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As Russia intensifies its assault on Ukraine, a parallel battle is escalating at sea. Commercial vessels are coming under attack in the Black Sea, raising fears that violence on NATO's eastern flank could spiral into a wider confrontation. Rob Clark analyses why the Lloyd's List have dubbed the Black...

30,335 просмотров • 3 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 3

Фото профиля Arturo
Arturo3 дней назад

🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂🤣😂 Hey stupid Zelensky bombs Russia then cries when Russia bombs them back What a dumb ass. Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa A vicious, deliberate Russian attack on Zaporizhzhia & Kyiv began last evening

Фото профиля Ashanka
Ashanka3 дней назад

Civilian merchant seafarers shouldn't be caught in the crossfire of naval war. Global trade depends on safe transit, and the Black Sea is becoming a complete no-go zone

Фото профиля Sarah , Lucy,Nella and Wurzel .
Sarah , Lucy,Nella and Wurzel .3 дней назад

All.pootin has to do is leave Ukraine.

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The Russia-Ukraine war has moved to the sea and effectively blocked the Black Sea for international trade. Trade logistics are blocked for both Russia and Ukraine. Russia is destroying Ukrainian ports and attacking commercial vessels, including those of third-party states. In July, Ukraine recorded 35 Russian attacks on ships in ports, 22 attacks on ships at sea, and 67 strikes on port infrastructure. On 19 July, a Russian strike on the corn-carrying merchant vessel Golden Leo near Odesa killed ten people. In response, Ukraine has expanded its campaign against Russian tankers, terminals, and routes through the Sea of Azov, the Kerch Strait, and Novorossiysk. Ukraine is clearly demonstrating goodwill toward peace, in contrast to Putin’s Russia. In particular, Ukraine, through Türkiye, submitted a proposal for a moratorium on attacks on commercial vessels in the Black Sea. Turkish FM Hakan Fidan said Türkiye had conveyed it to the Russian side and is now awaiting Moscow’s response. Ankara has effectively taken on the role of mediator and is trying to turn the Ukrainian proposal into an arrangement acceptable to both sides. For Türkiye, the war on maritime routes has already become a direct problem for its own security and economy. Turkish vessels, companies, and crews are coming under attack. After the 4 August attack on on a Turkish-owned vessel near Novorossiysk, which left three crew members seriously injured, the Turkish Foreign Ministry called on Russia and Ukraine to take measures to ensure the safety of civilian navigation. Türkiye also faces a mine threat: together with Romania and Bulgaria, it has created the Mine Countermeasures Black Sea Task Group to search for and destroy drifting mines. Türkiye’s strategic goal is to preserve a controlled balance of power in the Black Sea and its own central role in it. Ankara supports Ukraine’s territorial integrity, does not recognize Russia’s annexation of Crimea, and is interested in preserving Ukraine as a fully functioning Black Sea state. Russian control over the Ukrainian coastline would be disadvantageous for Türkiye. At the same time, Ankara does not want a rupture with Russia, which remains an important trade and energy partner. Türkiye is also not interested in a permanent large-scale naval presence by non-Black Sea NATO states. The 1936 Montreux Convention remains the foundation of its policy. After the start of the full-scale war, Ankara restricted the passage of warships belonging to the warring parties through the Bosporus and Dardanelles, making it more difficult for Russia to reinforce its Black Sea Fleet. However, Türkiye has far less room to maneuver when it comes to commercial vessels: the Montreux Convention does not allow it to arbitrarily block civilian transit as a means of political pressure. Türkiye has enough tools to organize a maritime agreement, but cannot itself guarantee its implementation. Ankara maintains direct channels with Kyiv and Moscow, controls the straits, has the largest naval potential among NATO’s Black Sea members, and has experience from the 2022 Black Sea Grain Initiative. At that time, Türkiye and the UN coordinated vessel movements and inspections through the Joint Coordination Centre in Istanbul. In 2026, Türkiye is also involved in preparations for a Maritime Component Command that could help secure a future peace in the Black Sea. In practical terms, Ankara could establish a new coordination center, maintain a registry of protected vessels, agree on routes, share information with the parties, and organize monitoring. But if Russia or Ukraine decides to continue strikes, Türkiye itself cannot ensure the security of a corridor without a significantly broader military-political agreement. What might the most realistic compromise look like? Most likely it would not be a general maritime ceasefire, but a narrower agreement covering grain, specific vessels, and designated routes. Protected vessels could be pre-registered through a Turkish coordination mechanism, listing their IMO number, flag, owner, cargo, and route. The first stage could cover grain, food, and fertilizers, as well as designated terminals in Odesa, Chornomorsk, Pivdennyi, Novorossiysk, and other agreed ports. For Ukraine, it is crucial that such protection not automatically extend to Russian oil tankers and the shadow fleet: strikes on oil logistics are an important means of putting pressure on Russian revenues. Russia, for its part, may try to tie its consent to sanctions relief, Russian Agricultural Bank’s access to international payments, vessel insurance, and fertilizer exports. The central issue in negotiations would therefore not be the principle of a moratorium itself, but its scope: which vessels, cargoes, ports, and routes would be protected, and what would remain a legitimate target. For Ukraine, an acceptable basis could be the safety of Ukrainian civilian agricultural exports in exchange for the safety of Russian civilian food exports, without automatically extending protection to all Russian maritime trade.

Anton Gerashchenko

28,130 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Freedom of the Sea is Not Free: How War in Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and Black Sea Overlap The Nexus of Conflict: Recent Ukrainian strikes on Russian vessels in the Caspian Sea highlight how the wars in Eastern Europe and the Middle East are becoming increasingly intertwined, creating a unified threat to global shipping. Strait of Hormuz in "Freefall": Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted by 80%, with "dark transits" now accounting for 82% of all voyages as ship owners avoid the region due to a lack of security guarantees. Skyrocketing Costs: War risk insurance for the Persian Gulf has surged from 1% to as high as 9% of vessel value, potentially adding up to $10 million in costs for a single transit—costs that are ultimately passed to consumers. Suez Canal Logistics: Because very large crude carriers (VLCCs) cannot transit the Suez Canal fully loaded, the industry is shifting to complex ship-to-ship transfers and pipeline systems to bypass Red Sea threats. China’s Withdrawal: Major Chinese shipping firms, including COSCO and China Merchants, have begun pulling their tankers from high-risk regions, removing a key stabilizing variable from the global oil market. Black Sea Escalation: The sinking of the Golden Leo marks the first commercial vessel lost to Russian strikes since 2022, signaling a dangerous new phase in the maritime war as Ukraine’s harvest season approaches. Shipping's Resilience: Despite these "flashing red" indicators, 80% of world cargo continues to move, demonstrating that while shipping is resilient like "water in a sidewalk," the increased friction makes global trade slower and more expensive. Video:

Sal Mercogliano (WGOW Shipping) 🚢⚓🐪🚒🏴‍☠️

16,025 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

#WATCH | 81st Session of UNGA | At the inaugural meeting of Group of Friends on Safety & Security of Shipping & Seafarers, EAM Dr S Jaishankar says, "We are gathered here this morning with a strong resolve on a very important issue. India, as a major source of seafarers, and Liberia, as the largest shipping registry, have come together to highlight the safety and security of shipping and seafarers. Just two days ago, an Antigua and Barbuda-flagged bulk carrier, MV Cape Dao, was attacked in the Gulf of Oman, and an Indian sailor lost his life. Ten days before that, a Panama-flagged oil tanker, El Gaia, was struck while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, and an Indian crew member went missing after that incident. These, regrettably, are no longer exceptional occurrences. In the last few months, commercial shipping and mariners have been subjected to repeated attacks in the Gulf, the Red Sea, and its vicinity. Such unacceptable actions are also occurring in the Black Sea: MV Omorfi was hit in Russian territorial waters on 18 July, and its chief officer, an Indian national, was killed. The following day, MV Golden Leo was struck after leaving Odessa, and four Indian seafarers lost their lives. Now, the examples that I cite involved Indian sailors, but those of many other nations have been casualties as well in such occurrences this year. From the Black Sea to the Red Sea to the Gulf, attacks on civilian shipping have become a growing cause of concern..." (Source: EAM/'X')

ANI

42,992 просмотров • 15 дней назад

Predator trans dude playing dress up as a woman gets caught at Walmart trying to pick up a 14 year old girl. ​Volunteer watchdog group Predator Catchers Incorporated (PCI) set up a decoy profile on "HER," an app catering primarily to Trans and etc. Soon after, 39-year-old Aaron Blae Clark made contact under the profile name "Alice," identifying as a transgender woman. ​The conversation moved to standard text, where the decoy explicitly clarified her age as 13. Rather than backing off, Clark acknowledged the age, stated they would just need to "approach everything a bit differently," and immediately escalated the conversation with sexu@l messages. ​Clark then drove 70 miles across state lines from Liberty Township, Ohio, to Winchester, Indiana, stopping along the route to purchase cond0ms before entering the East Greenville Pike Walmart electronics section. ​Instead of a 13-year-old girl, Clark was met by civilian decoys and local law enforcement. During the confrontation near the delivery bay, reality set in: Clark grew visibly faint, collapsed onto the pavement, and required EMS evaluation before being taken into custody. ​At the station, Clark invoked the right to an attorney once investigators confirmed felony charges. The legal fallout escalated quickly: ​ Charged with felony child solicitation and attempted child molesting; posted cash bond and pleaded not guilty. Following a comprehensive digital forensic review of seized electronics, prosecutors added felony charges for possession of child sexual abuse material (CSAM). After initial trial scheduling in Randolph County court, the case entered continued pre-trial proceedings. Unfortunately this predator was released on a 7k bond as the trial moved through the system vs staying in custody. We will need to revisit this once we have info on case results. Shows the mental illness as this is a man playing dress up but yet still clearly attracted to females but he has a deeper illness as he is after children. Let's hope justice is served.

Giggling Gannon

27,455 просмотров • 13 дней назад

🚨BREAKING: UKRAINE ATTACKS KEY RUSSIAN BRIDGE AND CLAIMS RESPONSIBILITY | U.S INVOLVEMENT? The longest bridge in Europe, a major strategic asset for Russia connecting them to Crimea, was attacked early in the morning, and Ukrainian Intelligence has acknowledged that Ukraine was responsible for the attack. In 2016, Putin celebrated the opening of the bridge by calling it “a miracle”. Ukraine attacked the Kerch Bridge overnight using unmanned drones on the water surface. UKRAINE PUBLICLY TAKES RESPONSIBILITY: The Ukrainian admission of the attack is surprising, as it could result in a brutal retaliation by Russia. Putin called the attack on the bridge "an act of terror" by Kyiv. In the past, when Russia has referred to any attack as 'terrorism', it has been indicative of a strong response including mass rocket and missile attacks. US & BRITISH INVOLVEMENT? The Russians also claimed that the attack involved the "direct participation" of American and British intelligence and politicians. The aircraft tracking website FlightRadar appeared to show a U.S reconnaissance aircraft in Black Sea waters around the time of the attack. In a video, Donetsk People's Republic advisor Yan Gagin stated “this happened with the help of fire ships. These are boat drones. Most likely produced in NATO countries ...During the attack a US reconnaissance drone was in the sky over the Black Sea, most likely guiding the drones" GRAIN DEAL ENDED: GLOBAL INFLATION AND FAMINE The Black Sea grain deal is an agreement between Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, and the United Nations to allow the safe export of grain from Ukraine. The deal was brokered in July 2022, after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine blocked the export of grain from Ukraine’s Black Sea ports. The deal allows for the export of grain from three Ukrainian ports: Odesa, Chornomorsk, and Yuzhny. The deal had been credited with helping to reduce global food prices, which have been rising since the start of the war in Ukraine. After the attack, the Russians announced it will be TERMINATED with no indication if there will be talks to renew it. The impact of losing the grain deal will be significant, as it will lead to higher food prices, food shortages, and even famine in some parts of the world. MY THOUGHTS: This is serious for 4 reasons: 1. The attack was in Crimea, a RED LINE for Putin 2. Ukraine publicly claimed responsibility, very rare 3. The U.S could be directly involved 4. Sweden about to join NATO It is well known that the US and the UK have been actively providing intelligence that allows the Ukrainians to conduct attacks on the frontlines. At the same time, it is no secret that Putin made it clear that attacking Crimea or attempting to retake it are a RED LINE that should not be crossed. And Ukraine promptly admitting they are behind the attack demonstrates yet another escalatory step and confidence from Kiev. I’m not saying Ukraine doesn’t have the right to attack Crimea. I understand that Russia invaded Ukrainian territory and illegally annexed Crimea, something I would never condone. But remember, Putin is getting INCREASINGLY CORNERED by NATO and likely fuming after Sweden got the green light to join NATO. He also clearly stated Crimea is a RED LINE for him and that Russia would "never give up" Crimea. Because of these reasons, I think Ukraine and NATO should seriously consider some compromise to avoid this war spilling into a global nuclear conflict. I have called for URGENT DE-ESCALATION for months, by BOTH SIDES, but things seem to only be getting worse. Just yesterday Putin said Russia has ‘sufficient’ cluster munitions and may retaliate if Ukraine uses them, only days after Ukraine received a delivery cluster munitions from the U.S. WHY IS THE WORLD OK WITH THIS?? HOW DO YOU EXPECT PUTIN WILL RESPOND NOW?

Mario Nawfal

2,442,253 просмотров • 3 лет назад

🇷🇺🇺🇦 Prof. John Mearsheimer: ‘Ukraine’s long-range drone attacks into Russia have BACKFIRED, Russia retaliated by closing the Odessa Port and turned Ukraine into a land-locked country.’ ‘The Ukrainian drones have been Ukraine’s great saviour on the battlefield. I believe that this war would have ended a year or two if the Ukrainians didn’t have drones because the Ukrainians have a significant shortage of manpower, a significant shortage of artillery. And in a war that was heavily dependent on just manpower and artillery, I think the Ukrainians would have collapsed a while ago. But the drones have really helped keep them in the fight in an important way. So that’s one dimension to the drone issue. Then there’s the whole question of using drones in long-range attacks into Mother Russia. And this of course is what the Ukrainians have been doing big time in recent months. And I don’t think that those attacks have had any meaningful impact on the course of the war. And of course as you were alluding to, if anything it speeded up the end of the war because there is good reason to think that the Russian response to these long-range drone attacks by the Ukrainians is that the Russians have decided to retaliate by attacking Odessa and other Ukrainian sites on the Black Sea. And this has had a devastating effect on Ukraine because so much of Ukraine’s agricultural product as well as its industrial product moves out of Ukraine via the Black Sea ports. And of course the most prominent one is Odessa. But what’s happened here, and it’s very important to emphasise this, is that the Russians have basically closed the Odessa ports. And the end result is that today Ukraine is effectively a landlocked country. And given the percentage of exports, Ukrainian exports that go out of those ports through the Black Sea, this is going to have devastating effects on the Ukrainian economy. So if anything the long-range drone attack on the part of the Ukrainians against Mother Russia are backfiring.’ Watch the full interview in the quoted post below 👇

Going Underground

17,537 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

//The Wire//1800Z July 16, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: UKRAINIAN ATTACKS CONTINUE ON RUSSIAN SHIPPING IN BLACK SEA, RUSSIA RETALIATES BY STRIKING UKRAINIAN SHIPPING. WILDFIRES CONTINUE TO SPREAD IN CANADA.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Europe: The war in Ukraine has continued to expand, with attacks on Russian merchant vessels remaining constant in the Black Sea. Russia has likewise retaliated by striking Ukrainian vessels also located within the Black Sea, as well as several port cities in southwestern Ukraine. Middle East: The war continues as before, with regular strikes taking place in the coastal regions which have been host to targeting for several days. Last night the US struck the port of Bandar Abbas again, and the Iranians have responded with attacks on Kuwait, which continued sporadically overnight. Analyst Comment: One aspect of the war that has not escalated for now, has been the conflict between Saudi Arabia and Yemen. After the initial mutual strikes two days ago, the Saudi's have chosen to back off of this line of effort, probably because they realized how bad of an idea it is to start a fight with the Houthis right now. That Saudi East-West Pipeline is the main asset that is keeping Saudi Arabia in the global oil market right now, and the Houthis can very easily threaten their main revenue source. Canada: Over the past few days, wildfires have continued to spread throughout the nation. As of this morning, at total of 859x wildfires are actively burning nationwide in Canada, most of which are clustered in Ontario, Qeubec, and the Northwest Territories. Of these active fires, 63x are out of control with zero percent containment. Evacuations of thousands of rural and tribal areas have been ordered over thousands of square miles, and air quality alerts have been issued for much of the American northeast and mid-Atlantic due to the smoke. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Though not exactly grabbing front page headlines, the war in Ukraine has continued to expand and become increasingly more serious during this year's summer offensive. Numbers are hard to independently verify, but the Ukrainians claim a total of 136x Russian vessels have been struck so far during this Black Sea targeting campaign since it began last week. This number seems a little high, but what is undeniable is that the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov have become a new front during this war...for both sides, as demonstrated by the Russians now targeting Ukrainian ships. Equally important is the impact this is having on the broader Russian oil market. Previous strikes on petroleum refineries resulted in fuel shortages throughout Russia, which have varied by severity and location. Striking tankers in the Black Sea really only impacts the petroleum export market, and the long-term impacts of this will be interesting to follow. Like it or not, the concept of globalization has functioned as designed, and most nations are linked to each other in ways that are not readily apparent at first. Russia mostly exports oil to India and China, and their exports have remained high during the Persian Gulf crisis. So Ukraine, in striking the oil intended for China, is directly playing a hand in the Gulf War...a conflict thousands of miles away. How this will manifest over the next few weeks will be important. Gas prices in the US have been MUCH cheaper than they should be, due to a long list of factors, one of which has been the Chinese dipping into their own reserves to sharply reduce their demand. Ukraine strikes ships intended for China, and China now has to either dip into their reserves more...or buy more oil from the Middle East, and demand goes up in an already restricted supply chain. The Gulf War is still hot to some degree, and the minuscule flow of oil that had begun to trickle out of the Gulf during the ceasefire has once again slowed to a drip...and now that Ukraine is striking Russian oil intended for China, an already tight oil market is probably going to be squeezed even harder. Analyst: S2A1 Research: NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269 Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

14,395 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад