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🚨🇺🇸 Anyone celebrating that the stock market didn't completely implode after the recent oil shock needs a serious history lesson. Financial educator and founder of Minority Mindset Jaspreet Singh warns that during the crisis of the 1970s, the real market crash didn't hit until 6 months after the oil... show more

Mario Nawfal

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58,198 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Brutal volatility in global oil prices is sending shockwaves through the stock market as threats to shut down the Strait of Hormuz escalate. Financial expert and host of 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙈𝙞𝙣𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙮 𝙈𝙞𝙣𝙙𝙨𝙚𝙩 Jaspreet Singh warns that we are witnessing a dangerous economic playbook mimicking the severe stagflation crisis of the early 1970s. Singh points out that if the Federal Reserve panics and hikes interest rates to rescue the dollar, it will triggered a massive crash because servicing America's ballooning $39T national debt will become completely unsustainable. Jaspreet Singh

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Brutal volatility in global oil prices is sending shockwaves through the stock market as threats to shut down the Strait of Hormuz escalate. Financial expert and host of 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙈𝙞𝙣𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙩𝙮 𝙈𝙞𝙣𝙙𝙨𝙚𝙩 Jaspreet Singh warns that we are witnessing a dangerous economic playbook mimicking the severe stagflation crisis of the early 1970s. Singh points out that if the Federal Reserve panics and hikes interest rates to rescue the dollar, it will triggered a massive crash because servicing America's ballooning $39T national debt will become completely unsustainable. Jaspreet Singh

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🇺🇸 The stock market isn't acting logically right now because the U.S. government, as the biggest spender, is keeping it artificially afloat. Financial expert and host of Minority Mindset Jaspreet Singh highlights how the administration's aggressive agenda means they want a booming market to mark a successful presidency. While corporate earnings look great on the surface for a few elite tech companies, Singh notes that the average person is playing against a Fed money printer that you simply cannot compete against. Jaspreet Singh

🇺🇸 The stock market isn't acting logically right now because the U.S. government, as the biggest spender, is keeping it artificially afloat. Financial expert and host of Minority Mindset Jaspreet Singh highlights how the administration's aggressive agenda means they want a booming market to mark a successful presidency. While corporate earnings look great on the surface for a few elite tech companies, Singh notes that the average person is playing against a Fed money printer that you simply cannot compete against. Jaspreet Singh

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🚨🇺🇸 The illusion of a booming U.S. economy is masking a much darker undercurrent beneath the surface. Economist David Rosenberg warns that when you strip out the heavy distortions of fiscal stimulus and income tax refunds, the U.S. economy might actually be contracting. While the mainstream points to a roaring stock market as proof of strength, the Rosenberg Research founder cautions that an inflated S&P 500 is not the same as real GDP. David labels this a "low-quality expansion" driven entirely by a hyper-concentrated AI and chip rally. David Rosenberg

🚨🇺🇸 The illusion of a booming U.S. economy is masking a much darker undercurrent beneath the surface. Economist David Rosenberg warns that when you strip out the heavy distortions of fiscal stimulus and income tax refunds, the U.S. economy might actually be contracting. While the mainstream points to a roaring stock market as proof of strength, the Rosenberg Research founder cautions that an inflated S&P 500 is not the same as real GDP. David labels this a "low-quality expansion" driven entirely by a hyper-concentrated AI and chip rally. David Rosenberg

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🚨INFLATION OR FINANCIAL CRISIS⁉️ PETER SCHIFF CALLS BS ON THE FED⚠️ JUST WAIT... THE FED WILL DO A 180!‼️ ⚡️Peter Schiff: Even if the Fed is serious about bringing inflation down to 2% with aggressive rate hikes and QT, once the stock market accepts that & crashes, the Fed will do a 180. A stock market crash, plus a real estate crash, threatens not only a recession but another financial crisis… Watch the Full Episode Here:

🚨INFLATION OR FINANCIAL CRISIS⁉️ PETER SCHIFF CALLS BS ON THE FED⚠️ JUST WAIT... THE FED WILL DO A 180!‼️ ⚡️Peter Schiff: Even if the Fed is serious about bringing inflation down to 2% with aggressive rate hikes and QT, once the stock market accepts that & crashes, the Fed will do a 180. A stock market crash, plus a real estate crash, threatens not only a recession but another financial crisis… Watch the Full Episode Here:

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Jaspreet, who's run Minority Mindset since 2015 just laid out why nobody should be celebrating this market rally The message was simple: stop trying to predict, start always buying 16 recessions, 25 market crashes in the last 100 years, and the market still goes up every time, that's the entire thesis 2025 alone gave him three crashes and three record highs in three months, all from the same tariff cycle Median income up 6x since the 1970s sounds great until you hear cars are 8x more expensive, houses 12x, college 20x And that's with two incomes now doing the work one used to do Stock market, meanwhile, is up over 100x in the same stretch, closer to 300x with dividends reinvested He called it what it is, the investor class got rich, everyone else got squeezed, and that gap doesn't close on its own Gold's at 2% of his portfolio, crypto even less, real estate and stocks doing the heavy lifting BRICS, dollar collapse talk, he says it's sensationalized, the yuan barely moved in 25 years The market can stay illogical longer than you can stay liquid, that's the line that stuck Thank you Jaspreet Singh for our conversation

Jaspreet, who's run Minority Mindset since 2015 just laid out why nobody should be celebrating this market rally The message was simple: stop trying to predict, start always buying 16 recessions, 25 market crashes in the last 100 years, and the market still goes up every time, that's the entire thesis 2025 alone gave him three crashes and three record highs in three months, all from the same tariff cycle Median income up 6x since the 1970s sounds great until you hear cars are 8x more expensive, houses 12x, college 20x And that's with two incomes now doing the work one used to do Stock market, meanwhile, is up over 100x in the same stretch, closer to 300x with dividends reinvested He called it what it is, the investor class got rich, everyone else got squeezed, and that gap doesn't close on its own Gold's at 2% of his portfolio, crypto even less, real estate and stocks doing the heavy lifting BRICS, dollar collapse talk, he says it's sensationalized, the yuan barely moved in 25 years The market can stay illogical longer than you can stay liquid, that's the line that stuck Thank you Jaspreet Singh for our conversation

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NEW: Stocks up. Oil down. President Trump says that's the clearest sign yet that the proposed Iran deal is being welcomed by investors. Speaking about the agreement, Trump highlighted a market rally, declining energy prices, and progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz after weeks of uncertainty. "The stock market has gone through the roof and oil has come tumbling down." He argued the deal delivers economic stability while also keeping Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

NEW: Stocks up. Oil down. President Trump says that's the clearest sign yet that the proposed Iran deal is being welcomed by investors. Speaking about the agreement, Trump highlighted a market rally, declining energy prices, and progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz after weeks of uncertainty. "The stock market has gone through the roof and oil has come tumbling down." He argued the deal delivers economic stability while also keeping Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 A recession is coming, and most people won't see it until it's too late. Energy Economist Anas Alhajji explains why the official numbers are lying to you. "Don't be fooled by the stock market going up. The first official data of a recession is going to come out. We are going to see the stock markets basically drop." The real oil prices are already at $150 to $175, the market is hiding it. Anas Alhajji

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A recession is coming, and most people won't see it until it's too late. Energy Economist Anas Alhajji explains why the official numbers are lying to you. "Don't be fooled by the stock market going up. The first official data of a recession is going to come out. We are going to see the stock markets basically drop." The real oil prices are already at $150 to $175, the market is hiding it. Anas Alhajji

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE LARGEST OIL DISRUPTION IN HISTORY We are witnessing a global crisis more draining than the 2008 financial crash, according to political scientist Ian Bremmer. As the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, the founder of GZERO Media warns that "rationing and shortages" are the new reality for oil, gas, and fertilizer. Bremmer notes that you cannot simply bomb a regime into submission when the global supply chain is being cut to the bone. Every day this continues, the global impact spirals further out of control. ian bremmer

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE LARGEST OIL DISRUPTION IN HISTORY We are witnessing a global crisis more draining than the 2008 financial crash, according to political scientist Ian Bremmer. As the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, the founder of GZERO Media warns that "rationing and shortages" are the new reality for oil, gas, and fertilizer. Bremmer notes that you cannot simply bomb a regime into submission when the global supply chain is being cut to the bone. Every day this continues, the global impact spirals further out of control. ian bremmer

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🚨🇺🇸 Retail investors are piling into the stock market at unprecedented levels, completely abandoning traditional safety nets. Legendary market strategist David Rosenberg points out that an astonishing 72% of U.S. household financial assets are now crammed into equities, a massive spike that completely eclipses the peak of the late-1990s dot-com bubble. Meanwhile, the president of Rosenberg Research highlights that bond allocations have dwindled to a mere 8% because they lack "sex appeal" at cocktail parties. Rosenberg underscores that while AI is a genuine technological game-changer, the real bubble isn't the technology itself, it's wild investor behavior. David Rosenberg

🚨🇺🇸 Retail investors are piling into the stock market at unprecedented levels, completely abandoning traditional safety nets. Legendary market strategist David Rosenberg points out that an astonishing 72% of U.S. household financial assets are now crammed into equities, a massive spike that completely eclipses the peak of the late-1990s dot-com bubble. Meanwhile, the president of Rosenberg Research highlights that bond allocations have dwindled to a mere 8% because they lack "sex appeal" at cocktail parties. Rosenberg underscores that while AI is a genuine technological game-changer, the real bubble isn't the technology itself, it's wild investor behavior. David Rosenberg

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The media thinks the Iran war could trigger a financial apocalypse, but the markets are pricing a temporary oil spike. Lance Roberts says one of them is going to be badly wrong. Most people assume that if missiles are flying across the Middle East, financial markets must be screaming that disaster is coming. Lance says they're doing almost the opposite. Yes, oil has climbed, but not to panic levels. More importantly, the futures market is still pricing oil back down into the $60-$70 range over the next six to twelve months. In other words, investors are making a very specific bet: the war remains contained, oil flows will eventually normalise, and the current price spike is temporary. That doesn't mean they're right; it simply means the market is dismissing many of the worst-case scenario headlines. The reason for that confidence is that the world has already started adapting; countries are building alternative pipelines and shipping routes are changing. Every lesson learned from previous Hormuz disruptions makes the next one slightly less economically devastating. That's why Lance believes there's now a third scenario people often ignore: The war could continue without triggering the kind of oil shock many assume is inevitable. If supply keeps flowing through alternative routes, stockpiles hold up, and markets believe the disruption is temporary, oil prices may stay far more contained than the headlines suggest. But he isn't dismissing the danger; he's warning the markets may be making a very optimistic assumption. History is full of regional conflicts that everyone believed would stay contained... until they didn't. Lance Roberts

The media thinks the Iran war could trigger a financial apocalypse, but the markets are pricing a temporary oil spike. Lance Roberts says one of them is going to be badly wrong. Most people assume that if missiles are flying across the Middle East, financial markets must be screaming that disaster is coming. Lance says they're doing almost the opposite. Yes, oil has climbed, but not to panic levels. More importantly, the futures market is still pricing oil back down into the $60-$70 range over the next six to twelve months. In other words, investors are making a very specific bet: the war remains contained, oil flows will eventually normalise, and the current price spike is temporary. That doesn't mean they're right; it simply means the market is dismissing many of the worst-case scenario headlines. The reason for that confidence is that the world has already started adapting; countries are building alternative pipelines and shipping routes are changing. Every lesson learned from previous Hormuz disruptions makes the next one slightly less economically devastating. That's why Lance believes there's now a third scenario people often ignore: The war could continue without triggering the kind of oil shock many assume is inevitable. If supply keeps flowing through alternative routes, stockpiles hold up, and markets believe the disruption is temporary, oil prices may stay far more contained than the headlines suggest. But he isn't dismissing the danger; he's warning the markets may be making a very optimistic assumption. History is full of regional conflicts that everyone believed would stay contained... until they didn't. Lance Roberts

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Technical Analyst and Market Strategist Michael Oliver says everyone is watching the Iran war, but the real crisis is already forming inside the U.S. bond market, and when it breaks, it could hit everything. For decades, investors have treated U.S. government bonds as the safest asset on Earth. Michael says that assumption is beginning to crack. He argues the real crisis isn't inflation, it isn't recession, it isn't even the Middle East. It's the growing possibility that confidence in government debt starts to break down. If that happens, the Federal Reserve will have to create even more money to support the bond market. And he believes investors are already starting to prepare for that shift by quietly moving into real assets: gold, oil, industrial commodities, and agriculture. Assets that can't simply be created with another round of monetary expansion. He also pointed to something that rarely gets discussed. The biggest bubble is the belief that government debt will always remain the world's safest investment. If that confidence disappears, the consequences won't stay inside the bond market; it will ripple through virtually every corner of the financial system. Most of the world is focused on the next missile strike on Iran, but he's watching the next Treasury auction. Because in his view, history won't remember the Iran war as the event that changed the markets. It'll remember it as the distraction that kept everyone looking in the wrong direction while the real crisis was gathering underneath their feet. Momentum Structural Analysis

Technical Analyst and Market Strategist Michael Oliver says everyone is watching the Iran war, but the real crisis is already forming inside the U.S. bond market, and when it breaks, it could hit everything. For decades, investors have treated U.S. government bonds as the safest asset on Earth. Michael says that assumption is beginning to crack. He argues the real crisis isn't inflation, it isn't recession, it isn't even the Middle East. It's the growing possibility that confidence in government debt starts to break down. If that happens, the Federal Reserve will have to create even more money to support the bond market. And he believes investors are already starting to prepare for that shift by quietly moving into real assets: gold, oil, industrial commodities, and agriculture. Assets that can't simply be created with another round of monetary expansion. He also pointed to something that rarely gets discussed. The biggest bubble is the belief that government debt will always remain the world's safest investment. If that confidence disappears, the consequences won't stay inside the bond market; it will ripple through virtually every corner of the financial system. Most of the world is focused on the next missile strike on Iran, but he's watching the next Treasury auction. Because in his view, history won't remember the Iran war as the event that changed the markets. It'll remember it as the distraction that kept everyone looking in the wrong direction while the real crisis was gathering underneath their feet. Momentum Structural Analysis

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🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high of $7,000. Right in the middle of the worst energy crisis in decades. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. The market is pretending the crisis is over. But the Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Oil is above $90. While the real economy suffocates, the index is being pumped to create exit liquidity for smart money. The gap between the chart and reality is dangerous. I've seen this movie before: When the index flies during an energy shock, the drop will be vertical. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including the exact $16K bottom three years ago and the $111K top in October. Turn on notifications. When the real bottom forms, I'll call it here publicly, like I always do.

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high of $7,000. Right in the middle of the worst energy crisis in decades. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. The market is pretending the crisis is over. But the Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Oil is above $90. While the real economy suffocates, the index is being pumped to create exit liquidity for smart money. The gap between the chart and reality is dangerous. I've seen this movie before: When the index flies during an energy shock, the drop will be vertical. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including the exact $16K bottom three years ago and the $111K top in October. Turn on notifications. When the real bottom forms, I'll call it here publicly, like I always do.

MARMOT

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The oil price you see online is what’s called the futures market. It’s paper trading. The physical price—what refiners actually pay for the actual barrels of oil being delivered today—just hit $141. That’s a $32 gap. The Chevron CEO has even said that the futures market is based on a perception and just a little bit of information. The last time the physical price was this high was back in 2008 after Bush’s incompetence sent us into the Great Recession. You’re watching the wrong numbers.

The oil price you see online is what’s called the futures market. It’s paper trading. The physical price—what refiners actually pay for the actual barrels of oil being delivered today—just hit $141. That’s a $32 gap. The Chevron CEO has even said that the futures market is based on a perception and just a little bit of information. The last time the physical price was this high was back in 2008 after Bush’s incompetence sent us into the Great Recession. You’re watching the wrong numbers.

Dittie

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Investors are wrongly assuming the war is ending and oil prices will crash, but Economist Peter Schiff warns that neither is likely to happen. Even with a pause in hostilities, the real inflation and unemployment surge are still on the horizon. Peter believes the Fed will print massive amounts of money and cut interest rates as the economy weakens, fueling a new wave of global price hikes. Peter Schiff

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Investors are wrongly assuming the war is ending and oil prices will crash, but Economist Peter Schiff warns that neither is likely to happen. Even with a pause in hostilities, the real inflation and unemployment surge are still on the horizon. Peter believes the Fed will print massive amounts of money and cut interest rates as the economy weakens, fueling a new wave of global price hikes. Peter Schiff

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Everyone is bracing for oil to be inflationary. History says the opposite. An oil shock is recessionary. A spike at the pump hits prices right away, but with a weak labor market nobody can absorb an extra 100 or 150 dollars a month. So they pull spending from everywhere else, and businesses hit with higher diesel do the same. That is demand destruction. Spending falls, the price of everything other than oil drops, and eventually oil falls too. So the shock is a short inflation spike that reverses almost immediately. The real outcome is not inflation. It is recession. The danger is a central bank hiking into the spike because it looks inflationary, then being forced to reverse. Trichet's ECB did exactly that in 2008.

Everyone is bracing for oil to be inflationary. History says the opposite. An oil shock is recessionary. A spike at the pump hits prices right away, but with a weak labor market nobody can absorb an extra 100 or 150 dollars a month. So they pull spending from everywhere else, and businesses hit with higher diesel do the same. That is demand destruction. Spending falls, the price of everything other than oil drops, and eventually oil falls too. So the shock is a short inflation spike that reverses almost immediately. The real outcome is not inflation. It is recession. The danger is a central bank hiking into the spike because it looks inflationary, then being forced to reverse. Trichet's ECB did exactly that in 2008.

Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨 Thomas Sowell debunks the Great Depression’s most entrenched myth “There’s this narrative out there that the reason we had mass unemployment in the 1930s was because the market failed. It so happens that for the 12 months following the stock market crash, we never hit double digits of unemployment.” “Unemployment peaked at 9 percent two months after the crash and started going down. The unemployment rate was down to 6.3 percent when the federal government figured it had to intervene.” “And that’s when the downward movement reversed and we never saw 6.3 percent again for the next decade. It’s clear as crystal that the disaster came after federal intervention.”

🚨 Thomas Sowell debunks the Great Depression’s most entrenched myth “There’s this narrative out there that the reason we had mass unemployment in the 1930s was because the market failed. It so happens that for the 12 months following the stock market crash, we never hit double digits of unemployment.” “Unemployment peaked at 9 percent two months after the crash and started going down. The unemployment rate was down to 6.3 percent when the federal government figured it had to intervene.” “And that’s when the downward movement reversed and we never saw 6.3 percent again for the next decade. It’s clear as crystal that the disaster came after federal intervention.”

Thomas Sowell Daily

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Macroeconomist Philip Pilkington thinks Trump didn't prevent an oil crisis, he hid it long enough to make it worse. For weeks, we were told the Strait of Hormuz disruption wasn't really affecting global supply, and that the market had plenty of breathing room. Philip says almost all of it was fiction. His argument is that the real stress never disappeared; it was simply hidden in the parts of the market almost nobody was paying attention to: strategic petroleum reserves, Chinese refinery policy, Russian diesel restrictions, and physical oil versus paper oil. Then everything started moving at once. China lifted restrictions on its refiners, Russia tightened diesel exports, and oil prices jumped. That wasn't a new crisis beginning; it was the old one finally breaking through. Philip says the Trump administration became so focused on keeping oil prices low that it distorted the market instead of allowing it to adjust naturally. Policymakers chose to give the market cheap energy today by borrowing stability from tomorrow, and now the bill is starting to arrive. He also made a broader point that goes far beyond oil. Markets can absorb bad news, but what they struggle with is pretending reality has changed when it hasn't. Trump may think he bought the economy more time, but Philip thinks he simply delayed the reckoning. And if he's right, the real energy crisis is still waiting around the corner. Philip Pilkington

Macroeconomist Philip Pilkington thinks Trump didn't prevent an oil crisis, he hid it long enough to make it worse. For weeks, we were told the Strait of Hormuz disruption wasn't really affecting global supply, and that the market had plenty of breathing room. Philip says almost all of it was fiction. His argument is that the real stress never disappeared; it was simply hidden in the parts of the market almost nobody was paying attention to: strategic petroleum reserves, Chinese refinery policy, Russian diesel restrictions, and physical oil versus paper oil. Then everything started moving at once. China lifted restrictions on its refiners, Russia tightened diesel exports, and oil prices jumped. That wasn't a new crisis beginning; it was the old one finally breaking through. Philip says the Trump administration became so focused on keeping oil prices low that it distorted the market instead of allowing it to adjust naturally. Policymakers chose to give the market cheap energy today by borrowing stability from tomorrow, and now the bill is starting to arrive. He also made a broader point that goes far beyond oil. Markets can absorb bad news, but what they struggle with is pretending reality has changed when it hasn't. Trump may think he bought the economy more time, but Philip thinks he simply delayed the reckoning. And if he's right, the real energy crisis is still waiting around the corner. Philip Pilkington

Mario Nawfal

314,155 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE BIG WINNER: RUSSIA’S ADVANTAGE Professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, Steve Hanke, points out that Russia is the clear economic winner of the current conflict. Steve Hanke explains that Russia benefits from higher prices and has every reason to want the war elongated. Professor Hanke warns that a month of closed straits and boots on the ground signals a global financial crisis. Iran is also benefiting economically by exporting more oil at higher prices than before the war. Steve Hanke

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE BIG WINNER: RUSSIA’S ADVANTAGE Professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, Steve Hanke, points out that Russia is the clear economic winner of the current conflict. Steve Hanke explains that Russia benefits from higher prices and has every reason to want the war elongated. Professor Hanke warns that a month of closed straits and boots on the ground signals a global financial crisis. Iran is also benefiting economically by exporting more oil at higher prices than before the war. Steve Hanke

Mario Nawfal

27,198 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸THE "HALO EFFECT": TRUMP’S WAR ON MARKET REALITY In the world of the President, "reality is what you make of it," according to author Ian Bremmer. The political scientist explains how the administration uses a "sheen" of rosy reports and curated polls to mask the grim reality of closed shipping lanes. While Bremmer notes that Trump has attempted to talk the market up, the founder of GZERO Media warns that the President is beginning to realize he is "losing the narrative." Ultimately, the stock market can only ignore a closed Strait of Hormuz for so long. ian bremmer

🚨🇺🇸THE "HALO EFFECT": TRUMP’S WAR ON MARKET REALITY In the world of the President, "reality is what you make of it," according to author Ian Bremmer. The political scientist explains how the administration uses a "sheen" of rosy reports and curated polls to mask the grim reality of closed shipping lanes. While Bremmer notes that Trump has attempted to talk the market up, the founder of GZERO Media warns that the President is beginning to realize he is "losing the narrative." Ultimately, the stock market can only ignore a closed Strait of Hormuz for so long. ian bremmer

Mario Nawfal

23,802 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider

Mario Nawfal

47,152 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat