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🇮🇷🇺🇸 An IRGC general says Iran will stretch the war past Trump's term while the Navy's most overworked carrier begs for relief that has no date... Iran's plan is no longer a theory. A senior IRGC adviser told PBS the strategy is to "prolong this war until we get...

363,240 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bombing Iran failed, so did the sanctions, and the maritime blockade. Now Trump's answer is to try blocking the entire country by land!! His original strategy was simple: Bomb Iran hard, destroy its military infrastructure, break the regime, and force Tehran to accept American terms. That didn't happen, so Washington is moving to the next idea: A land blockade. According to reports, the U.S and Israel are considering pressuring Iran's seven neighbours to restrict trade and tighten the economic noose around the country. Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks the proposal is pure fantasy. These countries have different interests, deep economic ties to Iran and, in many cases, major relationships with China. Even if some publicly agreed, enforcing a complete blockade against a country as large and geographically connected as Iran would be another matter entirely. But Brandon says the plan reveals something much more important. America is no longer pursuing a coherent strategy; it's cycling through different versions of the same failed idea. At the same time, Iran appears to be changing its own strategy. Instead of simply waiting to retaliate after every American strike, Tehran is increasingly demonstrating that any new blockade, sabotage campaign or act of coercion could trigger a much wider regional war. Brandon believes Iran now sees a weakened and overstretched opponent. U.S interceptors are being depleted, military assets are being pulled from other theatres, disagreements inside the White House are becoming harder to hide, and Trump is reportedly furious that the war has produced neither a clear victory nor an obvious exit. That's what makes this moment so dangerous. Brandon Weichert

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Iran has warned Trump that a blockade on the SOH will be considered a declaration of war and Iran will respond. Day 44, the Iran war! Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee of the Iranian Shura Council: Trump's talk of starting a naval blockade of Iran is more of a deception than a reality. If Trump tried his blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, it will be considered an act of war, and we will respond to it. -Trump's action will increase market instability. -We may reveal our other cards that we have not yet used in this game. Iran has more surprises prepared. Meanwhile, Iran has released footage of the Iranian Navy warning two US destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson to turn away from the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, or risk being targeted “Attention U.S. Navy warship, transiting near Fujairah Port and Oman Sea; this is IRGC Navy; LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING”. The ships left. Another capitulation for the Trump regime. -Israel is waiting on the U.S. for now resume attacks on Iran. -Netanyahu happy negotiations are over. -Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has put the IDF on alert for immediate readiness to return to war with Iran -Yediot Ahronoth Trump: “I could take out Iran in one day. One hour. So why doesn’t he? Trump also predicts Iran will give him whatever he wants? More hoes like Epstein did? Meanwhile the UK has backed out of supporting trump’s blockade! -Trump begged for UK warships. -Trump threatens 50% tariff on China if it sends weapons to Iran. -China is having a good laugh!

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

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Israeli-British Historian Prof. Avi Shlaim: ‘The Trump-Netanyahu war on Iran is one of the most UNJUSTIFIED, SENSELESS and FOOLISH wars of the 21st century. There was absolutely no reason to go to war. This is an unlawful war. There was no Security Council resolution that mandated a war on Iran. There was no imminent threat from Iran to either Israel or America. So it was a decision taken by these two leaders to launch an attack on Iran. And the dominant personality here is Netanyahu. He’s the junior partner, but he’s the real architect of this war. He succeeded in dragging America into the war on Iran. And remember that Netanyahu was first elected as prime minister in 1996. For the last 30 years, Netanyahu has been demonising Iran and calling for a military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. But no American president until Trump was stupid enough to fall for it. Now, Trump went along with this plan by Netanyahu, and we have seen the consequences. It’s been a war that has caused immense damage and destruction, inflicted a lot of suffering on civilians, and not just in Iran, but on Lebanon as well. And at the same time, Israel continues the genocide in Gaza and the ethnic cleansing of the West Bank. So what we are seeing is an Israeli success in dragging America into a war which is damaging to America, damaging to America’s Gulf allies, hugely damaging to the international economy, and undermines international law.’ -Prof. Avi Shlaim, Emeritus Professor of International Relations at the University of Oxford Watch the full interview in the quoted post below👇

Going Underground

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Possibly the best analysis on the Iran-US war and how it could end. As part of much broader conversation with Drop Site, Trita Parsi search. .. makes the case for why Iran cannot end this conflict without imposing a high enough cost on Israel and the US to deter them from coming after Iran again. Effectively: “ • Iran’s core goal is to end the war in a way that makes it impossible to restart. They refuse to accept a simple ceasefire that lets the US and Israel regroup, rearm, and attack again in six or eight months — a “mowing the lawn” cycle Iran literally cannot survive. • To achieve lasting deterrence, Iran must make the war as costly as possible for the United States, Israel, and others involved. The aim is for everyone to conclude this war was a grave mistake that should never be repeated. • Iran will not agree to end the war without some form of sanctions relief. This isn’t just leverage — it’s survival. Without relief, Iran emerges weakened and degraded, making future attacks even more likely because weakness is exactly what invited this war in the first place. • Sanctions relief is therefore part of Iran’s long-term deterrence strategy. It prevents the country from sliding into continuous decline and removes the incentive for the US and Israel to strike again. • Negotiations are inevitable. The US has already quietly opened the door by lifting sanctions on Iranian oil at sea to help bring down global oil prices — a clear sign that sanctions relief is now on the table. • Continuing the war carries huge risk: if it drags on and Trump can no longer credibly claim victory, he loses any incentive to end it. The conflict could then become a low-intensity “forever war” that destroys his presidency.”

Javed Hassan

48,068 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has barely launched Operation Economic Outcast against Iran, and China is already calling his bluff. Beijing says it will not comply, and is threatening retaliation if Washington targets Chinese companies for continuing to trade with Tehran. That's a HUGE problem for Trump's strategy. Operation Economic Outcast is supposed to sever the international financial lifelines keeping Tehran alive. But Iran cannot be economically isolated if major trading partners simply refuse to participate. Washington can sanction Iran, but the real test has always been whether it is prepared to sanction the powerful countries that keep doing business with it. China has now effectively dared Trump to try. Meanwhile, Iran and Oman have announced a preliminary agreement over managing the Strait of Hormuz. Iran would control incoming maritime traffic and retain the right to impose service fees, while outbound traffic would use the Omani corridor. Crucially, Tehran says the agreement does not mean Hormuz is immediately reopening. Iran says the Strait will remain closed until the U.S naval blockade is lifted and the terms of the broader MOU are honoured. And there are signs Washington may already be moving in that direction. According to an Al Arabiya report, Pakistan's Asim Munir conveyed an American proposal to Tehran: Washington is prepared to lift the naval blockade and sanctions if Iran guarantees free passage through Hormuz and pressures the Houthis to stop attacking Saudi energy infrastructure. There is another important signal. The State Department is reportedly preparing to return diplomats to a string of Middle Eastern embassies evacuated during the war, suggesting Washington does not currently expect large-scale fighting to resume. Put all of this together, and Trump's strategy starts looking very different from the rhetoric; the direction of travel today may actually be toward a deal. Brandon Weichert

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268,386 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

Israeli-British Historian Prof. Avi Shlaim: ‘The Trump-Netanyahu war on Iran is one of the most UNJUSTIFIED, SENSELESS and FOOLISH wars of the 21st century. There was absolutely no reason to go to war. This is an unlawful war. There was no Security Council resolution that mandated a war on Iran. There was no imminent threat from Iran to either Israel or America. So it was a decision taken by these two leaders to launch an attack on Iran. And the dominant personality here is Netanyahu. He’s the junior partner, but he’s the real architect of this war. He succeeded in dragging America into the war on Iran. And remember that Netanyahu was first elected as prime minister in 1996. For the last 30 years, Netanyahu has been demonising Iran and calling for a military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. But no American president until Trump was stupid enough to fall for it. Now, Trump went along with this plan by Netanyahu, and we have seen the consequences. It’s been a war that has caused immense damage and destruction, inflicted a lot of suffering on civilians, and not just in Iran, but on Lebanon as well. And at the same time, Israel continues the genocide in Gaza and the ethnic cleansing of the West Bank. So what we are seeing is an Israeli success in dragging America into a war which is damaging to America, damaging to America’s Gulf allies, hugely damaging to the international economy, and undermines international law.’ -Prof. Avi Shlaim, Emeritus Professor of International Relations at the University of Oxford, on Going Underground

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