Bitcoin has only 60 days left. Bitcoin’s macro cycle is repeating perfectly: 2015 ➜ 2017 bull market: 1064 days 2017 ➜ 2018 bear market: 364 days 2018 ➜ 2021 bull market: 1064 days 2021 ➜ 2022 bear market: 364 days 2022 ➜ 2025 bull market: 1064 days If this... pattern repeats once more: 2025 ➜ 2026 bear market: 364 days Cycle bottom: October 2026. Save this tweet. Reminder: I’ve called every major Bitcoin top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the $16,000 bottom and the $126,000 top. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, the next 60 days will show you why that was a mistake.show more

I respect these cycle models, but almost everyone seems to be following a pattern and expecting the market to obey it. We saw the same thing with the argument that Bitcoin was simply tracking global M2 liquidity with a fixed lag. It looked convincing — until the relationship stopped behaving as expected. Historical patterns and correlations are useful inputs, but they should never become deterministic forecasts. Markets adapt. Liquidity changes. Positioning changes. Regulation changes. Institutional participation changes. Macro conditions change. If Bitcoin’s next major top or bottom could be predicted simply by counting an exact number of days from the previous cycle, markets would be far easier than they actually are. I respect the analysis — I just don’t believe it is that simple.

What invalidates the October 2026 call?

But you’ve only been on X since 2021?

the honest answer is we don't actually know if bitcoin's macro cycle will repeat perfectly again, but the maths makes a compelling case for caution if you're planning to hold or invest

Pattern? Don't ignore the emotions.

I do follow you and believe you

Very simular to what I've been saying since our last high

Knowing the pattern could cause people/bots to buy earlier to take advantage, potentially changing the the pattern, no? Otherwise all in early October. Safer to DCA instead of gambling on history though potentially missing a perfect entry.

If they pump up the price with Tether then you could be right but things have changed. Tether has had an audit, exchanges are being shut down all over the place and people know that BTC cannot scale. Any pattern you are seeing was created artificially. oh and don't ignore the icebergs lol.

Thanks for your post, so you think we are in bottom ?

Alex Someone is impersonating you using your account.

treat this as a hypothesis not a countdown

What about eth

cycles rhyme but never perfectly, watching closely for now

For ur safety

@Stumitchell60 Yes vear market bottom nearly in!

Interesting pattern

60 days left?! 😂 ...cycles are useful maps, but $BTC and crypto market have a funny habit of following them right up to the point where everyone believes them. Then it fucks with the model. That's the part I'm watching.

😍

Just over 14 months ago we set out to find the up & coming chain that would've surely optimized where BTC/ETH/SOL had all failed... we were shoccd it didn't exist. So we decided to do it ourselves! you don't have to miss out on the bag!

🤯

two data points is a recipe for one batch, not a law of physics. the date will move the second price disagrees with it.

😂😂😂 you think we are in a bull market with a sub $3k ETH give up

@TorayKortan

Everyone loves a countdown. Here's what they're missing: that 1064/364 split is just the halving cadence in a costume, and it only lines up if you pick the Nov 2021 top and pretend April 2021 never happened. Countdowns don't time tops. Liquidity does.