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Based Prediction Markets In partnership with Polymarket, the Based team will be launching prediction market access to users of Based. This manifests as a highly performant and intuitive way for users to trade prediction markets across iOS, Android, and our Web terminal product. Utilising Polymarket's deep liquidity and robust...

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Based

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230,920 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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We're going to be setting very clear standards as to the types of prediction markets that can be self-certified in our markets. We’re also planning to move forward with an advanced notice of proposed rulemaking in the near future that will set the stage for more fulsome prediction markets rulemaking.
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49,964 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)
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i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)

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On This Week In The Degenerate Economy, I break down why the degenerate economy continues to crush the QQQs, why prediction markets are finally ready for prime time, and how Stocktwits’ new partnership with Polymarket marks a major turning point in event-based betting.
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On This Week In The Degenerate Economy, I break down why the degenerate economy continues to crush the QQQs, why prediction markets are finally ready for prime time, and how Stocktwits’ new partnership with Polymarket marks a major turning point in event-based betting.

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We just launched the biggest update ever! Our new website is now a must for EVERY prediction market user: - PnL & Performance PER market - Near real time trade activity - See your counter parties in EVERY trade - Combined PnL for events with multiple markets - View your 24H PnL changes PER market - Analyze your total trade history Next up: markets 😛

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Introducing Leveraged Prediction Markets on the LogX Network💥💥 Everyone has a view on whether Trump will win or lose the election👀 While traditional prediction markets allow you to place a binary bet on an event, LogX enables you to take up to a 10x leveraged position based on your beliefs🫡 These markets are more liquid than spot markets, allowing users to seamlessly enter and exit positions! The robust trading infrastructure of LogX Network supports leveraged prediction markets right out of the box. Demo launching soon on the LogX Network TestNet 🚀

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84,780 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

One of our next major focus is correlating markets. As we continue improving our parsing engine’s scoring system, users will begin receiving actionable insights on how related markets influence each other — including likely outcomes based on how connected markets resolve. House passes bill to release Epstein files this year? — Kalshi Will the bill to unseal Epstein records receive a veto-proof majority in the House? — Kalshi House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? — Polymarket Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? — Polymarket This type of cross-venue and intra-venue correlation is exactly what will power the next phase of our intelligence layer - making prediction markets more navigable and more informative than ever.
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One of our next major focus is correlating markets. As we continue improving our parsing engine’s scoring system, users will begin receiving actionable insights on how related markets influence each other — including likely outcomes based on how connected markets resolve. House passes bill to release Epstein files this year? — Kalshi Will the bill to unseal Epstein records receive a veto-proof majority in the House? — Kalshi House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? — Polymarket Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? — Polymarket This type of cross-venue and intra-venue correlation is exactly what will power the next phase of our intelligence layer - making prediction markets more navigable and more informative than ever.

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The people behind the prediction market Kalshi, where people can place wagers on everything from elections and sports contests to the anticipated bridesmaids at Taylor Swift's wedding, say its users trade a billion dollars every week. But as prediction markets are expanding, this burgeoning business model is coming under the scrutiny of some state regulators and attorneys general.

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