Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation

Is Ben the new inverse Cramer?

Ben really going to miss the 25k-75k move and the 60k-200k move in the same bull market 😂

Never seen so many words with so little Meaning . Gave up half way through and have no idea what you are predicting (nothing I think)

Stacking cash and patiently waiting for Ben to call the bottom in octover

Imagine telling everyone new lows for btc in April and they listened to you and got crushed? 🤦🏻‍♂️😂

Like how he disappears when BTC rallies lol. 2 days and crickets

This niggas trying to put out fires in his paid group. Got no time for X now 🤣

Aging like fine wine. If you call wine vinegar.

We went from "new low on April" to "April low is not a lower low but a higher low". Price went only up in April... The lowest price was in all of April was April 1st. Let's just move on from the April low theory. Can't win em all.

The 4 year cycle is playing out exactly as the previous. How can people refuse to see that?

Ben doesn't care what price does, so long as he gets new subs to replace all the ones who left after finally figuring out they were paying for a dice roller

Ben Cowen is a real clown, going to unsubscribe from his youtube and x after this. he's the new inverse cramer

Bro, you are not understanding you need to be bullish for Bitcoin to drop

I’m genuinely surprised watching your latest video. Once again: combing through Bitcoin charts, pulling data points from 2014, 2018, searching for arguments why we see lower lows, why the correction isn’t over yet. Yes you can be right. But never once looking beyond the chart. You occasionally reference macro - S&P, other indices - but you don’t integrate it into an alternative scenario for crypto. Here’s what’s interesting: In traditional markets, analysts with your reach and consistency don’t operate this way. Those who do exist would never lock themselves into such specific predictions - or would be far more cautious. This is a peculiarity of the crypto market - not just you, but many analysts. “It has to go lower. Just follow the pattern from cycle X, follow the time, and it fits.” But while you’re analyzing patterns from limited crypto data points, here’s what you’re missing: Risk appetite among investors has surged in recent weeks. We’re at levels last seen in 2021 during the meme stock frenzy. Risky asset fund inflows exceeded safe asset fund inflows by a record $220 billion over the last 4 weeks - surpassing even the 2021 highs. And we still don’t have euphoria among retail investors yet. The rotation is in full swing. And the possibility that crypto participates? It’s there. Not 100%. But it’s there. The macro environment is fundamentally different. Your series is called “Dubious Speculation.” But you’re not speculating. You’re reinforcing existing theses with your own frameworks, deriving the future from a short past. That’s not dubious speculation. That’s confirmation bias with extra steps.

Great content Ben, but what I don’t understand is that you don’t belive feb can be a low because you think we need to have a bigger bear? One thing we always need to remember is that the market does not need to do anything that make sense. If we follow the market we need to be open minded and look what price give us(I belive)

This clown 🤡 along with most YouTubers and influencers we're calling for bearish shit, listen to these clowns🤡 and your asses are rekt , lmao 🤣😂

Once the "4-year cycle" astrological theory breaks, what are you going to pivot to?

Guys RELAX! Ben will be back with an amazing comparison of bitcoin to waterlemon prices from 1929.

respectable case, very possible, but using small set of data points from the past makes it less certain for now

Low in April , I think that prediction was for your trust and respect not btc

@benjamincowen you focus too much on historic moves and don't give any importance to what's going on around the industry, dyou really think with all the changes we saw recently (from ETFs in 2024..ect) the BTC will just copy paste the previous cycles! wouldn't be logical IMHO

Thanks you for the insight into BTC's price action. Please keep them coming.

Unfortunately, and again this gentleman will be wrong, sorry for the cult followers!

We didn't have a large structural buyer in any of these past bear markets. That's something that is different this time.

Chart patterns are one input. Here's what the structure underneath is actually saying right now in our live indices and other market data: CME COT: Asset managers 84.7% long. Leveraged funds just added 599 longs into the flush. Institutional positioning got MORE bullish last week, not less. Funding: 0.0000% for three consecutive days. If this were a bear market setup, shorts would be getting paid. They're not. Nobody is positioned for a dump. MSSI: 19.31 — deepest CALM reading we've measured. No systemic stress. No stablecoin depeg pressure. No funding extremity. MSVI: 8.63 — vol at the floor. Bear markets don't start from compressed vol with zero leverage. They start from euphoric positioning, crowded longs, and elevated funding. None of that exists right now. OI dropped 13.2% last week. The weak hands already left. There's nobody left to liquidate into $48K. Could BTC dump? Anything can happen. But the structural data — funding, positioning, stress, vol, institutional flows — isn't confirming this pattern. It's contradicting it.

You said BTC would go lower this week. Thanks, Ben. Now I'm sidelined and don't know what to do.

Can’t fucking compare this market to 2017.

are you saying that whales buy and sell based on what month we are in?

Lmao

I think a better approach is to focus on price action and don’t use year-to-year monthly comparisons 🤔

So uhhhh 3 days ago huh? Where ya at Ben what’s going on ?

This fake upside needed adter %60 drop . Few days liquidation hunting pumps on alts especially and next leg will be total wipeout. Ty for video ben

i see again posting on X first... and get this man to 1M subs on youtube already for the bear market to be over

Retard, and now he disappears hahaha

YouTube no