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Bitcoin dropped to $93k yesterday and also printed a second TBO Breakdown, which is a bearish explosive prediction symbol from the Trending Breakout indicator. It's interesting to see BTC bounce from this level, but the signs are clear on multiple time frames that BTC is looking more and more...

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Aaron Dishner

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62,656 次观看 • 11 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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BTC stayed put over the weekend and didn't make any new CME Gaps (same for ETH and SOL), plus it even printed a TBO Close Short on the 4-hour time frame (my FAVORITE bullish reversal symbol)! And BTC isn't the only one. TOTALES.D and TOTALE100.D both printed TBO Close Shorts, and even the TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 market cap charts too! I'm expecting ALTs to bounce this week because of these bullish reversal symbols in tight clusters. XMR, TAO, DASH and SYRUP all have valid TBO Breakouts on the 4h and daily time frames, meaning I expect these to continue to have explosive upside continuation. Like I said before, LOTS of charts printed TBO Close Shorts over the weekend: LINK, SHIB, ETC, ASTER, APT, POL, ICP, NEXO, BONK, GRT, IOTA, STRK, ATH and WAL. I wasn't kidding! There are also charts that are looking generally bullish due to price action, RSI, Volume, the TBO, and TBT Bullish Divergences: ADA, ZEC, AAVE, FLR, BORG (surprising, right?), and 0G. ENA and CRV unfortunately printed TBO Breakdowns on their 4h charts over the weekend, which are bearish explosive warning symbols. M, TRUMP and AERO printed TBO Close Longs on their 4-hour charts, putting a brief pause on their previous uptrends. SOL, COAI and XPL are still on my watchlist for desperate price action needed. SOL needs to push up above $190 in order to stay bullish or risk falling below short term support. COAI and XPL are due for a reversal bounce, which I believe is coming soon.
17:16

BTC stayed put over the weekend and didn't make any new CME Gaps (same for ETH and SOL), plus it even printed a TBO Close Short on the 4-hour time frame (my FAVORITE bullish reversal symbol)! And BTC isn't the only one. TOTALES.D and TOTALE100.D both printed TBO Close Shorts, and even the TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 market cap charts too! I'm expecting ALTs to bounce this week because of these bullish reversal symbols in tight clusters. XMR, TAO, DASH and SYRUP all have valid TBO Breakouts on the 4h and daily time frames, meaning I expect these to continue to have explosive upside continuation. Like I said before, LOTS of charts printed TBO Close Shorts over the weekend: LINK, SHIB, ETC, ASTER, APT, POL, ICP, NEXO, BONK, GRT, IOTA, STRK, ATH and WAL. I wasn't kidding! There are also charts that are looking generally bullish due to price action, RSI, Volume, the TBO, and TBT Bullish Divergences: ADA, ZEC, AAVE, FLR, BORG (surprising, right?), and 0G. ENA and CRV unfortunately printed TBO Breakdowns on their 4h charts over the weekend, which are bearish explosive warning symbols. M, TRUMP and AERO printed TBO Close Longs on their 4-hour charts, putting a brief pause on their previous uptrends. SOL, COAI and XPL are still on my watchlist for desperate price action needed. SOL needs to push up above $190 in order to stay bullish or risk falling below short term support. COAI and XPL are due for a reversal bounce, which I believe is coming soon.

Aaron Dishner

39,316 次观看 • 11 个月前

BTC is up 3% on the Jane Street news. Yes, it's worth celebrating. But BlackRock accumulates BTC and moves entire markets without anyone blinking. Manipulation in crypto isn't new. This is not the bottom. BTC is still a deeply bearish chart. The bear flag is still valid. We lost support two days ago, bounced, and are now testing it as resistance. Pivot low at $62,510. Fast line at $69K — a realistic target if this bounce has legs. But the slow line still says lower. Targets: $49K → $38,500 → $31K. Not buying until I see capitulation — long lower wick weekly with volume. Not there. ETH up 3.3%, pivot low at $1,800. Bear flag still valid. TBO resistance at $2,050, then $2,200 would fool a lot of bulls. Volume not showing capitulation. Stablecoin dominance wicked to 12.05%, TBO breakouts printed — macro is bullish on every timeframe, expecting higher. Others dominance TBT bearish divergence confirmed Sunday, unconfirmed today with 22 hours left. Total market cap up 3.16% but TBO breakdowns on the 4h. Still not capitulation. TradFi: the DXY printed a second TBO close short — last seen July 2025. Rising dollar means pain for stocks. NVDA, Tesla, Dow all weak. VIX confirmed a TBT bearish divergence — first since October 2023, 75% historically marks a VIX top. Could see an equity relief rally if it plays out. Gold held the 618 Fib, still targeting $5,451 then $6,500. Alts: XRP, SOL, LINK, SUI, LTC, AVAX all have TBO breakdowns. PIPPIN up 79% in 3 days — stopped me out but RSI lower highs on the daily are a warning. POL has a TBO close short — wait for the fast line, don't chase. MYX second TBO breakdown — oversold pump possible, macro still brutal. MORPHO pushing higher — RSI needs to exceed 81.65 for continuation.
42:00

BTC is up 3% on the Jane Street news. Yes, it's worth celebrating. But BlackRock accumulates BTC and moves entire markets without anyone blinking. Manipulation in crypto isn't new. This is not the bottom. BTC is still a deeply bearish chart. The bear flag is still valid. We lost support two days ago, bounced, and are now testing it as resistance. Pivot low at $62,510. Fast line at $69K — a realistic target if this bounce has legs. But the slow line still says lower. Targets: $49K → $38,500 → $31K. Not buying until I see capitulation — long lower wick weekly with volume. Not there. ETH up 3.3%, pivot low at $1,800. Bear flag still valid. TBO resistance at $2,050, then $2,200 would fool a lot of bulls. Volume not showing capitulation. Stablecoin dominance wicked to 12.05%, TBO breakouts printed — macro is bullish on every timeframe, expecting higher. Others dominance TBT bearish divergence confirmed Sunday, unconfirmed today with 22 hours left. Total market cap up 3.16% but TBO breakdowns on the 4h. Still not capitulation. TradFi: the DXY printed a second TBO close short — last seen July 2025. Rising dollar means pain for stocks. NVDA, Tesla, Dow all weak. VIX confirmed a TBT bearish divergence — first since October 2023, 75% historically marks a VIX top. Could see an equity relief rally if it plays out. Gold held the 618 Fib, still targeting $5,451 then $6,500. Alts: XRP, SOL, LINK, SUI, LTC, AVAX all have TBO breakdowns. PIPPIN up 79% in 3 days — stopped me out but RSI lower highs on the daily are a warning. POL has a TBO close short — wait for the fast line, don't chase. MYX second TBO breakdown — oversold pump possible, macro still brutal. MORPHO pushing higher — RSI needs to exceed 81.65 for continuation.

Aaron Dishner

18,902 次观看 • 7 个月前

BTC is down over 3.5% on Wednesday's daily candle close. Eight green candles in a row was manipulation. We had our pivot high on March 17th - the bear flag has resolved. Next pivot low is likely $65K-$67K. After that, the support break, retest as resistance, and we go lower. Based on previous drawdowns of 84% and 77%, a 70% drop from $126K lands around $37K-$38,555 - lining up with our artificial supports. Bear markets have lasted 52-54 weeks. We're still a couple of months out. RSI confirmed the reversal with a lower high at 76.83 versus January's 82.07. BTC wicked into the fast line and risks closing back below the cloud - that flips us from bullish consolidation back to strong bearish. ETH took a 5% close with RSI reset from 84 Monday to 57 Wednesday. ETHBTC is overbought at resistance - underperformance trade stays on. Stablecoin dominance RSI reset below 23.33 on Monday. Check please. DXY hit 100.314 and RSI flipped - dollar may be weakening, which should help stocks. The yen is the real danger: second TBO breakout on Wednesday, confirmed bearish divergence. If it keeps weakening, it tanks everything. VIX back in the rejection zone. S&P, Dow, Nasdaq all still strong bearish. Gold dumped 3% and printed a TBO close long in bearish consolidation - choppy May 2025 replay. Silver has two 4H TBO breakdowns. Copper confirmed a TBO open short. HYPE, Kaspa, QNT, Fartcoin, River all have TBO breakouts - Kaspa the cleanest setup, up 25%. BNB, PEPE, Bonk, and Fluid pulled back to the fast line after TBO close shorts Sunday - that's the entry window. TAO is overbought for day nine with two TBT bearish divergences. Fetch short still open. Pippin down 75% on the week. Merlin down 12% with a TBO breakdown cluster. XRP, Solana, Doge, Render, Trump, Syrup, and Zero all have 4H TBO close longs. Siren up 94% off the springboard bounce. Monero working on a second weekly TBO close long - very bearish. SoFi showing bullish divergence on the daily. Circle pushed above the 0.5 fib - next target $150.88. Western Digital TBO resistance jumped from $294 to $319 - strong bullish.
47:20

BTC is down over 3.5% on Wednesday's daily candle close. Eight green candles in a row was manipulation. We had our pivot high on March 17th - the bear flag has resolved. Next pivot low is likely $65K-$67K. After that, the support break, retest as resistance, and we go lower. Based on previous drawdowns of 84% and 77%, a 70% drop from $126K lands around $37K-$38,555 - lining up with our artificial supports. Bear markets have lasted 52-54 weeks. We're still a couple of months out. RSI confirmed the reversal with a lower high at 76.83 versus January's 82.07. BTC wicked into the fast line and risks closing back below the cloud - that flips us from bullish consolidation back to strong bearish. ETH took a 5% close with RSI reset from 84 Monday to 57 Wednesday. ETHBTC is overbought at resistance - underperformance trade stays on. Stablecoin dominance RSI reset below 23.33 on Monday. Check please. DXY hit 100.314 and RSI flipped - dollar may be weakening, which should help stocks. The yen is the real danger: second TBO breakout on Wednesday, confirmed bearish divergence. If it keeps weakening, it tanks everything. VIX back in the rejection zone. S&P, Dow, Nasdaq all still strong bearish. Gold dumped 3% and printed a TBO close long in bearish consolidation - choppy May 2025 replay. Silver has two 4H TBO breakdowns. Copper confirmed a TBO open short. HYPE, Kaspa, QNT, Fartcoin, River all have TBO breakouts - Kaspa the cleanest setup, up 25%. BNB, PEPE, Bonk, and Fluid pulled back to the fast line after TBO close shorts Sunday - that's the entry window. TAO is overbought for day nine with two TBT bearish divergences. Fetch short still open. Pippin down 75% on the week. Merlin down 12% with a TBO breakdown cluster. XRP, Solana, Doge, Render, Trump, Syrup, and Zero all have 4H TBO close longs. Siren up 94% off the springboard bounce. Monero working on a second weekly TBO close long - very bearish. SoFi showing bullish divergence on the daily. Circle pushed above the 0.5 fib - next target $150.88. Western Digital TBO resistance jumped from $294 to $319 - strong bullish.

Aaron Dishner

24,611 次观看 • 7 个月前

WOW! Bitcoin not only broke above overhead resistance in our bull flag, it also took out the next three resistance fan levels! This is a HUGE BULLISH signal for Bitcoin and crypto. Uptober is definitely here! Now, the reality of this move is that the combined stablecoin dominance chart is at critical short term support. If BTC has a slight pullback today, that will cause stablecoin dominance to bounce off of support, which will validate that level of support and cause a wider market pullback (even though it should just be minor). Secondly, the TOTALES daily chart is also right at resistance today. If it can break ABOVE resistance, then we'll see combined stablecoin dominance DROP LOWER, which is EXACTLY what we want to see in order for more bullish continuation. Lots of charts are having incredible TBO Breakouts right now, showing me that there is more bullish explosive upside continuation possible for IMX, ZEC, SNX and FLR. ADA, APT, QNT and HNT all have valid TBO Close Shorts, which are my FAVORITE bullish reversal signals. BCH, LTC, AAVE, MNT, XDC and PUMP all look massively bullish to me. NEAR and SOL both "closed" their TBO Close Longs, but I'm still avoiding NEAR for now. ALPINE had a MASSIVE pump and dump, losing over 70% yesterday 💀 BLUE, DASH, XRP, XLM, SUI, SHIB, XMR, SPX6900 and S are all worth watching closely today too. But my main concern lies with the fact that several "OG" coins like DASH, ZEC, LTC and XMR are pumping- which is typically a sign that we're at the start of an ALT rally. While this is great news, I'm cautiously watching these signs, and so should you!
19:48

WOW! Bitcoin not only broke above overhead resistance in our bull flag, it also took out the next three resistance fan levels! This is a HUGE BULLISH signal for Bitcoin and crypto. Uptober is definitely here! Now, the reality of this move is that the combined stablecoin dominance chart is at critical short term support. If BTC has a slight pullback today, that will cause stablecoin dominance to bounce off of support, which will validate that level of support and cause a wider market pullback (even though it should just be minor). Secondly, the TOTALES daily chart is also right at resistance today. If it can break ABOVE resistance, then we'll see combined stablecoin dominance DROP LOWER, which is EXACTLY what we want to see in order for more bullish continuation. Lots of charts are having incredible TBO Breakouts right now, showing me that there is more bullish explosive upside continuation possible for IMX, ZEC, SNX and FLR. ADA, APT, QNT and HNT all have valid TBO Close Shorts, which are my FAVORITE bullish reversal signals. BCH, LTC, AAVE, MNT, XDC and PUMP all look massively bullish to me. NEAR and SOL both "closed" their TBO Close Longs, but I'm still avoiding NEAR for now. ALPINE had a MASSIVE pump and dump, losing over 70% yesterday 💀 BLUE, DASH, XRP, XLM, SUI, SHIB, XMR, SPX6900 and S are all worth watching closely today too. But my main concern lies with the fact that several "OG" coins like DASH, ZEC, LTC and XMR are pumping- which is typically a sign that we're at the start of an ALT rally. While this is great news, I'm cautiously watching these signs, and so should you!

Aaron Dishner

64,684 次观看 • 1 年前

Today EVERYTHING is focused on the OTHERS chart and dominance levels, and a MAJOR SHIFT in favor of OTHERS that has preceded EVERY MAJOR ALT RALLY. OTHERS.D printed a TBO Close Short confirming a bullish recovery in progress, along with TOTALE50.D and TOTALE100.D. This massive shift in dominance is HUGE because Bitcoin Dominance printed a TBT Bearish Divergence yesterday- just like it did BEFORE EVERY ALT RALLY. But the JUICIEST charts are the OTHERS/BTC and TOTAL3ESBTC charts, which printed TBT Bullish Divergence Clusters on the daily and TBO Close Shorts! This is the start of a BULLISH RALLY for ALTs that is way over due. My original prediction for crypto was for BTC to top out in mid-November and for ALTs to rally up until mid-December- so it looks like my second prediction might be playing out! But don't get too confident here! This is most likely the LAST ALT Rally before the bear market begins, just like in late 2021 and late 2017. TONS of coins remain strong bullish and breaking out with TBO Breakouts: ICP, SCRT, MINA, BARD, DUSK, AR, AIA, ROSE and NIBI. TONS of charts are showing early bullish reversal signals with TBO Close Shorts: RVN, FIL, 1INCH, MNT, STRK, TRB, DOT, ETC, CHR, NEO, RARI, LINK, VELODROME, KAITO, IP, STORJ and MOVR. TONS of chart are showing bullish strength growing: MNDE, SLM, GAS, GLM, CBK, API3, BIO, RLC, W, KAS, XPL, NEAR, BDX, ZEC, H, TRVL, FUN, CRV, GAME, S, PYTH and ASTER. Only four charts are looking bearish right now to me in the short term: DASH, RIVER, JELLYJELLY and TAO. Keep a close eye on COAI, LTC, EAT, 2Z, USELESS, FET, UXLINK, BTRST and HOPR. Especially LTC!
35:34

Today EVERYTHING is focused on the OTHERS chart and dominance levels, and a MAJOR SHIFT in favor of OTHERS that has preceded EVERY MAJOR ALT RALLY. OTHERS.D printed a TBO Close Short confirming a bullish recovery in progress, along with TOTALE50.D and TOTALE100.D. This massive shift in dominance is HUGE because Bitcoin Dominance printed a TBT Bearish Divergence yesterday- just like it did BEFORE EVERY ALT RALLY. But the JUICIEST charts are the OTHERS/BTC and TOTAL3ESBTC charts, which printed TBT Bullish Divergence Clusters on the daily and TBO Close Shorts! This is the start of a BULLISH RALLY for ALTs that is way over due. My original prediction for crypto was for BTC to top out in mid-November and for ALTs to rally up until mid-December- so it looks like my second prediction might be playing out! But don't get too confident here! This is most likely the LAST ALT Rally before the bear market begins, just like in late 2021 and late 2017. TONS of coins remain strong bullish and breaking out with TBO Breakouts: ICP, SCRT, MINA, BARD, DUSK, AR, AIA, ROSE and NIBI. TONS of charts are showing early bullish reversal signals with TBO Close Shorts: RVN, FIL, 1INCH, MNT, STRK, TRB, DOT, ETC, CHR, NEO, RARI, LINK, VELODROME, KAITO, IP, STORJ and MOVR. TONS of chart are showing bullish strength growing: MNDE, SLM, GAS, GLM, CBK, API3, BIO, RLC, W, KAS, XPL, NEAR, BDX, ZEC, H, TRVL, FUN, CRV, GAME, S, PYTH and ASTER. Only four charts are looking bearish right now to me in the short term: DASH, RIVER, JELLYJELLY and TAO. Keep a close eye on COAI, LTC, EAT, 2Z, USELESS, FET, UXLINK, BTRST and HOPR. Especially LTC!

Aaron Dishner

13,887 次观看 • 11 个月前

I closed out the weekend with a very green run on BTC, up 0.9% Saturday, 0.8% Sunday, and 2.68% week to week, marking five confirmed green days in a row for the first time since that March run all the way back from the 9th to the 16th. Bitcoin is sitting inside the daily TBO cloud in bullish consolidation, RSI hasn't even tagged overbought yet, and I'm now looking at a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly. My target for July is the weekly fast line at 71,145, roughly 12% higher from here, but I want to be clear the macro trend is still strong bearish and this bounce doesn't mean we're going up and to the right forever. Ethereum had a great weekend too, printing its first TBO close short since December, which tells me the short I called back on May 18th (a 29% drawdown) could be winding down. I'm not panic selling shorts yet, I want to wait for a pullback to the fast line before acting either way. Stablecoin dominance combined is showing lower highs and a TBO close long, which lines up with my expectation that this green July is a short term bounce rather than a trend change, and I'm watching for it to go oversold as my signal that the rally is closer to done than people think. Across the board I'm seeing similar setups: Bitcoin dominance printed a bullish divergence, Ethereum dominance is heading toward the top of its cloud where I plan to trim, and Solana dominance is still strong but showing signs a scale out opportunity is coming. In Tradfi, the Dixie looks ready to fall further which is bullish for crypto, gold and silver both have TBO close longs, and oil remains oversold for an incredible stretch. For my picks I like Bitcoin Cash and Aerodrome off their oversold bounces, I'm watching Solana and Ethereum for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho, Lab, and Professor as weak charts I expect to roll over hard. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin's green weekend and reality check 02:28 Bitcoin RSI, July target, and weekly trend 04:30 Ethereum TBO close short and pullback plan 07:23 Stablecoin dominance and July bounce warning 10:17 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana dominance 13:18 Total market cap and bullish trap risk 16:11 TradFi, Dixie, USDJPY, and S&P futures 19:15 TBO, journal, Kraken, Phemex, and AFX 22:51 Bitcoin Cash, Aerodrome, LIT, and Solana 25:27 Link, Litecoin, CRO, SKY, KAS, and BONK 28:09 DEXE, RIVER, Morpho, LAB, and Professor 30:44 ONDO, FET, USELESS, NPC, HBAR, and AKT 33:24 AMD, Dell, HOOD, HPE, AMAT, and Dutch Bros 35:38 SMST, BMNZ, and July video wrap
37:17

I closed out the weekend with a very green run on BTC, up 0.9% Saturday, 0.8% Sunday, and 2.68% week to week, marking five confirmed green days in a row for the first time since that March run all the way back from the 9th to the 16th. Bitcoin is sitting inside the daily TBO cloud in bullish consolidation, RSI hasn't even tagged overbought yet, and I'm now looking at a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly. My target for July is the weekly fast line at 71,145, roughly 12% higher from here, but I want to be clear the macro trend is still strong bearish and this bounce doesn't mean we're going up and to the right forever. Ethereum had a great weekend too, printing its first TBO close short since December, which tells me the short I called back on May 18th (a 29% drawdown) could be winding down. I'm not panic selling shorts yet, I want to wait for a pullback to the fast line before acting either way. Stablecoin dominance combined is showing lower highs and a TBO close long, which lines up with my expectation that this green July is a short term bounce rather than a trend change, and I'm watching for it to go oversold as my signal that the rally is closer to done than people think. Across the board I'm seeing similar setups: Bitcoin dominance printed a bullish divergence, Ethereum dominance is heading toward the top of its cloud where I plan to trim, and Solana dominance is still strong but showing signs a scale out opportunity is coming. In Tradfi, the Dixie looks ready to fall further which is bullish for crypto, gold and silver both have TBO close longs, and oil remains oversold for an incredible stretch. For my picks I like Bitcoin Cash and Aerodrome off their oversold bounces, I'm watching Solana and Ethereum for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho, Lab, and Professor as weak charts I expect to roll over hard. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin's green weekend and reality check 02:28 Bitcoin RSI, July target, and weekly trend 04:30 Ethereum TBO close short and pullback plan 07:23 Stablecoin dominance and July bounce warning 10:17 Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana dominance 13:18 Total market cap and bullish trap risk 16:11 TradFi, Dixie, USDJPY, and S&P futures 19:15 TBO, journal, Kraken, Phemex, and AFX 22:51 Bitcoin Cash, Aerodrome, LIT, and Solana 25:27 Link, Litecoin, CRO, SKY, KAS, and BONK 28:09 DEXE, RIVER, Morpho, LAB, and Professor 30:44 ONDO, FET, USELESS, NPC, HBAR, and AKT 33:24 AMD, Dell, HOOD, HPE, AMAT, and Dutch Bros 35:38 SMST, BMNZ, and July video wrap

Aaron Dishner

10,593 次观看 • 3 个月前

Bitcoin moved closer to the daily TBO Fast line at $116k yesterday, but is still $2k away from touching it, which is our short term target after Friday's sell-off. There are two key areas to watch for BTC based off of previous pivot highs: $117k and $126k. I personally expect BTC to push up toward $130k by the end of the month. Stablecoin dominance continues to be extremely important to watch. My ideal outcome for stablecoin dominance is to see it fall first to 5.50%, which should equate to an extremely bullish and happy crypto market, with an ultimate bottom around 5.00%, which will likely be this cycle's top and will occur in mid-November. Once this happens, be extremely cautious and careful! Some ALTs have continued to recover well over the last couple days. Many of them are starting to print my favorite bullish reversal signal: TBO Close Shorts. LINK, HYPE, SHIB, ETC, NEAR, CRV, LDO and RENDER all have these signal on the 4-hour time frame. Many charts still look bullish to me and are even printing TBT Bullish Divergence signals, which precede TBO Close Shorts: BNB, SOL, SUI, AVAX, UNI, FLR, PUMP, IP and TAO. PENGU is struggling to push above previously lost support, which flips that level to resistance. It desperately needs to push back above in order to become bullish again. BONK is in a similar situation.
34:38

Bitcoin moved closer to the daily TBO Fast line at $116k yesterday, but is still $2k away from touching it, which is our short term target after Friday's sell-off. There are two key areas to watch for BTC based off of previous pivot highs: $117k and $126k. I personally expect BTC to push up toward $130k by the end of the month. Stablecoin dominance continues to be extremely important to watch. My ideal outcome for stablecoin dominance is to see it fall first to 5.50%, which should equate to an extremely bullish and happy crypto market, with an ultimate bottom around 5.00%, which will likely be this cycle's top and will occur in mid-November. Once this happens, be extremely cautious and careful! Some ALTs have continued to recover well over the last couple days. Many of them are starting to print my favorite bullish reversal signal: TBO Close Shorts. LINK, HYPE, SHIB, ETC, NEAR, CRV, LDO and RENDER all have these signal on the 4-hour time frame. Many charts still look bullish to me and are even printing TBT Bullish Divergence signals, which precede TBO Close Shorts: BNB, SOL, SUI, AVAX, UNI, FLR, PUMP, IP and TAO. PENGU is struggling to push above previously lost support, which flips that level to resistance. It desperately needs to push back above in order to become bullish again. BONK is in a similar situation.

Aaron Dishner

24,087 次观看 • 1 年前

Hey guys, welcome back. BTC closed inside of the TBO cloud, up 1.66% on Friday, my third green day in a row, the first close inside since it fell out back on May 26. My macro trend is still bearish since all four TBO lines point down, but I'm expecting Bitcoin to stay bullish through July after catching a bullish OBV cross above the 21SMA on Thursday. I'm watching for this week's candle to close above last week's high at 65,622, which is a tall order, but Bitcoin's RSI at 59.69 tells me there's still room to run before overbought. Ethereum had a fantastic day too, closing up 3.3% and shooting up 14% since Wednesday, with a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly and a bullish RSI reset that I like a lot, targeting around 2,080. Solana dropped another 1.9% and remains in bearish consolidation, which I actually see as healthy given Bitcoin dominance staying bearish, since that's keeping alts strong. My total altcoin cap chart closed inside the cloud with a bullish OBV cross too, which I think marks the start of a regime shift, though I'm still telling anyone on a DCA strategy to keep taking profits since we're in a macro bear market overall. On the TradFi side, I saw a bearish TBO reversal print on Thursday plus a wick into the cloud, so I'm on the fence there, watching the Dixie closely since a break above 102 would be real trouble. The Nikkei and KOSPI both bounced, oil stayed oversold for a tenth straight bar, and gold and silver both printed TBO reversal signs that I'm watching for a tag of the fast line before I'd consider taking profit or flipping short. For my picks, I bought Bitcoin cash on its RSI reset, I'm watching Solana, Farcoin, and Whiff for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho and Aerodrome as showing early bearish reversal signs worth watching this weekend. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin closes inside the TBO cloud 02:46 Ethereum strength and RSI room 04:53 Bitcoin dominance and altcoin breadth 06:53 TradFi setup, Dixie, and USDJPY 09:27 Nikkei, KOSPI, oil, gold, and silver 12:01 Better Traders resources and bot trading 14:17 Kraken, prop trading, Phemex, and AFX 16:20 Bitcoin Cash, Solana, and TBO close shorts 18:30 XRP, SUI, PEPE, VVV, and LAB warnings 20:56 XLM, ALLO, GWEI, FAI, and Fetch 23:21 Micron and MELI pullback setups
25:51

Hey guys, welcome back. BTC closed inside of the TBO cloud, up 1.66% on Friday, my third green day in a row, the first close inside since it fell out back on May 26. My macro trend is still bearish since all four TBO lines point down, but I'm expecting Bitcoin to stay bullish through July after catching a bullish OBV cross above the 21SMA on Thursday. I'm watching for this week's candle to close above last week's high at 65,622, which is a tall order, but Bitcoin's RSI at 59.69 tells me there's still room to run before overbought. Ethereum had a fantastic day too, closing up 3.3% and shooting up 14% since Wednesday, with a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly and a bullish RSI reset that I like a lot, targeting around 2,080. Solana dropped another 1.9% and remains in bearish consolidation, which I actually see as healthy given Bitcoin dominance staying bearish, since that's keeping alts strong. My total altcoin cap chart closed inside the cloud with a bullish OBV cross too, which I think marks the start of a regime shift, though I'm still telling anyone on a DCA strategy to keep taking profits since we're in a macro bear market overall. On the TradFi side, I saw a bearish TBO reversal print on Thursday plus a wick into the cloud, so I'm on the fence there, watching the Dixie closely since a break above 102 would be real trouble. The Nikkei and KOSPI both bounced, oil stayed oversold for a tenth straight bar, and gold and silver both printed TBO reversal signs that I'm watching for a tag of the fast line before I'd consider taking profit or flipping short. For my picks, I bought Bitcoin cash on its RSI reset, I'm watching Solana, Farcoin, and Whiff for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho and Aerodrome as showing early bearish reversal signs worth watching this weekend. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin closes inside the TBO cloud 02:46 Ethereum strength and RSI room 04:53 Bitcoin dominance and altcoin breadth 06:53 TradFi setup, Dixie, and USDJPY 09:27 Nikkei, KOSPI, oil, gold, and silver 12:01 Better Traders resources and bot trading 14:17 Kraken, prop trading, Phemex, and AFX 16:20 Bitcoin Cash, Solana, and TBO close shorts 18:30 XRP, SUI, PEPE, VVV, and LAB warnings 20:56 XLM, ALLO, GWEI, FAI, and Fetch 23:21 Micron and MELI pullback setups

Aaron Dishner

11,900 次观看 • 3 个月前

BTC wicked up to 79,760, almost 80,000, on Friday before news pumped and dumped it right back down. I don't think this is a predictive wick, because this rally has already been running for a while, so I'm calling it a pump and dump wick. Bitcoin still closed above the cloud with the TBO lines separating, but if we lose 76,706 at the 0.786 fib, I expect a quick dip to 72K. Ethereum shot up almost 10% to 2665 with all four TBO lines pointing up, yet it still didn't close above resistance. Stablecoin dominance got rejected at the fast line, Bitcoin dominance dropped 0.33% as Ethereum led, and I'm still treating Others as a buy the dip opportunity. In TradFi, DXY didn't close inside the cloud, and USDJPY fell to 153.468 with RSI barely oversold, which I'd love to see continue all the way down to 140. The Euro lost support after the ECB, SPX bounced off the fast line with a unanimously bullish weekly, the VIX dropped 11%, and NASDAQ closed long. Oil Futures hit 104.49 with a late exhaustion breakout after eight overbought days, so don't be surprised by a pullback. Gold is still below long-term resistance, Uranium is down 13% from that shooting star, and PAXG/BTC on-balance volume says gold may hold up better than Bitcoin. For my picks, Pepe ran 42% into TBO resistance, so I'd rather buy the pullback than chase it, and Raydium is still on fire near the top of the weekly cloud. World Liberty Financial dropped 16% with a predictive wick, Aster and Morpho printed exit signals, and Bitlayer's second close long is where I walk away. AIOZ closed above TBO resistance for a strong uptrend, Solana bounced 9% but still fights a strong weekly downtrend, and XRP left a fair value gap down to 99 cents. Apple looks strong bullish, Robinhood is close to filling its lower gap for a dip buy, and GDX printed a bearish divergence cluster. On the YouTube picks, IREN is back to chop inside the cloud, ISRG is a take profit at the fast line, Lithium Americas has TBO support near 3.09, and FHE's on-balance volume leans toward more upside. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario 02:24 Bitcoin Recovery Signals Support a Bounce 04:28 Ethereum Dominance and Altcoin Rotation 06:51 EURUSD Breakout Exhaustion Raises Reversal Risk 09:28 Gold Price Structure Awaits Confirmation 12:32 PEPE Remains Strong Bearish 14:47 Meme Coin Risk and Sentiment 21:28 FET Bearish Consolidation Raises Downside Risk 24:16 Solana Support and Seller Pressure 26:19 ISRG Breakout Exhaustion Raises Reversal Risk
32:34

BTC wicked up to 79,760, almost 80,000, on Friday before news pumped and dumped it right back down. I don't think this is a predictive wick, because this rally has already been running for a while, so I'm calling it a pump and dump wick. Bitcoin still closed above the cloud with the TBO lines separating, but if we lose 76,706 at the 0.786 fib, I expect a quick dip to 72K. Ethereum shot up almost 10% to 2665 with all four TBO lines pointing up, yet it still didn't close above resistance. Stablecoin dominance got rejected at the fast line, Bitcoin dominance dropped 0.33% as Ethereum led, and I'm still treating Others as a buy the dip opportunity. In TradFi, DXY didn't close inside the cloud, and USDJPY fell to 153.468 with RSI barely oversold, which I'd love to see continue all the way down to 140. The Euro lost support after the ECB, SPX bounced off the fast line with a unanimously bullish weekly, the VIX dropped 11%, and NASDAQ closed long. Oil Futures hit 104.49 with a late exhaustion breakout after eight overbought days, so don't be surprised by a pullback. Gold is still below long-term resistance, Uranium is down 13% from that shooting star, and PAXG/BTC on-balance volume says gold may hold up better than Bitcoin. For my picks, Pepe ran 42% into TBO resistance, so I'd rather buy the pullback than chase it, and Raydium is still on fire near the top of the weekly cloud. World Liberty Financial dropped 16% with a predictive wick, Aster and Morpho printed exit signals, and Bitlayer's second close long is where I walk away. AIOZ closed above TBO resistance for a strong uptrend, Solana bounced 9% but still fights a strong weekly downtrend, and XRP left a fair value gap down to 99 cents. Apple looks strong bullish, Robinhood is close to filling its lower gap for a dip buy, and GDX printed a bearish divergence cluster. On the YouTube picks, IREN is back to chop inside the cloud, ISRG is a take profit at the fast line, Lithium Americas has TBO support near 3.09, and FHE's on-balance volume leans toward more upside. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Support Levels Define the Risk Scenario 02:24 Bitcoin Recovery Signals Support a Bounce 04:28 Ethereum Dominance and Altcoin Rotation 06:51 EURUSD Breakout Exhaustion Raises Reversal Risk 09:28 Gold Price Structure Awaits Confirmation 12:32 PEPE Remains Strong Bearish 14:47 Meme Coin Risk and Sentiment 21:28 FET Bearish Consolidation Raises Downside Risk 24:16 Solana Support and Seller Pressure 26:19 ISRG Breakout Exhaustion Raises Reversal Risk

Aaron Dishner

15,121 次观看 • 1 个月前

BTC is showing the textbook signs of a pivot high. RSI confirmed overbought and reversed in a single day - the last time we saw a one-and-done RSI move like this was back in January before a meaningful pullback. OBV's moving average is still pointing up, which keeps the door open for one more push to around $77K, but the bear flag has been fulfilled. Higher lows and higher highs are done. We can go home. If BTC does put in a higher high from here, I'd expect to see a lower high on RSI - that would just reinforce the setup. Support sits around $65K-$67K, and based on the pace of the last drawdown, something like that by end of weekend isn't unreasonable. Ethereum held up stronger than BTC this week, with RSI staying overbought across three days - Sunday at 73, Monday at 84, Tuesday at 76. ETHBTC is right at resistance. The multiple factor effect means whatever BTC does, ETH does 1.5x to 2x. Ethereum could still push higher, but we're deep into risky territory. Stablecoin dominance flipped green after eight consecutive red days. RSI confirmed oversold on Monday. The trend is starting to shift, and when this chart pumps it typically corresponds to selling pressure across crypto. DXY closed below support from Friday's push after going overbought on the 13th. RSI cracked below 61.78. A pullback to 98.708 is on the table, which should bring some relief to the euro and yen. The yen is still dangerously overbought - second TBT bearish divergence now printing on the weekly. If it keeps pushing up, the Bank of Japan's hand gets forced. We all know what happened last time that went too far. VIX is still inside the rejection zone it's been in since March 2023. Fear hasn't left the building. S&P futures have a TBO close long on the weekly - same pattern that printed before a 16% drop. NVIDIA's daily cloud is now compressed to under 1%. When the cloud gets that tight, explosive moves follow - not necessarily up. On the picks side: XRP had a real volume spike and an 8.8% move after 4H TBO breakouts, but I'm not convinced the momentum holds. Solana's OBV moving average is genuinely bullish - one more leg is possible. Tron is the biggest surprise - perfect three-in-a-row TBO breakout cluster and a 4% move, which for Tron is wild. HYPE printed a second TBO breakout with RSI at 82.34 - the level to beat is 83.86. Kaspa RSI hit 91.5 after a 9% move - that's danger territory. TAO has been overbought on the daily RSI since March 11th - day eight. OBV is genuinely bullish but the warning signs are piling up. Walrus protocol jumped 24% out of nowhere - probably news related and likely AI adjacent. Pippin is down 31% on Tuesday's close. Pi Network is now down 39% from its high after a textbook RSI divergence setup played out exactly as expected. Bitcoin Cash printed a TBT bearish divergence. Render, Morpho, Fetch AI, Syrup all showing exhaustion signals on the 4H.
48:04

BTC is showing the textbook signs of a pivot high. RSI confirmed overbought and reversed in a single day - the last time we saw a one-and-done RSI move like this was back in January before a meaningful pullback. OBV's moving average is still pointing up, which keeps the door open for one more push to around $77K, but the bear flag has been fulfilled. Higher lows and higher highs are done. We can go home. If BTC does put in a higher high from here, I'd expect to see a lower high on RSI - that would just reinforce the setup. Support sits around $65K-$67K, and based on the pace of the last drawdown, something like that by end of weekend isn't unreasonable. Ethereum held up stronger than BTC this week, with RSI staying overbought across three days - Sunday at 73, Monday at 84, Tuesday at 76. ETHBTC is right at resistance. The multiple factor effect means whatever BTC does, ETH does 1.5x to 2x. Ethereum could still push higher, but we're deep into risky territory. Stablecoin dominance flipped green after eight consecutive red days. RSI confirmed oversold on Monday. The trend is starting to shift, and when this chart pumps it typically corresponds to selling pressure across crypto. DXY closed below support from Friday's push after going overbought on the 13th. RSI cracked below 61.78. A pullback to 98.708 is on the table, which should bring some relief to the euro and yen. The yen is still dangerously overbought - second TBT bearish divergence now printing on the weekly. If it keeps pushing up, the Bank of Japan's hand gets forced. We all know what happened last time that went too far. VIX is still inside the rejection zone it's been in since March 2023. Fear hasn't left the building. S&P futures have a TBO close long on the weekly - same pattern that printed before a 16% drop. NVIDIA's daily cloud is now compressed to under 1%. When the cloud gets that tight, explosive moves follow - not necessarily up. On the picks side: XRP had a real volume spike and an 8.8% move after 4H TBO breakouts, but I'm not convinced the momentum holds. Solana's OBV moving average is genuinely bullish - one more leg is possible. Tron is the biggest surprise - perfect three-in-a-row TBO breakout cluster and a 4% move, which for Tron is wild. HYPE printed a second TBO breakout with RSI at 82.34 - the level to beat is 83.86. Kaspa RSI hit 91.5 after a 9% move - that's danger territory. TAO has been overbought on the daily RSI since March 11th - day eight. OBV is genuinely bullish but the warning signs are piling up. Walrus protocol jumped 24% out of nowhere - probably news related and likely AI adjacent. Pippin is down 31% on Tuesday's close. Pi Network is now down 39% from its high after a textbook RSI divergence setup played out exactly as expected. Bitcoin Cash printed a TBT bearish divergence. Render, Morpho, Fetch AI, Syrup all showing exhaustion signals on the 4H.

Aaron Dishner

16,640 次观看 • 7 个月前

OTHERS/BTC just broke long-term overhead resistance, and that is the crypto chart that stopped me in my tracks today. I’m seeing altcoins gain strength against Bitcoin while OTHERS.D approaches the resistance zone near 9%. My altcoin market outlook is bullish, but the closer dominance gets to that overhead line, the more seriously I’m taking profit protection. A strong rally is not a reason to abandon the plan. Bitcoin is holding above TBO resistance at 80,433, but my Bitcoin price analysis still has one important condition: daily RSI needs to close above 74.13 to overcome its previous high. Otherwise, another pullback is possible. Ethereum has confirmed a second TBO breakout while testing price resistance, and falling stablecoin and Bitcoin dominance are supporting the rotation into alts. Bearish divergence is a warning to watch, not proof that the rally is over. BNB is working on a second TBO breakout with bearish RSI divergence, STRK pumped 52% on Friday before approaching resistance at 0.0525, and AVAX confirmed a breakout after a powerful weekend move. I’m watching those bullish setups without ignoring how extended they’ve become. Harmony’s huge rally makes the same point: take profit according to predetermined targets and amounts, rather than letting excitement or anxiety rewrite the plan. I’ve sold too much too early myself, and that is the mistake I want to help you avoid. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Holds Resistance as RSI Tests Momentum 04:15 Ethereum Breakout Faces Price Resistance 06:51 Stablecoin and Bitcoin Dominance Weakness Supports Altcoins 09:14 Crypto Market Dominance Breakouts Confirm Bullish Strength 11:43 OTHERS.D Approaches Long-Term Resistance Toward 9% 15:33 Altcoin Market Momentum Nears the Heating-Up Target 21:19 OTHERS/BTC Breaks Long-Term Overhead Resistance 23:21 DXY Tests Resistance as S&P Futures Turn Bullish 30:00 BNB Breakout Faces Bearish Divergence Warnings 33:04 STRK Rally Approaches TBO Resistance 35:50 Altcoins Clear TBO Resistance as Bullish Strength Expands 38:48 NEAR Approaches Resistance After a Breakout Cluster 42:46 Club Picks Test Resistance as Bullish Setups Expand 48:30 YouTube Picks Rally as Harmony Tests Profit Discipline
54:47

OTHERS/BTC just broke long-term overhead resistance, and that is the crypto chart that stopped me in my tracks today. I’m seeing altcoins gain strength against Bitcoin while OTHERS.D approaches the resistance zone near 9%. My altcoin market outlook is bullish, but the closer dominance gets to that overhead line, the more seriously I’m taking profit protection. A strong rally is not a reason to abandon the plan. Bitcoin is holding above TBO resistance at 80,433, but my Bitcoin price analysis still has one important condition: daily RSI needs to close above 74.13 to overcome its previous high. Otherwise, another pullback is possible. Ethereum has confirmed a second TBO breakout while testing price resistance, and falling stablecoin and Bitcoin dominance are supporting the rotation into alts. Bearish divergence is a warning to watch, not proof that the rally is over. BNB is working on a second TBO breakout with bearish RSI divergence, STRK pumped 52% on Friday before approaching resistance at 0.0525, and AVAX confirmed a breakout after a powerful weekend move. I’m watching those bullish setups without ignoring how extended they’ve become. Harmony’s huge rally makes the same point: take profit according to predetermined targets and amounts, rather than letting excitement or anxiety rewrite the plan. I’ve sold too much too early myself, and that is the mistake I want to help you avoid. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Holds Resistance as RSI Tests Momentum 04:15 Ethereum Breakout Faces Price Resistance 06:51 Stablecoin and Bitcoin Dominance Weakness Supports Altcoins 09:14 Crypto Market Dominance Breakouts Confirm Bullish Strength 11:43 OTHERS.D Approaches Long-Term Resistance Toward 9% 15:33 Altcoin Market Momentum Nears the Heating-Up Target 21:19 OTHERS/BTC Breaks Long-Term Overhead Resistance 23:21 DXY Tests Resistance as S&P Futures Turn Bullish 30:00 BNB Breakout Faces Bearish Divergence Warnings 33:04 STRK Rally Approaches TBO Resistance 35:50 Altcoins Clear TBO Resistance as Bullish Strength Expands 38:48 NEAR Approaches Resistance After a Breakout Cluster 42:46 Club Picks Test Resistance as Bullish Setups Expand 48:30 YouTube Picks Rally as Harmony Tests Profit Discipline

Aaron Dishner

11,126 次观看 • 24 天前

BTC tagged the fast line at $69,380 and closed up 6%. This is manipulation — here's why. Volume: Friday $2.4B, Monday $2.13B, Wednesday $2.09B. Every pump weaker than the last. None exceeded the 30-day moving average. OBV declining all month — yesterday barely caused a pause. RSI bounced from 25.61 to 51.69 with a TBT bullish divergence in process, not yet confirmed. Bear flag still valid. To invalidate it, need a close above $69K. We didn't close above $69K. Targets: $49K, $38,500, $31K. On the weekly, this is the same green bounce week we saw in 2022 before the next 30% flush. ETH closed at $2,057. Fast line is $2,061. Pumped 11% wick to wick and couldn't close inside the cloud. Volume $1.4B vs. $1.5B MA. Bull trap. Stablecoin dominance printed a second TBT bearish divergence and wicked into the TBO cloud for the first time since Jan 29th. Short-term positive for crypto. Macro still bullish on all four cloud lines — no blow-off top yet. Others dominance closed red while everything was pumping. Second TBT bearish divergence confirmed. If others can't outperform on a 6% BTC day, you know what's next. TradFi better post-State of the Union, but I'm not trusting the follow-through. NVDA broke out of cloud compression at $195. Tesla closed above resistance with a TBT bullish divergence. GameStop's OBV broke through October resistance — targets $25.30, $28, $35.80. VIX printed a TBT bearish divergence, first since October 2023. Could mark a VIX top and give equities a short-term breather. S&P open long confirmed but still below TBO resistance at 69.52. DOT pumped 41% wick to wick on 6x average volume. UNI up 28%. Manipulation. ADA +14% TBT bullish divergence. LINK +13%. NEAR +21%. SOL closed inside the cloud with volume above the MA — bear flag may need adjusting, macro still bearish. PIPPIN fell 8% while everything pumped — RSI bearish divergence vs. the Feb 14th high. ICP, AERO, HYPE, CFX all tagged the fast line — solid short entries. SKY wicked above TBO resistance at .069, didn't close there. XMR +7% TBT bullish divergence, still targeting $100. If 60K was the bottom, I'll adjust. But the 2022 parallels are too strong to ignore. Macro bearish. Next target $49K.
56:31

BTC tagged the fast line at $69,380 and closed up 6%. This is manipulation — here's why. Volume: Friday $2.4B, Monday $2.13B, Wednesday $2.09B. Every pump weaker than the last. None exceeded the 30-day moving average. OBV declining all month — yesterday barely caused a pause. RSI bounced from 25.61 to 51.69 with a TBT bullish divergence in process, not yet confirmed. Bear flag still valid. To invalidate it, need a close above $69K. We didn't close above $69K. Targets: $49K, $38,500, $31K. On the weekly, this is the same green bounce week we saw in 2022 before the next 30% flush. ETH closed at $2,057. Fast line is $2,061. Pumped 11% wick to wick and couldn't close inside the cloud. Volume $1.4B vs. $1.5B MA. Bull trap. Stablecoin dominance printed a second TBT bearish divergence and wicked into the TBO cloud for the first time since Jan 29th. Short-term positive for crypto. Macro still bullish on all four cloud lines — no blow-off top yet. Others dominance closed red while everything was pumping. Second TBT bearish divergence confirmed. If others can't outperform on a 6% BTC day, you know what's next. TradFi better post-State of the Union, but I'm not trusting the follow-through. NVDA broke out of cloud compression at $195. Tesla closed above resistance with a TBT bullish divergence. GameStop's OBV broke through October resistance — targets $25.30, $28, $35.80. VIX printed a TBT bearish divergence, first since October 2023. Could mark a VIX top and give equities a short-term breather. S&P open long confirmed but still below TBO resistance at 69.52. DOT pumped 41% wick to wick on 6x average volume. UNI up 28%. Manipulation. ADA +14% TBT bullish divergence. LINK +13%. NEAR +21%. SOL closed inside the cloud with volume above the MA — bear flag may need adjusting, macro still bearish. PIPPIN fell 8% while everything pumped — RSI bearish divergence vs. the Feb 14th high. ICP, AERO, HYPE, CFX all tagged the fast line — solid short entries. SKY wicked above TBO resistance at .069, didn't close there. XMR +7% TBT bullish divergence, still targeting $100. If 60K was the bottom, I'll adjust. But the 2022 parallels are too strong to ignore. Macro bearish. Next target $49K.

Aaron Dishner

16,307 次观看 • 7 个月前

NO MORE BEAR CASE FOR bitcoin:native "Now we have the confirmation that we need that the BTC bear market is over." "I took a screenshot for you guys earlier, not even of the current price because it doesn't matter at the moment." "On that weekly BTC chart, that blue line is the 50 MA on the weekly. We are now above it. We had a weekly close above it yesterday on Sunday. That has been the confirmation of every bear market to bull market transition in the past for BTC." "More importantly, that black line at $82,814, which is an oddly specific amount, shows BTC breaking out for a higher high." "For technical analysts who look at charts and believe in them, there is no more bear case for BTC."
0:58

NO MORE BEAR CASE FOR bitcoin:native "Now we have the confirmation that we need that the BTC bear market is over." "I took a screenshot for you guys earlier, not even of the current price because it doesn't matter at the moment." "On that weekly BTC chart, that blue line is the 50 MA on the weekly. We are now above it. We had a weekly close above it yesterday on Sunday. That has been the confirmation of every bear market to bull market transition in the past for BTC." "More importantly, that black line at $82,814, which is an oddly specific amount, shows BTC breaking out for a higher high." "For technical analysts who look at charts and believe in them, there is no more bear case for BTC."

The Wolf Of All Streets

30,907 次观看 • 24 天前

BTC finally took out the February 6 low at 60K and wicked to 59,130, which was the support target I have been waiting on. The short-term supports are done, the daily chart confirmed another TBO breakdown, and the next levels I care about are TBO support near 53K, then the artificial support target around 49K, with 38,555 still lower if the final liquidation dump gets spicy. ETH dropped 10.58%, printed an extremely low daily RSI, and still has 1,385 and 1,073 as the major downside targets I am watching. TOTALES confirmed another TBO breakdown and the market still needs more fear, even though the fear is finally getting interesting. Stablecoin dominance is right at the 13% accumulation trigger, but that does not mean ape into everything - it means start thinking in scale-in zones and keep dry powder in case stablecoin dominance rips toward 17%-18%. BTC dominance rising while BTC dumps is constructive for long-term confidence, but OTHERS, OTHERS/BTC, TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 all still look like they want lower. TradFi finally joined the risk-off party too: DXY pushed back toward 100, USDJPY is in trouble, S&P futures dropped 2.9%, the Dow and Nasdaq printed bearish divergence signals, NVDA and TSLA dumped, VIX ripped almost 40%, gold fell 3.29%, silver dropped 8.3%, and uranium gave back the fast-line move. My picks were mostly a mix of relative strength and caution. HYPE is still technically bullish but risky in this BTC environment, with 39.55 the real support area I care about, DEXE and VVV are still holding up better than most, XRP likely wants the fair value gap near 0.60, SOL is still tracking toward the bigger downside targets, and DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI, SHIB, MNT, DOT, PEPE, AAVE, ETC, WLD, APT, BONK and others are showing breakdown pressure. Viewer picks: FET is one AI chart I still want to watch for future accumulation, TAO lost support, HOME is too hot to trust after the pump, NBIS and OKTA have bearish risk, AAPL is still holding up, PATH had a clean bounce into rejection, and ADBE still looks weak. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC loses 60K and targets 49K 08:55 ETH breakdown, RSI panic and downside targets 13:12 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance and alt dominance 18:24 TradFi risk-off, DXY, USDJPY and indices 23:17 Gold, silver, copper and uranium 25:30 TBO, club, journal and trading mindset 28:21 My picks: HYPE, DEXE and VVV 31:22 Major alt breakdowns: DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI and more 37:25 Viewer picks: FET, TAO, HOME, NBIS, OKTA, AAPL, PATH and ADBE 41:31 HYPE deep dive preview and wrap-up
42:31

BTC finally took out the February 6 low at 60K and wicked to 59,130, which was the support target I have been waiting on. The short-term supports are done, the daily chart confirmed another TBO breakdown, and the next levels I care about are TBO support near 53K, then the artificial support target around 49K, with 38,555 still lower if the final liquidation dump gets spicy. ETH dropped 10.58%, printed an extremely low daily RSI, and still has 1,385 and 1,073 as the major downside targets I am watching. TOTALES confirmed another TBO breakdown and the market still needs more fear, even though the fear is finally getting interesting. Stablecoin dominance is right at the 13% accumulation trigger, but that does not mean ape into everything - it means start thinking in scale-in zones and keep dry powder in case stablecoin dominance rips toward 17%-18%. BTC dominance rising while BTC dumps is constructive for long-term confidence, but OTHERS, OTHERS/BTC, TOTALE50 and TOTALE100 all still look like they want lower. TradFi finally joined the risk-off party too: DXY pushed back toward 100, USDJPY is in trouble, S&P futures dropped 2.9%, the Dow and Nasdaq printed bearish divergence signals, NVDA and TSLA dumped, VIX ripped almost 40%, gold fell 3.29%, silver dropped 8.3%, and uranium gave back the fast-line move. My picks were mostly a mix of relative strength and caution. HYPE is still technically bullish but risky in this BTC environment, with 39.55 the real support area I care about, DEXE and VVV are still holding up better than most, XRP likely wants the fair value gap near 0.60, SOL is still tracking toward the bigger downside targets, and DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI, SHIB, MNT, DOT, PEPE, AAVE, ETC, WLD, APT, BONK and others are showing breakdown pressure. Viewer picks: FET is one AI chart I still want to watch for future accumulation, TAO lost support, HOME is too hot to trust after the pump, NBIS and OKTA have bearish risk, AAPL is still holding up, PATH had a clean bounce into rejection, and ADBE still looks weak. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 BTC loses 60K and targets 49K 08:55 ETH breakdown, RSI panic and downside targets 13:12 Total market cap, stablecoin dominance and alt dominance 18:24 TradFi risk-off, DXY, USDJPY and indices 23:17 Gold, silver, copper and uranium 25:30 TBO, club, journal and trading mindset 28:21 My picks: HYPE, DEXE and VVV 31:22 Major alt breakdowns: DOGE, LINK, AVAX, SUI and more 37:25 Viewer picks: FET, TAO, HOME, NBIS, OKTA, AAPL, PATH and ADBE 41:31 HYPE deep dive preview and wrap-up

Aaron Dishner

63,224 次观看 • 4 个月前

Bearish Signs on BTC.D - Ichimoku Tutorial Part #2 Although we had a pullback on Bitcoin and altcoins, along with a bounce on BTC.D, the daily Ichimoku suggests that this Bitcoin Dominance bounce might be over. As we speak, I’m just waiting for the last "shoe to drop," meaning the USDT.D Kijun on the weekly chart going under the Kumo. I have already started preparing my entries, and I will be much more aggressive once the elements explained above are triggered. Tune in to see why I’m still bullish on altcoins based on the USDT market cap, USDT.D and BTC.D charts. As usual, if you enjoy this type of content, likes and retweets are appreciated 🫡!
8:31

Bearish Signs on BTC.D - Ichimoku Tutorial Part #2 Although we had a pullback on Bitcoin and altcoins, along with a bounce on BTC.D, the daily Ichimoku suggests that this Bitcoin Dominance bounce might be over. As we speak, I’m just waiting for the last "shoe to drop," meaning the USDT.D Kijun on the weekly chart going under the Kumo. I have already started preparing my entries, and I will be much more aggressive once the elements explained above are triggered. Tune in to see why I’m still bullish on altcoins based on the USDT market cap, USDT.D and BTC.D charts. As usual, if you enjoy this type of content, likes and retweets are appreciated 🫡!

MisterSpread

15,891 次观看 • 1 年前

$BTC Lets take a deep dive into Bitcoins recent move! We have a bottom signal setup on the weekly time frame. Its not the macro monthly time frame, but its a start and I do have a long position on it. For full breakdown see video Pls like & repost to see more vids like this.
2:56

$BTC Lets take a deep dive into Bitcoins recent move! We have a bottom signal setup on the weekly time frame. Its not the macro monthly time frame, but its a start and I do have a long position on it. For full breakdown see video Pls like & repost to see more vids like this.

Wick 🔥

38,713 次观看 • 6 个月前

Bitcoin pumped 6.7% while crypto Twitter argued over apologies and bull traps. I'm watching the confirmed daily TBO breakout above resistance, not the drama. Bearish RSI divergence warns of a pullback, but it doesn't force an immediate crash. My approach is to take profit at planned levels and prepare for dips, rather than fight the rally with unprotected shorts. My Bitcoin price analysis still has a caution: the slow line is only starting to curl up, so the macro trend lacks the strength of earlier rallies. Ethereum confirmed its third TBO breakout, while stablecoin dominance reached historical support after three breakdowns. A bounce there could pressure crypto. I still see OTHERS dominance above its cloud and resistance despite Bitcoin attracting capital; a pullback doesn't automatically end the altcoin rally. I'm watching TAO after its 22% pump toward historical resistance and AAVE after another breakout, with its next Fibonacci target at 174.53. RUNE's earlier predictive wick puts 63 cents on my radar, while Walrus closed above newly formed resistance. I also took profit on STRK's pump rather than ignore its reversal warning. Strong momentum and short-term risk can coexist; none of these setups guarantees another leg higher. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Breakout Confirms Strength After a 6.7% Pump 03:14 Bitcoin Pullbacks Warn of Deeper Downside 06:49 Bitcoin Macro Trend and RSI Divergence Raise Caution 09:42 Bitcoin Stop-Loss Hunting Alerts Signal Leverage Risk 13:30 Ethereum Breakout and Stablecoin Support Frame Pullback Risk 16:18 Bitcoin Dominance Rotation and OTHERS Support 18:28 Small-Cap Dominance Tests Pivot High Resistance 21:20 Total Market Cap Momentum Above the Weekly Cloud 24:20 S&P Futures Strength and VIX Frame Market Risk 27:55 TBO Close Long Signals an Exit, Not a New Entry 34:47 Dogecoin Breakouts Raise Short-Term Risk 38:06 RUNE Predictive Wick Defines a Bullish Target 42:29 Walrus Breaks Resistance as STRK Faces Reversal Risk 47:30 SUI Momentum Builds Ahead of Resistance 49:45 Zcash and Stock Picks Face Resistance Tests 53:34 EPIC Faces Resistance After Its Rally
54:51

Bitcoin pumped 6.7% while crypto Twitter argued over apologies and bull traps. I'm watching the confirmed daily TBO breakout above resistance, not the drama. Bearish RSI divergence warns of a pullback, but it doesn't force an immediate crash. My approach is to take profit at planned levels and prepare for dips, rather than fight the rally with unprotected shorts. My Bitcoin price analysis still has a caution: the slow line is only starting to curl up, so the macro trend lacks the strength of earlier rallies. Ethereum confirmed its third TBO breakout, while stablecoin dominance reached historical support after three breakdowns. A bounce there could pressure crypto. I still see OTHERS dominance above its cloud and resistance despite Bitcoin attracting capital; a pullback doesn't automatically end the altcoin rally. I'm watching TAO after its 22% pump toward historical resistance and AAVE after another breakout, with its next Fibonacci target at 174.53. RUNE's earlier predictive wick puts 63 cents on my radar, while Walrus closed above newly formed resistance. I also took profit on STRK's pump rather than ignore its reversal warning. Strong momentum and short-term risk can coexist; none of these setups guarantees another leg higher. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin Breakout Confirms Strength After a 6.7% Pump 03:14 Bitcoin Pullbacks Warn of Deeper Downside 06:49 Bitcoin Macro Trend and RSI Divergence Raise Caution 09:42 Bitcoin Stop-Loss Hunting Alerts Signal Leverage Risk 13:30 Ethereum Breakout and Stablecoin Support Frame Pullback Risk 16:18 Bitcoin Dominance Rotation and OTHERS Support 18:28 Small-Cap Dominance Tests Pivot High Resistance 21:20 Total Market Cap Momentum Above the Weekly Cloud 24:20 S&P Futures Strength and VIX Frame Market Risk 27:55 TBO Close Long Signals an Exit, Not a New Entry 34:47 Dogecoin Breakouts Raise Short-Term Risk 38:06 RUNE Predictive Wick Defines a Bullish Target 42:29 Walrus Breaks Resistance as STRK Faces Reversal Risk 47:30 SUI Momentum Builds Ahead of Resistance 49:45 Zcash and Stock Picks Face Resistance Tests 53:34 EPIC Faces Resistance After Its Rally

Aaron Dishner

11,966 次观看 • 23 天前

BTC closed green again on Thursday, but I still read this market as caution, not confidence. The lower wick to $73,309 helped the candle, but daily RSI pushed overbought at 70.76 while printing lower highs than both April 11 and March 16. That keeps BTC pinned under what I’m now calling iron fortress resistance, while spaghetti support looks increasingly fragile. On the 4-hour, I still do not see the clean bearish reversal signal I would normally want, and that is exactly why this price action feels so weird to me. Price looks propped up, not strong. Ethereum is showing the same kind of weakness. ETH has now spent five straight days failing to close above TBO resistance at 23.76, and I still think a pullback toward the Fast line near 22.26 makes more sense than a clean breakout. At the same time, BTC dominance dropped hard, stablecoin dominance also moved lower, and alts exploded across the board. Normally that would sound bullish, but this move looks too aggressive and too suspicious for me to trust. OTHERS, TOTALE50, and TOTALE100 all ripped higher in a way that feels more like rotation, short squeezing, or outright exit-pump behavior than healthy trend continuation. TradFi is not making me feel any safer either. DXY confirmed a pivot low and now looks ready to move higher toward the open gap, which would add more pressure on USDJPY and keep macro conditions hostile. ES futures printed a fresh all-time high, the Nikkei also pushed higher, and Tesla ripped, but volume has been fading on the move, which makes the rally look unstable to me. Oil still has an upside gap that may need filling, gold is chopping inside the cloud, and uranium just broke out above its bull flag. On my watchlist, I’m focused on the charts that pumped hardest into resistance and now look the most vulnerable if this move fades, including XRP, BNB, SOL, LINK, SUI, ENA, LDO, INJ, FIL, AAVE, PENGU, PUMP, VIRTUAL, ADA, APT, HYPE, Binance Life, RAVE, Monad, Render, CHZ, XLM, SIREN, CFX, ZBCN, PIPPIN, and WAL. My main takeaway today is simple: this market is moving in a very weird way, and in a bear market I would rather respect the macro trend and take profit on suspicious pumps than assume this is the start of a clean breakout.
50:35

BTC closed green again on Thursday, but I still read this market as caution, not confidence. The lower wick to $73,309 helped the candle, but daily RSI pushed overbought at 70.76 while printing lower highs than both April 11 and March 16. That keeps BTC pinned under what I’m now calling iron fortress resistance, while spaghetti support looks increasingly fragile. On the 4-hour, I still do not see the clean bearish reversal signal I would normally want, and that is exactly why this price action feels so weird to me. Price looks propped up, not strong. Ethereum is showing the same kind of weakness. ETH has now spent five straight days failing to close above TBO resistance at 23.76, and I still think a pullback toward the Fast line near 22.26 makes more sense than a clean breakout. At the same time, BTC dominance dropped hard, stablecoin dominance also moved lower, and alts exploded across the board. Normally that would sound bullish, but this move looks too aggressive and too suspicious for me to trust. OTHERS, TOTALE50, and TOTALE100 all ripped higher in a way that feels more like rotation, short squeezing, or outright exit-pump behavior than healthy trend continuation. TradFi is not making me feel any safer either. DXY confirmed a pivot low and now looks ready to move higher toward the open gap, which would add more pressure on USDJPY and keep macro conditions hostile. ES futures printed a fresh all-time high, the Nikkei also pushed higher, and Tesla ripped, but volume has been fading on the move, which makes the rally look unstable to me. Oil still has an upside gap that may need filling, gold is chopping inside the cloud, and uranium just broke out above its bull flag. On my watchlist, I’m focused on the charts that pumped hardest into resistance and now look the most vulnerable if this move fades, including XRP, BNB, SOL, LINK, SUI, ENA, LDO, INJ, FIL, AAVE, PENGU, PUMP, VIRTUAL, ADA, APT, HYPE, Binance Life, RAVE, Monad, Render, CHZ, XLM, SIREN, CFX, ZBCN, PIPPIN, and WAL. My main takeaway today is simple: this market is moving in a very weird way, and in a bear market I would rather respect the macro trend and take profit on suspicious pumps than assume this is the start of a clean breakout.

Aaron Dishner

13,849 次观看 • 6 个月前