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APPLEBAUM: There's now a clear gap between Russian regime propaganda, "We're winning the war, we're defeating NATO, Ukraine's not a real nation, Ukrainians will fold any minute," and the reality, where situation for Russians is getting worse, not better. Russians probably were less aware of the war two years... show more

Kate from Kharkiv

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51,991 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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APPLEBAUM: Russians very publicly and clearly not winning the war. Gap between Russian propaganda and reality becoming clearer. That’s beginning to have echoes. You can see it on Russian internet, in responses of Russian influencers. Critiques of Putin starting to bubble up. People are commenting, “Why aren’t we winning? Why aren’t we trying harder?” There are people talking about nukes again. That always happens when Russians are losing. There’s a sense of shakiness and instability. Putin has been trying to persuade Russians not to pay attention to the war: “It’s an inevitable Russian victory. We’re going to win sooner or later. We’re much bigger than they are. They’re not a real country. Their country is run by Nazis. It’s not a real government. And we’re going to win.” Now, it’s becoming clear to a lot of people, not just those near the front line, but in Moscow and St. Petersburg, that they are not winning the war.

APPLEBAUM: Russians very publicly and clearly not winning the war. Gap between Russian propaganda and reality becoming clearer. That’s beginning to have echoes. You can see it on Russian internet, in responses of Russian influencers. Critiques of Putin starting to bubble up. People are commenting, “Why aren’t we winning? Why aren’t we trying harder?” There are people talking about nukes again. That always happens when Russians are losing. There’s a sense of shakiness and instability. Putin has been trying to persuade Russians not to pay attention to the war: “It’s an inevitable Russian victory. We’re going to win sooner or later. We’re much bigger than they are. They’re not a real country. Their country is run by Nazis. It’s not a real government. And we’re going to win.” Now, it’s becoming clear to a lot of people, not just those near the front line, but in Moscow and St. Petersburg, that they are not winning the war.

Kate from Kharkiv

155,548 次观看 • 2 个月前

Do not be under any illusions that the Russian war against Ukraine is "Putin's war". Russian state propaganda has created a parallel reality in the minds of most of all Russians, where they are not the ones who attacked a neighboring country, destroying entire cities, kidnapping children and killing civilians every day. It's just like during World War II, where ordinary Germans said that Jews were doing well in concentration camps, and after losing and being taken to gas chambers to show what was happening there, they made excuses that "they didn't know." No, they, like the Russians, knew the terrible truth. Russians just convince themselves that it's not so and they are the good guys, and the Ukrainians are the bad guys. Only a military defeat for Russia will bring the bewildered Russians back to reality. And if Russia wins, it will only convince the Russians that their barbaric government is doing everything right and aggression and imperialism will only flourish...

Do not be under any illusions that the Russian war against Ukraine is "Putin's war". Russian state propaganda has created a parallel reality in the minds of most of all Russians, where they are not the ones who attacked a neighboring country, destroying entire cities, kidnapping children and killing civilians every day. It's just like during World War II, where ordinary Germans said that Jews were doing well in concentration camps, and after losing and being taken to gas chambers to show what was happening there, they made excuses that "they didn't know." No, they, like the Russians, knew the terrible truth. Russians just convince themselves that it's not so and they are the good guys, and the Ukrainians are the bad guys. Only a military defeat for Russia will bring the bewildered Russians back to reality. And if Russia wins, it will only convince the Russians that their barbaric government is doing everything right and aggression and imperialism will only flourish...

Maksym Borodin

101,497 次观看 • 1 年前

ROSENBERG: Wherever we go in Russia now, people say "we hope war will be over," and they do use the word "war." Officially it's still "special military operation," but most Russians call it "war" because when they switch on their television sets, they see war. Few years ago, when I used to ask Russian people on the streets in what ways they were affected by the war, a lot of them said, "Well, we're not affected by the war, it's something on our television sets." But now, you certainly feel that Russians are feeling the effects of the war more than ever. A lot of them know others who've been fighting in Ukraine, who've been getting injured or killed. And Russians are feeling economic effects more and more because of more than four years of international sanctions. And latest polling here in Russia suggests that approximately two-thirds of Russians would like peace talks rather than continuation of the war.

ROSENBERG: Wherever we go in Russia now, people say "we hope war will be over," and they do use the word "war." Officially it's still "special military operation," but most Russians call it "war" because when they switch on their television sets, they see war. Few years ago, when I used to ask Russian people on the streets in what ways they were affected by the war, a lot of them said, "Well, we're not affected by the war, it's something on our television sets." But now, you certainly feel that Russians are feeling the effects of the war more than ever. A lot of them know others who've been fighting in Ukraine, who've been getting injured or killed. And Russians are feeling economic effects more and more because of more than four years of international sanctions. And latest polling here in Russia suggests that approximately two-thirds of Russians would like peace talks rather than continuation of the war.

Kate from Kharkiv

177,653 次观看 • 1 个月前

BROWDER: What's most important reason why Ukrainians taking down Wildberries, and why it has an effect. Russians mostly don't care about civilian casualties in Ukraine. They say, "It doesn't affect me, my life is fine." They say, "Whatever, as long as our life is fine, Putin can conduct this war. Those Ukrainians are bad," and so on. And so, if all of a sudden, Russians can no longer order goods to be delivered tomorrow, it affects their life. In the same way as it affects their life that the internet was turned off in Moscow and Saint Petersburg. In the same way it affects their life that they have to stand in lines for many hours in order to get gasoline. This is bringing the war home to the very cynical Russian people who don't care about killing Ukrainians. They now say, "Wait a second, what's the point of all this war when I can't order my goods the next day?" Bringing the war home to Russians creates real pressure on Putin and his government to justify the war. And so the less justification they have, the less sacrifice Russians are going to want to make. And so, at some point, this wave of indignation in Russia may become unbearable for Putin.

BROWDER: What's most important reason why Ukrainians taking down Wildberries, and why it has an effect. Russians mostly don't care about civilian casualties in Ukraine. They say, "It doesn't affect me, my life is fine." They say, "Whatever, as long as our life is fine, Putin can conduct this war. Those Ukrainians are bad," and so on. And so, if all of a sudden, Russians can no longer order goods to be delivered tomorrow, it affects their life. In the same way as it affects their life that the internet was turned off in Moscow and Saint Petersburg. In the same way it affects their life that they have to stand in lines for many hours in order to get gasoline. This is bringing the war home to the very cynical Russian people who don't care about killing Ukrainians. They now say, "Wait a second, what's the point of all this war when I can't order my goods the next day?" Bringing the war home to Russians creates real pressure on Putin and his government to justify the war. And so the less justification they have, the less sacrifice Russians are going to want to make. And so, at some point, this wave of indignation in Russia may become unbearable for Putin.

Kate from Kharkiv

25,618 次观看 • 2 天前

This guy explains that this war isn’t Putin’s and Zelensky’s. It’s Russia’s war, and anyone who supports it. It seems so off to hear that Russians are sorry for deaths on both sides after facing what they preferred not to see before. They didn’t care about Ukrainians dying. They’re scared now and they deserve it. Also, Russians can end it in a second. They don’t demand it because they don’t want to lose. However, I disagree that the Russian army is the second strongest in the world and that Ukraine has almost no military. Unfortunately, Russia has many useful idiots willing to die for their Czar and imperialism, so Ukrainians have a lot of work to do and need a lot of support to deter them.

This guy explains that this war isn’t Putin’s and Zelensky’s. It’s Russia’s war, and anyone who supports it. It seems so off to hear that Russians are sorry for deaths on both sides after facing what they preferred not to see before. They didn’t care about Ukrainians dying. They’re scared now and they deserve it. Also, Russians can end it in a second. They don’t demand it because they don’t want to lose. However, I disagree that the Russian army is the second strongest in the world and that Ukraine has almost no military. Unfortunately, Russia has many useful idiots willing to die for their Czar and imperialism, so Ukrainians have a lot of work to do and need a lot of support to deter them.

Victoria

114,986 次观看 • 1 年前

Former MI6 Chief Moore: Putin is more comfortable than he should be. But the casualties now are astonishing and even the Russians will struggle to replace that level of losses. Putin has completely mortgaged the Russian economy to the war effort.

Former MI6 Chief Moore: Putin is more comfortable than he should be. But the casualties now are astonishing and even the Russians will struggle to replace that level of losses. Putin has completely mortgaged the Russian economy to the war effort.

Tymofiy Mylovanov

43,071 次观看 • 6 个月前

US Vice President JD Vance: If you take where the current line of contact between Russia and Ukraine is, we're going to try to find some negotiated settlement that the Ukrainians and the Russians can live with. Where they can live in relative peace, where the killing stops. It's not going to make anybody super happy. Both the Russians and the Ukrainians probably at the end of the day are going to be unhappy with it.

US Vice President JD Vance: If you take where the current line of contact between Russia and Ukraine is, we're going to try to find some negotiated settlement that the Ukrainians and the Russians can live with. Where they can live in relative peace, where the killing stops. It's not going to make anybody super happy. Both the Russians and the Ukrainians probably at the end of the day are going to be unhappy with it.

Status-6 (Military & Conflict News)

18,177 次观看 • 1 年前

Russian historian Andrei Zubov says that Putin has destroyed everything in Russia, spent all the savings on the war that could have gone toward Russia’s development, and achieved nothing — Russia’s reputation has been ruined. Now, after Putin, Russians face a long and difficult process of recovery, including the restoration of their psyche and the restoration of the economy. He adds that the sooner Russians wake up, the sooner they will be able to get out of the catastrophe.

Russian historian Andrei Zubov says that Putin has destroyed everything in Russia, spent all the savings on the war that could have gone toward Russia’s development, and achieved nothing — Russia’s reputation has been ruined. Now, after Putin, Russians face a long and difficult process of recovery, including the restoration of their psyche and the restoration of the economy. He adds that the sooner Russians wake up, the sooner they will be able to get out of the catastrophe.

Devana 🇺🇦

111,064 次观看 • 5 个月前

Exactly three years ago, all the "functionaries" of putin's russia unanimously assured: "There will be no war. This is all just propaganda and the machinations of the West." What is this article about? That the russians always lie - and that they do not consider their words to be lies, but a "military trick" against the world, whose conquest they have dreamed of since Stalin's time. With English subtitles.

Exactly three years ago, all the "functionaries" of putin's russia unanimously assured: "There will be no war. This is all just propaganda and the machinations of the West." What is this article about? That the russians always lie - and that they do not consider their words to be lies, but a "military trick" against the world, whose conquest they have dreamed of since Stalin's time. With English subtitles.

Jürgen Nauditt 🇩🇪🇺🇦

48,299 次观看 • 1 年前

🚨BREAKING: Elon Musk and Senator Ron Johnson discuss their opposition to escalating the ongoing bloody stalemate in the War in Ukraine. Instead, advocating for peace negotiations to bring an end to the loss of lives and the destruction of Ukraine. Elon Musk: "My companies have probably done more to undermine Russia than anyone. Space X has taken away two-thirds of the Russian launch business. Starlink has overwhelmingly helped Ukraine. My concern is exactly what you articulated. If you have an extended war of attrition, every day that goes by, you're losing more Ukrainian people. They aren't even Ukrainian boys anymore because they are running out of boys. And if you are going to spend lives, it must be for a purpose. Not just a mile back and forth. In fact, the lines aren't moving. So, just every day, people die. As you said, there's no way Putin is going to lose. If he backs off, he will be assassinated. And for those who want regime change in Russia, they should think about who is the person that could take out Putin? Is that person likely to be a peacenik? Probably not. They're probably going to be even more hardcore than Putin." Senator Ron Johnson: "We all have to understand that Vladimir Putin will not lose this war... Losing to Vladimir Putin is existential to Vladimir Putin. Russia has four times the population and a much larger industrial base. Russia can produce 4.5 million artillery shells per year. We're not even up to 1 million per year. The average age of a Ukrainian soldier right now is 43 years old. Some of Zelensky's top aides say that even if the U.S. and its allies deliver all the weapons they have pledged, they don't have the men to use them. If you're worried about the people of Ukraine, you have to understand that probably 100,000 of their soldiers have been killed. The only way this war ends is in a settlement, and every day that the war goes on, more Ukrainians and more Russian conscripts die, more civilians die, and more of Ukraine gets destroyed. Again, sending $60 billion as added fuel to the flames of a bloody stalemate makes no sense. As evil of a war criminal as Putin is, he's not going to lose this war, and our colleagues here just aren't willing to accept that reality. They are living in a fantasy world thinking that Ukraine can win this thing."

🚨BREAKING: Elon Musk and Senator Ron Johnson discuss their opposition to escalating the ongoing bloody stalemate in the War in Ukraine. Instead, advocating for peace negotiations to bring an end to the loss of lives and the destruction of Ukraine. Elon Musk: "My companies have probably done more to undermine Russia than anyone. Space X has taken away two-thirds of the Russian launch business. Starlink has overwhelmingly helped Ukraine. My concern is exactly what you articulated. If you have an extended war of attrition, every day that goes by, you're losing more Ukrainian people. They aren't even Ukrainian boys anymore because they are running out of boys. And if you are going to spend lives, it must be for a purpose. Not just a mile back and forth. In fact, the lines aren't moving. So, just every day, people die. As you said, there's no way Putin is going to lose. If he backs off, he will be assassinated. And for those who want regime change in Russia, they should think about who is the person that could take out Putin? Is that person likely to be a peacenik? Probably not. They're probably going to be even more hardcore than Putin." Senator Ron Johnson: "We all have to understand that Vladimir Putin will not lose this war... Losing to Vladimir Putin is existential to Vladimir Putin. Russia has four times the population and a much larger industrial base. Russia can produce 4.5 million artillery shells per year. We're not even up to 1 million per year. The average age of a Ukrainian soldier right now is 43 years old. Some of Zelensky's top aides say that even if the U.S. and its allies deliver all the weapons they have pledged, they don't have the men to use them. If you're worried about the people of Ukraine, you have to understand that probably 100,000 of their soldiers have been killed. The only way this war ends is in a settlement, and every day that the war goes on, more Ukrainians and more Russian conscripts die, more civilians die, and more of Ukraine gets destroyed. Again, sending $60 billion as added fuel to the flames of a bloody stalemate makes no sense. As evil of a war criminal as Putin is, he's not going to lose this war, and our colleagues here just aren't willing to accept that reality. They are living in a fantasy world thinking that Ukraine can win this thing."

KanekoaTheGreat

1,103,319 次观看 • 2 年前

Russian propagandist Simonyan talks about the great sacred war that is not being fought against Ukraine. Take a listen. Putin and his inner circle have stopped talking about peace and negotiations and are raising the stakes. They speak of a "great and sacred war" against Europe and NATO. Why is this happening? It is a consequence of Russia’s failures on the Ukrainian front, where Russians are not advancing and are losing more and more soldiers - over 35,000 every month, more than they recruit - while Ukrainians are expanding the kill zone. It is the growing economic problems and the realization that Russia is heading toward collapse. It is the realization that everyone involved in the war will be punished after it ends, which means they cannot allow the war to end. Putin’s inner circle is aware of this dead-end situation. But Putin himself does not know the real picture, because people are afraid to tell him the truth. Therefore, Putin is convinced that he is winning the war. In addition, he sees that the United States is currently focused on the war in Iran and is no longer reacting to massive attacks on Ukraine and hybrid attacks in Europe. By the way, it is quite possible that the latest attack on Kyiv was organized personally for Putin - to give him the satisfaction of seeing Kyiv burning, especially after the humiliating May 9 parade in Moscow - but in reality, this attack achieved no military objectives and was a waste of millions. In this situation, with no real military successes in Ukraine, Putin’s inner circle, out of fear, may develop a desire to continue the war in a new direction - for example against the Baltic states - so that Putin stops asking about Donbas and Mala Tokmachka. The greater the defeat, the higher the stakes.

Russian propagandist Simonyan talks about the great sacred war that is not being fought against Ukraine. Take a listen. Putin and his inner circle have stopped talking about peace and negotiations and are raising the stakes. They speak of a "great and sacred war" against Europe and NATO. Why is this happening? It is a consequence of Russia’s failures on the Ukrainian front, where Russians are not advancing and are losing more and more soldiers - over 35,000 every month, more than they recruit - while Ukrainians are expanding the kill zone. It is the growing economic problems and the realization that Russia is heading toward collapse. It is the realization that everyone involved in the war will be punished after it ends, which means they cannot allow the war to end. Putin’s inner circle is aware of this dead-end situation. But Putin himself does not know the real picture, because people are afraid to tell him the truth. Therefore, Putin is convinced that he is winning the war. In addition, he sees that the United States is currently focused on the war in Iran and is no longer reacting to massive attacks on Ukraine and hybrid attacks in Europe. By the way, it is quite possible that the latest attack on Kyiv was organized personally for Putin - to give him the satisfaction of seeing Kyiv burning, especially after the humiliating May 9 parade in Moscow - but in reality, this attack achieved no military objectives and was a waste of millions. In this situation, with no real military successes in Ukraine, Putin’s inner circle, out of fear, may develop a desire to continue the war in a new direction - for example against the Baltic states - so that Putin stops asking about Donbas and Mala Tokmachka. The greater the defeat, the higher the stakes.

Anton Gerashchenko

403,434 次观看 • 2 个月前

Pyotr Kurzin Pyotr Kurzin , host of The Global Gambit podcast, published an interesting interview with Peter Zeihan Peter Zeihan about Russia's war against Ukraine. I found it quite compelling, so I decided to share its main points: ▪️ "[Putin] has another seven million people he can mobilize if he wants to. Granted, that is the last generation of Russian men under 30. That obviously comes at a huge cost. But the Russians really have not put their shoulder into this war yet. They have tried to treat it as what they've said - a special military operation. We have not seen the full economy mobilized. We have not seen the industrial plants receive the investment necessary for a mass expansion. And we certainly haven't seen the population mobilized in a way past wars involving either the Soviets or the Russians have. We are starting to see that now. It is not risk-free. There's no guarantee they win this anymore. But to think there's going to be a political break in Russia without a significantly greater economic dislocation than we have seen so far is being over-optimistic." ▪️ "For the first time, we're actually seeing the Russians on a military economic footing. While that is, from the capitalistic point of view, wildly inefficient, that doesn't mean it can't work. It means that for the first time in 5 years, the Russians are actually fighting like this is a real war as opposed to something that's a sideshow. That does have consequences. It means we have to have, among other things, a full mobilization. But to say that that's going to break the system, I don't know if I buy that. It just puts stresses in different places." ▪️ "We have to have a much sharper break. And that means the apathy has to end. The best example I can give you is when Prigozhin led his rebellion. He marched his people 1,500 kilometers to Moscow. No regular military commanders joined him, and no regular military commanders tried to stop him. That really underlined just the huge degree of apathy in Russia, even among the security services, about what was going on. While that means it's really difficult for Putin to motivate people, it also means it's very difficult for Putin to be motivated against. Until we have a situation where we don't just have defectors on the front, but actually people shooting their commanders, I don't see Putin in significant domestic danger." ▪️ "Five years on, and Ukrainians are not simply still fighting, but they found new ways to give the Russians a bloody nose and actually change the mechanics on the ground. With the new military technology we've seen this year, that eight-to-one ratio is being achieved regularly. For the first time in this conflict, we are finally at an even fight. That doesn't mean the Ukrainians are going to win, but for the first time, they're not losing ground. And that matters immensely." ▪️ "The Ukrainians are trying to change the math of the war in a very intelligent way. The [drone] technology is innovative. Since the Ukrainians are launching hundreds of these a day, we're in a situation where the entire Russian system is running out of anti-aircraft capability. It changes the math because now the Russians have to defend every square inch and absolutely cannot. Putin has redirected air defenses to concentrate around a few specific areas, most notably Crimea and Moscow, and everything else is kind of open. What we've seen in just the last couple of weeks is that the mid-range strikes that the Ukrainians have been doing since March, basically destroying the logistical tail of the military forces within about 300 or 400 kilometers of the front, have had such an impact that the Ukrainians are actually able to go on the offensive in zones that are mined and win. For the first time, the Russians just can't get more drones, more men, more fuel, more food within the battle zone at all. And that's now affected their ability to hold the line." ▪️ "The amount of economic damage that the Ukrainians cause is really deeply immense. We've had over 140 attacks now on 'shadow fleet' tankers in the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea in just the last six weeks. We are looking at the end of Russia's ability to export through the Baltic or the Black Sea. Conservatively, that's three to four million barrels a day of oil and product. They'll still be able to use, for now, their Siberian export route, but collectively, rail and pipe there is less than a third of what goes west. Long-term impact. This is the end of Russia as a significant energy exporter. Once this physical infrastructure is destroyed, the wells will be shut in, and most of them are mature wells that require foreign technology for their development. The Russians will have to re-drill them, and they can't re-drill them until such time as the sanctions are gone. The Chinese don't have the technology." ▪️ "Strategically, there is no version of an independent Ukraine that can function unless Crimea is part of Ukraine, or at least neutral, because it commands the access to the rivers that are the lifeblood of the Ukrainian economy for their exports of steel and especially grains. And if the Russians control Crimea, they basically control the north half of the Black Sea and can project power west and south very easily. But that assumes that they can resupply Crimea successfully, which is no longer for sure. With the mid-range drone strikes, it basically turned Crimea into an island that the Russians can't support, which means it turns from a springboard into a sandbag. The Ukrainians don't need to make a push in order to drain the Russians. They're just forcing the Russians to use all of their logistical capacity to try to reach someplace that they really can't defend anymore. It's a good strategy." ▪️ "For the Ukrainians to win, they don't just need to get Crimea back. They need to make sure that the Russians lose the military capacity to threaten them. And that means neutralizing or occupying the two Russian cities that are the logistic hubs that enable the war - Belgorod and Rostov-on-Don. We're nowhere close to that right now. But if those two cities are removed from the equation, it's not just that Russia loses the ability to project power west; it loses the ability to project power into the Caucasus. And then you're talking about the entire southern rim of the Russian state falling. And all of those barriers are then completely up in the air, and the Russians are too far from all of them and can't defend any of their territory. And whatever vector a future threat comes in from, the Russians just can't deal with it at all." ▪️ "At this moment, it's a question of whether or not and how soon the Russians can copy what the Ukrainians are doing with drones against two other developments. Number one, the Russians are finally putting huge investments into their ballistic missile capabilities because that's a technology that the Ukrainians have no defense for. The first large numbers of those missiles will probably come online in about six months. That's about the same time that these joint facilities that the Ukrainians are building with the European NATO allies and a number of countries in the Persian Gulf will also come online. So, we're going to have many more Ukrainian memory drones at the same time we have many more Russian ballistic missiles. This war is changing month by month."

Pyotr Kurzin Pyotr Kurzin , host of The Global Gambit podcast, published an interesting interview with Peter Zeihan Peter Zeihan about Russia's war against Ukraine. I found it quite compelling, so I decided to share its main points: ▪️ "[Putin] has another seven million people he can mobilize if he wants to. Granted, that is the last generation of Russian men under 30. That obviously comes at a huge cost. But the Russians really have not put their shoulder into this war yet. They have tried to treat it as what they've said - a special military operation. We have not seen the full economy mobilized. We have not seen the industrial plants receive the investment necessary for a mass expansion. And we certainly haven't seen the population mobilized in a way past wars involving either the Soviets or the Russians have. We are starting to see that now. It is not risk-free. There's no guarantee they win this anymore. But to think there's going to be a political break in Russia without a significantly greater economic dislocation than we have seen so far is being over-optimistic." ▪️ "For the first time, we're actually seeing the Russians on a military economic footing. While that is, from the capitalistic point of view, wildly inefficient, that doesn't mean it can't work. It means that for the first time in 5 years, the Russians are actually fighting like this is a real war as opposed to something that's a sideshow. That does have consequences. It means we have to have, among other things, a full mobilization. But to say that that's going to break the system, I don't know if I buy that. It just puts stresses in different places." ▪️ "We have to have a much sharper break. And that means the apathy has to end. The best example I can give you is when Prigozhin led his rebellion. He marched his people 1,500 kilometers to Moscow. No regular military commanders joined him, and no regular military commanders tried to stop him. That really underlined just the huge degree of apathy in Russia, even among the security services, about what was going on. While that means it's really difficult for Putin to motivate people, it also means it's very difficult for Putin to be motivated against. Until we have a situation where we don't just have defectors on the front, but actually people shooting their commanders, I don't see Putin in significant domestic danger." ▪️ "Five years on, and Ukrainians are not simply still fighting, but they found new ways to give the Russians a bloody nose and actually change the mechanics on the ground. With the new military technology we've seen this year, that eight-to-one ratio is being achieved regularly. For the first time in this conflict, we are finally at an even fight. That doesn't mean the Ukrainians are going to win, but for the first time, they're not losing ground. And that matters immensely." ▪️ "The Ukrainians are trying to change the math of the war in a very intelligent way. The [drone] technology is innovative. Since the Ukrainians are launching hundreds of these a day, we're in a situation where the entire Russian system is running out of anti-aircraft capability. It changes the math because now the Russians have to defend every square inch and absolutely cannot. Putin has redirected air defenses to concentrate around a few specific areas, most notably Crimea and Moscow, and everything else is kind of open. What we've seen in just the last couple of weeks is that the mid-range strikes that the Ukrainians have been doing since March, basically destroying the logistical tail of the military forces within about 300 or 400 kilometers of the front, have had such an impact that the Ukrainians are actually able to go on the offensive in zones that are mined and win. For the first time, the Russians just can't get more drones, more men, more fuel, more food within the battle zone at all. And that's now affected their ability to hold the line." ▪️ "The amount of economic damage that the Ukrainians cause is really deeply immense. We've had over 140 attacks now on 'shadow fleet' tankers in the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea in just the last six weeks. We are looking at the end of Russia's ability to export through the Baltic or the Black Sea. Conservatively, that's three to four million barrels a day of oil and product. They'll still be able to use, for now, their Siberian export route, but collectively, rail and pipe there is less than a third of what goes west. Long-term impact. This is the end of Russia as a significant energy exporter. Once this physical infrastructure is destroyed, the wells will be shut in, and most of them are mature wells that require foreign technology for their development. The Russians will have to re-drill them, and they can't re-drill them until such time as the sanctions are gone. The Chinese don't have the technology." ▪️ "Strategically, there is no version of an independent Ukraine that can function unless Crimea is part of Ukraine, or at least neutral, because it commands the access to the rivers that are the lifeblood of the Ukrainian economy for their exports of steel and especially grains. And if the Russians control Crimea, they basically control the north half of the Black Sea and can project power west and south very easily. But that assumes that they can resupply Crimea successfully, which is no longer for sure. With the mid-range drone strikes, it basically turned Crimea into an island that the Russians can't support, which means it turns from a springboard into a sandbag. The Ukrainians don't need to make a push in order to drain the Russians. They're just forcing the Russians to use all of their logistical capacity to try to reach someplace that they really can't defend anymore. It's a good strategy." ▪️ "For the Ukrainians to win, they don't just need to get Crimea back. They need to make sure that the Russians lose the military capacity to threaten them. And that means neutralizing or occupying the two Russian cities that are the logistic hubs that enable the war - Belgorod and Rostov-on-Don. We're nowhere close to that right now. But if those two cities are removed from the equation, it's not just that Russia loses the ability to project power west; it loses the ability to project power into the Caucasus. And then you're talking about the entire southern rim of the Russian state falling. And all of those barriers are then completely up in the air, and the Russians are too far from all of them and can't defend any of their territory. And whatever vector a future threat comes in from, the Russians just can't deal with it at all." ▪️ "At this moment, it's a question of whether or not and how soon the Russians can copy what the Ukrainians are doing with drones against two other developments. Number one, the Russians are finally putting huge investments into their ballistic missile capabilities because that's a technology that the Ukrainians have no defense for. The first large numbers of those missiles will probably come online in about six months. That's about the same time that these joint facilities that the Ukrainians are building with the European NATO allies and a number of countries in the Persian Gulf will also come online. So, we're going to have many more Ukrainian memory drones at the same time we have many more Russian ballistic missiles. This war is changing month by month."

Anton Gerashchenko

25,784 次观看 • 1 天前

🇺🇸 SEC. RUBIO: “UKRAINE HAS PUSHED RUSSIA BACK, BUT THIS IS NOW A WAR OF ATTRITION” Secretary of State Rubio reflected on Ukraine’s hard-fought gains and the brutal cost of the ongoing conflict, warning that the war has shifted into a devastating stalemate: “What people forget, Sean, is that at some point in this war, Russia controlled substantially more territory in Ukraine than they do now. If you look at the map from March or April after the invasion, or even May, compared to now, the Ukrainians have pushed the Russians way back from where they were. They’ve already achieved tremendous things because of their bravery, their courage, and how hard they’ve fought. But the reality is this has now become a war of attrition. And sadly, the Russians have shown their willingness to sacrifice 7,000 soldiers a week in an effort to achieve this. Putin said a couple of weeks ago it may take longer and cost more than they want, but they will get it done. That’s their mentality, and what we’re trying to see now is whether it’s possible to end the war in a way that protects Ukraine’s future.” Source: Sean Hannity 🇺🇸

🇺🇸 SEC. RUBIO: “UKRAINE HAS PUSHED RUSSIA BACK, BUT THIS IS NOW A WAR OF ATTRITION” Secretary of State Rubio reflected on Ukraine’s hard-fought gains and the brutal cost of the ongoing conflict, warning that the war has shifted into a devastating stalemate: “What people forget, Sean, is that at some point in this war, Russia controlled substantially more territory in Ukraine than they do now. If you look at the map from March or April after the invasion, or even May, compared to now, the Ukrainians have pushed the Russians way back from where they were. They’ve already achieved tremendous things because of their bravery, their courage, and how hard they’ve fought. But the reality is this has now become a war of attrition. And sadly, the Russians have shown their willingness to sacrifice 7,000 soldiers a week in an effort to achieve this. Putin said a couple of weeks ago it may take longer and cost more than they want, but they will get it done. That’s their mentality, and what we’re trying to see now is whether it’s possible to end the war in a way that protects Ukraine’s future.” Source: Sean Hannity 🇺🇸

Mario Nawfal

78,676 次观看 • 8 个月前

Ukraine is just NOT that Important. John Mearsheimer: We're talking about NATO getting involved in a war, and NATO's in no position to win a war against the Russians, number one. Number two, the last thing the United States wants, given that we're up to our eyeballs Middle East, plus we have to worry about containing is a war, in Ukraine against Russia. And then most important of all, once you talk about the United States and Russia actually fighting each other, the threat of nuclear escalation, goes up greatly, and the last thing we want is a nuclear war over Ukraine because Ukraine is just not that important.

Ukraine is just NOT that Important. John Mearsheimer: We're talking about NATO getting involved in a war, and NATO's in no position to win a war against the Russians, number one. Number two, the last thing the United States wants, given that we're up to our eyeballs Middle East, plus we have to worry about containing is a war, in Ukraine against Russia. And then most important of all, once you talk about the United States and Russia actually fighting each other, the threat of nuclear escalation, goes up greatly, and the last thing we want is a nuclear war over Ukraine because Ukraine is just not that important.

Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil

18,782 次观看 • 2 个月前

President Zelenskyy: Ukraine did not choose this war and it's wrong to assume that this is a permanent arrangement that others can stay safe behind Ukraine forever. Ukrainians are people, not terminators. That is why we are doing everything to stop this war and to guarantee security. But the problem is this. Putin is no longer interested in anything else. Putin does not live like ordinary people. He doesn't walk the streets. You will not see him in a cafe. Putin consults more with Tsar Peter and Empress Catherine about territorial gains than with any living person about real, real life. Can you imagine Putin without war? Be honest. Right now his focus is on Ukraine and no one in Ukraine believes he will ever let our people go. But he will not let other European nations go either because he cannot let go of the very idea of war. He may see himself as a Tsar but in reality he is a slave to war.

President Zelenskyy: Ukraine did not choose this war and it's wrong to assume that this is a permanent arrangement that others can stay safe behind Ukraine forever. Ukrainians are people, not terminators. That is why we are doing everything to stop this war and to guarantee security. But the problem is this. Putin is no longer interested in anything else. Putin does not live like ordinary people. He doesn't walk the streets. You will not see him in a cafe. Putin consults more with Tsar Peter and Empress Catherine about territorial gains than with any living person about real, real life. Can you imagine Putin without war? Be honest. Right now his focus is on Ukraine and no one in Ukraine believes he will ever let our people go. But he will not let other European nations go either because he cannot let go of the very idea of war. He may see himself as a Tsar but in reality he is a slave to war.

Anton Gerashchenko

37,147 次观看 • 6 个月前

PM Orban de-facto blames Europe for Russia starting a war against Ukraine. [Q]: Do you not think, though, that Putin is the aggressor? He chose to cross the border; he's committing war crimes, many allegations suggest. Is there not a moral duty to support Ukrainians as the victims in this particular conflict? PM Orban: No, I don't think so. I have no doubt that, from an international law point of view, it is an act of aggression by Russia against Ukraine. The question is why we decided - I mean Westerners; Hungary was not part of the Western community - to change the status of Ukraine. For two decades, Ukraine’s political status was that of a buffer zone country. Then we started to accept that it would like to join NATO and the European Union. The Russians made it very clear from the very first moment that if NATO moved to the Russian border by accepting Ukraine as a member, that would be a reason for war. And we neglected that point of the Russians. So we changed the security system of Europe without having an agreement with the Russians, and they responded with war.

PM Orban de-facto blames Europe for Russia starting a war against Ukraine. [Q]: Do you not think, though, that Putin is the aggressor? He chose to cross the border; he's committing war crimes, many allegations suggest. Is there not a moral duty to support Ukrainians as the victims in this particular conflict? PM Orban: No, I don't think so. I have no doubt that, from an international law point of view, it is an act of aggression by Russia against Ukraine. The question is why we decided - I mean Westerners; Hungary was not part of the Western community - to change the status of Ukraine. For two decades, Ukraine’s political status was that of a buffer zone country. Then we started to accept that it would like to join NATO and the European Union. The Russians made it very clear from the very first moment that if NATO moved to the Russian border by accepting Ukraine as a member, that would be a reason for war. And we neglected that point of the Russians. So we changed the security system of Europe without having an agreement with the Russians, and they responded with war.

Anton Gerashchenko

36,494 次观看 • 5 个月前

Deputy Prime Minister of Canada Chrystia Freeland today commenting about the documentary. “There is a film that is due to be screened at Tiff today in Toronto about Russian soldiers at War. Ukrainian diplomats and the Ukrainian Canadian Community have expressed really grave concerns about that film and I do want to say I share those concerns. We have to be really clear that this is a war where there is no moral equivalency this is a war of Russian aggression this is a war where Russia is breaking international law and committing war crimes. There is very clearly good and evil in this war. Ukrainians are fighting for their sovereignty and for democracy around the world and we as a country have to be very, very clear that there can be no moral equivalency in our understanding of this conflict. It's not right for Canadian public money to be supporting the screening and production of a film like this.”

Deputy Prime Minister of Canada Chrystia Freeland today commenting about the documentary. “There is a film that is due to be screened at Tiff today in Toronto about Russian soldiers at War. Ukrainian diplomats and the Ukrainian Canadian Community have expressed really grave concerns about that film and I do want to say I share those concerns. We have to be really clear that this is a war where there is no moral equivalency this is a war of Russian aggression this is a war where Russia is breaking international law and committing war crimes. There is very clearly good and evil in this war. Ukrainians are fighting for their sovereignty and for democracy around the world and we as a country have to be very, very clear that there can be no moral equivalency in our understanding of this conflict. It's not right for Canadian public money to be supporting the screening and production of a film like this.”

Halibitch Angela 🇨🇦 🇺🇦

216,190 次观看 • 1 年前