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BITCOIN IS DOWN 3% AS MARKETS OPEN TO A WAR. The US hit Iran again this weekend. Oil +4.25%. Nasdaq futures −1.24%. S&P −0.56%. First session since the escalation. Hold 63,000 and it's a shakeout. Lose it, oil runs the tape. Watching: 63,000.

34,067 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! The US-Iran peace deal is breaking from BOTH sides now. Trump is NOT accepting it. Iran is NOT accepting it And markets are NOT ready for what comes next. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be just a dip. This is a geopolitical catalyst hitting an already fragile system. Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Bitcoin will dump even harder. That one fact explains a lot. Because this is no longer about hope. It's about the market realizing that the deal everyone was waiting for is not real yet. No breakthrough. No stability. No real off ramp. And when diplomacy breaks down, markets do NOT price hope. They price WAR. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: both sides keep talking, markets panic first, oil pumps, then risk tries to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: Trump rejects the deal again, Iran refuses the nuclear terms, and markets start pricing a longer conflict. - WORST CASE: talks collapse completely, strikes restart, oil pumps HARD, yields pump, liquidity gets worse, and risk assets dump all at once. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Oil is already unstable. Bonds are already stressed. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now the peace deal looks like another fake hope trade. Now connect the dots. If the deal fails, oil does NOT move slowly. It pumps HARD. Shipping gets hit. Inflation comes back Central banks stay trapped. And every market that needs cheap energy and easy money gets hit again. That is where the real damage starts. Because once markets stop pricing temporary fear and start pricing prolonged instability, the whole system changes. Capital does NOT rotate calmly. It runs to safety all at once. And risk assets? They do NOT correct. They DUMP HARD. This is NOT a theory. The deal is being rejected from both sides. Markets are NOT pricing the next move now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

146,442 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 I CAN’T BELIEVE THIS IS HAPPENING NOW!! IRAN HAS JUST FULLY OPENED THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ In just 30 minutes after this post: - OIL dumped -10% - Stocks gained +$800 BILLION - The S&P 500 set new all-time highs The MASSIVE scale of what just happened for global markets is unreal. 20% of global oil supply passes through the STRAIT OF HORMUZ. The effect will be IMMEDIATE and POWERFUL. If you hold any assets: - Stocks - Crypto - Bonds - Gold - Or even the US dollar YOU MUST READ this post before markets explode. Here’s what just happened and what’s next for markets: OIL (Brent/WTI) Expect a sharp collapse in the “risk premium.” If prices were pricing in $25–30 of risk during the blockade, then with free passage, oil could drop 10–15% in a single trading session. And price has already started going down. Oil is now trading at $80. A few weeks ago, it hit an ATH at $120 per barrel. NATURAL GAS (LNG) Qatar is the largest LNG exporter and regains access to European and Asian markets. So that means gas prices in these regions will decrease. For tanker stocks and the insurance sector, this is a moment of truth. FREIGHT RATES The cost of renting tankers and container ships will start to decline. The reason is very simple: the risks of attacks and delays disappear. And now everything returns to the normal scenario. INSURANCE (War Risk Premium) Insurance premiums for ships passing through this region will reset to zero or drop sharply. This reduces the cost of nearly all goods transported by sea. STOCK MARKETS AND MACROECONOMICS This is where the most POWERFUL BULLISH effect lies: INFLATION: Cheap oil = slowing inflation worldwide. This gives central banks (Fed, ECB) a reason to cut interest rates faster. STOCKS (S&P 500, NASDAQ): Markets love stability. The removal of a major war threat in the Persian Gulf is a strong signal to buy risk assets. SHIFT TO “RISK ON” Crypto is the main indicator of investors’ willingness to take risk. When the threat of a global conflict in a key region (Strait of Hormuz) disappears, Capital instantly flows from “safe havens” (gold, US Treasuries) into risk assets. Expectations that the Fed will cut rates faster due to falling inflation (thanks to cheap oil) means there will be more “cheap” money in the system. Crypto loves cheap money. Bitcoin will start rising as a tech asset. Growth in the NASDAQ index (tech) almost always pulls BTC with 2x leverage. This is exactly the time when REAL MONEY is made. And you should track all the updates so you don’t miss the opportunity. But don’t worry, I will keep you updated on everything here. I will post everything before it becomes HEADLINES. When I make my next move, I’ll share it publicly here. Follow and turn on notifications so you don't miss it. Comment "Strategy" and I will send you my guide in DMs. Many people will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

917,484 次观看 • 4 个月前