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Automate everything except plumbing, and every plumber gets paid like LeBron. Short of super AGI, the humans doing physical work become the bottleneck. travis kalanick is right. But there's a layer beneath the plumber. Atoms runs driverless haul trucks in a Texas quarry. More than two million tons of...

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Gaurab Chakrabarti

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16,130 просмотров • 21 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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.travis kalanick says AI will make human labor even more valuable and in-demand than ever before: "Let's say the entire world - everything in our world - was automated, except for plumbers. You had machines making buildings - you would basically have like a thousand buildings a day." "How valuable would those plumbers be?" "Each and every plumber would be like LeBron. Why? Because plumbing would be the long pole in the tent to progress. You can't get those thousand buildings unless you have a plumber." "And by the way, you'd get so much efficiency everywhere else that you'd need millions of plumbers." "Humans [are going to] become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress - and that progress is going to accelerate and get faster and more robust."
3:15

.travis kalanick says AI will make human labor even more valuable and in-demand than ever before: "Let's say the entire world - everything in our world - was automated, except for plumbers. You had machines making buildings - you would basically have like a thousand buildings a day." "How valuable would those plumbers be?" "Each and every plumber would be like LeBron. Why? Because plumbing would be the long pole in the tent to progress. You can't get those thousand buildings unless you have a plumber." "And by the way, you'd get so much efficiency everywhere else that you'd need millions of plumbers." "Humans [are going to] become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress - and that progress is going to accelerate and get faster and more robust."

TBPN

378,720 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Peter Thiel: Elon is super impressive and unique because he's innovating in the world of atoms. “I think Elon's super impressive because he's done something outside of the IT space. We're in a world that's dominated by IT, by innovation in the world of bits, much less in the world of atoms. And I think that is what makes Elon uniquely charismatic because we do have a sense that it would be good if we were doing a little bit more in atoms and not everything in the world of bits.” This Week in Startups/YouTube, March 16, 2015
0:30

Peter Thiel: Elon is super impressive and unique because he's innovating in the world of atoms. “I think Elon's super impressive because he's done something outside of the IT space. We're in a world that's dominated by IT, by innovation in the world of bits, much less in the world of atoms. And I think that is what makes Elon uniquely charismatic because we do have a sense that it would be good if we were doing a little bit more in atoms and not everything in the world of bits.” This Week in Startups/YouTube, March 16, 2015

ELON CLIPS

118,853 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Uber founder Travis Kalanick just inverted the entire automation panic. Everyone assumes AI eliminates human value. The physics say the opposite. Kalanick: “Let’s say the entire world, everything in our world, was automated except for plumbers. You had machines making buildings. You would basically have like a thousand buildings a day.” The algorithm can design a skyscraper in a millisecond. It cannot connect the pipes. When compute violently accelerates the speed of construction, the unautomated human becomes the ultimate bottleneck. And the bottleneck captures all the margin. Kalanick: “How valuable would those plumbers be? Extremely valuable. Those guys, each and every plumber would be like LeBron. Why? Because plumbing is the long pole in the tent to progress.” If the machine needs a human to finalize physical execution, that human doesn’t get replaced. Their economic value goes exponential. Kalanick: “You got so much efficiency everywhere else that you need millions of plumbers.” The market thinks automation drives human wages to zero. The physics dictate it drives the bottleneck’s wages to infinity. The next decade doesn’t belong to whoever out-computes the machine. It belongs to whoever stands at the exact point where the digital engine meets the physical world. Kalanick: “If we get to this place where autonomous cars are everywhere, if it was a thousand to one, you still probably have, I don’t know, 20 million jobs, 50 million jobs.” The panic over job destruction assumes a static volume of output. When output goes infinite, the system demands more human oversight. Not less. Waymo doesn’t delete the human. It shifts them from driver of one vehicle to director of a thousand. Kalanick: “Until we get super AGI, humans are valuable and they are going to become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress.” You are no longer the engine. You are the grid.
3:04

Uber founder Travis Kalanick just inverted the entire automation panic. Everyone assumes AI eliminates human value. The physics say the opposite. Kalanick: “Let’s say the entire world, everything in our world, was automated except for plumbers. You had machines making buildings. You would basically have like a thousand buildings a day.” The algorithm can design a skyscraper in a millisecond. It cannot connect the pipes. When compute violently accelerates the speed of construction, the unautomated human becomes the ultimate bottleneck. And the bottleneck captures all the margin. Kalanick: “How valuable would those plumbers be? Extremely valuable. Those guys, each and every plumber would be like LeBron. Why? Because plumbing is the long pole in the tent to progress.” If the machine needs a human to finalize physical execution, that human doesn’t get replaced. Their economic value goes exponential. Kalanick: “You got so much efficiency everywhere else that you need millions of plumbers.” The market thinks automation drives human wages to zero. The physics dictate it drives the bottleneck’s wages to infinity. The next decade doesn’t belong to whoever out-computes the machine. It belongs to whoever stands at the exact point where the digital engine meets the physical world. Kalanick: “If we get to this place where autonomous cars are everywhere, if it was a thousand to one, you still probably have, I don’t know, 20 million jobs, 50 million jobs.” The panic over job destruction assumes a static volume of output. When output goes infinite, the system demands more human oversight. Not less. Waymo doesn’t delete the human. It shifts them from driver of one vehicle to director of a thousand. Kalanick: “Until we get super AGI, humans are valuable and they are going to become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress.” You are no longer the engine. You are the grid.

Dustin

411,649 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Richard Feynman on the one idea that explains almost everything around you: 1. heat isn't a substance. it's motion. when something feels hot, its atoms are jiggling fast. when it's cold, they're jiggling slow. that's all temperature is... speed. 2. when a warm cup heats your hand, nothing actually flows into you. the fast atoms just bump the slow ones and speed them up. heat "spreading" is only jiggling passed along by touch. 3. atoms never lose energy. a bouncing ball slows and stops... but the motion doesn't disappear. it leaked into the floor. the ball goes still, the floor gets a little warmer. the motion is still there. just scrambled. 4. hammer a piece of metal long enough and it gets hot. you added no heat. you just jiggled it harder. pounding is heating. 5. a drop of water pulls into a ball because the atoms want partners on every side. the ones at the surface only have them below. so they keep clawing inward, trying to get in. that's what rounds the drop. 6. that same drop is slowly vanishing. atoms at the surface keep breaking free into the air, one by one, until none are left. you're watching them leave. 7. ice, water, and steam are the same atoms at different speeds. slow, and they lock in place like oranges in a crate... ice. faster, and they roll over each other... water. faster still, and they fly apart... steam. 8. pump up a bike tire and the pump gets hot. squeezing the air speeds the atoms up. let the air expand and it cools, because the atoms hit a piston that gives way and lose speed. heat and cold are hiding in a bicycle pump.
7:06

Richard Feynman on the one idea that explains almost everything around you: 1. heat isn't a substance. it's motion. when something feels hot, its atoms are jiggling fast. when it's cold, they're jiggling slow. that's all temperature is... speed. 2. when a warm cup heats your hand, nothing actually flows into you. the fast atoms just bump the slow ones and speed them up. heat "spreading" is only jiggling passed along by touch. 3. atoms never lose energy. a bouncing ball slows and stops... but the motion doesn't disappear. it leaked into the floor. the ball goes still, the floor gets a little warmer. the motion is still there. just scrambled. 4. hammer a piece of metal long enough and it gets hot. you added no heat. you just jiggled it harder. pounding is heating. 5. a drop of water pulls into a ball because the atoms want partners on every side. the ones at the surface only have them below. so they keep clawing inward, trying to get in. that's what rounds the drop. 6. that same drop is slowly vanishing. atoms at the surface keep breaking free into the air, one by one, until none are left. you're watching them leave. 7. ice, water, and steam are the same atoms at different speeds. slow, and they lock in place like oranges in a crate... ice. faster, and they roll over each other... water. faster still, and they fly apart... steam. 8. pump up a bike tire and the pump gets hot. squeezing the air speeds the atoms up. let the air expand and it cools, because the atoms hit a piston that gives way and lose speed. heat and cold are hiding in a bicycle pump.

Naruto

112,570 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

You Are Not In the Universe. You Are the Universe. There is a running joke in modern physics. For decades, scientists have gestured at empty space and declared: there's a field out there that connects everything. Their hands wave at the horizon. Their instruments point at the cosmos. Gregg Braden isn't laughing. Instead, he's redirecting the finger. "Field's not out there. We're the field. 50 trillion cells in the human body. Every one of those cells has about 100 trillion atoms emerging from the field and collapsing into the field." Right now, the atoms that compose your hands, your lungs, your thoughts are winking in and out of existence. You are not a passenger moving through the universe. You are the universe, expressing itself in temporary, biological form. And that changes everything about what you think is possible. Because if your atoms are constantly re-emerging from the field, and you hold the blueprint that tells those atoms how to emerge, then you have far more authority over your physical reality than anyone taught you. "This is why we can heal our bodies almost instantaneously when we know how to access this part of ourselves, because we hold the blueprint that tells those atoms how to express when they come into the body." The mechanism lies in the mirror neurons of the human brain only discovered in 2004. These neurons cannot distinguish between an experience you are having and one you are witnessing. The body doesn't audit the source. It simply responds to the image. Which means imagination is not escapism. It is biology. When you hold a sustained image of yourself fully healed, fully capable, you are issuing instructions. You are laying down a new blueprint. "If you got something you don't like in your body, what you do is you are using the gift of imagination to create a new blueprint for that atom to come into." The question is not whether this power exists. The question is whether you'll stop looking for it out there and recognise it has been here all along.
1:47

You Are Not In the Universe. You Are the Universe. There is a running joke in modern physics. For decades, scientists have gestured at empty space and declared: there's a field out there that connects everything. Their hands wave at the horizon. Their instruments point at the cosmos. Gregg Braden isn't laughing. Instead, he's redirecting the finger. "Field's not out there. We're the field. 50 trillion cells in the human body. Every one of those cells has about 100 trillion atoms emerging from the field and collapsing into the field." Right now, the atoms that compose your hands, your lungs, your thoughts are winking in and out of existence. You are not a passenger moving through the universe. You are the universe, expressing itself in temporary, biological form. And that changes everything about what you think is possible. Because if your atoms are constantly re-emerging from the field, and you hold the blueprint that tells those atoms how to emerge, then you have far more authority over your physical reality than anyone taught you. "This is why we can heal our bodies almost instantaneously when we know how to access this part of ourselves, because we hold the blueprint that tells those atoms how to express when they come into the body." The mechanism lies in the mirror neurons of the human brain only discovered in 2004. These neurons cannot distinguish between an experience you are having and one you are witnessing. The body doesn't audit the source. It simply responds to the image. Which means imagination is not escapism. It is biology. When you hold a sustained image of yourself fully healed, fully capable, you are issuing instructions. You are laying down a new blueprint. "If you got something you don't like in your body, what you do is you are using the gift of imagination to create a new blueprint for that atom to come into." The question is not whether this power exists. The question is whether you'll stop looking for it out there and recognise it has been here all along.

Mateus — eu/acc 🇪🇺

48,352 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

I am a physicist and I'm profoundly opposed to any idea of non-physical explanations that contradict physics. So that's a no-no and really doesn't make sense. However, there are ways in which both emergent properties such as minds and life and so on have an effect. And as you said, also abstractions. Now the fact that the theory of good explanations led to the idea that abstractions are real things was slightly surprising to me. I wasn't expecting the link, at least wasn't expecting it to be so strong as it is. But the thing is, if you think about how to explain events, physical events like a footprint on the moon, how do you explain how that happened? Well, it happened because of human ideas, of science. And human ideas, you could say in this reductionist sense that as you rightly say is the prevailing mode of explanation and the prevailing idea is to look down on other modes of explanation, that those ideas are nothing more than configurations of atoms. So some physicists, some rocket scientists put their brain into certain configurations of atoms and those atoms then acted on other atoms which then ended up making a footprint on the moon. Now what that misses is the explanation of why certain configurations of atoms put footprints on the moon while others, the overwhelming majority of configurations that human brains, even human brains have been put into in history, do not have that effect. And it's because there's a certain type of information. And this information can't in my view be reduced to statements about atoms because if you think about what that information does, it is in brains but the same information then gets transferred into, let's say, sound waves in air and then it gets transferred into ink on paper and then it gets transferred into magnetic domains inside a computer which then control a machine that instantiates those ideas in bits of steel and silicon and so on and so on. There's an immense chain of instantiations of the same information. And it's only special kinds of information that have this property that they are preserved and instantiated in successive physical modes. So what is being transmitted, what is having the causal effect is not the atoms but the fact that the atoms instantiate certain kinds of information and not other kinds. So therefore it is the information that is having the causal effect. If a particular instantiation of that information were damaged, then processes would come along to fix it, whether or not they could fix the physical instantiation. For example, if the computer goes wrong, then we don't use the corrupted information. We go back and rescue the information from a different computer and we throw away the atoms that at one point instantiated it. So the information causes itself to remain in existence. Now I think there's no way out of that mode of explanation. And if explanation is going to be the fundamental thing about our criterion, for example, about what is or isn't real, then we have to say that information and this particular kind which we call knowledge is real and really does cause things. David Deutsch
6:05

I am a physicist and I'm profoundly opposed to any idea of non-physical explanations that contradict physics. So that's a no-no and really doesn't make sense. However, there are ways in which both emergent properties such as minds and life and so on have an effect. And as you said, also abstractions. Now the fact that the theory of good explanations led to the idea that abstractions are real things was slightly surprising to me. I wasn't expecting the link, at least wasn't expecting it to be so strong as it is. But the thing is, if you think about how to explain events, physical events like a footprint on the moon, how do you explain how that happened? Well, it happened because of human ideas, of science. And human ideas, you could say in this reductionist sense that as you rightly say is the prevailing mode of explanation and the prevailing idea is to look down on other modes of explanation, that those ideas are nothing more than configurations of atoms. So some physicists, some rocket scientists put their brain into certain configurations of atoms and those atoms then acted on other atoms which then ended up making a footprint on the moon. Now what that misses is the explanation of why certain configurations of atoms put footprints on the moon while others, the overwhelming majority of configurations that human brains, even human brains have been put into in history, do not have that effect. And it's because there's a certain type of information. And this information can't in my view be reduced to statements about atoms because if you think about what that information does, it is in brains but the same information then gets transferred into, let's say, sound waves in air and then it gets transferred into ink on paper and then it gets transferred into magnetic domains inside a computer which then control a machine that instantiates those ideas in bits of steel and silicon and so on and so on. There's an immense chain of instantiations of the same information. And it's only special kinds of information that have this property that they are preserved and instantiated in successive physical modes. So what is being transmitted, what is having the causal effect is not the atoms but the fact that the atoms instantiate certain kinds of information and not other kinds. So therefore it is the information that is having the causal effect. If a particular instantiation of that information were damaged, then processes would come along to fix it, whether or not they could fix the physical instantiation. For example, if the computer goes wrong, then we don't use the corrupted information. We go back and rescue the information from a different computer and we throw away the atoms that at one point instantiated it. So the information causes itself to remain in existence. Now I think there's no way out of that mode of explanation. And if explanation is going to be the fundamental thing about our criterion, for example, about what is or isn't real, then we have to say that information and this particular kind which we call knowledge is real and really does cause things. David Deutsch

Deutsch Explains

45,735 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Donald Trump, This message is addressed directly to you. Where in the world are you right now? What are you doing at this very moment? How is it possible that the United States military, and a country that claims to be the leader of the free world, can be so passive, ineffective, and inactive in the face of terrorists who are actively destroying the only true ally of the United States in the Middle East? You know better than anyone else that the Iranian people—and only the Iranian people— are the genuine, honest, and unconditional allies of the American people and the people of Israel. Not the regime ruling Iran, but a nation that has for decades been a victim of the very same terrorism that is now setting the region on fire. How can you remain calm, make promises, and take no real action, while witnessing such widespread killing, brutality, and destruction carried out by enemies and terrorists acting directly against your allies? How can anyone believe that the Islamic Republic is killing the people of Iran so openly and brutally—while the free world simply watches? Silence and delay in the face of these crimes are no longer justifiable. President Donald J. Trump
0:56

Donald Trump, This message is addressed directly to you. Where in the world are you right now? What are you doing at this very moment? How is it possible that the United States military, and a country that claims to be the leader of the free world, can be so passive, ineffective, and inactive in the face of terrorists who are actively destroying the only true ally of the United States in the Middle East? You know better than anyone else that the Iranian people—and only the Iranian people— are the genuine, honest, and unconditional allies of the American people and the people of Israel. Not the regime ruling Iran, but a nation that has for decades been a victim of the very same terrorism that is now setting the region on fire. How can you remain calm, make promises, and take no real action, while witnessing such widespread killing, brutality, and destruction carried out by enemies and terrorists acting directly against your allies? How can anyone believe that the Islamic Republic is killing the people of Iran so openly and brutally—while the free world simply watches? Silence and delay in the face of these crimes are no longer justifiable. President Donald J. Trump

SHAW_MEDIA

40,728 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Jimmy Kimmel tried to clean up his comments about Markwayne Mullin being a former plumber, but he tried to have it both ways. First he doubled down ignoring Mullin's management experience with his plumbing company "[Trump's] apple polishers are all in a tizzy because I made light of the fact that his new head of Homeland Security, Markwayne Mullin, before he was a senator, was a plumber. And now he's the head of Homeland Security. Which is not necessarily the kind of resume you might hope for, for the person in charge of protecting us from terrorism" Later, he insists it has nothing to do with plumbers and is just about his ideas, "Let me make this very clear. I'm not upset that the head of Homeland Security used to be a plumber. I'm upset that he isn't still a plumber, okay?" Then why even mention the plumber aspect?
2:24

Jimmy Kimmel tried to clean up his comments about Markwayne Mullin being a former plumber, but he tried to have it both ways. First he doubled down ignoring Mullin's management experience with his plumbing company "[Trump's] apple polishers are all in a tizzy because I made light of the fact that his new head of Homeland Security, Markwayne Mullin, before he was a senator, was a plumber. And now he's the head of Homeland Security. Which is not necessarily the kind of resume you might hope for, for the person in charge of protecting us from terrorism" Later, he insists it has nothing to do with plumbers and is just about his ideas, "Let me make this very clear. I'm not upset that the head of Homeland Security used to be a plumber. I'm upset that he isn't still a plumber, okay?" Then why even mention the plumber aspect?

Alex Christy

900,276 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

your agent has thirty tools. it calls two of them. the other twenty eight are not sitting idle somewhere. they are in the request, every request, and they are doing damage in two places at once. first the obvious one. tool schemas go into the prompt, and a schema is not a name. it is a description, a parameter list, types, required fields, an example. thirty of those is a few thousand tokens that ship with every single call, including the ones where the agent just says thanks and stops. you are paying rent on twenty eight tools that have never fired. second, and this is the one that costs more. when the request says cancel the order, the model picks by matching against everything available. four of your tools are plausible: cancel_order, refund_order, update_order, void_order. it is choosing among them based on the descriptions you wrote, one afternoon, months ago. every tool you add is another candidate in that shortlist. the twenty eight you never call are not neutral. they are noise in the one decision that determines whether the run works. > why it grows without anyone deciding to nobody adds thirty tools on purpose. you add one for a task, it works, it stays. six months later the registry is a catalogue and no one has ever removed anything, because removing a tool feels risky and adding one feels free. and there is no feedback telling you otherwise. the unused ones never error. they never appear in a failing trace. they are invisible in exactly the way that lets them accumulate. > what to actually do count calls per tool over the last thousand runs. this is one group-by and it usually shocks people. the ones at zero are pure cost. ship the tools the task needs, not the whole registry. a research phase does not need deploy. a writing phase does not need the database. swap the set between phases instead of loading everything up front. same agent, different tools, depending on where the run is. and when two tools could both plausibly answer the same request, that is not redundancy you can ignore. it is a coin flip you built into the system. the twenty eight tools are not unused. they are used every time, by the part of the run you cannot see.
0:52

your agent has thirty tools. it calls two of them. the other twenty eight are not sitting idle somewhere. they are in the request, every request, and they are doing damage in two places at once. first the obvious one. tool schemas go into the prompt, and a schema is not a name. it is a description, a parameter list, types, required fields, an example. thirty of those is a few thousand tokens that ship with every single call, including the ones where the agent just says thanks and stops. you are paying rent on twenty eight tools that have never fired. second, and this is the one that costs more. when the request says cancel the order, the model picks by matching against everything available. four of your tools are plausible: cancel_order, refund_order, update_order, void_order. it is choosing among them based on the descriptions you wrote, one afternoon, months ago. every tool you add is another candidate in that shortlist. the twenty eight you never call are not neutral. they are noise in the one decision that determines whether the run works. > why it grows without anyone deciding to nobody adds thirty tools on purpose. you add one for a task, it works, it stays. six months later the registry is a catalogue and no one has ever removed anything, because removing a tool feels risky and adding one feels free. and there is no feedback telling you otherwise. the unused ones never error. they never appear in a failing trace. they are invisible in exactly the way that lets them accumulate. > what to actually do count calls per tool over the last thousand runs. this is one group-by and it usually shocks people. the ones at zero are pure cost. ship the tools the task needs, not the whole registry. a research phase does not need deploy. a writing phase does not need the database. swap the set between phases instead of loading everything up front. same agent, different tools, depending on where the run is. and when two tools could both plausibly answer the same request, that is not redundancy you can ignore. it is a coin flip you built into the system. the twenty eight tools are not unused. they are used every time, by the part of the run you cannot see.

Hanako

24,656 просмотров • 16 дней назад

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang just gave us a glimpse into the future of AI, and it's far bigger than text and images. He asked: "If you can understand worlds, is it possible that you understand proteins and chemicals that have structure?” This is the quiet revolution happening in AI right now. We're moving from an AI that understands human language to an AI that understands the language of nature itself. The "letters" are atoms. The "words" are molecules. The "sentences" are the complex structures of life, networks, and reality. The same foundational models that generate video are now being used to: *Decode proteins to fight disease *Design new materials at the atomic level *Simulate complex systems in quantum computing These were once the domain of supercomputers and Nobel laureates. Now, they're becoming solvable problems for a new generation of startups. AI is transitioning from a tool for communication to a tool for creation and discovery in the physical world. This is where the next wave of generational companies will be built. The "hard-to-solve" problems are now within reach.
2:14

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang just gave us a glimpse into the future of AI, and it's far bigger than text and images. He asked: "If you can understand worlds, is it possible that you understand proteins and chemicals that have structure?” This is the quiet revolution happening in AI right now. We're moving from an AI that understands human language to an AI that understands the language of nature itself. The "letters" are atoms. The "words" are molecules. The "sentences" are the complex structures of life, networks, and reality. The same foundational models that generate video are now being used to: *Decode proteins to fight disease *Design new materials at the atomic level *Simulate complex systems in quantum computing These were once the domain of supercomputers and Nobel laureates. Now, they're becoming solvable problems for a new generation of startups. AI is transitioning from a tool for communication to a tool for creation and discovery in the physical world. This is where the next wave of generational companies will be built. The "hard-to-solve" problems are now within reach.

Konstantine Buhler

13,014 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

Anthropic's Sholto Douglas describes the concept of a software-only singularity: "It's one where the models are far better at digital tasks than they are at physical ones. And so we see rapid change in the digital world with models, and relatively little change in the physical world. So information and software changes dramatically, and this ends up having some pretty weird effects." "It means that maybe like the drivers of what have been the last couple decades of progress in the economy turn around." "And I think we'll see that flow on into the physical world but at a delay. So you get much better at doing chip design. You get much better at training AI models. AI models get a lot faster. Chips get a lot better. The general economy gets a lot more efficient because the sort of information and message parsing that is much of the rest of the economy ends up becoming much more efficient." "But at the same time you don't yet have robots providing limitless physical abundance. Science probably progresses really fast up to the degree that you need interaction with labs or larger particle colliders or something like this. And then you go, 'Okay well I need to build the robots.'"
3:13

Anthropic's Sholto Douglas describes the concept of a software-only singularity: "It's one where the models are far better at digital tasks than they are at physical ones. And so we see rapid change in the digital world with models, and relatively little change in the physical world. So information and software changes dramatically, and this ends up having some pretty weird effects." "It means that maybe like the drivers of what have been the last couple decades of progress in the economy turn around." "And I think we'll see that flow on into the physical world but at a delay. So you get much better at doing chip design. You get much better at training AI models. AI models get a lot faster. Chips get a lot better. The general economy gets a lot more efficient because the sort of information and message parsing that is much of the rest of the economy ends up becoming much more efficient." "But at the same time you don't yet have robots providing limitless physical abundance. Science probably progresses really fast up to the degree that you need interaction with labs or larger particle colliders or something like this. And then you go, 'Okay well I need to build the robots.'"

TBPN

208,090 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

"In a fantasy or science fiction story, you can get away with one big lie. You can include one thing that's convenient for the author in order to make the plot work. In Children of Time, the question is 'what if a species of a spider developed a society, civilization, and technology. But the big lie is literally that there is a nanovirus is assisting the uplift of the spiders, and the lie is the amount of time that'll take. Because of the nanovirus, that happens in tens of thousands of years rather than hundreds of millions of years, which you would need by evolution. People need to read a book and think 'that's a thing that could happen.' It gives your book a weight and gravity that it would not have if it was magic talking spiders. So in order to support your One Big Lie, everything else needs to be true." — Adrian Tchaikovsky
0:58

"In a fantasy or science fiction story, you can get away with one big lie. You can include one thing that's convenient for the author in order to make the plot work. In Children of Time, the question is 'what if a species of a spider developed a society, civilization, and technology. But the big lie is literally that there is a nanovirus is assisting the uplift of the spiders, and the lie is the amount of time that'll take. Because of the nanovirus, that happens in tens of thousands of years rather than hundreds of millions of years, which you would need by evolution. People need to read a book and think 'that's a thing that could happen.' It gives your book a weight and gravity that it would not have if it was magic talking spiders. So in order to support your One Big Lie, everything else needs to be true." — Adrian Tchaikovsky

David Perell

66,154 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

.David Deutsch: "What's currently called AI and AGI are not only different from each other, they are very close to being the exact opposites of each other. The reason is that an AI, current AI is like an AI that diagnoses diseases or an AI that plays chess or an AI that controls a huge factory. Those things have objective functions, that is they have a function that they are designed to maximize and that is why they are used in those particular applications. Or in military terms, you could say the objective is to hit the target. You might say the objective is to hit the target unless some thing specified, but it's a specified thing comes up in which case don't hit the target and so on. This is, as I said, almost the opposite of what humans do when humans think. For a start, the AI has to be obedient, that is it has to actually do the things it is programmed to do, whereas a human is fundamentally disobedient, especially when being creative. When a human plays chess, they are performing a completely different kind of computation. They don't do the same things, they don't investigate the same possibilities that the artificial chess playing machine does, because the artificial one is capable of looking at billions and billions of possibilities, whereas the human can only look at hundreds or something. They are doing something completely different. Another difference is that the human can explain, can write a book later, having become world champion, can write a book saying how I did it, as the computer program that beats the world champion can write no such book, because it has no idea how it did it. It was just following a program. I was doing this and that and that and none of that is illuminating. Also, third thing, the chess player can decide I don't want to play chess anymore, from now on I will play Go or from now on I will play tennis. If commanded to play chess, the functionality will deteriorate completely. Those things are different. What we want in an AGI is that it behaves in a way that cannot be specified in advance, because if you specified it, you would already have the answer. The AGI program has to give unexpected answers, answers to questions we didn't even know how to ask."
3:11

.David Deutsch: "What's currently called AI and AGI are not only different from each other, they are very close to being the exact opposites of each other. The reason is that an AI, current AI is like an AI that diagnoses diseases or an AI that plays chess or an AI that controls a huge factory. Those things have objective functions, that is they have a function that they are designed to maximize and that is why they are used in those particular applications. Or in military terms, you could say the objective is to hit the target. You might say the objective is to hit the target unless some thing specified, but it's a specified thing comes up in which case don't hit the target and so on. This is, as I said, almost the opposite of what humans do when humans think. For a start, the AI has to be obedient, that is it has to actually do the things it is programmed to do, whereas a human is fundamentally disobedient, especially when being creative. When a human plays chess, they are performing a completely different kind of computation. They don't do the same things, they don't investigate the same possibilities that the artificial chess playing machine does, because the artificial one is capable of looking at billions and billions of possibilities, whereas the human can only look at hundreds or something. They are doing something completely different. Another difference is that the human can explain, can write a book later, having become world champion, can write a book saying how I did it, as the computer program that beats the world champion can write no such book, because it has no idea how it did it. It was just following a program. I was doing this and that and that and none of that is illuminating. Also, third thing, the chess player can decide I don't want to play chess anymore, from now on I will play Go or from now on I will play tennis. If commanded to play chess, the functionality will deteriorate completely. Those things are different. What we want in an AGI is that it behaves in a way that cannot be specified in advance, because if you specified it, you would already have the answer. The AGI program has to give unexpected answers, answers to questions we didn't even know how to ask."

Deutsch Explains

72,455 просмотров • 1 год назад

On Bloomberg last night, I was asked why Amazon drives more than a third of U.S. e-commerce. It is not because of their storefront. It is not because of their payments. It is not even because of product selection. It is because consumers trust their deliveries. That trust is built on physical infrastructure at scale with intelligence layered on top. And that is what Stord is building for every independent merchant. The most defensible companies in the world combine software intelligence with physical execution. Today, 9 of the 10 largest U.S. companies by revenue operate physical networks at scale. Software alone cannot replicate the outcomes created when you control the movement of physical atoms. That is the physical intelligence layer for commerce. And that is what Stord Labs is built to advance. Deploying AI and robotics against real operational complexity, in the real world, across a vertically integrated network operating at scale. Bloomberg TV
5:51

On Bloomberg last night, I was asked why Amazon drives more than a third of U.S. e-commerce. It is not because of their storefront. It is not because of their payments. It is not even because of product selection. It is because consumers trust their deliveries. That trust is built on physical infrastructure at scale with intelligence layered on top. And that is what Stord is building for every independent merchant. The most defensible companies in the world combine software intelligence with physical execution. Today, 9 of the 10 largest U.S. companies by revenue operate physical networks at scale. Software alone cannot replicate the outcomes created when you control the movement of physical atoms. That is the physical intelligence layer for commerce. And that is what Stord Labs is built to advance. Deploying AI and robotics against real operational complexity, in the real world, across a vertically integrated network operating at scale. Bloomberg TV

Sean Henry

1,275,331 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Elon Musk just told you the job is dying. Most people heard a prediction. A few heard a prison door opening. Musk: “In less than 20 years, working at all will be optional.” That is not a policy suggestion. That is a countdown. For three hundred years, the human blueprint has been identical. You are born. You move to the city. You rent a box near the office. You trade your body and your hours for the right to exist. You do this until you are old. Then you stop. Then you die. The entire model runs on one assumption. That human labor is the only engine. AI and robotics delete that assumption. When the machine handles production at a scale no human crew can match, the forced migration to the city evaporates. The commute evaporates. The cubicle evaporates. The alarm clock that owns your nervous system for forty years evaporates. Musk: “I think it won’t be the case that you have to be in a city for a job.” The city was never a choice. It was a requirement disguised as ambition. You moved to the noise and the concrete and the $4,000 rent because the paycheck lived there. Remove the paycheck from the equation and the geography changes overnight. You can live in the mountains. On the coast. In the silence of a town most people have never heard of. You can wake up to nothing but trees and cold air and the complete absence of anyone else’s schedule. That is not a fantasy. That is the math resolving. But here is where most people break. They hear “work is optional” and they see emptiness. A species with nothing to do. Billions of people staring at screens until their minds dissolve. That fear tells you everything about what the system has already done to us. We confused labor with purpose. The grind with meaning. The paycheck with proof that we matter. Musk: “In the same way that you could grow your own vegetables in your garden.” The analogy is precise. You do not grow tomatoes because the economy demands it. You grow them because something in you wants to build a thing with your hands and watch it come alive. That instinct does not disappear when the job does. It gets unleashed. The artist who spent twenty years doing accounting finally paints. The engineer who always wanted to build something of her own finally builds it. The kid in a small town who could never afford to take the risk finally takes it. Work does not vanish. Forced work vanishes. What replaces it is creation without a gun to your head. This is the part that keeps me up at night. We are standing at the edge of the largest liberation in human history. And the loudest voices in the room are begging to stay in the cell. They want the commute. They want the boss. They want the structure that tells them when to eat and when to sleep and when they are allowed to think about their own life. Because freedom without a template is terrifying. The next twenty years will not test our technology. The technology is already ahead of schedule. They will test whether the species can handle what it has been asking for since the beginning of civilization. Time. Space. Silence. And the unbearable weight of choosing what your life actually means when no one is forcing the answer. That is not a prediction. That is the final exam. And nobody is ready.
1:46

Elon Musk just told you the job is dying. Most people heard a prediction. A few heard a prison door opening. Musk: “In less than 20 years, working at all will be optional.” That is not a policy suggestion. That is a countdown. For three hundred years, the human blueprint has been identical. You are born. You move to the city. You rent a box near the office. You trade your body and your hours for the right to exist. You do this until you are old. Then you stop. Then you die. The entire model runs on one assumption. That human labor is the only engine. AI and robotics delete that assumption. When the machine handles production at a scale no human crew can match, the forced migration to the city evaporates. The commute evaporates. The cubicle evaporates. The alarm clock that owns your nervous system for forty years evaporates. Musk: “I think it won’t be the case that you have to be in a city for a job.” The city was never a choice. It was a requirement disguised as ambition. You moved to the noise and the concrete and the $4,000 rent because the paycheck lived there. Remove the paycheck from the equation and the geography changes overnight. You can live in the mountains. On the coast. In the silence of a town most people have never heard of. You can wake up to nothing but trees and cold air and the complete absence of anyone else’s schedule. That is not a fantasy. That is the math resolving. But here is where most people break. They hear “work is optional” and they see emptiness. A species with nothing to do. Billions of people staring at screens until their minds dissolve. That fear tells you everything about what the system has already done to us. We confused labor with purpose. The grind with meaning. The paycheck with proof that we matter. Musk: “In the same way that you could grow your own vegetables in your garden.” The analogy is precise. You do not grow tomatoes because the economy demands it. You grow them because something in you wants to build a thing with your hands and watch it come alive. That instinct does not disappear when the job does. It gets unleashed. The artist who spent twenty years doing accounting finally paints. The engineer who always wanted to build something of her own finally builds it. The kid in a small town who could never afford to take the risk finally takes it. Work does not vanish. Forced work vanishes. What replaces it is creation without a gun to your head. This is the part that keeps me up at night. We are standing at the edge of the largest liberation in human history. And the loudest voices in the room are begging to stay in the cell. They want the commute. They want the boss. They want the structure that tells them when to eat and when to sleep and when they are allowed to think about their own life. Because freedom without a template is terrifying. The next twenty years will not test our technology. The technology is already ahead of schedule. They will test whether the species can handle what it has been asking for since the beginning of civilization. Time. Space. Silence. And the unbearable weight of choosing what your life actually means when no one is forcing the answer. That is not a prediction. That is the final exam. And nobody is ready.

Dustin

111,803 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

☝️“In one of the US laws that explicitly mentions Russia, the stated goal is to "democratize" the Russian Federation. Can you imagine us setting a goal in our own domestic legislation to "democratize" the United States? You know, that is at least impolite. But in principle, we could do it, and there are reasons for that. Everyone is well aware that twice in US history, a president has come to power who was elected by a majority of electors but had a minority of voters behind him. Is that democratic? No. Democracy is the power of the people, the power of the majority. How is it possible that a person is elected to the highest office in the state by a minority of voters? There is such a problem in the US Constitution. But we are not demanding that you change your Constitution, are we?” - President Putin.
1:00

☝️“In one of the US laws that explicitly mentions Russia, the stated goal is to "democratize" the Russian Federation. Can you imagine us setting a goal in our own domestic legislation to "democratize" the United States? You know, that is at least impolite. But in principle, we could do it, and there are reasons for that. Everyone is well aware that twice in US history, a president has come to power who was elected by a majority of electors but had a minority of voters behind him. Is that democratic? No. Democracy is the power of the people, the power of the majority. How is it possible that a person is elected to the highest office in the state by a minority of voters? There is such a problem in the US Constitution. But we are not demanding that you change your Constitution, are we?” - President Putin.

🇷🇺Russia is not Enemy

249,262 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

THE SUN US OUR FOOD The Sun is Electric and the Earth is Magnetic. We are Electromagnetic beings. Learn how to operate in this realm. The fundamental truth is that you are the light you are seeking. You are already enlightened, as your biological reality is that you are a being of light, down to your DNA, your cells, and the trillions of biophotons that permeate your entire being. Even your bones, the densest part of your physical being, are piezoelectric crystalline structures that make electricity (light) when they are compressed. And this light that powers you is the same light that powers the Sun and the Stars, the lightning and the lightning bugs, and the Cosmos in its entirety. We are electromagnetic beings bathed in an electrically connected reality. You are vast. You contain multitudes. What has been obstructing that knowing and being is just a story; distorted waves in space that can be tuned back to their underlying harmonious perfection. Beneath the noise in the signal and stories of victimhood and struggle, you are simply one with the Unified Field, the Cosmos Itself - YOU are the UNIVERSE. And from that perspective everything is possible. ✨🙌🏾💫 © The Path to Enlightenment
1:22

THE SUN US OUR FOOD The Sun is Electric and the Earth is Magnetic. We are Electromagnetic beings. Learn how to operate in this realm. The fundamental truth is that you are the light you are seeking. You are already enlightened, as your biological reality is that you are a being of light, down to your DNA, your cells, and the trillions of biophotons that permeate your entire being. Even your bones, the densest part of your physical being, are piezoelectric crystalline structures that make electricity (light) when they are compressed. And this light that powers you is the same light that powers the Sun and the Stars, the lightning and the lightning bugs, and the Cosmos in its entirety. We are electromagnetic beings bathed in an electrically connected reality. You are vast. You contain multitudes. What has been obstructing that knowing and being is just a story; distorted waves in space that can be tuned back to their underlying harmonious perfection. Beneath the noise in the signal and stories of victimhood and struggle, you are simply one with the Unified Field, the Cosmos Itself - YOU are the UNIVERSE. And from that perspective everything is possible. ✨🙌🏾💫 © The Path to Enlightenment

🧬Maxpein🧬

100,247 просмотров • 1 год назад

The aim, every business cycle, is to build more intelligence... more GDP. 1. Population is the raw compute, the nodes in the network. 2. Productivity is the intelligence each of those nodes generates. 3. Debt is the energy you pump in when the first two stop carrying the load. When the first two are firing, the economy compounds. When they stall, debt takes over, and the debasement that follows is what holds the whole thing together. That's most of the developed world since 2008. In a debasing economy capital flows almost entirely to two places... technology and crypto. They're the only things that still scale economic intelligence, so they compound faster than everything around them. Real Vision
2:19

The aim, every business cycle, is to build more intelligence... more GDP. 1. Population is the raw compute, the nodes in the network. 2. Productivity is the intelligence each of those nodes generates. 3. Debt is the energy you pump in when the first two stop carrying the load. When the first two are firing, the economy compounds. When they stall, debt takes over, and the debasement that follows is what holds the whole thing together. That's most of the developed world since 2008. In a debasing economy capital flows almost entirely to two places... technology and crypto. They're the only things that still scale economic intelligence, so they compound faster than everything around them. Real Vision

Raoul Pal

61,254 просмотров • 13 дней назад

The creator of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) put a number on the AI build that should stop every infra investor cold. A cluster of a million GPUs runs at roughly 10-20% utilization (Save this). Kim Jung-ho spent thirty years building what feeds the GPU, and his claim is that the GPU is barely working. Here is what is actually happening. Every time a model generates output, the data has to be read out of memory, computed, and written back. The read and the write swallow almost the entire cycle. While that data moves, the GPU does nothing. It sits there, fully powered, fully paid for, waiting. By Kim's estimate the memory is doing only about 30 percent of the work it needs to do. The processor idles the rest. So a million installed GPUs run at 10 to 20 percent. You are not compute constrained. You are memory constrained, and the expensive part is standing around. Adding more GPUs does not fix this. It gives you more processors starving for the same data. Here is the part that decides the next decade. Memory can grow. When a cell cannot shrink any further, you stack it into a high-rise, layer on layer. A GPU cannot be stacked. It runs too hot and needs a cooler bolted to its back, so the one move that rescues memory is closed to the processor. The thing that can keep stacking compounds. The thing that cannot plateaus. The marginal dollar in an AI build now buys more by fixing the memory path than by bolting on another idle GPU. Which is why the companies that control memory bandwidth and supply are not suppliers to the AI trade. They are the AI trade.
0:50

The creator of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) put a number on the AI build that should stop every infra investor cold. A cluster of a million GPUs runs at roughly 10-20% utilization (Save this). Kim Jung-ho spent thirty years building what feeds the GPU, and his claim is that the GPU is barely working. Here is what is actually happening. Every time a model generates output, the data has to be read out of memory, computed, and written back. The read and the write swallow almost the entire cycle. While that data moves, the GPU does nothing. It sits there, fully powered, fully paid for, waiting. By Kim's estimate the memory is doing only about 30 percent of the work it needs to do. The processor idles the rest. So a million installed GPUs run at 10 to 20 percent. You are not compute constrained. You are memory constrained, and the expensive part is standing around. Adding more GPUs does not fix this. It gives you more processors starving for the same data. Here is the part that decides the next decade. Memory can grow. When a cell cannot shrink any further, you stack it into a high-rise, layer on layer. A GPU cannot be stacked. It runs too hot and needs a cooler bolted to its back, so the one move that rescues memory is closed to the processor. The thing that can keep stacking compounds. The thing that cannot plateaus. The marginal dollar in an AI build now buys more by fixing the memory path than by bolting on another idle GPU. Which is why the companies that control memory bandwidth and supply are not suppliers to the AI trade. They are the AI trade.

Fireside Alpha

38,370 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I've become a missionary with one message. Every time I meet a young person, the same words: have children, get married, build a family. I did not decide on this calling. It overtook me. And it overtook me for a single reason. I had no idea. I genuinely did not understand how much joy, how much meaning, how much sheer beauty pours out of a child until I was holding one of my own and felt the floor of my life drop into something deeper than I knew was there. I grew up white, affluent, secular, comfortable, and insulated. That world does not put babies in front of you. None of my friends were starting families. Out of my whole circle, almost no one has a big one. We were not formed by the presence of children. We were formed by their absence, by the strange quiet of homes built for two careers and no cradle. And a person believes what his world shows him. So we believed. What we believed was a lie. It is a lie with an author, and that the author is the enemy of joy himself. It is the gospel of the world, and its commandment is wait. Wait until you are older. Wait until the career is built and the savings are stacked and the twenties are properly spent. Enjoy your freedom. You are not ready. It does not arrive sounding like temptation. It arrives sounding like wisdom, like prudence, like the responsible thing, and that is exactly why it works. The most effective lies are the ones that wear the face of virtue. And the maddening thing is that it collapses from every angle at once. It is not rooted in biology, because the body is made for this work precisely in the years we are told to postpone it. The flesh keeps a calendar the culture pretends not to see. And it is not rooted in theology either. You will not find this deferral anywhere in the Christian imagination, in any of the fathers, in any of the scriptures. So choose whatever lens you like. Take the cold secular measure or the ancient sacred one. By either light the counsel is rotten. It is bad for the body and bad for the soul and bad for the society downstream of both. This is why I have come to see it as one of the central tragedies of my generation. Every age carries its own wound. The Great Depression was a depression of bread, a scarcity in the world of matter, hunger you could measure. Ours is a depression of a different order. It is a famine of the spirit in the middle of abundance. We have more than any people who ever lived and we are starving in a way our ancestors would not recognize, because the thing we are refusing cannot be bought and cannot be banked. The ones most made to give and receive this love are quietly declining it. They are walking away from the one inheritance that actually compounds, and the cruelest part is that they do not feel the loss as loss. You cannot grieve what you were taught not to want. That is the deepest cut of it. The lie does not only steal the thing. It steals the capacity to know the thing was stolen. A man can spend his whole life on the far side of a door he never knew was a door, mistaking the wall for the edge of the world. Because this beauty is not ordinary beauty. It is not the pleasure of a good meal or a clear morning. It is participation in something that comes down from above, the same generative love that spoke everything out of nothing and called it good. To make a person, to be undone and remade by loving that person more than your own life, is to be drawn for a moment inside the very act that holds the cosmos together. A child does not merely add to your life. A child reorders the soul. It teaches you what you are by asking everything of you, and you discover, kneeling there exhausted at three in the morning, that you had a capacity for self gift you never suspected, a depth in yourself you had no other way to reach. In the Gospel of John, on the last night, Jesus prays, these things I have spoken to you that my joy may be in you, and that your joy may be complete. And I have come to understand why family is the road into that fullness, why it is not one path among many but the one most fitted to the shape of the promise. Consider who is praying. Christ does not come to us as a lone figure dropped out of the sky. He comes out of a family older than the world, the eternal communion of Father and Son, the love between them so total and so alive that theologians dared to call it a third person. Before there was anything, there was a family. The deepest fact about reality is not a force or a law or a void. It is a household. It is begetting and being begotten, giving and receiving, a Father who is only a Father because there is a Son. So when Jesus speaks of joy made complete, he is not pointing away from family toward something higher. He is pointing toward the very thing he came from, the life he has known from eternity and came to share. His joy is the joy of belonging utterly to a Father and pouring himself out for those he loves. When you marry, when you bring a child into the world, when you wear yourself down in the small unseen labors of a home, you are not stepping outside that divine life. You are stepping into a small image of it. Your family is a created echo of an uncreated one. The love you give your child rhymes with the love the Father has for the Son. The exhaustion, the tenderness, the way a parent would tear the sky open to protect a sleeping infant, all of it is the heavens pressed faintly into flesh, the eternal household leaving its fingerprint on yours. That is why the joy is not merely added to family but completed in it. We were made in the image of a God who is, at his very root, relation and gift and generation. To found a family is to do the most Godlike thing a creature can do, to participate from below in the begetting that God does from all eternity. Your home becomes a window. Through it, dimly and imperfectly, you glimpse the country you came from and are going to. And now a word for the young people reading this, the ones who do not yet have children. I want to tell you what it is like from where I stand. When I am out somewhere, a restaurant, anywhere, and a large family comes through the door, the noise and the chaos and the small bodies of them, something happens in me on two levels at once. The first is joy. A pure gladness at the sight, the way you feel watching something good and alive. But underneath it, almost in the same instant, a sadness reaches up and takes hold of my heart. Because I know now, at my age, after my own years of waiting, that I will never have that. I will never know the particular fruit of a family that large, the fullness of that table, the weight of all those lives gathered under one roof. The door to it has quietly closed, and I felt it close. And I am telling you plainly, because I love you and have no reason to lie to you: you will feel this too. You will. The day will come when you see what you passed up, and you will recognize the ache for what it is, and it will be too late to answer it. So please, learn from a man who got it wrong. Let my regret be worth something by becoming your wisdom. Do not wait yourself into a grief you cannot undo. Choose now, while the door is open, so that you may step into a joy that does not end.
8:26

I've become a missionary with one message. Every time I meet a young person, the same words: have children, get married, build a family. I did not decide on this calling. It overtook me. And it overtook me for a single reason. I had no idea. I genuinely did not understand how much joy, how much meaning, how much sheer beauty pours out of a child until I was holding one of my own and felt the floor of my life drop into something deeper than I knew was there. I grew up white, affluent, secular, comfortable, and insulated. That world does not put babies in front of you. None of my friends were starting families. Out of my whole circle, almost no one has a big one. We were not formed by the presence of children. We were formed by their absence, by the strange quiet of homes built for two careers and no cradle. And a person believes what his world shows him. So we believed. What we believed was a lie. It is a lie with an author, and that the author is the enemy of joy himself. It is the gospel of the world, and its commandment is wait. Wait until you are older. Wait until the career is built and the savings are stacked and the twenties are properly spent. Enjoy your freedom. You are not ready. It does not arrive sounding like temptation. It arrives sounding like wisdom, like prudence, like the responsible thing, and that is exactly why it works. The most effective lies are the ones that wear the face of virtue. And the maddening thing is that it collapses from every angle at once. It is not rooted in biology, because the body is made for this work precisely in the years we are told to postpone it. The flesh keeps a calendar the culture pretends not to see. And it is not rooted in theology either. You will not find this deferral anywhere in the Christian imagination, in any of the fathers, in any of the scriptures. So choose whatever lens you like. Take the cold secular measure or the ancient sacred one. By either light the counsel is rotten. It is bad for the body and bad for the soul and bad for the society downstream of both. This is why I have come to see it as one of the central tragedies of my generation. Every age carries its own wound. The Great Depression was a depression of bread, a scarcity in the world of matter, hunger you could measure. Ours is a depression of a different order. It is a famine of the spirit in the middle of abundance. We have more than any people who ever lived and we are starving in a way our ancestors would not recognize, because the thing we are refusing cannot be bought and cannot be banked. The ones most made to give and receive this love are quietly declining it. They are walking away from the one inheritance that actually compounds, and the cruelest part is that they do not feel the loss as loss. You cannot grieve what you were taught not to want. That is the deepest cut of it. The lie does not only steal the thing. It steals the capacity to know the thing was stolen. A man can spend his whole life on the far side of a door he never knew was a door, mistaking the wall for the edge of the world. Because this beauty is not ordinary beauty. It is not the pleasure of a good meal or a clear morning. It is participation in something that comes down from above, the same generative love that spoke everything out of nothing and called it good. To make a person, to be undone and remade by loving that person more than your own life, is to be drawn for a moment inside the very act that holds the cosmos together. A child does not merely add to your life. A child reorders the soul. It teaches you what you are by asking everything of you, and you discover, kneeling there exhausted at three in the morning, that you had a capacity for self gift you never suspected, a depth in yourself you had no other way to reach. In the Gospel of John, on the last night, Jesus prays, these things I have spoken to you that my joy may be in you, and that your joy may be complete. And I have come to understand why family is the road into that fullness, why it is not one path among many but the one most fitted to the shape of the promise. Consider who is praying. Christ does not come to us as a lone figure dropped out of the sky. He comes out of a family older than the world, the eternal communion of Father and Son, the love between them so total and so alive that theologians dared to call it a third person. Before there was anything, there was a family. The deepest fact about reality is not a force or a law or a void. It is a household. It is begetting and being begotten, giving and receiving, a Father who is only a Father because there is a Son. So when Jesus speaks of joy made complete, he is not pointing away from family toward something higher. He is pointing toward the very thing he came from, the life he has known from eternity and came to share. His joy is the joy of belonging utterly to a Father and pouring himself out for those he loves. When you marry, when you bring a child into the world, when you wear yourself down in the small unseen labors of a home, you are not stepping outside that divine life. You are stepping into a small image of it. Your family is a created echo of an uncreated one. The love you give your child rhymes with the love the Father has for the Son. The exhaustion, the tenderness, the way a parent would tear the sky open to protect a sleeping infant, all of it is the heavens pressed faintly into flesh, the eternal household leaving its fingerprint on yours. That is why the joy is not merely added to family but completed in it. We were made in the image of a God who is, at his very root, relation and gift and generation. To found a family is to do the most Godlike thing a creature can do, to participate from below in the begetting that God does from all eternity. Your home becomes a window. Through it, dimly and imperfectly, you glimpse the country you came from and are going to. And now a word for the young people reading this, the ones who do not yet have children. I want to tell you what it is like from where I stand. When I am out somewhere, a restaurant, anywhere, and a large family comes through the door, the noise and the chaos and the small bodies of them, something happens in me on two levels at once. The first is joy. A pure gladness at the sight, the way you feel watching something good and alive. But underneath it, almost in the same instant, a sadness reaches up and takes hold of my heart. Because I know now, at my age, after my own years of waiting, that I will never have that. I will never know the particular fruit of a family that large, the fullness of that table, the weight of all those lives gathered under one roof. The door to it has quietly closed, and I felt it close. And I am telling you plainly, because I love you and have no reason to lie to you: you will feel this too. You will. The day will come when you see what you passed up, and you will recognize the ache for what it is, and it will be too late to answer it. So please, learn from a man who got it wrong. Let my regret be worth something by becoming your wisdom. Do not wait yourself into a grief you cannot undo. Choose now, while the door is open, so that you may step into a joy that does not end.

Kirk Rollins

78,104 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад