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Best Game Changer PRESETS based off associated animations Julius Randle ➡️ Randle shot, PG escape Shawn Marion ➡️ Marion shot on quick, Trae escape Paul Pierce ➡️ Pierce shot, Coby White BTB Rest of the animations are unusable or ass…

53,819 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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IRAN FIRED BALLISTIC MISSILES AT A U.S. CARRIER — NANCE SAYS IT WAS A WARNING, NOT A KILL SHOT CENTCOM admitted Iran fired ballistic missiles — not cruise missiles — at a U.S. aircraft carrier near Hormuz. The USS Washington executed an evasion maneuver. IRGC then claimed the carrier and a destroyer were hit, damaged, and forced to flee. Malcolm Nance, former U.S. Navy senior chief and naval intelligence officer, sat with Mario Nawfal and drew a hard line between the shot, the propaganda, and what it would actually take to sink a carrier. THE SHOT ➡️ CENTCOM confirmed ballistic missiles were aimed at the carrier group, and the Washington maneuvered to avoid them. ➡️ IRGC claimed both the carrier and a destroyer were damaged and driven out of the engagement area. ➡️ Nance’s split verdict is blunt: he believes they were forced to leave the box. He does not believe they were damaged. THE HALF-TRUTH ➡️ Nance says Iran’s pattern is always the same: verify one real act, then pile a lie on top of it. ➡️ “The best form of propaganda is a truth, a half-truth capitalized by a lie.” ➡️ That is why a few ballistic missiles get sold as a carrier kill. The launch happened. The Hollywood ending did not. WHY FIVE MISSILES IS NOT A SINK ATTEMPT ➡️ Mario argued Iran would not try a real carrier kill with two or three rounds. Nance said Mario won that debate. ➡️ A serious attempt, in Nance’s math, looks like a massive coordinated salvo — he used the extreme of hundreds of missiles plus drones punching through the screen. ➡️ Five ballistic missiles is not that. “That’s not even attempting it.” ➡️ He calls yesterday’s fire technically warning shots: get off Fujairah, sit farther south near Salalah, do not loiter inside easy range. WHAT ACTUALLY KILLS A CARRIER ➡️ Ballistic missiles launched from Iran give the Navy about 20 to 30 minutes of warning. Computers plot the box while the bird is still climbing. ➡️ Aegis destroyers sit on the carrier with dozens of interceptors. Hitting those escorts is already hard. Hitting the carrier through them with a handful of rounds is harder. ➡️ Carriers die from fire, not from a clean hole in the paint. Nance’s yardstick is the Forrestal blaze and World War II hanger-deck disasters: a lucky pierce, ammunition cooking off, a conflagration eating stem to stern. ➡️ One or two hits can wreck aircraft, shut the flight deck, and send the ship running for Diego Garcia. That is not the same as sinking 6,000 sailors. ➡️ If Iran ever “lost their mind” and actually burned a carrier, Nance’s read is the United States does not climb back down the ladder. A carrier is one-twelfth of U.S. strike aviation. That is the line he will not treat as a game. THE NEW REALITY IN HORMUZ ➡️ This is not Nance’s young-sailor Gulf, when the Navy hunted Boghammers and expected to dominate the strait. ➡️ Hormuz at its narrowest is 21 to 32 nautical miles. You can see both sides. Iran can now touch U.S. ships in a way almost nobody believed before this war. ➡️ “Now they have the capacity to sink us, not just hurt us.” ➡️ That is why he is glad CENTCOM’s naval side is not taking dumb risk just to look tough. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran launched ballistic missiles at a U.S. carrier. The carrier moved. The damage claim is propaganda stacked on a real shot. Five missiles is a warning. A real kill shot is a different war — and Nance’s point is that Iran already proved it can reach the deck if someone is stupid enough to keep the ship in the wrong box. #Iran #USSWashington #Hormuz #MalcolmNance #USNavy #BallisticMissiles #CarrierGroup HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Mario Nawfal

Mark

71,392 次观看 • 24 天前

13 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY SHUT IN: WHY A FULL STOCK MARKET CRASH IS UNAVOIDABLE IN WEEKS Over the last few days, I have been looking closely at the oil market and why this commodity is so immensely important to our economy. I can only come to one conclusion: the global stock market is facing an imminent and drastic correction. The greatest energy supply shock in history is now manifesting itself in concrete terms in the form of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and massive production losses. This shock cannot be averted by peace talks, as oil reserves have been depleted and the delays in recovery are insurmountable. The markets continue to react with dangerous complacency to the withdrawal of fundamental subsidies. THE INVISIBLE OIL SUBSIDY ➡️ Oil is not just fuel but ancient solar energy stored in a super-dense liquid battery. ➡️ One barrel of oil replaces approximately five years of human labor powering our entire economy. ➡️ At global scale this creates roughly 100 fossil-powered ghost workers behind every living worker on Earth. ➡️ This invisible army underwrote every economic miracle of the last 150 years from exploding wealth to population growth. THE PHYSICAL SHOCK HAS ALREADY LANDED ➡️ Around 13 million barrels per day have been shut in for weeks destroying hundreds of millions of barrels. ➡️ Even a perfect ceasefire today means 3-month ramp-ups and 25-40 day tanker delays. ➡️ Inventories will hit historic lows by end-May or June as the real pain wave begins. THE DIESEL AND JET KILL SHOT ➡️ Crack spreads have exploded punishing freight agriculture manufacturing and aviation. ➡️ These fuels cannot be quickly substituted leading to rationing talks and immediate surcharges. ➡️ Every sector now faces exploding input costs at once. THE STAGFLATION RECKONING ➡️ Cost-push inflation combines with universal margin squeezes crushing corporate earnings. ➡️ Demand destruction via high prices becomes inevitable collapsing discretionary spending. ➡️ Stretched valuations and high debt loads amplify the panic when reality hits in coming weeks. THE PRIVATE CREDIT LIQUIDITY CRISIS ➡️ High corporate and household debt now meets exploding energy costs and tighter financial conditions. ➡️ Private credit markets and real-estate funds are cracking with early redemption halts emerging. ➡️ Defaults and margin calls risk freezing liquidity in these opaque sectors. ➡️ Forced asset sales could cascade rapidly amplifying the entire market shock. THE PETRODOLLAR FRACTURE AND AI BUBBLE BURST ➡️ The Gulf Cooperation Council recycles massive oil dollars into U.S. equities Treasuries and AI giants — those flows are now disrupted and liquidity is vanishing. ➡️ Even a peace deal cannot fix this because the United States has lost its status as the protective power for these countries destroying confidence forever. ➡️ The massively overvalued AI and tech bubble with Shiller CAPE at 39-40 is set to burst violently as the petrodollar foundation cracks. THE BOTTOM LINE The modern economy floats on an invisible ocean of cheap oil energy that is about to be violently withdrawn. The market is still pricing a quick fix that physics makes impossible. When the data confirms this the repricing will be brutal and sudden. This is the sound of the foundation cracking under global markets. #StockMarketCrash #EnergyShock #HormuzCrisis #OilSubsidy #StagflationAlert #MarketRepricing #GhostWorkers

Mark

161,612 次观看 • 5 个月前

IU Indy’s Gus Etchison has the potential to be one of the best Mid Major players in college basketball heading into this season. Gus for Idaho State last season averaged 9/1/2 in only 13 MPG while shooting 45% from the field and 35% from three on 3 attempts a game. Etchison is one of the quickest guards in the country who’s great at getting to his spots on all 3 levels and scoring with efficiency. Etchison had one of the highest rim rates in the country and was also a high level finisher who shot 62% at the rim. Etchison is also a strong off the dribble creator who has the ability to create space at a high level, and is an elite tough shot maker who can shoot from anywhere on the court. Etchison is also a high level playmaker who has the ability to use his speed and scoring to create plays for his teammates at an elite level, while also having the vision to make strong reads in the PNR or in isolation. Gus had one of the highest assist rates in the country with a 40% AST rate. Etchison’s mix of playmaking, shooting, creation, speed, PNR play, shotmaking, finishing, and handle all helps him be an extremely versatile all around PG who can do a little bit of everything at a strong level. Etchison is one of 3 players since 2008 who had an AST% of 40, and shot 35% from three on 12 attempts a game per 100, joining Trae Young, and Denzel Valentine as the only other players. Etchison was highly productive in a system that didn’t fully fit his game, and is joining, an IU Indy team that fits his style and gives him the chance to be one of the most talented Mid Major players in college basketball next season.

KJ

14,068 次观看 • 1 个月前