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“An 80% collapse may be the wrong expectation this time.” Bitcoin broke support — but the cycle already broke on the way up. Metals are flashing stress. Leverage is unwinding. When the unit of account wobbles, pattern-matching fails. New episode of No Second Best 👇

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Swan

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22,876 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Bitcoin just experienced the largest dollar-value crash in its history. No fraud. No exchange failure. No black swan. So if nothing broke… what actually caused it? New episode of No Second Best 👇
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Bitcoin just broke down from its second bear flag. Here is what happened the first time. Flag formed. Flag broke. Price dropped 32%. Now the second flag has broken at the exact same spot. Same pattern. Same setup. Same path lower.
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🩸 THE BIGGEST BITCOIN TREASURY ON EARTH IS UNWINDING IN REAL TIME. Strategy is down 84% from its high. Tens of billions in market value gone. Its preferred stock $STRC was built to hold a $100 peg. It just broke to $75. Here is why this matters to all of Bitcoin. $MSTR did not just buy Bitcoin. It borrowed to buy Bitcoin. That structure is a rocket when price rises. And a trap when price falls. bitcoin:native is down 52% and the trap is closing. This is the leverage washing out of the entire market.

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NEW ‼️ “If Bitcoin is the best risk-return asset in the world, why is everyone trying to outperform it with leverage?” 🤔

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🚨 THIS PATTERN SENT SILVER TO ALL TIME HIGHS Bitcoin is now forming the exact same Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. Silver tends to lead assets like Bitcoin due to investor risk confidence. Once it returns, capital is likely going to flow into risk assets like Bitcoin, and that's exactly when we can expect a similar breakout. When silver broke the handle, it went up over 200%. Same structure, same pattern, same move. It's only a matter of time.
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🚨 THIS PATTERN SENT SILVER TO ALL TIME HIGHS Bitcoin is now forming the exact same Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. Silver tends to lead assets like Bitcoin due to investor risk confidence. Once it returns, capital is likely going to flow into risk assets like Bitcoin, and that's exactly when we can expect a similar breakout. When silver broke the handle, it went up over 200%. Same structure, same pattern, same move. It's only a matter of time.

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NEW: The Senate just rewired Bitcoin regulation CFTC takes the wheel SEC sidelined Institutions get an on-ramp Self-custody protections removed When regulation picks winners, capital moves. Bitcoin just became the commodity of record. Adam Livingston breaks it all down 👇

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