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🚨ATTENTION‼️ THERE ARE RUMORS CIRCULATING THAT STRATEGY $MSTR WILL BE FORCED TO LIQUIDATE THEIR BITCOIN HOLDINGS IF THE PRICE FALLS BELOW $75,000. THIS IS ENTIRELY FALSE AND HAS BEEN DISPROVEN REPEATEDLY OVER THE LAST YEAR. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.

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The ₿itcoin Therapist

267,181 subscribers

185,791 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🔥HOW I AM GOING TO GREATLY OUTPERFORM BITCOIN + MSTR - MSTR LEAP +1,000% GAINS🔥 BITCOIN IS THE HURDLE RATE. With the end goal of more Bitcoin acquisition, I have acquired MSTR call options expiring December 2028. Strategy has acquired over 56,000 Bitcoin this month alone and there is another 32 months of accumulation until then. The payoff math of this entry is INSANE. Check it out. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS IS FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT.
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🔥HOW I AM GOING TO GREATLY OUTPERFORM BITCOIN + MSTR - MSTR LEAP +1,000% GAINS🔥 BITCOIN IS THE HURDLE RATE. With the end goal of more Bitcoin acquisition, I have acquired MSTR call options expiring December 2028. Strategy has acquired over 56,000 Bitcoin this month alone and there is another 32 months of accumulation until then. The payoff math of this entry is INSANE. Check it out. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. THIS IS FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT.

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Could $MANYU be the $SHIB of 2025? - Next 1 billion MC memecoin on ETH? - Backed by the Shib account - Below $30M right now but 20,000 holders This is not financial advice. Do your own research.

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THE BEST STRATEGY PORFOLIO!?! STRD + MSTR! Listen up, snowflakes. Bitcoin is going to $1 million. By 2033. If you don't believe that, just go ahead and get lost. Want an AMAZING portfolio that gives you MORE YIELD while we wait AND more upside than STRK? That's correct. BIGGER DIVIDEND CHECKS and BIGGER UPSIDE in one split! STRD IS AT A 14.24% EFFECTIVE RIGHT NOW. Check out the math between a 70/30 STRD/MSTR portfolio and how RICH it can make you when BITCOIN MOONS. This is not financial advice so if you need to be coddled by a Dave Ramsey index fund minion, go do that and find your own conviction. This is FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT:
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THE BEST STRATEGY PORFOLIO!?! STRD + MSTR! Listen up, snowflakes. Bitcoin is going to $1 million. By 2033. If you don't believe that, just go ahead and get lost. Want an AMAZING portfolio that gives you MORE YIELD while we wait AND more upside than STRK? That's correct. BIGGER DIVIDEND CHECKS and BIGGER UPSIDE in one split! STRD IS AT A 14.24% EFFECTIVE RIGHT NOW. Check out the math between a 70/30 STRD/MSTR portfolio and how RICH it can make you when BITCOIN MOONS. This is not financial advice so if you need to be coddled by a Dave Ramsey index fund minion, go do that and find your own conviction. This is FINANCIAL ENTERTAINMENT:

Adam Livingston

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Bitcoin crashed to $59,000. MSTR below $100. STRC to $80. None of it changes the one thing that matters: there is no systemic risk to Bitcoin. Strategy won't be "forced" to sell. As the panic gets louder and the hysterics get more ridiculous, the bottom gets one step closer.
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This is probably the most important interview you will watch for the rest of the year. Tom Lee says he believes MSTR is close to a bottom, Bitcoin could drop to $77,000 and explains why MSTR’s price has been cratering for the last 3 months. Must watch interview.
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Africa Facts Zone Rumors that Nigeria did the same is completely false and are lies just brought up to cover for their mess which has been happening over the years
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MY 2026 STOCK PREDICTION LIST. Not financial advice and doesn’t imply that they will all deliver excellent results. Do your own research. Let’s see how well they perform by the end of the year. #wealthcoachomiete #financialfreedom #investsmart #moneytalks #stocks
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Michael Saylor and Strategy are driving all of the Bitcoin out of circulation. Since August 11, 2020, Strategy has acquired 714,644 Bitcoin. That is 355.9 Bitcoin per day. And they are not slowing down. In fact, they are speeding up. The blue line is the share of Strategy's share of the remaining mineable supply, and this is only assuming their historical accumulation pace. At this pace, in 2045 they will have over 3.2 million Bitcoin and over 15.2% of the terminal Bitcoin supply. And don't forget: With more capital, their creditworthiness improves. With better creditworthiness, the better the borrowing ability. The better borrowing terms/ability, the faster the accumulation. Strategy is structurally unassailable, and if you don't secure your portion of the network... ...you will only be able to rent exposure. Tick tock.
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Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.
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Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. 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