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🇧🇪 Belgian King Philippe: “We’ve 2 more graduating [besides Elisabeth]. It’s celebration time! Gabriël finished military training” Queen Mathilde: “He still has one exam” Ph: “Almost done” M: “Eléonore is finishing high school” Ph: “Emmanuel continues studies. We’re pleased”

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[Wim Dehandschutter]

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45,759 次观看 • 2 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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But the most urgent question came at the end. Will Cain asked what millions of Americans have been wondering since the collapse in Kabul: When will there be accountability for the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan? Hegseth didn’t flinch. Accountability is coming. “Great question! We’re all over it in our office.” Then came the biggest bombshell of the entire conversation. “In fact, we’ll have an announcement I believe tomorrow. If not later today, tomorrow or Wednesday on the developments of our task force.” According to Hegseth, the investigation is active and already turning up answers. But the damage runs deep—and some of it is still classified. “We’re moving, we’re finding, we’re investigating. It’s going to take a little bit of time. Because there’s a lot of things that need to be uncovered, classified aspects.” Still, he made one thing clear: the clock is ticking on those who got away with it. “We’ve found the right people to be involved.” And for those still waiting on justice, he delivered this: “So more to come on that. It may take into 2026—to really uncover everything, but there will be accountability.” “We’re committed to it. We will not leave a single stone unturned.” The Pentagon has changed. The priorities are shifting. And the people responsible for one of the most humiliating chapters in American military history—may finally have to answer for it.
0:53

But the most urgent question came at the end. Will Cain asked what millions of Americans have been wondering since the collapse in Kabul: When will there be accountability for the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan? Hegseth didn’t flinch. Accountability is coming. “Great question! We’re all over it in our office.” Then came the biggest bombshell of the entire conversation. “In fact, we’ll have an announcement I believe tomorrow. If not later today, tomorrow or Wednesday on the developments of our task force.” According to Hegseth, the investigation is active and already turning up answers. But the damage runs deep—and some of it is still classified. “We’re moving, we’re finding, we’re investigating. It’s going to take a little bit of time. Because there’s a lot of things that need to be uncovered, classified aspects.” Still, he made one thing clear: the clock is ticking on those who got away with it. “We’ve found the right people to be involved.” And for those still waiting on justice, he delivered this: “So more to come on that. It may take into 2026—to really uncover everything, but there will be accountability.” “We’re committed to it. We will not leave a single stone unturned.” The Pentagon has changed. The priorities are shifting. And the people responsible for one of the most humiliating chapters in American military history—may finally have to answer for it.

The Vigilant Fox 🦊

144,722 次观看 • 1 年前

they added lyrics for YoungK fanchant😂🤣 🎶YoungK, Kang Younghyun, Cheongdam High School, Dongguk University, US 8th Army KATUSA, fully completed military service 🎶the first idol to join KATUSA, TOEIC score 970, TOEFL score 116. he was born in Seoul, he grew up in Ilsan, then he moved to Canada. he can apparently eat over 100 lamb skewers, but spicy food? he can barely handle it. he loves the Yongbongtang his mom makes, but spicy food? he can barely handle it. 🎶the only person in Korea that John Lennon follows back. but it’s kind of strange. John Lennon has passed. then who’s running John Lennon’s instagram? 🎶genius lyricist and composer with 218 songs registered with KOMCA. hit song manufacturing machine. perfect vocals, plays multiple instruments, what more can you say? his concerts are insane. love DAY6 and My Day so much. while touring, he completely took over variety shows: GongK, Nolto, Running Man, Talk Pa One, Animal Farm, and more. on top of that, Overwatch genius, sexy bomb, cutie bomb, brand event king, visual working overtime, Hermione. but it’s kind of strange, a day is only 24 hours, so who stretched YoungK’s time? even with such a busy schedule, he still kept his loyalty to Kiss the Radio. personality king.
1:17

they added lyrics for YoungK fanchant😂🤣 🎶YoungK, Kang Younghyun, Cheongdam High School, Dongguk University, US 8th Army KATUSA, fully completed military service 🎶the first idol to join KATUSA, TOEIC score 970, TOEFL score 116. he was born in Seoul, he grew up in Ilsan, then he moved to Canada. he can apparently eat over 100 lamb skewers, but spicy food? he can barely handle it. he loves the Yongbongtang his mom makes, but spicy food? he can barely handle it. 🎶the only person in Korea that John Lennon follows back. but it’s kind of strange. John Lennon has passed. then who’s running John Lennon’s instagram? 🎶genius lyricist and composer with 218 songs registered with KOMCA. hit song manufacturing machine. perfect vocals, plays multiple instruments, what more can you say? his concerts are insane. love DAY6 and My Day so much. while touring, he completely took over variety shows: GongK, Nolto, Running Man, Talk Pa One, Animal Farm, and more. on top of that, Overwatch genius, sexy bomb, cutie bomb, brand event king, visual working overtime, Hermione. but it’s kind of strange, a day is only 24 hours, so who stretched YoungK’s time? even with such a busy schedule, he still kept his loyalty to Kiss the Radio. personality king.

woodyꕤ Brian Kang

20,802 次观看 • 4 个月前

Jeffrey Sachs: Israel is a crazy rogue state, with half its political leadership in the mindset of the fifth century BC—reading some text from King Josiah. Israel has just plunged the world into probably the Third World War, and into a phenomenal economic crisis. The timing, the instigation, is Israel’s. The fact that the US goes along with it is because it’s completely coherent with the US hegemonic project. But this is Israel. Complete madness. And because of the hold of the Israel lobby in the United States, that madness isn’t even examined. It’s not impossible. You don’t need one ruler of the world to have peace. But American hegemonists—supremacists—cannot understand that. I think they’re trapped at an emotional level, maybe before age five. I don’t know. They don’t see that there’s another way: in a multipolar world, we actually could get along. We could make rules of the road. We could cooperate. The one who understood that in the United States was Franklin Roosevelt. Another who understood it more recently was John F. Kennedy. And he probably died because he held that belief—killed from the inside because he held it. This is a tough struggle. We’re in an extraordinarily dangerous moment. If this continues, if Trump continues to believe he will pick Iran’s next leader and demand unconditional surrender, things will depend on military outcomes. But one real possibility is a global economic crisis—instigated by Israel and the United States—the likes of which we’ve not seen for a long time.
2:24

Jeffrey Sachs: Israel is a crazy rogue state, with half its political leadership in the mindset of the fifth century BC—reading some text from King Josiah. Israel has just plunged the world into probably the Third World War, and into a phenomenal economic crisis. The timing, the instigation, is Israel’s. The fact that the US goes along with it is because it’s completely coherent with the US hegemonic project. But this is Israel. Complete madness. And because of the hold of the Israel lobby in the United States, that madness isn’t even examined. It’s not impossible. You don’t need one ruler of the world to have peace. But American hegemonists—supremacists—cannot understand that. I think they’re trapped at an emotional level, maybe before age five. I don’t know. They don’t see that there’s another way: in a multipolar world, we actually could get along. We could make rules of the road. We could cooperate. The one who understood that in the United States was Franklin Roosevelt. Another who understood it more recently was John F. Kennedy. And he probably died because he held that belief—killed from the inside because he held it. This is a tough struggle. We’re in an extraordinarily dangerous moment. If this continues, if Trump continues to believe he will pick Iran’s next leader and demand unconditional surrender, things will depend on military outcomes. But one real possibility is a global economic crisis—instigated by Israel and the United States—the likes of which we’ve not seen for a long time.

🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉

54,507 次观看 • 5 个月前

The mother of Will Roberts, the Alabama boy fighting cancer, is asking everyone for prayers, says they are trying to keep Will comfortable. Please pray for this family. Read Brittney Battles Roberts' post from Facebook below: "The biggest thing Will needs right now is a more aggressive approach. He has so much fluid that has to come off, but at the same time they have to balance his blood counts and platelets so it can be done safely. Now pneumonia has also set up in his lungs, and that’s another battle we have to fight. We’re not giving up. Months ago, Will looked at us and said, “God is going to take me to the edge and make believers out of us.” Yesterday he looked at Jason and said, “Don’t give up on me, Dad.” Those words matter. Today Will became more agitated and wasn’t resting well. One option was to continue increasing his sedation. We understand why. Nobody wants him uncomfortable. But as his parents, we also know that when you’re sleeping more, not moving, and already dealing with fluid and weak lungs, pneumonia doesn’t just sit there. It gets worse. Tonight, after he developed severe wheezing, we asked for an ICU doctor to come assess him. He sat down with us, listened to everything, and explained that they could be more aggressive with removing fluid, treating the pneumonia, and still keep Will comfortable and safe. That’s what we needed to hear. People ask us all the time what we’re praying for. We’re not praying for more time at any cost. We’ve already told the doctors that if God says it’s time, then it’s time. We are at peace with that. But we are also not willing to sit back and let something treatable take over without asking if there is more that can be done. If fluid can come off, we want it off. If pneumonia can be treated, we want it treated. If there’s a chance to make him more comfortable while still fighting what can be fought, that’s what we want. We’re okay with death if it comes while we’re trying. Advocating at this level is new territory for us. We’ve never had to make decisions like this before. Every choice feels heavy, and we question ourselves constantly. But one thing we know is this… Will asked us not to give up on him so that’s exactly what we’re going to do. Please keep praying. Pray for wisdom. Pray for the ICU team. Pray they can safely remove this fluid, get this pneumonia under control, and keep Will comfortable through it all. And pray that Jason and I continue to have the strength to make the right decisions for our son."
1:03

The mother of Will Roberts, the Alabama boy fighting cancer, is asking everyone for prayers, says they are trying to keep Will comfortable. Please pray for this family. Read Brittney Battles Roberts' post from Facebook below: "The biggest thing Will needs right now is a more aggressive approach. He has so much fluid that has to come off, but at the same time they have to balance his blood counts and platelets so it can be done safely. Now pneumonia has also set up in his lungs, and that’s another battle we have to fight. We’re not giving up. Months ago, Will looked at us and said, “God is going to take me to the edge and make believers out of us.” Yesterday he looked at Jason and said, “Don’t give up on me, Dad.” Those words matter. Today Will became more agitated and wasn’t resting well. One option was to continue increasing his sedation. We understand why. Nobody wants him uncomfortable. But as his parents, we also know that when you’re sleeping more, not moving, and already dealing with fluid and weak lungs, pneumonia doesn’t just sit there. It gets worse. Tonight, after he developed severe wheezing, we asked for an ICU doctor to come assess him. He sat down with us, listened to everything, and explained that they could be more aggressive with removing fluid, treating the pneumonia, and still keep Will comfortable and safe. That’s what we needed to hear. People ask us all the time what we’re praying for. We’re not praying for more time at any cost. We’ve already told the doctors that if God says it’s time, then it’s time. We are at peace with that. But we are also not willing to sit back and let something treatable take over without asking if there is more that can be done. If fluid can come off, we want it off. If pneumonia can be treated, we want it treated. If there’s a chance to make him more comfortable while still fighting what can be fought, that’s what we want. We’re okay with death if it comes while we’re trying. Advocating at this level is new territory for us. We’ve never had to make decisions like this before. Every choice feels heavy, and we question ourselves constantly. But one thing we know is this… Will asked us not to give up on him so that’s exactly what we’re going to do. Please keep praying. Pray for wisdom. Pray for the ICU team. Pray they can safely remove this fluid, get this pneumonia under control, and keep Will comfortable through it all. And pray that Jason and I continue to have the strength to make the right decisions for our son."

Collin Rugg

386,600 次观看 • 28 天前

🚨New: Zinedine Zidane on the Messi, Pele, Maradona and Ronaldo GOAT debate: • Interviewer: Zizou, the debate never ends — Messi, Pelé, Maradona, Ronaldo. Who is the greatest of all time for you? 🗣️Zidane: “I have always respected the greats. Pelé was a king. Maradona was pure magic, something almost supernatural. Ronaldo has had an incredible career, the numbers, the mentality, the way he kept scoring at the highest level for so many years. You cannot ignore that. But when I look at the complete picture, there is only one name for me: Lionel Messi. He is the greatest player I have ever seen. Not just better than Ronaldo, he is on a different level. Ronaldo is a phenomenon, yes, but he is nowhere near Messi in terms of pure football, vision, consistency, and the ability to decide the most important matches for so long. Messi has done things that the others never did at the same level for the same period of time. Pele and Maradona were extraordinary in their eras. But Messi’s legacy is bigger. More Ballons d’Or, the Champions League dominance, the World Cup, and still producing magic when most players are finished. He checked every box. For me, it is not even a debate anymore. Messi is the greatest of all time. Clear.
0:20

🚨New: Zinedine Zidane on the Messi, Pele, Maradona and Ronaldo GOAT debate: • Interviewer: Zizou, the debate never ends — Messi, Pelé, Maradona, Ronaldo. Who is the greatest of all time for you? 🗣️Zidane: “I have always respected the greats. Pelé was a king. Maradona was pure magic, something almost supernatural. Ronaldo has had an incredible career, the numbers, the mentality, the way he kept scoring at the highest level for so many years. You cannot ignore that. But when I look at the complete picture, there is only one name for me: Lionel Messi. He is the greatest player I have ever seen. Not just better than Ronaldo, he is on a different level. Ronaldo is a phenomenon, yes, but he is nowhere near Messi in terms of pure football, vision, consistency, and the ability to decide the most important matches for so long. Messi has done things that the others never did at the same level for the same period of time. Pele and Maradona were extraordinary in their eras. But Messi’s legacy is bigger. More Ballons d’Or, the Champions League dominance, the World Cup, and still producing magic when most players are finished. He checked every box. For me, it is not even a debate anymore. Messi is the greatest of all time. Clear.

Vfynn_🥷🏼 𐙚

302,332 次观看 • 24 天前

You have a birthday. So does England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 And it’s today. The 12th of July. Almost 1,100 years ago, on this exact day, England became a country. Almost no one knows it. The island was old long before it had a name. Farmers. Romans. Saxons. Then out of the sea came the Danes. ⚔️ They came to raid. They stayed to farm. And one hard question hung over the whole land. Two peoples, Saxon and Dane, one small island. Whose country was it now? Alfred of Wessex held the last corner and turned the tide. But he wanted more than a truce. One country. For both peoples. One England. He died before he could build it. 🔥 So his family finished it. His son took back town after town. His daughter Æthelflæd led the armies herself. A woman commanding armies more than 1,000 years ago. But it was Alfred’s grandson who ended the work. Æthelstan. In 927 he rode north and took York, the last Viking crown in England. One man now held every English kingdom. Then he did something stranger. He called the other kings of Britain to a bridge in the north. A quiet place called Eamont. 📜 Scots. Welsh. The kings of the north. There, by the river, they bent the knee. And that morning he took a new title. Not king of Wessex. Not king of the Saxons. King of the English. All of them. That bridge, on this day in 927, is the closest thing we have to the morning a country began. ⚖️ He made it real. One law, coast to coast. One coin, struck the same everywhere. On it he wears a crown, not a war helmet. Then in 937 they came to destroy it. Vikings, Scots, the men of the north. The largest army the island had ever seen. They met him at Brunanburh. Dawn to dark. Five kings fell. And when the sun went down, Æthelstan was still standing. 🏛️ England had been tested. And England had held. He left no son. He died in 939 and chose a quiet abbey at Malmesbury. Alone, in the country he had made. But it never came apart. Every king and queen of England since has sat on the throne he built. More than 1,000 years. Unbroken. You were taught 1066. The Tudors. The wars. But not this. Not the king who made the country. Not the bridge. Not the 12th of July. Æthelstan. The first king of England. And the one we forgot. Next year it turns 1,100. England has a birthday. And now you know when it is. 🇬🇧 You did not choose to be born here. But you inherited a country with a beginning. A name won on a bridge, 1,100 years ago. That is yours. No one can take it from you. Help us remember the king who made us. Help us remember who we are. 👇🙏 👉 👈 Be part of us. ☝️🇬🇧 Be Proud Of Us. 🙏🇬🇧
5:58

You have a birthday. So does England. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 And it’s today. The 12th of July. Almost 1,100 years ago, on this exact day, England became a country. Almost no one knows it. The island was old long before it had a name. Farmers. Romans. Saxons. Then out of the sea came the Danes. ⚔️ They came to raid. They stayed to farm. And one hard question hung over the whole land. Two peoples, Saxon and Dane, one small island. Whose country was it now? Alfred of Wessex held the last corner and turned the tide. But he wanted more than a truce. One country. For both peoples. One England. He died before he could build it. 🔥 So his family finished it. His son took back town after town. His daughter Æthelflæd led the armies herself. A woman commanding armies more than 1,000 years ago. But it was Alfred’s grandson who ended the work. Æthelstan. In 927 he rode north and took York, the last Viking crown in England. One man now held every English kingdom. Then he did something stranger. He called the other kings of Britain to a bridge in the north. A quiet place called Eamont. 📜 Scots. Welsh. The kings of the north. There, by the river, they bent the knee. And that morning he took a new title. Not king of Wessex. Not king of the Saxons. King of the English. All of them. That bridge, on this day in 927, is the closest thing we have to the morning a country began. ⚖️ He made it real. One law, coast to coast. One coin, struck the same everywhere. On it he wears a crown, not a war helmet. Then in 937 they came to destroy it. Vikings, Scots, the men of the north. The largest army the island had ever seen. They met him at Brunanburh. Dawn to dark. Five kings fell. And when the sun went down, Æthelstan was still standing. 🏛️ England had been tested. And England had held. He left no son. He died in 939 and chose a quiet abbey at Malmesbury. Alone, in the country he had made. But it never came apart. Every king and queen of England since has sat on the throne he built. More than 1,000 years. Unbroken. You were taught 1066. The Tudors. The wars. But not this. Not the king who made the country. Not the bridge. Not the 12th of July. Æthelstan. The first king of England. And the one we forgot. Next year it turns 1,100. England has a birthday. And now you know when it is. 🇬🇧 You did not choose to be born here. But you inherited a country with a beginning. A name won on a bridge, 1,100 years ago. That is yours. No one can take it from you. Help us remember the king who made us. Help us remember who we are. 👇🙏 👉 👈 Be part of us. ☝️🇬🇧 Be Proud Of Us. 🙏🇬🇧

Proudofus.uk

109,990 次观看 • 1 个月前

I’m glad people are beginning to see how badly run Governor Jide’s administration has been. There are far more abandoned projects than completed ones, and that is very disappointing. It feels like seven years have passed with very little that directly improves people’s daily lives. Under this administration, you can see a 50-meter road taking almost eight years to complete. Basic infrastructure now looks like rocket science. Many projects are started but never finished across Lagos, both in highbrow and low-income areas. If you want a current comparison, look at Nyesom Wike who is very much a "politician". His administration is ongoing just like this one, yet he has already delivered over 15 flyovers and more than 300 roads. Meanwhile, Lagos has more resources, talent, and access to funds, yet we still struggle to complete any meaningful major bridge. Even the Opebi Link Bridge has been completed for months but is still not in use. Another issue is the state of major roads. The Lekki‑Epe Expressway is a critical road that should be rehabilitated to the highest standard, yet just see the shabby work his team is doing. Why not give such roads to reputable companies like Julius Berger, Craneburg Construction Company, or Hi‑Tech Construction Company to fix them properly? So when are they going to do the finishing if not now? Even the drainage infrastructure in the whole of Lekki today is still largely what was built during the administration of Babatunde Fashola around 2008, with no meaningful upgrades despite the massive population growth,all the interlock laid by Gov. Fashola has been eroded and its less than 7 months to E1..yet no single sign of environmental management. At the same time, the government keeps announcing huge IGR figures, but people cannot clearly see the impact of that money on infrastructure. Roads remain in poor condition and many projects remain unfinished. Is he the only politician in Nigeria??? This is not just criticism; it is a genuine concern. Lagos is supposed to be a mega city, yet under this administration, infrastructure appears to be deteriorating instead of improving. A government should at least deliver visible, tangible projects that people can point to, but that has largely been missing. 🎥: embarrassing shabby work bring done on one of lagos' must critical transport corridor Lekki-Epe Expressway,and AI rendering of a basic and easily achievable finishing
0:44

I’m glad people are beginning to see how badly run Governor Jide’s administration has been. There are far more abandoned projects than completed ones, and that is very disappointing. It feels like seven years have passed with very little that directly improves people’s daily lives. Under this administration, you can see a 50-meter road taking almost eight years to complete. Basic infrastructure now looks like rocket science. Many projects are started but never finished across Lagos, both in highbrow and low-income areas. If you want a current comparison, look at Nyesom Wike who is very much a "politician". His administration is ongoing just like this one, yet he has already delivered over 15 flyovers and more than 300 roads. Meanwhile, Lagos has more resources, talent, and access to funds, yet we still struggle to complete any meaningful major bridge. Even the Opebi Link Bridge has been completed for months but is still not in use. Another issue is the state of major roads. The Lekki‑Epe Expressway is a critical road that should be rehabilitated to the highest standard, yet just see the shabby work his team is doing. Why not give such roads to reputable companies like Julius Berger, Craneburg Construction Company, or Hi‑Tech Construction Company to fix them properly? So when are they going to do the finishing if not now? Even the drainage infrastructure in the whole of Lekki today is still largely what was built during the administration of Babatunde Fashola around 2008, with no meaningful upgrades despite the massive population growth,all the interlock laid by Gov. Fashola has been eroded and its less than 7 months to E1..yet no single sign of environmental management. At the same time, the government keeps announcing huge IGR figures, but people cannot clearly see the impact of that money on infrastructure. Roads remain in poor condition and many projects remain unfinished. Is he the only politician in Nigeria??? This is not just criticism; it is a genuine concern. Lagos is supposed to be a mega city, yet under this administration, infrastructure appears to be deteriorating instead of improving. A government should at least deliver visible, tangible projects that people can point to, but that has largely been missing. 🎥: embarrassing shabby work bring done on one of lagos' must critical transport corridor Lekki-Epe Expressway,and AI rendering of a basic and easily achievable finishing

Mide.O 🩷

16,171 次观看 • 5 个月前

The American education system is surviving on one thing. The silence of parents who already know it’s over. One father almost broke that silence. His 16-year-old overslept. His first reaction was pure instinct. Old programming. Chris Camillo: “I cannot believe. Like how does that even happen? If I would have done that when I was a kid, the thought of what my parents would have done to me.” Then the instinct cracked. Camillo: “There was a part of me in the back of my head that was like, does it even matter anymore?” He didn’t say it out loud. He couldn’t unthink it. Camillo: “I’m looking at my kid going, why are you even in school right now?” This is not a parenting crisis. This is structural collapse. Students have always resisted school. That was never the threat. Parents are the enforcement layer. The final barrier between the institution and irrelevance. When the enforcers stop believing, the structure is already dead. He stopped believing for a reason. Camillo: “Every single kid in America is using AI for every single assignment and every single test.” Not a fringe minority. Not the tech-forward kids in wealthy zip codes. Camillo: “It’s close to 100% of every high school and college student using AI for close to everything that they do.” A kid gets a worksheet. Takes a photo. Uploads it to Gemini. Gets the answers back with the work shown. The test is still graded. The transcript still records it. The GPA still compiles. Nothing is being measured anymore. The system just keeps producing the numbers. Camillo: “The world is moving so quickly, and I can’t even imagine the stuff that you’re learning and how slowly it is.” A curriculum takes years to rewrite. AI resets what matters every few months. That gap doesn’t close. It compounds. The system is not preparing students for the world they’re entering. It’s training them for a world that already ended. The first people to see it weren’t the policymakers. Weren’t the administrators. Weren’t the teachers. It was the parents. The ones the whole thing was counting on to keep enforcing it. The system doesn’t need to educate to survive. It just needs to exist. There is nowhere else for 50 million kids to go for eight hours a day. An entire generation is learning the most honest lesson school has ever taught. The adults around them will keep enforcing something they stopped believing in. One day they’ll be expected to do the same. Parents aren’t sending their kids to school because they still believe in it. They’re sending them because nothing has replaced it yet.
1:09

The American education system is surviving on one thing. The silence of parents who already know it’s over. One father almost broke that silence. His 16-year-old overslept. His first reaction was pure instinct. Old programming. Chris Camillo: “I cannot believe. Like how does that even happen? If I would have done that when I was a kid, the thought of what my parents would have done to me.” Then the instinct cracked. Camillo: “There was a part of me in the back of my head that was like, does it even matter anymore?” He didn’t say it out loud. He couldn’t unthink it. Camillo: “I’m looking at my kid going, why are you even in school right now?” This is not a parenting crisis. This is structural collapse. Students have always resisted school. That was never the threat. Parents are the enforcement layer. The final barrier between the institution and irrelevance. When the enforcers stop believing, the structure is already dead. He stopped believing for a reason. Camillo: “Every single kid in America is using AI for every single assignment and every single test.” Not a fringe minority. Not the tech-forward kids in wealthy zip codes. Camillo: “It’s close to 100% of every high school and college student using AI for close to everything that they do.” A kid gets a worksheet. Takes a photo. Uploads it to Gemini. Gets the answers back with the work shown. The test is still graded. The transcript still records it. The GPA still compiles. Nothing is being measured anymore. The system just keeps producing the numbers. Camillo: “The world is moving so quickly, and I can’t even imagine the stuff that you’re learning and how slowly it is.” A curriculum takes years to rewrite. AI resets what matters every few months. That gap doesn’t close. It compounds. The system is not preparing students for the world they’re entering. It’s training them for a world that already ended. The first people to see it weren’t the policymakers. Weren’t the administrators. Weren’t the teachers. It was the parents. The ones the whole thing was counting on to keep enforcing it. The system doesn’t need to educate to survive. It just needs to exist. There is nowhere else for 50 million kids to go for eight hours a day. An entire generation is learning the most honest lesson school has ever taught. The adults around them will keep enforcing something they stopped believing in. One day they’ll be expected to do the same. Parents aren’t sending their kids to school because they still believe in it. They’re sending them because nothing has replaced it yet.

Dustin

14,953 次观看 • 23 天前

I really love this part of the interview. It shows how much effort they’ve put in, how much they’ve grown, and how they still genuinely want to keep learning about each other. MC: Has it taken you a long time to get to where you are now? Have there been any conflicts between you? What kind? Gawin : Yeah, there have. Joss: I think the conflicts mostly come from differences in lifestyle and personality. When you spend a lot of time together, you’re bound to see both the good and the bad sides. Like me… I’ve said this before, but my energy tends to push, while his is more pull. I’m the type who always wants to do this, do that, go here, go there. I’m always inviting him to do things. Sometimes, I end up stepping into his space a bit too much. And Gawin is like… introvert level 900. MC: Level 900? Joss: Honestly, more like 999. He needs to go home and recharge, spend time on his own. But sometimes I feel like there are so many things I want him to do with me, so I might invite him a bit too much. And when he doesn’t respond or join in, because he needs to recharge, I end up feeling a certain way. MC: Like upset? Joss: Yeah. But in the end, I have to reflect on myself too. Like, am I pushing him too much? I have friends who help me understand that even if I think what I’m offering is good, he’s the one who gets to decide whether it’s good for him or not. He has to choose for himself. So I think it’s better for me to just give him space. If he wants to join, he can come in on his own. But it’s still a process, we’re still learning about each other. We haven’t known each other for that long. Three years isn’t actually that long. Gawin: Has it really been three years already? Joss: Around two to three years, right? Yeah, we’ve known each other for two almost three years now but we still have a lot to learn about each other. #Flex1045xOnlyFriendsDreamOn #JossGawin
1:47

I really love this part of the interview. It shows how much effort they’ve put in, how much they’ve grown, and how they still genuinely want to keep learning about each other. MC: Has it taken you a long time to get to where you are now? Have there been any conflicts between you? What kind? Gawin : Yeah, there have. Joss: I think the conflicts mostly come from differences in lifestyle and personality. When you spend a lot of time together, you’re bound to see both the good and the bad sides. Like me… I’ve said this before, but my energy tends to push, while his is more pull. I’m the type who always wants to do this, do that, go here, go there. I’m always inviting him to do things. Sometimes, I end up stepping into his space a bit too much. And Gawin is like… introvert level 900. MC: Level 900? Joss: Honestly, more like 999. He needs to go home and recharge, spend time on his own. But sometimes I feel like there are so many things I want him to do with me, so I might invite him a bit too much. And when he doesn’t respond or join in, because he needs to recharge, I end up feeling a certain way. MC: Like upset? Joss: Yeah. But in the end, I have to reflect on myself too. Like, am I pushing him too much? I have friends who help me understand that even if I think what I’m offering is good, he’s the one who gets to decide whether it’s good for him or not. He has to choose for himself. So I think it’s better for me to just give him space. If he wants to join, he can come in on his own. But it’s still a process, we’re still learning about each other. We haven’t known each other for that long. Three years isn’t actually that long. Gawin: Has it really been three years already? Joss: Around two to three years, right? Yeah, we’ve known each other for two almost three years now but we still have a lot to learn about each other. #Flex1045xOnlyFriendsDreamOn #JossGawin

🌛โตไม่โต🌈

35,430 次观看 • 4 个月前

PLEDIS MISTREATMENT TOWARDS HANJIN i've been thinking about this since yesterday when ana 𝜗𝜚 #1 hanjin stan ! missing ㅎㅈ spoke about this topic so i decided to share my thoughts/opinion about this one. so let’s talk about the issue of pledis gatekeeping or better yet hiding hanjin in the basement, because it’s honestly been too long. it’s already been almost two years since debut and they still couldn’t manage to treat him fairly. i just want to speak about it here and hope (really hope 🙄) that pl3d!s eventually makes progress on this issue. at this point, it’s becoming more and more obvious that pl3d!s is limiting hanjin’s opportunities especially when it comes to his lines, solo or duo gigs on variety shows, and overall screentime. let’s talk about his vocals and the unfair line distribution. despite debuting in a group that’s supposed to highlight vocal strength and musicality, hanjin has consistently received the least amount of lines. and when he does get lines, they’re often just repetitive adlibs, background harmonies, or single words. i didn’t witness their debut days in real time since i became a fan during the post-summer beat era, but looking back at their debut stages, it was already clear that hanjin barely had any lines and honestly, i understood. he’s chinese and at that time, he wasn’t fluent in korean (?), so it made some sense (?). even during summer beat, while the line distribution still wasn’t perfect, i accepted it because i knew he was still learning and he was improving. but after those two eras, i genuinely expected things to change. i hoped their second comeback (last bell) would give him more lines especially since by then, he had improved significantly in speaking , singing and understanding korean. yet pl3d!s still chose to give him mostly adlibs, lines shared with another member (“neowa na saiga” part), and those repetitive fillers like “lalalala-last” and “dadada-dance.” yes! that was all he got in the TITLE TRACK. hanjin stans have called out pledis for this blatant mistreatment, but the company remains completely unbothered. then when try with us came, we hoped things would change again and guess fvcking what? more repetitive lines AGAIN 🤬 (note: not counting now playing and go back, where he actually had decent parts but even then it’s frustrating and fvck pl3d!s) i totally understand why hanjin stans are disappointed. we’ve been speaking up about this for a long time, but pl3d!s keeps ignoring it. we’re not asking for favoritism we just want what hanjin deserves. he has so much potential as a vocalist, and the fact that he still doesn’t have a tws:tudio of his own speaks volumes. he’s one of the few members without it, and it hurts to see that. it’s so disappointing to witness this level of talent being constantly overlooked especially when fans can clearly see what hanjin brings to the group. instead of giving him the support and platform to grow, pl3d!s seems content with keeping him in the shadows. he has zero presence in variety shows (solo/duo/trio gigs) or promotional content, which is a huge issue for a rookie group still building their identity. every member matters and yet hanjin is repeatedly pushed aside. this isn’t just a matter of line distribution or screen time, it’s a consistent pattern that shows the company is actively gatekeeping his potential. that’s not just sad it’s unacceptable. still, with all that i said, i want to take a moment to genuinely appreciate hanjin. even with all the limitations placed on him, he still manages to shine. whether it’s through small moments on stage or quiet presence in group content, he continues to leave an impact. we see him, we support him, and we’ll keep showing up for him. we just hope pl3d!s will finally do the same.
2:32

PLEDIS MISTREATMENT TOWARDS HANJIN i've been thinking about this since yesterday when ana 𝜗𝜚 #1 hanjin stan ! missing ㅎㅈ spoke about this topic so i decided to share my thoughts/opinion about this one. so let’s talk about the issue of pledis gatekeeping or better yet hiding hanjin in the basement, because it’s honestly been too long. it’s already been almost two years since debut and they still couldn’t manage to treat him fairly. i just want to speak about it here and hope (really hope 🙄) that pl3d!s eventually makes progress on this issue. at this point, it’s becoming more and more obvious that pl3d!s is limiting hanjin’s opportunities especially when it comes to his lines, solo or duo gigs on variety shows, and overall screentime. let’s talk about his vocals and the unfair line distribution. despite debuting in a group that’s supposed to highlight vocal strength and musicality, hanjin has consistently received the least amount of lines. and when he does get lines, they’re often just repetitive adlibs, background harmonies, or single words. i didn’t witness their debut days in real time since i became a fan during the post-summer beat era, but looking back at their debut stages, it was already clear that hanjin barely had any lines and honestly, i understood. he’s chinese and at that time, he wasn’t fluent in korean (?), so it made some sense (?). even during summer beat, while the line distribution still wasn’t perfect, i accepted it because i knew he was still learning and he was improving. but after those two eras, i genuinely expected things to change. i hoped their second comeback (last bell) would give him more lines especially since by then, he had improved significantly in speaking , singing and understanding korean. yet pl3d!s still chose to give him mostly adlibs, lines shared with another member (“neowa na saiga” part), and those repetitive fillers like “lalalala-last” and “dadada-dance.” yes! that was all he got in the TITLE TRACK. hanjin stans have called out pledis for this blatant mistreatment, but the company remains completely unbothered. then when try with us came, we hoped things would change again and guess fvcking what? more repetitive lines AGAIN 🤬 (note: not counting now playing and go back, where he actually had decent parts but even then it’s frustrating and fvck pl3d!s) i totally understand why hanjin stans are disappointed. we’ve been speaking up about this for a long time, but pl3d!s keeps ignoring it. we’re not asking for favoritism we just want what hanjin deserves. he has so much potential as a vocalist, and the fact that he still doesn’t have a tws:tudio of his own speaks volumes. he’s one of the few members without it, and it hurts to see that. it’s so disappointing to witness this level of talent being constantly overlooked especially when fans can clearly see what hanjin brings to the group. instead of giving him the support and platform to grow, pl3d!s seems content with keeping him in the shadows. he has zero presence in variety shows (solo/duo/trio gigs) or promotional content, which is a huge issue for a rookie group still building their identity. every member matters and yet hanjin is repeatedly pushed aside. this isn’t just a matter of line distribution or screen time, it’s a consistent pattern that shows the company is actively gatekeeping his potential. that’s not just sad it’s unacceptable. still, with all that i said, i want to take a moment to genuinely appreciate hanjin. even with all the limitations placed on him, he still manages to shine. whether it’s through small moments on stage or quiet presence in group content, he continues to leave an impact. we see him, we support him, and we’ll keep showing up for him. we just hope pl3d!s will finally do the same.

𝐦𝐚𝐢

67,786 次观看 • 1 年前

Ex-CIA officer, Wiswesser: We as NATO allies shouldn't forget that our alliance is the very envy of Russia and China. We have an alliance that's stood for 80 years. We need each other in this fight more than ever. We need Ukraine as an ally. We should be giving them everything they need to finish the job. There's a quote from Churchill: “Give us the tools so we can finish the job.” We need to give Ukrainians tools that they need. To end this war, to inflict enough damage on Russians so that they finally realize, “It’s time to end this war.” All the bickering and sniping on both sides of Atlantic, “We’re fed up with each other. Europe maybe needs to go its own way.” This is nonsense. We need each other now more than ever against Russian threat, and Chinese for that matter. Chinese military, as an adversary, is much more competent and much more capable than the Russian military. Russian military, in four years of war, has not been able to subdue Ukraine, thank God. Chinese military is on the rise. They have more ships than the U.S. Navy. We’re still more competent, but NATO is our strength. Those alliances are our strength. Russians don’t have anything like that. Look at how they abandoned Venezuela. They don’t care about Maduro and never did. Their reason for using limited alliance with Iran is to try to kill American troops if they can. What about China? Is it a real strategic alliance between Russia and China? They call it a “partnership without limits.” It’s nonsense. So let’s not abandon NATO. When King Charles III visited United States, he said so wisely, “This is an 80-year alliance. We’ve had ups and downs. We’ve had difficulties.” There is a special relationship between United States and UK that no one can come between, and nor should we allow them to. The Suez Crisis, by the way, very early, in ’56, was a major crisis for NATO. Everybody thought, “Oh, it’s not going to survive.” We will survive. Head of NATO recently said U.S. has never stopped providing critical intelligence for the Ukraine war. He said it publicly. And there were some in Europe who criticized him for saying that, “Why are you giving credit to United States?” Listen, we need each other. That’s our strength as an alliance. We can never turn away from each other. That’s what Russians are most scared of. That’s why Russian information warfare always targets us as an alliance. Tries to cause those gaps and feed into those gaps that might exist between us, but shouldn’t.
2:53

Ex-CIA officer, Wiswesser: We as NATO allies shouldn't forget that our alliance is the very envy of Russia and China. We have an alliance that's stood for 80 years. We need each other in this fight more than ever. We need Ukraine as an ally. We should be giving them everything they need to finish the job. There's a quote from Churchill: “Give us the tools so we can finish the job.” We need to give Ukrainians tools that they need. To end this war, to inflict enough damage on Russians so that they finally realize, “It’s time to end this war.” All the bickering and sniping on both sides of Atlantic, “We’re fed up with each other. Europe maybe needs to go its own way.” This is nonsense. We need each other now more than ever against Russian threat, and Chinese for that matter. Chinese military, as an adversary, is much more competent and much more capable than the Russian military. Russian military, in four years of war, has not been able to subdue Ukraine, thank God. Chinese military is on the rise. They have more ships than the U.S. Navy. We’re still more competent, but NATO is our strength. Those alliances are our strength. Russians don’t have anything like that. Look at how they abandoned Venezuela. They don’t care about Maduro and never did. Their reason for using limited alliance with Iran is to try to kill American troops if they can. What about China? Is it a real strategic alliance between Russia and China? They call it a “partnership without limits.” It’s nonsense. So let’s not abandon NATO. When King Charles III visited United States, he said so wisely, “This is an 80-year alliance. We’ve had ups and downs. We’ve had difficulties.” There is a special relationship between United States and UK that no one can come between, and nor should we allow them to. The Suez Crisis, by the way, very early, in ’56, was a major crisis for NATO. Everybody thought, “Oh, it’s not going to survive.” We will survive. Head of NATO recently said U.S. has never stopped providing critical intelligence for the Ukraine war. He said it publicly. And there were some in Europe who criticized him for saying that, “Why are you giving credit to United States?” Listen, we need each other. That’s our strength as an alliance. We can never turn away from each other. That’s what Russians are most scared of. That’s why Russian information warfare always targets us as an alliance. Tries to cause those gaps and feed into those gaps that might exist between us, but shouldn’t.

Kate from Kharkiv

14,386 次观看 • 5 天前

“How can Kobe be Top 1-2 scorer all time he only has two scoring titles”. It’s because Kobe wasn’t the ball hog yall think he is and he sacrificed to WIN. Kobe’s scoring finishes each season between 2001 - 2013: 2001 #4 at 28.5PPG sharing W/Shaq 2002 #6 at 25.2 PPG sharing W/Shaq 2003 #2 at 30 PPG sharing W/Shaq 2004 #4 at 24 PPG sharing W/Shaq *Shaq leaves: 2005 #2 at 27.7 PPG 2006 #1 at 35.4 PPG 2007 #1 at 31.6 PPG 2008 #2 at 28.3 PPG AS SOON AS HE LEAVES SHAQ, 4 years in a row Kobe finishes Top 2. Kobe playing with Shaq held back averages and scoring titles because he had to sacrifice to feed Shaq and keep the big man’s ego up. 2009 #3 at 26.8 PPG 2010 #4 at 27.0 PPG 2011 #5 at 25.3 PPG 2012 #2 at 27.9 PPG (sat out last game/lost by .01) 2013 #3 at 27.3 PPG (34 Y.O. no signs of slowing) 2014 injury that all but ended his career Kobe finished #2 four times and Shared 4 of these seasons with Shaq. Kobe CLEARLY could have had more scoring titles but was focused on winning. He wanted teammates he could trust and share the ball with. Kobe wasn’t a stat stuffer like people think. If he was he would have kept “trash” teammates and won the scoring title every year. He had that 35PPG just to show you what he could do if he wanted. That 35 PPG hadn’t been done since Jordan pulled it off in 1988 and wasn’t done again until 2018 when Harden did it. No one else will probably do that for another 15-20 years. Few other reasons why KOBE IS A TOP 1-2 SCORER ALL TIME. All accolades accomplished in the hardest era of all time IMO: -Had 4-game in a row w/50+ PTS in 2007 recording: 65PTS, 50PTS, 60PTS, 50PTS -Had 9-game stretch of 40PTS in 2003 Had 6 60PT games (2nd all time behind Wilt) -Had 25 50PT games (3rd all time behind Wilt/Jordan) -Had 122 40PT games (3rd all time behind Wilt/Jordan) -Led the league in total points 4 times -Scored the most PTS in the 2000s with 21,605 PTS -Most PTS scored in a modern era: 81 PTS -4th in all time points with 33,643 -Most points for a shooting guard all time -Scored 60 PTS at 37 years old (record) Kobe was an elite scorer and was only stopped because of injury. And this is why all that “Kobe had only two scoring titles” means nothing in regards to how elite of a scorer he is. There is no one you can name besides MJ in the modern era that had the scoring peak, ability and stats that Kobe had when it comes to scoring. There’s no one that measures up. NO ONE. Don’t let the scoring titles fool you. Kobe was pretty much Micheal Jordan in a better era when it comes to scoring (MJ still the GOAT though).
0:22

“How can Kobe be Top 1-2 scorer all time he only has two scoring titles”. It’s because Kobe wasn’t the ball hog yall think he is and he sacrificed to WIN. Kobe’s scoring finishes each season between 2001 - 2013: 2001 #4 at 28.5PPG sharing W/Shaq 2002 #6 at 25.2 PPG sharing W/Shaq 2003 #2 at 30 PPG sharing W/Shaq 2004 #4 at 24 PPG sharing W/Shaq *Shaq leaves: 2005 #2 at 27.7 PPG 2006 #1 at 35.4 PPG 2007 #1 at 31.6 PPG 2008 #2 at 28.3 PPG AS SOON AS HE LEAVES SHAQ, 4 years in a row Kobe finishes Top 2. Kobe playing with Shaq held back averages and scoring titles because he had to sacrifice to feed Shaq and keep the big man’s ego up. 2009 #3 at 26.8 PPG 2010 #4 at 27.0 PPG 2011 #5 at 25.3 PPG 2012 #2 at 27.9 PPG (sat out last game/lost by .01) 2013 #3 at 27.3 PPG (34 Y.O. no signs of slowing) 2014 injury that all but ended his career Kobe finished #2 four times and Shared 4 of these seasons with Shaq. Kobe CLEARLY could have had more scoring titles but was focused on winning. He wanted teammates he could trust and share the ball with. Kobe wasn’t a stat stuffer like people think. If he was he would have kept “trash” teammates and won the scoring title every year. He had that 35PPG just to show you what he could do if he wanted. That 35 PPG hadn’t been done since Jordan pulled it off in 1988 and wasn’t done again until 2018 when Harden did it. No one else will probably do that for another 15-20 years. Few other reasons why KOBE IS A TOP 1-2 SCORER ALL TIME. All accolades accomplished in the hardest era of all time IMO: -Had 4-game in a row w/50+ PTS in 2007 recording: 65PTS, 50PTS, 60PTS, 50PTS -Had 9-game stretch of 40PTS in 2003 Had 6 60PT games (2nd all time behind Wilt) -Had 25 50PT games (3rd all time behind Wilt/Jordan) -Had 122 40PT games (3rd all time behind Wilt/Jordan) -Led the league in total points 4 times -Scored the most PTS in the 2000s with 21,605 PTS -Most PTS scored in a modern era: 81 PTS -4th in all time points with 33,643 -Most points for a shooting guard all time -Scored 60 PTS at 37 years old (record) Kobe was an elite scorer and was only stopped because of injury. And this is why all that “Kobe had only two scoring titles” means nothing in regards to how elite of a scorer he is. There is no one you can name besides MJ in the modern era that had the scoring peak, ability and stats that Kobe had when it comes to scoring. There’s no one that measures up. NO ONE. Don’t let the scoring titles fool you. Kobe was pretty much Micheal Jordan in a better era when it comes to scoring (MJ still the GOAT though).

THE KOBJECTIVE VIEW

121,590 次观看 • 1 年前

Daradaily interviewed FayMay #FAYMAYentertainment #fay_riezz #maywyda F: Right now we’ve also started our own company together called FAYMAY Entertainment. Actually, I think we both grew a lot while we were with IDF, and we reached a point where we had grown as much as we could there. So we felt that maybe it would be better to continue on our own together. M: We wanted to try doing something new as FayMay, but in another version of us, one that has grown up. F: Honestly, it’s something very new for us. We have to take care of every system ourselves, and almost 100% of the decisions have to be made by FayMay. But the good thing is that we can decide everything fully. If there’s something we want to do, we can do it. If we come up with an idea and want to make it happen, we can just go ahead and do it. M: Exactly, right? F: It’s like another level. I didn’t think it would happen this fast, but I feel like we’ve learned so many things. M: Yes. You could say that every problem that comes our way becomes something that helps us grow. F: She once told me, “We can go anywhere, as long as we go together.” We understand the situation in many ways, and it made us feel that we still want to stay together, it’s better to keep going together. M: Yes. If you ask whether we could separate, maybe other people could. But for us, we feel that going together, holding hands and moving forward together, might be better… stronger. F: It’s like when something feels right, we don’t want to change it. We don’t want to change it. M: Fay does every role. F: May will be the biggest boss. M: No, no, no. 🤣 F: May will be the final decision maker. If May says no, then it’s no. If May says yes, then it’s yes. I’ll let you be the big boss. M: Let’s say we decide together. But I’ll still be a little… if something feels like it could still be better, or not quite better yet, then yeah… F: But we actually tend to think alike. Most of the time, whether it’s work or anything, we’ll come talk to each other like, “What do you think?” We’ve never even argued. It’s very good. M: Yes. You could say that right now we’ve been given opportunities by many clients who saw us and felt fond of us, so we’re very grateful. F: Honestly, when we first started out, we were very worried about whether we could do it. But… well, we could do it. F: It’s getting better. But like I said, there are new things we never expected coming up every day. So we just keep adjusting. (FayMay talk about work in Shanghai and say they will keep going abroad more and more, waiting for announcements from the company. They also talk about a series that is currently being discussed and is in the process stage. When something becomes clear, they will definitely come out and tell everyone.)
3:31

Daradaily interviewed FayMay #FAYMAYentertainment #fay_riezz #maywyda F: Right now we’ve also started our own company together called FAYMAY Entertainment. Actually, I think we both grew a lot while we were with IDF, and we reached a point where we had grown as much as we could there. So we felt that maybe it would be better to continue on our own together. M: We wanted to try doing something new as FayMay, but in another version of us, one that has grown up. F: Honestly, it’s something very new for us. We have to take care of every system ourselves, and almost 100% of the decisions have to be made by FayMay. But the good thing is that we can decide everything fully. If there’s something we want to do, we can do it. If we come up with an idea and want to make it happen, we can just go ahead and do it. M: Exactly, right? F: It’s like another level. I didn’t think it would happen this fast, but I feel like we’ve learned so many things. M: Yes. You could say that every problem that comes our way becomes something that helps us grow. F: She once told me, “We can go anywhere, as long as we go together.” We understand the situation in many ways, and it made us feel that we still want to stay together, it’s better to keep going together. M: Yes. If you ask whether we could separate, maybe other people could. But for us, we feel that going together, holding hands and moving forward together, might be better… stronger. F: It’s like when something feels right, we don’t want to change it. We don’t want to change it. M: Fay does every role. F: May will be the biggest boss. M: No, no, no. 🤣 F: May will be the final decision maker. If May says no, then it’s no. If May says yes, then it’s yes. I’ll let you be the big boss. M: Let’s say we decide together. But I’ll still be a little… if something feels like it could still be better, or not quite better yet, then yeah… F: But we actually tend to think alike. Most of the time, whether it’s work or anything, we’ll come talk to each other like, “What do you think?” We’ve never even argued. It’s very good. M: Yes. You could say that right now we’ve been given opportunities by many clients who saw us and felt fond of us, so we’re very grateful. F: Honestly, when we first started out, we were very worried about whether we could do it. But… well, we could do it. F: It’s getting better. But like I said, there are new things we never expected coming up every day. So we just keep adjusting. (FayMay talk about work in Shanghai and say they will keep going abroad more and more, waiting for announcements from the company. They also talk about a series that is currently being discussed and is in the process stage. When something becomes clear, they will definitely come out and tell everyone.)

FAYMAY Interfan Squad -CLOSED- 💔

12,726 次观看 • 5 个月前

Hezbollah has been boasting how it could destroy the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) and its escorts. Lets dive into how Hezbollah Terrorists could attack a US Navy Aircraft carrier in the Med, what could happen, and the possible outcomes, assisted with Command Development Team simulation software. To understand the footage shown, let me break down some basic concepts of modern naval combat: Military ships often use a concept called "EMCON", which stands for EMission CONtrol, or "Radio silence" in laymans terms. Consider it like this: if you are with a flashlight in the night, you can spot a person say 500 Meters away by shining at him with the flashlight. You will however, be able to see that flashlight from many kilometers away, without being seen, even if it is directed at you, giving you the location of the person with the flashlight, without disclosing your presence. So ships really avoid "radio emissions", such as radar. Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) like the Ford CSG WANT Radar coverage for their own safety, but not in a way that their location can be known. This is done by Airplanes that fly in the general vicinity of the CSG, providing coverage, without compromising the CSG location. The US Navy uses the E-2 Hawkeye for this in most cases. In this case here, we are not using the E-2 Hawkeye, but the (likely in Theater anyway) E-3 Sentry from NATO. A system that is likely LESS sophisticated than the cutting edge E-2D Advanced Hawkeyes that were visible on the USS Ford pictures that surfaced recently. We do not simulate any carrier based "Combat Air Patrol" either, to test the "ship based" defenses. The composition of the Ford CSG is modeled using the actual ships listed. The CSG is moving on a nothern course at 15 knots, under full EMCON, 115 miles off the coast. The maximum range of the Russian Bastion-P coastal missle complex is about 100 miles, we have to assume that the US Navy will sail their ships outside of (possible) Hezbollah radar range. We also assume, as this is a time of very heightened alert, that the US Navy has Rules of Engagement that would allow it to shoot down any Hezbollah drones or craft coming at it with apparent hostile intention. I have assumed this to be 50 miles away from the CSG in this scenario. Now lets look at the Hezbollah side. We assume to have 6 Bastion-P complexes, with 2 missles per Transport-Erector-Launcher (TEL). So if it can be figured out where the CSG is, 12 P-800 Oniks missle with speeds over Mach 2 would be able to engage the CSG. The problem however is, that you can not "shoot" at a ship without knowing its location. While this may sound very simple indeed, when the ship you are looking for does not disclose its location voluntarily, you can not go to "marinetraffic" and look for the carrier. You can also not use your airforce, if you do not really have one, like Hezbollah. You can not use Sattelites, if you have none. You can try to use drones, if you know the overall direction, or use radar. Land based Radar? Out of Range. Drones? Yes, lets fly drones to the overall direction, hoping to see the carrier. Satellites? Nope. Wait, lets ask Putin. He will probably be nice enough to us, to have a liasion tell us in real time from a russian sattelite where the CSG is. And thats what we are running with here, as drones will not reach the carrier. A russian sattelite could provide rather real time information on the CSG location, allowing manual targeting. The video will provide you with the results. A US CSG with such powerful escorts will not be fundamentally threatened by the assets of Hezbollah. It will have to defend, but will do so rather easily. At the conclusion of the Engagement, the CSG still has literally 100s of SM-2, SM-6 and ESSM Missles. Note: this is done on commercially available software, the software uses NTDS/APP6 icons, white is air radar range, yellow surface, green sonar. The white cones off the missles are their onboard active radar seeker. If you have any questions understanding any of the things displyed, please ask. Note that this is a hobby analysis with publicly available data and tools, and not military research. Thanks for reading! #usnavy #HezbollahTerrorists #hezbullah #hezbollah #israel #IsraelUnderAttack #ukraine #russia #nato Naval News SubBrief Tyler Rogoway Status-6 (War & Military News) TheIntelFrog @CovertShores Raw Combat log output, starting with Hezbollah detecting CSG via RU Proxy: 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1070 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1071 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1072 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1073 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1145.4nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1074 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1153.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1075 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1148nm 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1073 has been positively identified as: DDG 63 Carney [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1121 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1071 has been positively identified as: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1070 has been positively identified as: CVN 78 Gerald R. Ford - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1072 has been positively identified as: DDG 61 Ramage [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1074 has been positively identified as: DDG 80 Roosevelt [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1129 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1075 has been positively identified as: CG 60 Normandy [Ticonderoga Baseline 3, VLS] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1124 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #24 has been classified as: Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 56.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #26 has been classified as: Shahed-161 UAV - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 34.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3507 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.2nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3508 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3509 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.6nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3510 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.8nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3511 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3512 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3513 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3514 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 98nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3515 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.2nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3576 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 68deg - 91nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3577 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 89.9nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3578 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 90.7nm 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - Side 'Hezbollah' is now considered HOSTILE to USA 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - [USA] Contact: Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:20 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #22 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:55 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1238 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 10nm 13/10/2023 12:48:59 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1243 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 8.6nm 13/10/2023 12:49:00 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1245 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 234deg - 13.3nm 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #40 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 36% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Intercept angle is 304 deg - hit probability adjusted to 25%.Final PH: 25%. Result: 30 - MISS 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1238 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:25 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1271 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 248deg - 13.1nm 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #41 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 51 deg - hit probability adjusted to 65%.Final PH: 65%. Result: 12 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1271 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #23 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #42 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 313 deg - hit probability adjusted to 66%.Final PH: 66%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1243 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #24 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #43 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 65 deg - hit probability adjusted to 57%.Final PH: 57%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1245 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #25 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:54 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1301 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 258deg - 10.5nm 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #44 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 83% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Target signature modifier: -5% (Director [Active Radar Seeker] has tech-gen: Late 2010s). Intercept angle is 316 deg - hit probability adjusted to 59%.Final PH: 59%. Result: 42 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89 DPs 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1301 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:51:58 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3507 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3508 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3509 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3511 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3510 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3512 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3513 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3577 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3514 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3515 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3576 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3578 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #45 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #28 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3507 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #46 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #29 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 31 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3508 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #49 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #32 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 36 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3511 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #52 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #31 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 9 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3515 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3510 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #50 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #30 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 356 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 25 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3509 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #55 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #33 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 20 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3576 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3512 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:13 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #47 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:14 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #48 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #36 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 0 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 71 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3515 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #60 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #34 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 360 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 49 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3513 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #51 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #54 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #58 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 75 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3576 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #63 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 359 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 57 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3514 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3577 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #53 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #56 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #61 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #35 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 63 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3514 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #73 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #39 with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 88%.Final PH: 88%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3578 has been lost.
9:08

Hezbollah has been boasting how it could destroy the USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) and its escorts. Lets dive into how Hezbollah Terrorists could attack a US Navy Aircraft carrier in the Med, what could happen, and the possible outcomes, assisted with Command Development Team simulation software. To understand the footage shown, let me break down some basic concepts of modern naval combat: Military ships often use a concept called "EMCON", which stands for EMission CONtrol, or "Radio silence" in laymans terms. Consider it like this: if you are with a flashlight in the night, you can spot a person say 500 Meters away by shining at him with the flashlight. You will however, be able to see that flashlight from many kilometers away, without being seen, even if it is directed at you, giving you the location of the person with the flashlight, without disclosing your presence. So ships really avoid "radio emissions", such as radar. Carrier Strike Groups (CSG) like the Ford CSG WANT Radar coverage for their own safety, but not in a way that their location can be known. This is done by Airplanes that fly in the general vicinity of the CSG, providing coverage, without compromising the CSG location. The US Navy uses the E-2 Hawkeye for this in most cases. In this case here, we are not using the E-2 Hawkeye, but the (likely in Theater anyway) E-3 Sentry from NATO. A system that is likely LESS sophisticated than the cutting edge E-2D Advanced Hawkeyes that were visible on the USS Ford pictures that surfaced recently. We do not simulate any carrier based "Combat Air Patrol" either, to test the "ship based" defenses. The composition of the Ford CSG is modeled using the actual ships listed. The CSG is moving on a nothern course at 15 knots, under full EMCON, 115 miles off the coast. The maximum range of the Russian Bastion-P coastal missle complex is about 100 miles, we have to assume that the US Navy will sail their ships outside of (possible) Hezbollah radar range. We also assume, as this is a time of very heightened alert, that the US Navy has Rules of Engagement that would allow it to shoot down any Hezbollah drones or craft coming at it with apparent hostile intention. I have assumed this to be 50 miles away from the CSG in this scenario. Now lets look at the Hezbollah side. We assume to have 6 Bastion-P complexes, with 2 missles per Transport-Erector-Launcher (TEL). So if it can be figured out where the CSG is, 12 P-800 Oniks missle with speeds over Mach 2 would be able to engage the CSG. The problem however is, that you can not "shoot" at a ship without knowing its location. While this may sound very simple indeed, when the ship you are looking for does not disclose its location voluntarily, you can not go to "marinetraffic" and look for the carrier. You can also not use your airforce, if you do not really have one, like Hezbollah. You can not use Sattelites, if you have none. You can try to use drones, if you know the overall direction, or use radar. Land based Radar? Out of Range. Drones? Yes, lets fly drones to the overall direction, hoping to see the carrier. Satellites? Nope. Wait, lets ask Putin. He will probably be nice enough to us, to have a liasion tell us in real time from a russian sattelite where the CSG is. And thats what we are running with here, as drones will not reach the carrier. A russian sattelite could provide rather real time information on the CSG location, allowing manual targeting. The video will provide you with the results. A US CSG with such powerful escorts will not be fundamentally threatened by the assets of Hezbollah. It will have to defend, but will do so rather easily. At the conclusion of the Engagement, the CSG still has literally 100s of SM-2, SM-6 and ESSM Missles. Note: this is done on commercially available software, the software uses NTDS/APP6 icons, white is air radar range, yellow surface, green sonar. The white cones off the missles are their onboard active radar seeker. If you have any questions understanding any of the things displyed, please ask. Note that this is a hobby analysis with publicly available data and tools, and not military research. Thanks for reading! #usnavy #HezbollahTerrorists #hezbullah #hezbollah #israel #IsraelUnderAttack #ukraine #russia #nato Naval News SubBrief Tyler Rogoway Status-6 (War & Military News) TheIntelFrog @CovertShores Raw Combat log output, starting with Hezbollah detecting CSG via RU Proxy: 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1070 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1071 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1072 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1149.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1073 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1145.4nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1074 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1153.3nm 13/10/2023 12:46:13 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SKUNK #1075 - Detected by Resurs P1 [Sensors: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at 177deg - 1148nm 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1073 has been positively identified as: DDG 63 Carney [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1121 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1071 has been positively identified as: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1070 has been positively identified as: CVN 78 Gerald R. Ford - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1072 has been positively identified as: DDG 61 Ramage [Arleigh Burke Flight I] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1125 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1074 has been positively identified as: DDG 80 Roosevelt [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1129 nm) 13/10/2023 12:46:23 - [Hezbollah] Contact: SKUNK #1075 has been positively identified as: CG 60 Normandy [Ticonderoga Baseline 3, VLS] - Determined as: Hostile (ID by: Resurs P1 [Sensor: Generic Satellite Visual Camera] at Estimated 1124 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #24 has been classified as: Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 56.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:23 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #26 has been classified as: Shahed-161 UAV - Determined as: Unfriendly (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: AN/SPY-1D(V) MFR [ABM Mod]] [NCTR mode] at 34.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3507 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.2nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3508 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3509 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 95.6nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3510 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.8nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3511 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3512 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 96.4nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3513 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.1nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3514 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 98nm 13/10/2023 12:47:52 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3515 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 70deg - 97.2nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3576 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 68deg - 91nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3577 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 89.9nm 13/10/2023 12:48:12 - [USA] New contact! Designated VAMPIRE #3578 - Detected by E-3A Sentry [Sensors: AN/APY-2 RSIP] at 69deg - 90.7nm 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - Side 'Hezbollah' is now considered HOSTILE to USA 13/10/2023 12:48:13 - [USA] Contact: Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:20 - [USA] Contact: BOGEY #22 has been manually marked as hostile! 13/10/2023 12:48:55 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1238 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 10nm 13/10/2023 12:48:59 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1243 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 266deg - 8.6nm 13/10/2023 12:49:00 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1245 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 234deg - 13.3nm 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #40 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 36% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Intercept angle is 304 deg - hit probability adjusted to 25%.Final PH: 25%. Result: 30 - MISS 13/10/2023 12:49:17 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1238 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:25 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1271 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 248deg - 13.1nm 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #41 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 51 deg - hit probability adjusted to 65%.Final PH: 65%. Result: 12 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1271 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:34 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #23 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #42 is attacking Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 313 deg - hit probability adjusted to 66%.Final PH: 66%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1243 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [Hezbollah] Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:39 - [USA] Contact Ababil-3 UAV [Mod. Seeker 2D Copy] #24 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IB #43 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 65 deg - hit probability adjusted to 57%.Final PH: 57%. Result: 11 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89.9 DPs 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1245 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:49:43 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #25 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:49:54 - [Hezbollah] New contact! Designated SAM #1301 - Detected by Shahed-161 UAV [Sensors: Generic IRST] at 258deg - 10.5nm 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #44 is attacking Shahed-161 UAV with a base PH of 90%. PH adjusted for weapon speed: 83% (pure-aerodynamic attitude control). Target signature modifier: -5% (Director [Active Radar Seeker] has tech-gen: Late 2010s). Intercept angle is 316 deg - hit probability adjusted to 59%.Final PH: 59%. Result: 42 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has suffered weapon damage: 89 DPs 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Hezbollah :Contact SAM #1301 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [Hezbollah] Shahed-161 UAV has been destroyed! 13/10/2023 12:50:10 - [USA] Contact Shahed-161 UAV #26 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:51:58 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3507 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3508 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3509 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:51:59 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3511 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3510 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:00 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3512 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3513 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:04 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3577 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3514 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:05 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3515 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3576 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 13.9 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:06 - [USA] Contact: VAMPIRE #3578 has been type-classified as: GuidedWeapon (Classification by: DDG 116 Thomas Hudner [Arleigh Burke Flight IIA Technology Insertion] [Sensor: Mk46 Mod 1 [CCD]] at 14 nm) 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #45 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #28 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:08 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3507 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #46 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #29 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 31 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:09 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3508 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #49 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #32 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 36 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3511 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #52 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #31 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 9 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3515 13/10/2023 12:52:11 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3510 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #50 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #30 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 356 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 25 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3509 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #55 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #33 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 20 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3576 13/10/2023 12:52:12 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3512 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:13 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #47 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:14 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #48 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #57 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #36 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 0 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 71 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:15 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3515 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #60 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #34 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 360 deg - hit probability adjusted to 80%.Final PH: 80%. Result: 49 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3513 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #51 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #54 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #58 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #59 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 357 deg - hit probability adjusted to 78%.Final PH: 78%. Result: 75 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3576 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #63 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #38 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 359 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 57 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 has been redirected to new target: GuidedWeapon #3514 13/10/2023 12:52:16 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3577 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #53 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #65 has no eligible alternative target to be redirected to... 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #56 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:17 - [USA] Weapon: RIM-162D ESSM #61 is running blind for more than 5 sec... self-destructing. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-162A ESSM #70 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #35 with a base PH of 90%. Target speed modifier: -10%. Intercept angle is 358 deg - hit probability adjusted to 79%.Final PH: 79%. Result: 63 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3514 has been lost. 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - Weapon: RIM-174A ERAM SM-6 Blk IA #73 is attacking SSC-5 Stooge [P-800 Yakhont] #39 with a base PH of 90%. Intercept angle is 355 deg - hit probability adjusted to 88%.Final PH: 88%. Result: 34 - HIT 13/10/2023 12:52:18 - [USA] Contact GuidedWeapon #3578 has been lost.

C Schmitz

47,464 次观看 • 2 年前

I spoke with Prof. Arora (Pooja Arora) about how the postwar norm against aggressive war drove decades of declining violence—and how today’s “might makes right” politics, embraced by leaders like Putin and Trump, now threaten that hard-won peace. Me: The norm that countries do not go to war except in self-defense and with authorization of the UN Security Council has been rejected both by Putin and Trump. Of course, there were often violations of that in the past, including the United States invading Iraq, for example. So it’s not as if that norm was always followed. But still, it was a change from hundreds—maybe thousands—of years of history, and that norm, I think, does deserve credit for the decline of interstate and great-power war since World War II. In my books The Better Angels of Our Nature and Enlightenment Now, I’ve plotted the rate of battle deaths since 1946. I don’t know if my image is reversed or not—whether it goes left to right from your point of view—but it goes down. It has ups and downs, and in the last couple of years, because of the wars you pointed to—Ukraine, Gaza, and even more so East Africa, in Sudan and Ethiopia—there has been an uptick. Still, that uptick has not wiped out all the progress we’ve made. We are still at a more peaceful time than in the 50s, 60s, 70s, or 80s. We’re back to around the late 1990s level. But it has gotten somewhat worse, and it could get worse still if that norm is permanently shattered. It is certainly being threatened. We don’t know whether it will reassert itself—given that Ukraine has been very costly to Russia, and given that Donald Trump says a lot of things he doesn’t do. I still think it’s unlikely the United States will apply military force in Greenland. But there’s no question the norm is being threatened, and I do think it’s a serious risk to world peace. Pooja Arora: It just appears that realism is back with a bang, and that “might makes right” may win. Me: Well, it is back, certainly. And the Trump administration is very explicit about that. They have basically said “might is right.” The question is, will that prevail? It might. On the other hand, there were good reasons to have the liberal international order—namely, that it prevented war. And wars, as the bumper sticker from my childhood said, are not healthy for children or other living things. There are huge disadvantages to war. Countries get tired of them. People revolt against governments that engage in them. We’re seeing that in Iran right now. One grievance is that the ayatollahs have wasted national resources on proxy wars across the Middle East at the expense of their people. There could very well be a backlash in the United States if it gets involved in wars and American soldiers start losing their lives. So yes, there is a definite movement toward what’s called realism. I think it’s a bad term, because I don’t think it’s particularly realistic. It’s actually quite realistic to believe that avoiding stupid wars is a much better path to prosperity and well-being. Still, cynical, zero-sum competition is being embraced by major world leaders. The question is whether the disadvantages will ultimately bring the liberal international order back. The European Union is still committed to it, as is much of the rest of the world, East Asia. So it’s not dead—but it is certainly threatened.
4:13

I spoke with Prof. Arora (Pooja Arora) about how the postwar norm against aggressive war drove decades of declining violence—and how today’s “might makes right” politics, embraced by leaders like Putin and Trump, now threaten that hard-won peace. Me: The norm that countries do not go to war except in self-defense and with authorization of the UN Security Council has been rejected both by Putin and Trump. Of course, there were often violations of that in the past, including the United States invading Iraq, for example. So it’s not as if that norm was always followed. But still, it was a change from hundreds—maybe thousands—of years of history, and that norm, I think, does deserve credit for the decline of interstate and great-power war since World War II. In my books The Better Angels of Our Nature and Enlightenment Now, I’ve plotted the rate of battle deaths since 1946. I don’t know if my image is reversed or not—whether it goes left to right from your point of view—but it goes down. It has ups and downs, and in the last couple of years, because of the wars you pointed to—Ukraine, Gaza, and even more so East Africa, in Sudan and Ethiopia—there has been an uptick. Still, that uptick has not wiped out all the progress we’ve made. We are still at a more peaceful time than in the 50s, 60s, 70s, or 80s. We’re back to around the late 1990s level. But it has gotten somewhat worse, and it could get worse still if that norm is permanently shattered. It is certainly being threatened. We don’t know whether it will reassert itself—given that Ukraine has been very costly to Russia, and given that Donald Trump says a lot of things he doesn’t do. I still think it’s unlikely the United States will apply military force in Greenland. But there’s no question the norm is being threatened, and I do think it’s a serious risk to world peace. Pooja Arora: It just appears that realism is back with a bang, and that “might makes right” may win. Me: Well, it is back, certainly. And the Trump administration is very explicit about that. They have basically said “might is right.” The question is, will that prevail? It might. On the other hand, there were good reasons to have the liberal international order—namely, that it prevented war. And wars, as the bumper sticker from my childhood said, are not healthy for children or other living things. There are huge disadvantages to war. Countries get tired of them. People revolt against governments that engage in them. We’re seeing that in Iran right now. One grievance is that the ayatollahs have wasted national resources on proxy wars across the Middle East at the expense of their people. There could very well be a backlash in the United States if it gets involved in wars and American soldiers start losing their lives. So yes, there is a definite movement toward what’s called realism. I think it’s a bad term, because I don’t think it’s particularly realistic. It’s actually quite realistic to believe that avoiding stupid wars is a much better path to prosperity and well-being. Still, cynical, zero-sum competition is being embraced by major world leaders. The question is whether the disadvantages will ultimately bring the liberal international order back. The European Union is still committed to it, as is much of the rest of the world, East Asia. So it’s not dead—but it is certainly threatened.

Steven Pinker

89,098 次观看 • 6 个月前

[MUST WATCH] Chris Hani To Young Muzi Sikhakhane: Here’s R1500, Ntwanaka. Go Back To School; This ANC Will Not Always Be What You Guys Think It Is Adv. Sikhakhane In 🔥 Moya Conversation With One and Only, Amazing Podcaster NtsikiMazwaiMedia. A Conversation For History Books. “In fact, Chris Hani, after my — Aubrey Matshiqi and I were arrested for MK activities — At the end of it, Chris (Hani) actually told me ‘why don’t you go back to school… and he gave me some R1500. I don’t know what you’d do with that, but I did register. He had bailed me out… He said, next year, go back to school. This ANC will not always be what you guys think it is. [And] That’s how I went back to Wits.” “I’ve been witnessing this despiritualization of the African person… missionaries de-identifying an African and making us dislike ourselves; people think we have freedom but we do continue to dance to the rhythm of the status quo; the colonial project succeeds not because it had military power. Ir succeeds because it has one of the most powerful force on earth… To own somebody’s mind, to change their thinking; to make them believe, as most Black people believe, that they are inferior… they must; that they must live a life in which they must run away from Africaness, because they think it is inferior.” “If you really look at people who fight for power, it’s people with no professional options… it’s people to whom politics is not service. It’s another way of making money; it’s a job… We must be slightly sympathetic, because the type of activist you get when the reward is death and detention, is not the same as the type of activist you get when the reward is a tender and a nice job, and money… Activists have always been few.” “Even in law, we’ve not changed anything; we’ve just adapted to neoliberal notions of constitutionalism… Law students are activists when they are at law school, but their activism hardly outlast graduation. Go anywhere. Lawyers actually frown upon activism, but at law school they were activists. It’s because when they get out out of university… Law is a study that teaches you to conform, rather than to change; to critique. The ability to critique is left at law school… Once there’s money, etc., it teaches us to follow precedent.” “As educated as I am, I’ve learnt to respect, more deeply, people who didn’t go to (traditional/formal) school. I’ve learnt to appreciate my mother and those rural women and men, who didn’t go to school, because my interaction with educated people, as I do, everyday, leaves me depressed… It is the most educated that have been assimilated into whiteness. So much so, that they are unconscious about it; because it comes clothed as education, as sophistication. Post-colonial countries don’t move forward, because the so called enlightened are probably the most damaged human being — about who they are — we live our lives trying to demonstrate how un-African we are.” “That pattern continues, today. When you challenge whiteness, it’s Black people who feel embarrassed.” 🖇️ —— Let’s Contribute, So Our Queen Can Continue Blessing Us With This Rich, Needed Content: “This is a self funded project, please do your bit? CA Ntsiki Mazwai Media Account number 630 392 398 92 Branch code 250 655 First National Bank or
1:59

[MUST WATCH] Chris Hani To Young Muzi Sikhakhane: Here’s R1500, Ntwanaka. Go Back To School; This ANC Will Not Always Be What You Guys Think It Is Adv. Sikhakhane In 🔥 Moya Conversation With One and Only, Amazing Podcaster NtsikiMazwaiMedia. A Conversation For History Books. “In fact, Chris Hani, after my — Aubrey Matshiqi and I were arrested for MK activities — At the end of it, Chris (Hani) actually told me ‘why don’t you go back to school… and he gave me some R1500. I don’t know what you’d do with that, but I did register. He had bailed me out… He said, next year, go back to school. This ANC will not always be what you guys think it is. [And] That’s how I went back to Wits.” “I’ve been witnessing this despiritualization of the African person… missionaries de-identifying an African and making us dislike ourselves; people think we have freedom but we do continue to dance to the rhythm of the status quo; the colonial project succeeds not because it had military power. Ir succeeds because it has one of the most powerful force on earth… To own somebody’s mind, to change their thinking; to make them believe, as most Black people believe, that they are inferior… they must; that they must live a life in which they must run away from Africaness, because they think it is inferior.” “If you really look at people who fight for power, it’s people with no professional options… it’s people to whom politics is not service. It’s another way of making money; it’s a job… We must be slightly sympathetic, because the type of activist you get when the reward is death and detention, is not the same as the type of activist you get when the reward is a tender and a nice job, and money… Activists have always been few.” “Even in law, we’ve not changed anything; we’ve just adapted to neoliberal notions of constitutionalism… Law students are activists when they are at law school, but their activism hardly outlast graduation. Go anywhere. Lawyers actually frown upon activism, but at law school they were activists. It’s because when they get out out of university… Law is a study that teaches you to conform, rather than to change; to critique. The ability to critique is left at law school… Once there’s money, etc., it teaches us to follow precedent.” “As educated as I am, I’ve learnt to respect, more deeply, people who didn’t go to (traditional/formal) school. I’ve learnt to appreciate my mother and those rural women and men, who didn’t go to school, because my interaction with educated people, as I do, everyday, leaves me depressed… It is the most educated that have been assimilated into whiteness. So much so, that they are unconscious about it; because it comes clothed as education, as sophistication. Post-colonial countries don’t move forward, because the so called enlightened are probably the most damaged human being — about who they are — we live our lives trying to demonstrate how un-African we are.” “That pattern continues, today. When you challenge whiteness, it’s Black people who feel embarrassed.” 🖇️ —— Let’s Contribute, So Our Queen Can Continue Blessing Us With This Rich, Needed Content: “This is a self funded project, please do your bit? CA Ntsiki Mazwai Media Account number 630 392 398 92 Branch code 250 655 First National Bank or

Mr. Tshweu

730,273 次观看 • 2 年前

UPDATE: An update on Serbian SF Nikola Kusturica. Kentucky, Michigan, and UCLA are the 3 programs positioned the best coming down the stretch, I’ve been told. After speaking with a few Gonzaga Sources, it’s been reiterated to me multiple times that Gonzaga is not believed to be involved anymore, and have moved on to other potential targets. “I think it’s Kentucky, or Michigan if this is a bidding war. They’ve seemed to have pivoted to secondary guards. I think while Gonzaga staff is high on him, they won’t pay more than $3m for a guy who they think should be playing 15mpg” Also added: “What I’ve heard is his camp is actually asking for a minute restriction in year 1” Michigan has a rotational need for him, and the pitch is quite clear, their offer has also raised in the last few days, I’ve been told, but is still significantly less than what Kentucky is offering Nikola. From a Michigan Source: “Dusty has been pursuing Nikola really hard. Given LJ, Lincoln will be missing the entire season, potentially starting a 6’4 SG at SF, and the bench being filled with lower rated True Freshman, or unproven redshirt guys, they’ve really picked up the pressure on trying to land this kid. They view him as at the least an immediate bench contributor year 1, if not the starting Wing. I can’t say for sure on the numbers obviously, but they’ve supposedly raised it, it’s still not close to what Kentucky Is offering, we’ve heard $3.5m/$4.5m is the raised UM offer. (UK is supposedly offering $5.5m/$6m) The role/pitch, sacrificing a little $ to compete for National Championships, Yaxel Role has been their selling points.” From a UCLA Source: “Coaches did zoom with him and his reps. I think UCLA would love to get him, but he’d almost certainly be a rotational piece, don’t think he starts over TP or Eric, and I’m not sure they can offer even close to what Kentucky, and others likely are. UCLA only has 1 spot left, they pretty much tapped the NIL. I think the main thing really going for them is they’re supposedly being flexible with that 2nd year and locking him in now, v what every other school is definitely trying to do.” That 2nd year is also a really big point of emphasis right now for all schools involved. Nearly every program is making sure they have both years completely locked in, and won’t have to worry about potential transfer drama, contract disputes, etc next off season. A return to FC Barcelona has been on the table, but given the current college offers, has become extremely unlikely, ive been told. Spire Academy/Prep School in America is basically not an option anymore, everyone said that. Kentucky can still get this done, and the consensus from everyone I’ve spoken with stays the same, he will be a Kentucky Wildcat. but at the same time, Michigan has really positioned themselves well here with a strong late push and you cannot count them out just yet, and UCLA could potentially make it interesting with contractual language being more favorable. Nikola will be playing in the FIBA U17 World Cup from June 27th-July 5th, a decision is expected to come by then, I’ve been told by 2 international sources. especially with the schools needing to begin the enrollment process ASAP. #BBN #KentuckyBasketball
1:42

UPDATE: An update on Serbian SF Nikola Kusturica. Kentucky, Michigan, and UCLA are the 3 programs positioned the best coming down the stretch, I’ve been told. After speaking with a few Gonzaga Sources, it’s been reiterated to me multiple times that Gonzaga is not believed to be involved anymore, and have moved on to other potential targets. “I think it’s Kentucky, or Michigan if this is a bidding war. They’ve seemed to have pivoted to secondary guards. I think while Gonzaga staff is high on him, they won’t pay more than $3m for a guy who they think should be playing 15mpg” Also added: “What I’ve heard is his camp is actually asking for a minute restriction in year 1” Michigan has a rotational need for him, and the pitch is quite clear, their offer has also raised in the last few days, I’ve been told, but is still significantly less than what Kentucky is offering Nikola. From a Michigan Source: “Dusty has been pursuing Nikola really hard. Given LJ, Lincoln will be missing the entire season, potentially starting a 6’4 SG at SF, and the bench being filled with lower rated True Freshman, or unproven redshirt guys, they’ve really picked up the pressure on trying to land this kid. They view him as at the least an immediate bench contributor year 1, if not the starting Wing. I can’t say for sure on the numbers obviously, but they’ve supposedly raised it, it’s still not close to what Kentucky Is offering, we’ve heard $3.5m/$4.5m is the raised UM offer. (UK is supposedly offering $5.5m/$6m) The role/pitch, sacrificing a little $ to compete for National Championships, Yaxel Role has been their selling points.” From a UCLA Source: “Coaches did zoom with him and his reps. I think UCLA would love to get him, but he’d almost certainly be a rotational piece, don’t think he starts over TP or Eric, and I’m not sure they can offer even close to what Kentucky, and others likely are. UCLA only has 1 spot left, they pretty much tapped the NIL. I think the main thing really going for them is they’re supposedly being flexible with that 2nd year and locking him in now, v what every other school is definitely trying to do.” That 2nd year is also a really big point of emphasis right now for all schools involved. Nearly every program is making sure they have both years completely locked in, and won’t have to worry about potential transfer drama, contract disputes, etc next off season. A return to FC Barcelona has been on the table, but given the current college offers, has become extremely unlikely, ive been told. Spire Academy/Prep School in America is basically not an option anymore, everyone said that. Kentucky can still get this done, and the consensus from everyone I’ve spoken with stays the same, he will be a Kentucky Wildcat. but at the same time, Michigan has really positioned themselves well here with a strong late push and you cannot count them out just yet, and UCLA could potentially make it interesting with contractual language being more favorable. Nikola will be playing in the FIBA U17 World Cup from June 27th-July 5th, a decision is expected to come by then, I’ve been told by 2 international sources. especially with the schools needing to begin the enrollment process ASAP. #BBN #KentuckyBasketball

Dylan

271,835 次观看 • 1 个月前

Was especially curious to ask Andrej Karpathy why self-driving cars took a decade+ from stellar demo rides to even somewhat deployed. Andrej led AI at Tesla for 5 years. I really wanted to know whether these frictions should lengthen our AGI timelines, or whether they were idiosyncratic to self driving. Driving has a really high cost of failure. Humans are surprisingly reliable drivers - we have a serious accident every 400,000 miles/7 years. And self-driving cars need to match or beat this safety profile before they can be deployed. But are most domains like this? Before the interview, it seemed to me that almost every domain we would want to plug AGI into has a much lower cost of failure. If fully autonomous software engineers weren’t allowed to make a mistake for 7 years, deployment would indeed be super slow. Andrej made an interesting point that I hadn’t heard before: compared to self driving, software engineering has a higher (and potentially unbounded) cost of failure: > If you’re writing actual production-grade code, any kind of mistake could lead to a security vulnerability. Hundreds of millions of people’s personal Social Security numbers could get leaked. > In self-driving, if things go wrong, you might get injured. There are worse outcomes. But in software, it’s almost unbounded how terrible something could be. > In some ways, software engineering is a much harder problem [than self driving]. Self-driving is just one of thousands of things that people do. It’s almost like a single vertical. Whereas when we’re talking about general software engineering, there’s more surface area. There’s potentially another reason why the LLM -> widely deployed AGI transition might happen much faster: LLMs give us perception, representations, and common sense (to deal with out of distribution examples) for free, whereas these had to be molded from scratch for self-driving cars. I asked Andrej about this: > I don’t know how much we’re getting for free. LLMs are still pretty fallible and they have a lot of gaps that still need to be filled in. I don’t think that we’re getting magical generalization completely out of the box. > The other aspect that I wanted to return to is that self-driving cars are nowhere near done still. The deployments are pretty minimal. Even Waymo has very few cars. They’ve built something that lives in the future. They’ve had to pull back the future, but they had to make it uneconomical. > Also, when you look at these cars and there’s no one driving, there’s more human-in-the-loop than you might expect. In some sense, we haven’t actually removed the person, we’ve moved them to somewhere where you can’t see them.
4:06

Was especially curious to ask Andrej Karpathy why self-driving cars took a decade+ from stellar demo rides to even somewhat deployed. Andrej led AI at Tesla for 5 years. I really wanted to know whether these frictions should lengthen our AGI timelines, or whether they were idiosyncratic to self driving. Driving has a really high cost of failure. Humans are surprisingly reliable drivers - we have a serious accident every 400,000 miles/7 years. And self-driving cars need to match or beat this safety profile before they can be deployed. But are most domains like this? Before the interview, it seemed to me that almost every domain we would want to plug AGI into has a much lower cost of failure. If fully autonomous software engineers weren’t allowed to make a mistake for 7 years, deployment would indeed be super slow. Andrej made an interesting point that I hadn’t heard before: compared to self driving, software engineering has a higher (and potentially unbounded) cost of failure: > If you’re writing actual production-grade code, any kind of mistake could lead to a security vulnerability. Hundreds of millions of people’s personal Social Security numbers could get leaked. > In self-driving, if things go wrong, you might get injured. There are worse outcomes. But in software, it’s almost unbounded how terrible something could be. > In some ways, software engineering is a much harder problem [than self driving]. Self-driving is just one of thousands of things that people do. It’s almost like a single vertical. Whereas when we’re talking about general software engineering, there’s more surface area. There’s potentially another reason why the LLM -> widely deployed AGI transition might happen much faster: LLMs give us perception, representations, and common sense (to deal with out of distribution examples) for free, whereas these had to be molded from scratch for self-driving cars. I asked Andrej about this: > I don’t know how much we’re getting for free. LLMs are still pretty fallible and they have a lot of gaps that still need to be filled in. I don’t think that we’re getting magical generalization completely out of the box. > The other aspect that I wanted to return to is that self-driving cars are nowhere near done still. The deployments are pretty minimal. Even Waymo has very few cars. They’ve built something that lives in the future. They’ve had to pull back the future, but they had to make it uneconomical. > Also, when you look at these cars and there’s no one driving, there’s more human-in-the-loop than you might expect. In some sense, we haven’t actually removed the person, we’ve moved them to somewhere where you can’t see them.

Dwarkesh Patel

134,870 次观看 • 9 个月前