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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 America keeps refusing to pay a transit fee, which shows it never wanted the strait reopened. Economist Chris Martenson points to the weak negotiating teams Washington keeps sending and its flat refusal to accept fees as proof the whole effort is theater rather than a real push... show more

Mario Nawfal

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51,937 次观看 • 24 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 You can't fix 1953 with a fee-sharing deal paid in dollars. Economist Chris Martenson says the Hormuz standoff runs on grievances going back to the CIA-backed coup, which is why Washington's neat little revenue-split proposals keep falling flat with Tehran. The easy options are gone, and what's left is the part nobody wants to say: reaching any agreement now means America accepting real economic pain, and the longer it waits, the steeper that price gets. Chris Martenson

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 You can't fix 1953 with a fee-sharing deal paid in dollars. Economist Chris Martenson says the Hormuz standoff runs on grievances going back to the CIA-backed coup, which is why Washington's neat little revenue-split proposals keep falling flat with Tehran. The easy options are gone, and what's left is the part nobody wants to say: reaching any agreement now means America accepting real economic pain, and the longer it waits, the steeper that price gets. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls “dictate mode,” assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls “dictate mode,” assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 Saying no to a vaccine got these government employees investigated by the counterterrorism unit reserved for spies and terrorists. PHD Economist Chris Martenson heard it directly from the people it happened to. "They actually shifted the investigation of these people over to their counterterrorism task force, which you reserved for terrorists and known spies. So that's in their files now." That label's gonna follow them forever. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 Saying no to a vaccine got these government employees investigated by the counterterrorism unit reserved for spies and terrorists. PHD Economist Chris Martenson heard it directly from the people it happened to. "They actually shifted the investigation of these people over to their counterterrorism task force, which you reserved for terrorists and known spies. So that's in their files now." That label's gonna follow them forever. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 The buffer between America and a real energy crisis is now measured in weeks. PhD economist Chris Martenson ran the numbers, and the math is unforgiving. He lays out the tiers of escalation and where the US actually stands: "Going to war with China, that would be an emergency. So that's one level." By his calculation, the cushion has thinned to a razor's edge. The only real question left, Martenson says, is whether the country has two weeks or fourteen days of breathing room. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 The buffer between America and a real energy crisis is now measured in weeks. PhD economist Chris Martenson ran the numbers, and the math is unforgiving. He lays out the tiers of escalation and where the US actually stands: "Going to war with China, that would be an emergency. So that's one level." By his calculation, the cushion has thinned to a razor's edge. The only real question left, Martenson says, is whether the country has two weeks or fourteen days of breathing room. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran stopped hitting hangars and started hitting barracks. Economic researcher and Peak Prosperity founder Chris Martenson points to satellite images showing the shift, and it happened about a week ago. Five barracks significantly destroyed, hit with extraordinary precision: "They've started to actually openly target places where they're going to get casualties." Hangars cost equipment. Barracks cost lives. Iran has spent this war answering blow for blow, and Tehran has now signaled it may stop responding and start initiating. Where the missiles land is the message, and this one says the tit-for-tat phase is ending. Chris Martenson

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran stopped hitting hangars and started hitting barracks. Economic researcher and Peak Prosperity founder Chris Martenson points to satellite images showing the shift, and it happened about a week ago. Five barracks significantly destroyed, hit with extraordinary precision: "They've started to actually openly target places where they're going to get casualties." Hangars cost equipment. Barracks cost lives. Iran has spent this war answering blow for blow, and Tehran has now signaled it may stop responding and start initiating. Where the missiles land is the message, and this one says the tit-for-tat phase is ending. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Western leaders are completely delusional if they think they can paper over a localized war targeting real-world infrastructure. Economic researcher Chris Martenson says the hard reality is that Iran holds de facto control over the Strait of Hormuz, and a second wave of escalation could push the global economy into a full-scale depression. If another 10 to 12 million barrels of oil per day disappear from the market after further strikes, Chris warns the resulting famine, shortages, and economic chaos would land squarely on the West’s shoulders. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Western leaders are completely delusional if they think they can paper over a localized war targeting real-world infrastructure. Economic researcher Chris Martenson says the hard reality is that Iran holds de facto control over the Strait of Hormuz, and a second wave of escalation could push the global economy into a full-scale depression. If another 10 to 12 million barrels of oil per day disappear from the market after further strikes, Chris warns the resulting famine, shortages, and economic chaos would land squarely on the West’s shoulders. Chris Martenson

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Chris Martenson says that the global oil market has entered a “truly bizarre” phase where historical patterns have been completely broken That's creating a massive disconnect between official trading and economic reality. He says that while a combination of geopolitical shocks in the Red Sea, Libya, and Russia should have driven crude oil to $120 a barrel by now, the futures market remains suppressed even as retail prices for finished products tell a different story. “I'm pretty sure the futures price is a fake price. The real price is what you have to pay to get it.” Chris Martenson

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🚨🇺🇸 The mainstream narrative that the U.S. has achieved complete energy independence by selling its own oil is an absolute illusion. While Washington heavily exports its light shale oil, our domestic refineries aren't even built to process it, forcing us to constantly import heavier crude from volatile regions like the Middle East. Economist Chris Martenson breaks down how the escalating war has turned us into a net importer overnight, warning that a massive global supply crunch is about to hit everything from helium to agriculture. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Washington may have to choose between Iranian control of the strait and no shipping at all. Trita Parsi says the real American standard was never about who owns the water, only that traffic keeps moving. Faced with bad options, the administration may decide that oil flowing under Iranian terms, fees included, beats a strait nobody uses. But Tehran's position has hardened. Parsi thought Iran would accept an arrangement including Oman and other Gulf states. Now the formula is stricter: only countries with territorial waters in the strait get a seat, which means Iran and Oman alone. That rule was designed to dilute Iranian control, and Iran just closed the door on it. Trita Parsi

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