testing new lows. Are you still bullish? Most people won’t realize what’s happening until it’s too late. I publicly called the biggest reversals of the last 3 cycles before they happened. Follow and turn notifications on now. Don’t be late this time.

Lofty

20,608 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55
13:43

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55

Dan Gambardello

30,451 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 $BTC MAY BE TRAPPING RETAIL WITH AN INVERSE H&S SETUP Most traders are already calling this the start of a “new bull market”... But smart money may be seeing exact opposite BTC appears to have completed a full cycle structure: • Left Shoulder → ~$108K • Head → ~$126K • Right Shoulder → ~$97K And we’ve seen this movie before Back in 2021, a nearly identical structure formed before BTC collapsed from $50k to $32k just months later This isn’t just random chart pattern hype BTC has repeated same psychological cycle for years: - greed - euphoria - liquidity trap - panic selloff Now retail sentiment is turning aggressively bullish again while multiple bearish signals continue building: - momentum fading - liquidity slowly exiting - participation weakening - distribution structure expanding My $BTC plan for next 30-60 days: → Breakdown below $60K → Sideways accumulation/chop → Final cycle low around $52K-$49K To me, this still looks like one giant bull trap Don’t become whale exit liquidity - turn on notifs - I’ll update
0:45

🚨 $BTC MAY BE TRAPPING RETAIL WITH AN INVERSE H&S SETUP Most traders are already calling this the start of a “new bull market”... But smart money may be seeing exact opposite BTC appears to have completed a full cycle structure: • Left Shoulder → ~$108K • Head → ~$126K • Right Shoulder → ~$97K And we’ve seen this movie before Back in 2021, a nearly identical structure formed before BTC collapsed from $50k to $32k just months later This isn’t just random chart pattern hype BTC has repeated same psychological cycle for years: - greed - euphoria - liquidity trap - panic selloff Now retail sentiment is turning aggressively bullish again while multiple bearish signals continue building: - momentum fading - liquidity slowly exiting - participation weakening - distribution structure expanding My $BTC plan for next 30-60 days: → Breakdown below $60K → Sideways accumulation/chop → Final cycle low around $52K-$49K To me, this still looks like one giant bull trap Don’t become whale exit liquidity - turn on notifs - I’ll update

Klarck

136,218 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten