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Author of Designing Data-Intensive Applications, Martin Kleppmann, on why engineers don't get to ignore ethics just because the work is technical — a theme he felt strongly enough about to address in both editions: “I felt that ethics had been quite ignored as a concern during my time in...

783,831 views • 2 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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GoogleDeepmind Chief AGI Scientist Shane Legg: AGI by 2028 He’s had the same timelines for 12 years - insane! He gives a log-normal distribution with a mode of 2025. Importantly, while he puts a 50% chance of AGI by 2028, that means there is a 30% chance of AGI in the next three years. How have his timelines been so consistent since 2011? SHANE LEGG: I first formed those beliefs around 2001 after reading Ray Kurzweil's The Age of Spiritual Machines. There were two really important points in his book that I came to believe as true: 1) One is that computational power would grow exponentially for at least a few decades. And that the quantity of data in the world would grow exponentially for a few decades. And when you have exponentially increasing quantities of computation and data, then the value of highly scalable algorithms gets higher and higher. There's a lot of incentive to make a more scalable algorithm to harness all this computing data. So I thought it would be very likely that we'll start to discover scalable algorithms to do this. And then there's a positive feedback between all these things, because if your algorithm gets better at harnessing computing data, then the value of the data and the compute goes up because it can be more effectively used. And that drives more investment in these areas. If your compute performance goes up, then the value of the data goes up because you can utilize more data. So there are positive feedback loops between all these things. 2) And then the second thing was just looking at the trends. If the scalable algorithms were to be discovered, then during the 2020s, it should be possible to start training models on significantly more data than a human would experience in a lifetime. And I figured that that would be a time where big things would start to happen that would eventually unlock AGI. And I think we're now at that first part. I think we can start training models now with the scale of the data that is beyond what a human can experience in a lifetime. So I think this is the first unlocking step. DWARKESH: If we're in 2029 and it hasn't happened yet, if there was a problem that caused it, what would be the most likely reason for that? SHANE LEGG: I don't know. At the moment, it looks to me like all the problems are likely solvable with a number of years of research.

AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️

74,490 views • 2 years ago

#WATCH | India AI Impact Summit 2026 | Delhi: Founder Chairman and CEO of Sampark Foundation & former CEO of HCL Technologies, Vineet Nayar says, "...From an employment point of view I think it is very important for us to understand that Indian companies, including Indian IT companies, are going to be profit-driven and therefore if you believe that they are going to create employment you must be dreaming. Therefore, the question is how do we create employment in this environment, and that employment comes from mass scale startups, which is what this government has already doing. So, how do we create new sets of people who are trying to solve new sets of problems not new sets of technology and if we do that we will get it right. I think we as Indians have to be very careful on who does data belong to and that is the debate we have a problem with. The LLM models which exist worldwide are far superior than the Indian models. Unfortunately, in India, we never develop products, so therefore we do not have SLMs and LLMs which are world-class. On one side, we have global LLM products which are coming to India and trading on our Indian data. Should we allowed that or should we not allowed that? But on the other side if we don't allow that then we have the data but we don't have the LLM models. So, how do we encourage technology completely to develop the LLM models. This needs radicals strategic thinking and a very important aspect otherwise we will either give up a data. So, I think it's a very critical aspect for us to think about - who does this data belong, what is the kind of incentives we are going to give to develop LLM technologies or SLM technologies fast so that we train on our data otherwise an LLM will come in with our data and we'll immediately see return and we'll celebrate and we will do all these kind of press releases but the India will lose a competitive advantage on something which is very critical for the next decade."

ANI

18,753 views • 4 months ago

"I'm not sure that we need the dog whistle at this point. And maybe there are ways to re-create it." ~Nolan "There might be a day when Skywatcher doesn't need to exist." ~Nolan "If I had been running the whole show, nobody would even know what Skywatcher is right now." ~Nolan ~My comments in ( )~ Garry P. Nolan: "We've got a lot of data from multiple alleged sightings, both radar and other kinds of data. First it was about getting the raw-data files all put in one place because some of the data was collected by James (Fowler) before there was, officially, kind of a Skywatcher. "And so, getting that data, getting the instrument names that he used for those, then getting the technical manuals of what the settings might be and how much of that information is collected in the metadata when you're collecting the thing... All of this is just the organization that you need to do before you do anything else. "And then, getting from the companies how it is that they parse their raw data. Because some of these data files are put into...I wouldn't call them encrypted, but they're stacked into a certain kind of file structure - and I've seen the file structure - which is, you can think of it as a giant spreadsheet with headings and numbers for each of the columns and time on the row axis. "And so, you know, we've started looking at some of the data and put it into, let's say, 3D tracking. And it's clear that there are some things about the data that we needed to go back to the vendor who makes the instrument and say, 'Why is this and this and this happening, you know, every few dozen milliseconds?'" (I wonder if some of what they saw in their data, and labelled as anomalous, has maybe turned out to be a sensor artifact?) Nolan: "And so, you know, just getting an answer from these companies, often, when you don't even own the instrument, they're like, 'Well, why should we give you the information about how our data is constructed? How do we know that you're not a competitor?' Right? I mean, and so these are the kinds of things that we then contact somebody who has a behind-the-scenes access to this so that we can, again, it's all of these little steps. "And I'm sure there's somebody who's gonna tweet, 'Well, why don't you just put all the raw data out on the internet?' For exactly the same reason you don't put the raw data from ancient DNA sequencing. Because people will make mistakes about it. And so, if I'm going to be involved, I'm not gonna make any mistakes like that. So I'm sorry if people want stuff early. "I think you know, perhaps, if... Well, if I had been running the whole show, nobody would even know what Skywatcher is right now. We'd just be collecting the data in a fully-stealthed mode. And...but, you know, it's...there's reasons, good reasons, why they wanted some publicity. And, you know, but I don't always get my way." Vinnie - 𝐕𝐢𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐞 𝐀𝐝𝐚𝐦𝐬 𝕏: "Would you say that the data is exciting?" Nolan: "Oh, there's some interesting stuff in there. I mean, frankly, perhaps some of the better data that we have is just a couple of pictures from the ground of the helicopter with something about, you know, 200 feet in front of it. It's a clear blue sky and there's an object right in front of the helicopter. And the people in the helicopter said at the time that they couldn't see anything, even though we could see it from the ground. "But meanwhile, all of their instruments are going haywire. So, there was an effect. So why couldn't they see it? Maybe it was just out of view? Who knows? So it wasn't a lens flare, and it certainly wasn't a seagull. Mick (both laugh)." Vinnie: "Not in the desert anyway." Nolan: "I can't help myself." Vinnie: "I'm all for it. I'm sure Mick would, too. Hopefully. You know, James Fowler, we know he's left and moved on working with a new company. You know, all the best to him. Am I right in saying some of the technology being utilized by Skywatcher was proprietary to him, specifically? Maybe the dog whistle even? Is that still going to be able to be used by Skywatcher? How's that going to look going forward?" Nolan: "Umm, I'm not sure that we need the dog whistle at this point. And maybe there are ways to recreate it. I'm not party to the discussions around that. And so, we'll see where that goes." (That sounds like Fowler is NOT going to allow Skywatcher to use the dog whistle. That's a big disappointment. I mean, if this is really NHI and the dog whistle works 100% of the time, as claimed, then the whole world deserves to know about it.) Nolan: "I mean, James is not like, gone and forgotten. I mean, I could Signal chat him right now. And so he's there to help us. But, you know, my take on things is, you know, James has a life to live and a family to feed, and maybe his focus isn't entirely on UAP. He certainly has an interest in it. And maybe he has, you know, a company to build, and an opportunity that, actually, we all see now in terms of detecting drones. And, you know, if he wants to run a company like that then running around with a bunch of UAPologists might not be to that benefit. "And there might be a day when Skywatcher doesn't need to exist. The whole idea of Skywatcher is to show that something like this can be done, and it can be done in a serious way." (jakebarber claimed that they could BRING DOWN a craft. If that's true, it would change the world. What happened with that? Barber also said, "Who is operating [UAP]? How are they being operated? Where are they coming from? We should be able to answer those questions, probably entirely, in the next 12 months." Time is running out. Does he still stand behind that? Full Barber post with video clip: ) ~ Nolan: "I mean, I would...I, frankly, hope that if UAPDA - Disclosure Act is passed, because then the information that can be allowed to be out can be let out, and the stuff that needs to be kept secret stays secret. Again, I'm not, I would never advocate for a data dump." (I would 100% advocate for a data dump, minus details on anything that can be used as a weapon. Nobody, including the USG or private contractors owns this information. If it's gonna be a slow drip, for decades, then I fully support an Edward Snowden-type of leaker.) Nolan: "And so, you know, call it controlled disclosure, what have you. It needs to be done the proper way. And, you know, if any of the claims are true, there are reasons why you want to be methodical about it." (Who gets to decide what "the proper way" looks like? It seems like we're having more gatekeeping on top of the original gatekeeping. Not good.)

Joe Murgia

32,437 views • 10 months ago

“You're not entitled to get what you want. I love you. You're entitled to earn what you're willing to go work for. And that's true in our families, in our parenting, in our marriage, in our companies, in society. If we want it, go earn it. If that's positivity, have positivity. I think and I am a positive person. I am jacked. I am excited. Obviously, you can feel my energy through technology here, I hope. Frankly, think positive people just need to get a lot stronger. I really do. I mean, I don't want to call them weak because people hear that differently but it kind of is. Look, if you want that positivity to stick, you’ve got to get tougher. Not sacrifice your love and your care and your empathy, but you got to get tough. And then we have to figure out how to love the people who are cynical because I don't think there's a ton of bad people in the world and I don't think there's a ton of bad people on teams. But I do think there are people who've been burned out. I do think there are people who have been through things in their lives. They've been through things in their company. They're experiencing stuff somewhere else. For whatever reason, they just kind of got run down and cynical and negative, or whatever. Or they're just wired a little different than we are. And I don't to hate on those people. I want to win those people. They don't have to be like me. They don't have to have my energy. But I want those people on my team. I want to love those people. And if eventually they choose that they don't believe in the same things that I believe in, I want to make it really clear and obvious that they don't want to be on this team because we're not about that. You know what I'm saying? I want it to be very easy, obvious, that, ‘Hey I should not be on this team. Because this team is full of very positive people who have great energy and talk to people, not about them.’ And we solve problems. We don't complain. We don't get defensive. We're real. I recognize I'm imperfect and I'm vulnerable to show you that about me. I want to be on that kind of a team. And if there's somebody who doesn’t believe in that stuff, I want to make it really easy for them to say, ‘Look, I don't want to be on this team. I don't wanna live like you guys live. I don't want do what you guys do.’ And then I really hope that that person leaves us and goes and joins our competitor.”

Brian Kight

38,031 views • 1 year ago

This is why RFK Jr. Retired Every Member of ACIP This clip from a 2018 ACIP meeting illustrates exactly why ACIP reform is necessary. ---- "Is there any comment on using this vaccine at the same time with other adjuvanted vaccines?" "We have no data to make a recommendation one way or the other." "Just to sort of put this in context of other vaccines, while preclinical studies were not done using these vaccines simultaneously, our general approach to immunizations is that they should be given... they can be given at the same time in different limbs." "Are adjuvanted, multiple-adjuvanted vaccines used in Europe or other markets?" "Not to my knowledge." "Okay. I think unless there's any further discussion, we will take a vote on this recommendation." "I want to remind everyone to please check your voting whatever machine thing... I don't know what it is. Voting is open." "Thank you very much. So the voting is completed, and it is unanimous to support this recommendation. Thank you all." "Does anybody have any comments they wish to make about their vote?" "So just a slight reservation. I think this is a huge advance and a step forward. I am concerned about that signal, that myocardial infarction signal. I am concerned about the use of this new adjuvant and certainly urge us to continue to look at the postmarketing data carefully. Thank you." "Just a question about that. How soon would we be getting that postmarketing data update here?" "There's two kinds of data. The Vaccine Safety Datalink data will require people to be using the vaccine to develop a substantive database. And, Doctor…do you want to comment on the postmarketing data that FDA is requiring?" "I think for the myocardial infarction study, we’re seeing that the data for likely completion is May 20th, May 31st, 2020. There will also be studies looking at autoimmune diseases as well as herpes zoster. And there will be a pregnancy registry as well. So that’s all included in the postmarketing surveillance." "Thank you." #ACIPreform #ACIP Del Bigtree ICAN - Informed Consent Action Network Aaron Siri

The HighWire

277,928 views • 1 year ago

MSNOW host Luke Russert on the Politico article about Graham Platner: “I don’t see how he can be the nominee for senator in Maine for the Democratic Party.” “Well, I think something that jumped out to me in the article, which I just read, is that the person who made the accusations was very conflicted about coming forward, and primarily because she said she very much supported Platner’s politics and believed in his messaging and didn’t want to hurt him politically, but also felt it necessary to see the full scope of the person, and I think that’s something that is going to have to be wrestled with. If these allegations are true, to this extent, I don’t see how he can be the nominee for senator in Maine for the Democratic Party. I think there’s a lot of people who might look at this out of the gate and say, well, Ken Paxton in Texas is is terrible, and the Republicans are putting him up, and he is someone who has had all sorts of legal issues and infidelity issues, etc. I think what you have here, though, is a pickup opportunity is incredibly important in Maine for the party if they want to get control of the Senate, but also somebody who there is a belief that he may have gotten through the storm on this, but now is looking that it’s significantly worse than what was advertised, and especially for a party that was so intertwined with Me Too, and believing women, it looks very hypocritical if there is not, I think, a real examination of him moving forward.”

Curtis Houck

89,071 views • 7 days ago