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An opportunity like this won't come again... (Emergency Update)

187,585 次观看 • 1 年前 •via X (Twitter)

32 条评论

Dave Collum 的头像
Dave Collum1 年前

From 1880-1990, the CAPE averaged 12-ish. It is now 38. I think you must include a correction of valuation in any forecast, which opens the door for a 70% correction to return to the historical mean. From 1981 to the present, the valuations (using a host of metrics) have compounded—compounded!—4% annualized. Four decades of such compounding will be reversed. Don't know how or when, but it will be. I think that must be incorporated in projections and nobody is doing so.

Deals Finder 的头像
Deals Finder1 年前

Huge deals dropping daily, just like this one 🚨 Follow for more & turn on alerts.... they go fast!

JMoody 的头像
JMoody1 年前

Very clean animations to illustrate your talking points! Thank you

Bravos Research 的头像
Bravos Research1 年前

Check our track record for free on our website Become a premium member for exclusive access to all our: - Premium Videos - Trade Alerts - Active Positions - Monthly Macro Newsletter - Quant Forecast Models

Pete Petrovsky 🔋⚡️🚘🇦🇺 Tesla Ahead of the Curve 的头像
Pete Petrovsky 🔋⚡️🚘🇦🇺 Tesla Ahead of the Curve1 年前

Would love to hear if you have any thoughts about this 👇 as a possibility? Source: :

Parisian Payoff 的头像
Parisian Payoff1 年前

@RemindMe_OfThis in 1 month

Brian 🏴‍☠️🦍💯 的头像
Brian 🏴‍☠️🦍💯1 年前

Records levels of debt in multiple areas, extreme leverage levels, valuation bubbles everywhere…..I disagree with your assessment. Labor statistics have been fudged by the government

toddmakurath 的头像
toddmakurath1 年前

Follow! Great analysis.

ZEN 💡 the innovator 的头像
ZEN 💡 the innovator1 年前

might have to change this part, because of Job losses to Ai 🤖

Bryan Brey 的头像
Bryan Brey1 年前

Good stuff!

Eladalah 的头像
Eladalah1 年前

Low Jobs opening, cut employees, high tariffs this is cost plus inflation but it will be stagflation era and leading to Resecion when unemployed accelerated it will be depression

Vick 的头像
Vick1 年前

Do your indicators take into account all the job losses that are about to happen as a result of DOGE?

🇮🇱∑:BigTing( っ'-')╮/̵͇̿̿/'̿'̿ ̿ ̿̿ ̿̿ ̿̿ 的头像
🇮🇱∑:BigTing( っ'-')╮/̵͇̿̿/'̿'̿ ̿ ̿̿ ̿̿ ̿̿1 年前

Golden bull

CryptoVendetta 的头像
CryptoVendetta1 年前

Bull run coming 😍

cybertiger 的头像
cybertiger1 年前

Nonsense. Inverted yield curve matter. If you follow him last 2 weeks, you would lose alot

Tom elio 的头像
Tom elio1 年前

@DreamDividend

CyberRed 的头像
CyberRed1 年前

Thanks, that was helpful. Also fits with the bull run in M2 global!

Yeezus 的头像
Yeezus1 年前

@WillsOutlook

Oath of Hypocrisy 的头像
Oath of Hypocrisy1 年前

Yeah because gdp was never that high to begin with. Previous admin propped it up by printing dollar, which should never be allowed. That's fake balloon gdp and not real gdp. Removing govt expense will bring down gdp to its real no. Thstl help us assess what the true number is ans how we can improve it.

S Ρ Λ Γ Τ Λ Π 的头像
S Ρ Λ Γ Τ Λ Π1 年前

Yeah… this feels closer to the weirdness of this cycle. A growth scare not a recession.

Dhirendra Kumar 的头像
Dhirendra Kumar1 年前

@grok give me a background on this GDP estimate

MacAngler 的头像
MacAngler1 年前

Great walk-through. TY.

Glutton 的头像
Glutton1 年前

No brainer. To answer your question, yes. It’s always good to buy cheap for the long run.

degen_dev - d/acc 的头像
degen_dev - d/acc1 年前

If it happened in 2020 and 2022 then it is not a generational opportunity...

white 的头像
white1 年前

So time to buy

Bobby 的头像
Bobby1 年前

Au imports. This is disengaged

Menaceyyj 的头像
Menaceyyj1 年前

As Trump had planned encouraging bond purchasing instead of highly speculative equities. Definitely an opportunity to buy at great prices.

Ali Agha 的头像
Ali Agha1 年前

What do you use to make videos like this?

WebHax 的头像
WebHax1 年前

@RemindMe_OfThis in 4 days

thinker 的头像
thinker1 年前

One question. Can stocks continuously go up if the government stop all forms of money creation?

Serkan Albayrak 的头像
Serkan Albayrak1 年前

The reason behind this sudden drop in GDP is increased imports due to upcoming tariffs. It is so sad that you did not highligh this very important fact in your post and mislead your followers!!!

Andres Garcia 的头像
Andres Garcia1 年前

@ezdubs_bot english to spanish

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