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As anticipated, a mesoscale #vortex developed along the East–West monsoon #ShearZone near the #Palghar–#Manor region, significantly enhancing the local monsoon dynamics. 🌧️ The strengthening of this vortex resulted in a sharp pressure fall over the #Mumbai region, with mean sea-level pressure dropping to around 997 hPa. Simultaneously, strong convective...

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Abhijit Modak (कोकण हवामान)🌞🌦️⛈️

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36,819 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

#vortex#ShearZone#Palghar#Manor#Mumbai
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🌧️ India is on the verge of a major monsoon turnaround. The latest GFS-based SCORPION MJO analysis shows the strong #MonsoonBreak phase is rapidly fading, while conditions are aligning for the start of an Active Monsoon phase across large parts of the country. What's happening? 🔹 The atmosphere is finally breaking free from the lingering impacts of MJO activity that dominated February–May. 🔹 Monsoon circulation is reorganizing and strengthening. 🔹 Rainfall activity is expected to become more widespread as tropical convection shifts back into favorable zones. After weeks of stalled progress and suppressed rainfall, the Indian monsoon may be entering a much more productive phase heading into late June and early July. The atmosphere is waking up. 🌧️🇮🇳 #Monsoon2026 #IndiaWeather #MJO #WeatherUpdate #Rainfall #Climate
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🌧️ India is on the verge of a major monsoon turnaround. The latest GFS-based SCORPION MJO analysis shows the strong #MonsoonBreak phase is rapidly fading, while conditions are aligning for the start of an Active Monsoon phase across large parts of the country. What's happening? 🔹 The atmosphere is finally breaking free from the lingering impacts of MJO activity that dominated February–May. 🔹 Monsoon circulation is reorganizing and strengthening. 🔹 Rainfall activity is expected to become more widespread as tropical convection shifts back into favorable zones. After weeks of stalled progress and suppressed rainfall, the Indian monsoon may be entering a much more productive phase heading into late June and early July. The atmosphere is waking up. 🌧️🇮🇳 #Monsoon2026 #IndiaWeather #MJO #WeatherUpdate #Rainfall #Climate

Gaurav kochar

71,899 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🌊🌧 #MumbaiRains #floods: Why was flooding so severe in #Vasai, #Virar & #Nalasopara this time? 🌧️ The rainfall was exceptional across the entire region. Both Vasai-Virar and its surrounding river catchments witnessed very heavy to extremely heavy rains. However, the widespread flooding wasn't caused by rainfall over Vasai-Virar alone, it was the result of multiple factors occurring simultaneously, with enormous upstream river discharge, tidal locking and urban drainage systems struggling to cope with such unprecedented volumes of water. The Ulhas River, originating near Lonavala, received extraordinary inflows after its upper catchment recorded around 1569 mm of rainfall in just 3 days. Torrential rain across the Ulhas Valley, Pune Ghats and Thane interiors sent enormous volumes of water into Vasai Creek.🌊🏞 At the same time, intense rainfall over the Nashik Ghats ⛰️, Igatpuri, Trimbakeshwar, Shahapur and Palghar swelled the Vaitarna River, which drains into the sea just north of Virar. The Tungareshwar ranges ⛰️ also received torrential rain, with numerous streams and nallas adding further runoff into the Vasai-Virar drainage network. Meanwhile, Vasai, Virar and Nalasopara themselves were experiencing torrential rainfall of about 600-700mm in last 3 days, generating massive local runoff. The region was effectively jammed from both sides. Massive upstream river discharge coincided with high tides 🌊, also during Monsoon the seas remain already rough slowing the outflow into the Arabian Sea and creating a backwater effect that prevented creeks and stormwater drains from emptying efficiently. Such an extraordinary volume of water would have stressed any drainage system. However, rapid urbanisation, shrinking wetlands and mangroves, encroachment of natural drainage channels and increasing concretisation have significantly reduced the region's natural capacity to store and drain floodwater, making the impacts even more severe. This event was a classic example of record-breaking rainfall across multiple river basins, intense local rain, tidal locking and urban infrastructure struggling to cope with an unprecedented volume of water. Today, inflows into the river systems 🌊 remain high, and several areas may continue to experience waterlogging and flooding. However, with rainfall expected to gradually reduce from now, river levels should slowly begin to recede as the excess water drains into the sea. Even so, the impacts of this exceptional rainfall event are likely to persist for the next few days, especially in low-lying areas, until the entire drainage system returns to normal. 🌧️ #KokanRains #PalgharRains #ThaneRains Video credits: varun mundra & Vasai Virar Update
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🌊🌧 #MumbaiRains #floods: Why was flooding so severe in #Vasai, #Virar & #Nalasopara this time? 🌧️ The rainfall was exceptional across the entire region. Both Vasai-Virar and its surrounding river catchments witnessed very heavy to extremely heavy rains. However, the widespread flooding wasn't caused by rainfall over Vasai-Virar alone, it was the result of multiple factors occurring simultaneously, with enormous upstream river discharge, tidal locking and urban drainage systems struggling to cope with such unprecedented volumes of water. The Ulhas River, originating near Lonavala, received extraordinary inflows after its upper catchment recorded around 1569 mm of rainfall in just 3 days. Torrential rain across the Ulhas Valley, Pune Ghats and Thane interiors sent enormous volumes of water into Vasai Creek.🌊🏞 At the same time, intense rainfall over the Nashik Ghats ⛰️, Igatpuri, Trimbakeshwar, Shahapur and Palghar swelled the Vaitarna River, which drains into the sea just north of Virar. The Tungareshwar ranges ⛰️ also received torrential rain, with numerous streams and nallas adding further runoff into the Vasai-Virar drainage network. Meanwhile, Vasai, Virar and Nalasopara themselves were experiencing torrential rainfall of about 600-700mm in last 3 days, generating massive local runoff. The region was effectively jammed from both sides. Massive upstream river discharge coincided with high tides 🌊, also during Monsoon the seas remain already rough slowing the outflow into the Arabian Sea and creating a backwater effect that prevented creeks and stormwater drains from emptying efficiently. Such an extraordinary volume of water would have stressed any drainage system. However, rapid urbanisation, shrinking wetlands and mangroves, encroachment of natural drainage channels and increasing concretisation have significantly reduced the region's natural capacity to store and drain floodwater, making the impacts even more severe. This event was a classic example of record-breaking rainfall across multiple river basins, intense local rain, tidal locking and urban infrastructure struggling to cope with an unprecedented volume of water. Today, inflows into the river systems 🌊 remain high, and several areas may continue to experience waterlogging and flooding. However, with rainfall expected to gradually reduce from now, river levels should slowly begin to recede as the excess water drains into the sea. Even so, the impacts of this exceptional rainfall event are likely to persist for the next few days, especially in low-lying areas, until the entire drainage system returns to normal. 🌧️ #KokanRains #PalgharRains #ThaneRains Video credits: varun mundra & Vasai Virar Update

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🌀 Typhoon Dolphin is crossing Okinawa, Japan The center of Typhoon Dolphin is crossing Okinawa, with winds near the center around 144 km/h and gusts of about 195 km/h (JMA). Okinawa and the Amami Islands are currently the most affected areas, with strong winds, heavy rain and high waves. Miyako and Yaeyama are farther from the center, with the worst conditions expected on Saturday. Dolphin is expected to strengthen again over the East China Sea, with winds around 170 km/h and gusts up to 205 km/h, while its forward movement is expected to slow down. Dangerous conditions may therefore persist across the Ryukyu Islands and southwestern Japan throughout the weekend. Very heavy rain is expected in Okinawa, Amami and southern Kyushu. Weekend rainfall totals may reach 100–250 mm, locally over 350 mm, increasing the risk of landslides, flooding and rapid rises in river levels. ⚠️ Please follow local authorities and monitor the latest warnings.
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🌀 Typhoon Dolphin is crossing Okinawa, Japan The center of Typhoon Dolphin is crossing Okinawa, with winds near the center around 144 km/h and gusts of about 195 km/h (JMA). Okinawa and the Amami Islands are currently the most affected areas, with strong winds, heavy rain and high waves. Miyako and Yaeyama are farther from the center, with the worst conditions expected on Saturday. Dolphin is expected to strengthen again over the East China Sea, with winds around 170 km/h and gusts up to 205 km/h, while its forward movement is expected to slow down. Dangerous conditions may therefore persist across the Ryukyu Islands and southwestern Japan throughout the weekend. Very heavy rain is expected in Okinawa, Amami and southern Kyushu. Weekend rainfall totals may reach 100–250 mm, locally over 350 mm, increasing the risk of landslides, flooding and rapid rises in river levels. ⚠️ Please follow local authorities and monitor the latest warnings.

Windy.com

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⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.
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⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.

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🚨 MONSOON MAY ROAR BACK BEFORE WITHDRAWAL A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over the Northwest Bay of Bengal around Sept 10. Models indicate it could move inland by Sept 12 and remain active for ~5 days, tracking across eastern & central India. 🌧️ Core focus: Madhya Pradesh Rain may spread into: MP • Maharashtra • Telangana • East Rajasthan • Gujarat • Delhi • UP This could be a crucial final monsoon system before withdrawal begins from western Rajasthan. ⚠️ For Kharif crops, September rainfall is now CRITICAL. If the system tracks as expected, parts of central India could get one more significant spell. But if it shifts or weakens, the rainfall distribution could change sharply. The next 5–7 days may decide how September finishes. 🌧️🌾
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🚨 MONSOON MAY ROAR BACK BEFORE WITHDRAWAL A fresh Low Pressure Area is likely to form over the Northwest Bay of Bengal around Sept 10. Models indicate it could move inland by Sept 12 and remain active for ~5 days, tracking across eastern & central India. 🌧️ Core focus: Madhya Pradesh Rain may spread into: MP • Maharashtra • Telangana • East Rajasthan • Gujarat • Delhi • UP This could be a crucial final monsoon system before withdrawal begins from western Rajasthan. ⚠️ For Kharif crops, September rainfall is now CRITICAL. If the system tracks as expected, parts of central India could get one more significant spell. But if it shifts or weakens, the rainfall distribution could change sharply. The next 5–7 days may decide how September finishes. 🌧️🌾

Gaurav kochar

26,068 Aufrufe • vor 16 Tagen

🌎 NOAA has officially declared the onset of El Niño El Niño is the warm phase of ENSO, during which surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific become warmer than usual. As the distribution of warm water in the Pacific shifts, atmospheric circulation also changes, including the position of the jet stream and storm tracks. This can influence temperatures and rainfall thousands of kilometres away. Current seasonal forecasts suggest that El Niño will continue to strengthen through the rest of the year. According to NOAA, there is a 60% chance that sea surface temperature anomalies in the central and eastern tropical Pacific will exceed 2 °C by the end of the year. This episode could therefore become very strong and rank among the strongest events on record. Typical impacts of El Niño: • globally: an increase in the planet’s average temperature • more rainfall: western and southern South America, parts of East Africa, and the southern United States • drier conditions: northern and eastern Australia, Indonesia, parts of Southeast Asia, southern Africa, and parts of Central America • South Asia: the southwest monsoon is often weaker • tropical cyclones: less favourable conditions in the Atlantic, a more active eastern and central Pacific, and typhoon formation in the western North Pacific often shifting farther east
0:11

🌎 NOAA has officially declared the onset of El Niño El Niño is the warm phase of ENSO, during which surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific become warmer than usual. As the distribution of warm water in the Pacific shifts, atmospheric circulation also changes, including the position of the jet stream and storm tracks. This can influence temperatures and rainfall thousands of kilometres away. Current seasonal forecasts suggest that El Niño will continue to strengthen through the rest of the year. According to NOAA, there is a 60% chance that sea surface temperature anomalies in the central and eastern tropical Pacific will exceed 2 °C by the end of the year. This episode could therefore become very strong and rank among the strongest events on record. Typical impacts of El Niño: • globally: an increase in the planet’s average temperature • more rainfall: western and southern South America, parts of East Africa, and the southern United States • drier conditions: northern and eastern Australia, Indonesia, parts of Southeast Asia, southern Africa, and parts of Central America • South Asia: the southwest monsoon is often weaker • tropical cyclones: less favourable conditions in the Atlantic, a more active eastern and central Pacific, and typhoon formation in the western North Pacific often shifting farther east

Windy.com

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A senior friend of mine has this passion of sharing a blog with many of us each year, especially tracking the monsoon in the coastal regions of Karnataka. This year, the below was his post. It was heartbreaking 💔💔💔 "Hello my friend: Just back from the coast. I have never experienced such a bleak monsoon. We have not even received a fifth of the rainfall expected during the first 40-day monsoon period. The El Nino effect is triggering extreme weather events worldwide. We have had 50km winds for many days(bringing down trees of all shapes and sizes), but the rainfall is severely suppressed. Very choppy ocean. A huge Jamun tree fell onto our home clipping the rear roof. Luckily a coconut tree standing tall broke the fall and averted a major disaster. We hardly see the sun during this part of the monsoon but every single day in July, we had sunshine 🌞 followed gloomy skies. At the same, it is paradoxical that Mumbai is getting hammered by record breaking rainfall and flooding. Scientists say moisture laden winds from the Arabian see is converging with the low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal. City's coastal geography forces weather systems to hit the Western Ghats and dump huge amounts rain in concertrated bursts. This phenomenon that defies El Nino is perplexing. This will adversely affect agriculture and crop productivity in coastal Karnataka. We will face drought conditions well before the summer sets in. I can already imagine we are going to have some really challenging times." Karnataka has been massively affected by the bad monsoon.
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A senior friend of mine has this passion of sharing a blog with many of us each year, especially tracking the monsoon in the coastal regions of Karnataka. This year, the below was his post. It was heartbreaking 💔💔💔 "Hello my friend: Just back from the coast. I have never experienced such a bleak monsoon. We have not even received a fifth of the rainfall expected during the first 40-day monsoon period. The El Nino effect is triggering extreme weather events worldwide. We have had 50km winds for many days(bringing down trees of all shapes and sizes), but the rainfall is severely suppressed. Very choppy ocean. A huge Jamun tree fell onto our home clipping the rear roof. Luckily a coconut tree standing tall broke the fall and averted a major disaster. We hardly see the sun during this part of the monsoon but every single day in July, we had sunshine 🌞 followed gloomy skies. At the same, it is paradoxical that Mumbai is getting hammered by record breaking rainfall and flooding. Scientists say moisture laden winds from the Arabian see is converging with the low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal. City's coastal geography forces weather systems to hit the Western Ghats and dump huge amounts rain in concertrated bursts. This phenomenon that defies El Nino is perplexing. This will adversely affect agriculture and crop productivity in coastal Karnataka. We will face drought conditions well before the summer sets in. I can already imagine we are going to have some really challenging times." Karnataka has been massively affected by the bad monsoon.

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Major Storm to Impact Southern California As of Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at 6:50 PM PDT, the latest infrared satellite imagery confirms that the incoming storm system is fully developed and on track to deliver severe weather across Northern and Central California tonight into early Thursday afternoon. The system is intensifying rapidly, with a powerful surface cold front expected to sweep through San Luis Obispo to San Diego counties, bringing damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and the potential for severe thunderstorms. Key Storm Impacts: "Big Thursday" – A Major Weather Event • Extreme Rainfall Rates – 0.50 to 1.5 inches per hour, increasing the risk of urban flooding, flash floods, and mudslides, particularly in burn scar areas of Los Angeles County. • Damaging Winds – Southerly gusts of 45-65 mph, capable of toppling trees, damaging weak structures, and causing widespread power outages. • Severe Thunderstorm & Weak Tornado Potential – The latest HRRR model data (18Z, 0Z) indicates the presence of a squall line, increasing the risk of isolated severe thunderstorms and weak tornadoes between 12 PM and 10 PM Thursday. • Scattered to Widespread power Outages – Areas at risk include the San Fernando Valley, Santa Clarita Valley, Ventura County, and portions of Los Angeles County, where infrastructure could be severely impacted. • Urban Flooding Concerns – Locations such as Downtown Los Angeles, Pasadena, Altadena, and Pacific Palisades will experience rapid runoff and potential roadway flooding, creating hazardous travel conditions. The Seriousness of the Situation This storm is shaping up to be one of the most intense weather events of the season, posing a significant threat to life and property. Residents in Los Angeles County and surrounding areas must prepare for prolonged heavy rainfall, high winds, possible power outages, and dangerous road conditions. Authorities urge residents to stay indoors, avoid unnecessary travel, and prepare emergency supplies. Those in flood-prone and burn scar areas should be especially vigilant for potential debris flows and flash flooding. This is a rapidly evolving situation and further updates in the next 24 to 30 hours. #CAwx #CaliforniaStorms
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Major Storm to Impact Southern California As of Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at 6:50 PM PDT, the latest infrared satellite imagery confirms that the incoming storm system is fully developed and on track to deliver severe weather across Northern and Central California tonight into early Thursday afternoon. The system is intensifying rapidly, with a powerful surface cold front expected to sweep through San Luis Obispo to San Diego counties, bringing damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and the potential for severe thunderstorms. Key Storm Impacts: "Big Thursday" – A Major Weather Event • Extreme Rainfall Rates – 0.50 to 1.5 inches per hour, increasing the risk of urban flooding, flash floods, and mudslides, particularly in burn scar areas of Los Angeles County. • Damaging Winds – Southerly gusts of 45-65 mph, capable of toppling trees, damaging weak structures, and causing widespread power outages. • Severe Thunderstorm & Weak Tornado Potential – The latest HRRR model data (18Z, 0Z) indicates the presence of a squall line, increasing the risk of isolated severe thunderstorms and weak tornadoes between 12 PM and 10 PM Thursday. • Scattered to Widespread power Outages – Areas at risk include the San Fernando Valley, Santa Clarita Valley, Ventura County, and portions of Los Angeles County, where infrastructure could be severely impacted. • Urban Flooding Concerns – Locations such as Downtown Los Angeles, Pasadena, Altadena, and Pacific Palisades will experience rapid runoff and potential roadway flooding, creating hazardous travel conditions. The Seriousness of the Situation This storm is shaping up to be one of the most intense weather events of the season, posing a significant threat to life and property. Residents in Los Angeles County and surrounding areas must prepare for prolonged heavy rainfall, high winds, possible power outages, and dangerous road conditions. Authorities urge residents to stay indoors, avoid unnecessary travel, and prepare emergency supplies. Those in flood-prone and burn scar areas should be especially vigilant for potential debris flows and flash flooding. This is a rapidly evolving situation and further updates in the next 24 to 30 hours. #CAwx #CaliforniaStorms

Jason D Farhang

30,044 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Sunday, February 23, 2025, 3:00 PM PDT: A significant shift in the pattern from 90° temperatures in the next 2 to 3 days across much of Southern California and the southwest. A shift in the main Pacific Jet stream axis is just approximately 230 miles due west of the Hawaiian islands and Marshall Island corridor. A series of strong Pacific storms that are trending one right after the other this particular series of storms may produce similar to what we had a couple of weeks ago that brought significant rainfall to our region. I’m watching the details as this emerges this upcoming week as we transition into March 2025. This is also known as the pinnacle of Hollywood’s award season, which is on March 2, 2025, which is next Sunday already. Higher confidence is growing in potential for at least over an inch of rainfall. Possibly higher rainfall amounts first week of March 2025. This still is being looked at closely in the next 24 to 36 hours from San Francisco to San Diego, California. The hardest-hit areas trending are San Luis Obispo to Los Angeles counties. Many burn areas from Pacific Palisades to Altadena will have to keep a close eye on this developing weather situation over the next few days as this evolves. #CAwx #CaliforniaStorms
0:12

Sunday, February 23, 2025, 3:00 PM PDT: A significant shift in the pattern from 90° temperatures in the next 2 to 3 days across much of Southern California and the southwest. A shift in the main Pacific Jet stream axis is just approximately 230 miles due west of the Hawaiian islands and Marshall Island corridor. A series of strong Pacific storms that are trending one right after the other this particular series of storms may produce similar to what we had a couple of weeks ago that brought significant rainfall to our region. I’m watching the details as this emerges this upcoming week as we transition into March 2025. This is also known as the pinnacle of Hollywood’s award season, which is on March 2, 2025, which is next Sunday already. Higher confidence is growing in potential for at least over an inch of rainfall. Possibly higher rainfall amounts first week of March 2025. This still is being looked at closely in the next 24 to 36 hours from San Francisco to San Diego, California. The hardest-hit areas trending are San Luis Obispo to Los Angeles counties. Many burn areas from Pacific Palisades to Altadena will have to keep a close eye on this developing weather situation over the next few days as this evolves. #CAwx #CaliforniaStorms

Jason D Farhang

14,714 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

One shouldn't just look at the #IOD index when tracking the Indian Ocean Dipole. While it serves official purposes, unlike the ENSO index, it only maps 2 fringe regions and ignores changes occurring much closer to home, that are just as important. Below, one can clearly see how the warm pool of 29-30°C close to Lakshadweep developed over last month, inline with #positiveIOD event. Atmosphere is now responding as we have seen a marked uptick in rainfall along Kerala and Karnataka today. Furthermore, SSTs off entire west coast are in fact warmer than average for last few weeks, part of the same IOD response. This helps break the suppression barrier by adding an extra oomph to the monsoon winds, resulting in bouts of coastal rainfall even under harshest El Nino/suppression conditions. This is why I'm refering to it as developing weak positive IOD. #Monsoon is a complex system and gets influenced by the local players more often than you think! Restricting oneself to the "official" definitions will prevent you from noticing stuff in your direct line of sight. Monsoon winds don't just come from the officially tracked regions but rather sweep across the breadth of #IndianOcean, so always observe SSTs in the #ArabianSea off the west coast that are closest to us!
0:10

One shouldn't just look at the #IOD index when tracking the Indian Ocean Dipole. While it serves official purposes, unlike the ENSO index, it only maps 2 fringe regions and ignores changes occurring much closer to home, that are just as important. Below, one can clearly see how the warm pool of 29-30°C close to Lakshadweep developed over last month, inline with #positiveIOD event. Atmosphere is now responding as we have seen a marked uptick in rainfall along Kerala and Karnataka today. Furthermore, SSTs off entire west coast are in fact warmer than average for last few weeks, part of the same IOD response. This helps break the suppression barrier by adding an extra oomph to the monsoon winds, resulting in bouts of coastal rainfall even under harshest El Nino/suppression conditions. This is why I'm refering to it as developing weak positive IOD. #Monsoon is a complex system and gets influenced by the local players more often than you think! Restricting oneself to the "official" definitions will prevent you from noticing stuff in your direct line of sight. Monsoon winds don't just come from the officially tracked regions but rather sweep across the breadth of #IndianOcean, so always observe SSTs in the #ArabianSea off the west coast that are closest to us!

Athreya Shetty 🇮🇳

17,996 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

On the 16th of March 2025, Earshot was contacted by activists in Serbia to investigate the potential use of sonic weapons by the government on a crowd of protestors as they were holding a silent vigil for the victims of the Novi Sad railway station canopy collapse. Earshot received 12 videos that document the moments where a weapon was allegedly used against the protestors. 4 of these videos contain a sound consistent with the noise produced by a Vortex Ring Gun or Vortex Cannon. As this weapon pushes gas out of its cylinder at speeds of 185mph, its expulsion produces a howling noise which has been compared to a jet engine, along with vortex rings that may be ionized. This would create electromagnetic interference with devices such as hearing aids, corroborating reports made by witnesses at the protest. Should this be the vortex cannon, these recordings would be more than 700m away. At this distance the combustion of the weapon is no longer audible; only the distinct whistling sound of the pressure wave as it travels away from the shooter location and towards the crowd can be heard, causing mass panic. As Earshot is looking to further investigate this incident, we ask anyone with video footage from that night that captures the specific sound that can be heard in this post to get in touch with us.
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On the 16th of March 2025, Earshot was contacted by activists in Serbia to investigate the potential use of sonic weapons by the government on a crowd of protestors as they were holding a silent vigil for the victims of the Novi Sad railway station canopy collapse. Earshot received 12 videos that document the moments where a weapon was allegedly used against the protestors. 4 of these videos contain a sound consistent with the noise produced by a Vortex Ring Gun or Vortex Cannon. As this weapon pushes gas out of its cylinder at speeds of 185mph, its expulsion produces a howling noise which has been compared to a jet engine, along with vortex rings that may be ionized. This would create electromagnetic interference with devices such as hearing aids, corroborating reports made by witnesses at the protest. Should this be the vortex cannon, these recordings would be more than 700m away. At this distance the combustion of the weapon is no longer audible; only the distinct whistling sound of the pressure wave as it travels away from the shooter location and towards the crowd can be heard, causing mass panic. As Earshot is looking to further investigate this incident, we ask anyone with video footage from that night that captures the specific sound that can be heard in this post to get in touch with us.

earshot.ngo

825,561 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🌊 El Niño in the tropical Pacific continues to strengthen According to NOAA/CPC, sea-surface temperatures off the coast of Peru and around the Galápagos Islands are more than 3°C above the long-term average. According to the WMO’s monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update, El Niño is expected to continue strengthening and develop into a strong event during August–October 2026. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also forecast. During this phase, the western tropical Indian Ocean is warmer than average, while the eastern part is cooler than average. The WMO warns that a strengthening El Niño increases the likelihood of heatwaves, drought, heavy rainfall, and other extreme weather events, with impacts varying by region. 🌡️ Above-normal temperatures: expected across most inhabited land areas of the world. 💧 Wetter-than-normal conditions: western North America, central South America, southern Europe, and North Africa. ☀️ Drier-than-normal conditions: Central America, northern South America, northern Europe, parts of central Africa, India, and southern and eastern Australia.
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🌊 El Niño in the tropical Pacific continues to strengthen According to NOAA/CPC, sea-surface temperatures off the coast of Peru and around the Galápagos Islands are more than 3°C above the long-term average. According to the WMO’s monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update, El Niño is expected to continue strengthening and develop into a strong event during August–October 2026. A positive Indian Ocean Dipole is also forecast. During this phase, the western tropical Indian Ocean is warmer than average, while the eastern part is cooler than average. The WMO warns that a strengthening El Niño increases the likelihood of heatwaves, drought, heavy rainfall, and other extreme weather events, with impacts varying by region. 🌡️ Above-normal temperatures: expected across most inhabited land areas of the world. 💧 Wetter-than-normal conditions: western North America, central South America, southern Europe, and North Africa. ☀️ Drier-than-normal conditions: Central America, northern South America, northern Europe, parts of central Africa, India, and southern and eastern Australia.

Windy.com

39,200 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

☀️12th April 2026: India Under the Dome: 6-Day Intense Dry Spell to Grip Subcontinent. The loan oasis, Northeast India Defies National Trend with Rain and Thunderstorms until 15th April. ​Mercury Surge: Central and South India Brace for 40°C+ as High Pressure Caps the Skies ​ Detailed Forecast & Analysis ​1. The Dominant "Heat Dome" Effect ​The orange and red anomalies in the loop represent positive geopotential height anomalies. This indicates a high-pressure system (anticyclone) at the 500mb level (approx. 5.5 km altitude). ​The Cause: This system acts like a "lid" or dome, trapping sinking air which warms up as it is compressed. This suppresses cloud formation and prevents moisture from the oceans from penetrating inland. ​Impact: Expect a rapid rise in maximum temperatures by 3–6°C across Northwest, Central, and East India. Example, cities like Delhi, Nagpur, and Ahmedabad are likely to approach or exceed the 40°C mark by April 15. ​2. Regional Breakdown Region Weather Outlook (Next 6 Days): Primary Driver Northwest & Central Severe dry heat; clear skies; rising heatwave risks. Strong anticyclonic subsidence. South Peninsular Hot and humid; minimal rainfall. High-pressure stability. East India Significant temperature spike (3–5°C rise). Expansion of the heat ridge eastward. Northeast India Scattered thunderstorms & light-to-moderate rain. Persistent 3. The Northeast Exception until 15th April. ​The red arrow in the loop image points to a specific area (Northeast India/Bangladesh border) where the high-pressure dome is weaker or interrupted. ​The Cause: A "trough" (an elongated area of low pressure) is expected to persist over this region. This allows moisture from the Bay of Bengal to interact with the hilly terrain, triggering Orographically induced thunderstorms. ​Expected Conditions: While the rest of India stays dry, states like Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh will likely see fairly widespread rainfall and gusty winds 30–40 kmph through April 16. ​Preparation Advice ​Agriculture: Farmers in Central and West India should ensure adequate irrigation for summer crops as soil moisture will deplete rapidly. ​Health: High UV indices 9–10 are expected; avoid outdoor activity between 11 AM and 4 PM in heat-affected zones. ​Northeast Residents: Prepare for sudden squalls and lightning; ensure drainage systems are clear for localized heavy spells.
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☀️12th April 2026: India Under the Dome: 6-Day Intense Dry Spell to Grip Subcontinent. The loan oasis, Northeast India Defies National Trend with Rain and Thunderstorms until 15th April. ​Mercury Surge: Central and South India Brace for 40°C+ as High Pressure Caps the Skies ​ Detailed Forecast & Analysis ​1. The Dominant "Heat Dome" Effect ​The orange and red anomalies in the loop represent positive geopotential height anomalies. This indicates a high-pressure system (anticyclone) at the 500mb level (approx. 5.5 km altitude). ​The Cause: This system acts like a "lid" or dome, trapping sinking air which warms up as it is compressed. This suppresses cloud formation and prevents moisture from the oceans from penetrating inland. ​Impact: Expect a rapid rise in maximum temperatures by 3–6°C across Northwest, Central, and East India. Example, cities like Delhi, Nagpur, and Ahmedabad are likely to approach or exceed the 40°C mark by April 15. ​2. Regional Breakdown Region Weather Outlook (Next 6 Days): Primary Driver Northwest & Central Severe dry heat; clear skies; rising heatwave risks. Strong anticyclonic subsidence. South Peninsular Hot and humid; minimal rainfall. High-pressure stability. East India Significant temperature spike (3–5°C rise). Expansion of the heat ridge eastward. Northeast India Scattered thunderstorms & light-to-moderate rain. Persistent 3. The Northeast Exception until 15th April. ​The red arrow in the loop image points to a specific area (Northeast India/Bangladesh border) where the high-pressure dome is weaker or interrupted. ​The Cause: A "trough" (an elongated area of low pressure) is expected to persist over this region. This allows moisture from the Bay of Bengal to interact with the hilly terrain, triggering Orographically induced thunderstorms. ​Expected Conditions: While the rest of India stays dry, states like Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh will likely see fairly widespread rainfall and gusty winds 30–40 kmph through April 16. ​Preparation Advice ​Agriculture: Farmers in Central and West India should ensure adequate irrigation for summer crops as soil moisture will deplete rapidly. ​Health: High UV indices 9–10 are expected; avoid outdoor activity between 11 AM and 4 PM in heat-affected zones. ​Northeast Residents: Prepare for sudden squalls and lightning; ensure drainage systems are clear for localized heavy spells.

Parthan IN Weather

15,564 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 It’s happening. Our Storm is entering BOMB GENESIS MODE and is now rapidly strengthening. 💨 Conditions about to head downhill in a HURRY as Winds begin to CRANK close to Hurricane Force this evening , especially near the Carolina coastline. ⏬ Over the next 24 hours, this Storm is expected to drop 35 millibars in pressure, rivaling the rate of intensification seen in some of the MOST EXTREME Hurricanes in recent years. 🌀 At peak intensity, pressure could fall as low as 967 mb, territory normally reserved for a Category 3 Hurricane. 🌬️ That kind of pressure drop will drive WIND GUSTS up to 70 mph on land, particularly along the Carolina coast. This is near HURRICANE FORCE. 🌊Over the open water of the Atlantic, Winds could get as high as 100mph during the height of the Storm. Just insane. ❄️ The combination of HOWLING WIND and HEAVY SNOW will produce BLIZZARD CONDITIONS for many. ⁉️We should have widespread Blizzard Warnings across eastern North Carolina. Not sure why the NWS is holding back. But that doesn't matter. ❤️The HEART OF THE STORM is still ahead of us. 🔏LOCK IN. Hang on, my brotheren. With a little luck and a lot of toilet paper, we will all get through this. Godspeed and good luck 👊
0:16

🚨 It’s happening. Our Storm is entering BOMB GENESIS MODE and is now rapidly strengthening. 💨 Conditions about to head downhill in a HURRY as Winds begin to CRANK close to Hurricane Force this evening , especially near the Carolina coastline. ⏬ Over the next 24 hours, this Storm is expected to drop 35 millibars in pressure, rivaling the rate of intensification seen in some of the MOST EXTREME Hurricanes in recent years. 🌀 At peak intensity, pressure could fall as low as 967 mb, territory normally reserved for a Category 3 Hurricane. 🌬️ That kind of pressure drop will drive WIND GUSTS up to 70 mph on land, particularly along the Carolina coast. This is near HURRICANE FORCE. 🌊Over the open water of the Atlantic, Winds could get as high as 100mph during the height of the Storm. Just insane. ❄️ The combination of HOWLING WIND and HEAVY SNOW will produce BLIZZARD CONDITIONS for many. ⁉️We should have widespread Blizzard Warnings across eastern North Carolina. Not sure why the NWS is holding back. But that doesn't matter. ❤️The HEART OF THE STORM is still ahead of us. 🔏LOCK IN. Hang on, my brotheren. With a little luck and a lot of toilet paper, we will all get through this. Godspeed and good luck 👊

Brady Harris

99,428 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

BC, here’s the next update on the unusual bomb cyclone situation, on Nov 19th. (Scroll for wind forecast) The low pressure system - which is currently roughly 3,200 km SSW of Vancouver island - will race southeast over the pacific during the next 36 hours, while growing rapidly. But the weather system truly becomes problematic as it turns northeast Tuesday morning, where it will completely devour the low in the gulf of Alaska. The storm will explode in intensity, and as pressures plummet near the centre of the storm, winds will explode to numbers more typically seen in tropical cyclones. At this point the storm will be a major bomb cyclone, and will obtain peak intensity by late afternoon or early evening, roughly 400 km west of Vancouver Island. Peak intensify: • Max wind gusts: 185km/h • Min pressure: 944mb Yet the low casts uncertainty over parts of the BC south coast. Northern and western Vancouver island are likely to be impacted with very high southeasterly winds, but southern and eastern sections lay in a zone filled with possibilities. Despite that, I have gathered together the latest data, to create this forecast ⬇️ • Western Vancouver Island: Peak wind gusts 80 to 110km/h, except up to 140km/h near Brooks peninsula provincial park. Timeframe: Tuesday afternoon, through Wednesday. • Northern Vancouver Island: Peak wind gusts of 90 to 120km/h. Timeframe: Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night. • Eastern Vancouver Island: Peak gusts of 70 to 100km/h. Timeframe: Tuesday evening, again gusting up to 90km/h near Comox on Wednesday. • Southern Vancouver Island: Peak gusts of 70 to 100km/h Tuesday evening, highest winds over western sections. Timeframe: Tuesday evening, with winds reaching-strengthening early Wednesday near the Haro Strait. • Sunshine Coast - Sechelt to Powell River: Peak gusts ranging 70 to 100km/h. Timeframe: Later Tuesday evening lasting into Wednesday. • Lower Mainland: Peak easterly wind gusts of 40 to 70km/h except southeast up to 90km/h near the Strait Of Georgia. Timeframe: Tuesday night - and into Wednesday near the coast. Prepare for power outages and travel delays. Secure lose objects. Another update will be posted Monday, Nov 18th. #BCStormWatch #BC #BCWind #Storm #BombCyclone #BCBombCyclone
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BC, here’s the next update on the unusual bomb cyclone situation, on Nov 19th. (Scroll for wind forecast) The low pressure system - which is currently roughly 3,200 km SSW of Vancouver island - will race southeast over the pacific during the next 36 hours, while growing rapidly. But the weather system truly becomes problematic as it turns northeast Tuesday morning, where it will completely devour the low in the gulf of Alaska. The storm will explode in intensity, and as pressures plummet near the centre of the storm, winds will explode to numbers more typically seen in tropical cyclones. At this point the storm will be a major bomb cyclone, and will obtain peak intensity by late afternoon or early evening, roughly 400 km west of Vancouver Island. Peak intensify: • Max wind gusts: 185km/h • Min pressure: 944mb Yet the low casts uncertainty over parts of the BC south coast. Northern and western Vancouver island are likely to be impacted with very high southeasterly winds, but southern and eastern sections lay in a zone filled with possibilities. Despite that, I have gathered together the latest data, to create this forecast ⬇️ • Western Vancouver Island: Peak wind gusts 80 to 110km/h, except up to 140km/h near Brooks peninsula provincial park. Timeframe: Tuesday afternoon, through Wednesday. • Northern Vancouver Island: Peak wind gusts of 90 to 120km/h. Timeframe: Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday night. • Eastern Vancouver Island: Peak gusts of 70 to 100km/h. Timeframe: Tuesday evening, again gusting up to 90km/h near Comox on Wednesday. • Southern Vancouver Island: Peak gusts of 70 to 100km/h Tuesday evening, highest winds over western sections. Timeframe: Tuesday evening, with winds reaching-strengthening early Wednesday near the Haro Strait. • Sunshine Coast - Sechelt to Powell River: Peak gusts ranging 70 to 100km/h. Timeframe: Later Tuesday evening lasting into Wednesday. • Lower Mainland: Peak easterly wind gusts of 40 to 70km/h except southeast up to 90km/h near the Strait Of Georgia. Timeframe: Tuesday night - and into Wednesday near the coast. Prepare for power outages and travel delays. Secure lose objects. Another update will be posted Monday, Nov 18th. #BCStormWatch #BC #BCWind #Storm #BombCyclone #BCBombCyclone

Andrew Van Gameren

35,122 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

KwaZulu-Natal braces as storms bring rain, wind, and snow. #ColdFront KwaZulu-Natal is in the grip of intense storms as heavy rainfall, fierce winds, and snowfall batter the province, prompting swift action from disaster management teams. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) issued warnings for disruptive weather, with conditions intensifying since Sunday, June 8, and continuing into Tuesday, June 10. Torrential rain has flooded roads and low-lying areas, particularly in eThekwini, Ugu, and uMgungundlovu municipalities, while strong winds threaten structures and coastal zones. .“We’re on high alert to protect lives and property,” said a spokesperson for KZN’s Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs Department, as teams assist affected communities. Residents are urged to avoid travel, secure loose items, and stay updated via SAWS alerts. With the storm’s end still uncertain, KZN battles nature’s fury with resilience and readiness.
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KwaZulu-Natal braces as storms bring rain, wind, and snow. #ColdFront KwaZulu-Natal is in the grip of intense storms as heavy rainfall, fierce winds, and snowfall batter the province, prompting swift action from disaster management teams. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) issued warnings for disruptive weather, with conditions intensifying since Sunday, June 8, and continuing into Tuesday, June 10. Torrential rain has flooded roads and low-lying areas, particularly in eThekwini, Ugu, and uMgungundlovu municipalities, while strong winds threaten structures and coastal zones. .“We’re on high alert to protect lives and property,” said a spokesperson for KZN’s Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs Department, as teams assist affected communities. Residents are urged to avoid travel, secure loose items, and stay updated via SAWS alerts. With the storm’s end still uncertain, KZN battles nature’s fury with resilience and readiness.

MDN NEWS

32,271 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Christmas Eve and Christmas Day feature the most impressive severe thunderstorm setup I’ve seen along the California coastline in at least a decade. The first round of isolated severe thunderstorms will come ashore tonight, bringing the threat of a isolated tornado and severe wind gusts over 60 mph from the Central Coast up to Humboldt County. The severe weather threat then expands into the Central Valley during the afternoon, California’s tornado alley, with the potential for isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and even large hail. The threat then shifts south into Southern California tomorrow, where isolated severe wind gusts and a brief tornado will be possible. However, Christmas Eve into Christmas morning features the most potent severe weather environment of the week and could lead to a severe thunderstorm outbreak along the coastline from the Central Coast up to the North Coast. The combination of strong low-level and deep-layer shear with sufficient instability is rarely seen in this part of the world. I seriously cannot recall seeing Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) values exceed 3 along the California coastline. The peak threat window appears to be from 10 PM Thursday to 8 AM Friday. It would not be out of the question to see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued Christmas Eve night with the potential for a couple tornadoes and scattered severe wind gusts. I also believe this may be the first time on record that San Francisco has been placed under a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms in the Day 1–3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks.
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Christmas Eve and Christmas Day feature the most impressive severe thunderstorm setup I’ve seen along the California coastline in at least a decade. The first round of isolated severe thunderstorms will come ashore tonight, bringing the threat of a isolated tornado and severe wind gusts over 60 mph from the Central Coast up to Humboldt County. The severe weather threat then expands into the Central Valley during the afternoon, California’s tornado alley, with the potential for isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and even large hail. The threat then shifts south into Southern California tomorrow, where isolated severe wind gusts and a brief tornado will be possible. However, Christmas Eve into Christmas morning features the most potent severe weather environment of the week and could lead to a severe thunderstorm outbreak along the coastline from the Central Coast up to the North Coast. The combination of strong low-level and deep-layer shear with sufficient instability is rarely seen in this part of the world. I seriously cannot recall seeing Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) values exceed 3 along the California coastline. The peak threat window appears to be from 10 PM Thursday to 8 AM Friday. It would not be out of the question to see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued Christmas Eve night with the potential for a couple tornadoes and scattered severe wind gusts. I also believe this may be the first time on record that San Francisco has been placed under a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms in the Day 1–3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks.

Colin McCarthy

68,573 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten