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Bitcoin just entered September, historically its worst month. Average return: -2.92% But right after comes Uptober. Average return: +19.92% Green in 10 of the last 13 years. 🚀

Crypto Rover

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107,137 görüntüleme • 8 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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🩸 WARNING: June is statistically the 2ND WORST month in $BTC history. Average return: -0.38%. Median return: -0.49%. Only September is worse. And June 2026 just opened with -3.56% in a single day...

🩸 WARNING: June is statistically the 2ND WORST month in $BTC history. Average return: -0.38%. Median return: -0.49%. Only September is worse. And June 2026 just opened with -3.56% in a single day...

Crypto Rover

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Bitcoin has historically performed well in July, closing the month green 9 out of 13 times with an average return of +7.6%. Even more interesting, every single red June in Bitcoin's history (5/5) has been followed by a green July. If history repeats itself, the odds are once again in favor of the bulls.

Bitcoin has historically performed well in July, closing the month green 9 out of 13 times with an average return of +7.6%. Even more interesting, every single red June in Bitcoin's history (5/5) has been followed by a green July. If history repeats itself, the odds are once again in favor of the bulls.

Crypto Rover

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BITCOIN'S WORST MONTH JUST PRINTED ITS BEST NUMBER SINCE 2017. August: red in 9 of the last 13 years. Median return -6.99%. 2026: +24.39%. When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong. That's exactly what 2017 looked like before Q4 tripled. The full plan is pinned.

BITCOIN'S WORST MONTH JUST PRINTED ITS BEST NUMBER SINCE 2017. August: red in 9 of the last 13 years. Median return -6.99%. 2026: +24.39%. When the month that always bleeds prints green, the crowd is positioned wrong. That's exactly what 2017 looked like before Q4 tripled. The full plan is pinned.

Merlijn The Trader

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Watch how our climate has rapidly changed over the last 144 years. 'Summer' referred to here is the boreal summer and represented by the 3-month average of June, July & August. 2023 comes in hottest by considerable margin. 🔵 = cooler than average 🔴 = warmer than average The average is calculated from summers between 1951-1980.

Watch how our climate has rapidly changed over the last 144 years. 'Summer' referred to here is the boreal summer and represented by the 3-month average of June, July & August. 2023 comes in hottest by considerable margin. 🔵 = cooler than average 🔴 = warmer than average The average is calculated from summers between 1951-1980.

Scott Duncan

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WARNING: 🚨 9 out of 13 Augusts have been red for Bitcoin. Historically, August is $BTC’s worst month in terms of how often it has closed in the red...

WARNING: 🚨 9 out of 13 Augusts have been red for Bitcoin. Historically, August is $BTC’s worst month in terms of how often it has closed in the red...

Crypto Rover

97,230 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Bitcoin has had a strong start to July, up nearly 10% so far. But be aware of what usually comes next. August and September are historically the two weakest months of the year for $BTC. September especially, averaging around -4%.

Bitcoin has had a strong start to July, up nearly 10% so far. But be aware of what usually comes next. August and September are historically the two weakest months of the year for $BTC. September especially, averaging around -4%.

Crypto Rover

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"Good news from GasBuddy — prices in Wisconsin are down... the average price for a gallon of regular is $2.73. That's nearly a 10 cent drop from last month..."

"Good news from GasBuddy — prices in Wisconsin are down... the average price for a gallon of regular is $2.73. That's nearly a 10 cent drop from last month..."

Rapid Response 47

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💥 BITCOIN IS ON COURSE FOR ITS BEST AUGUST SINCE 2017. Up ~23% this month, in the worst-performing month in Bitcoin's history. The last time August looked like this, it kicked off one of the biggest bull runs ever.

💥 BITCOIN IS ON COURSE FOR ITS BEST AUGUST SINCE 2017. Up ~23% this month, in the worst-performing month in Bitcoin's history. The last time August looked like this, it kicked off one of the biggest bull runs ever.

Crypto Rover

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June has been the worst month of 2026 so far. But the chart tells a bigger story. After every red June (2024, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2018, and 2013), Bitcoin bounced in July. History says relief could be loading. 🚀

June has been the worst month of 2026 so far. But the chart tells a bigger story. After every red June (2024, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2018, and 2013), Bitcoin bounced in July. History says relief could be loading. 🚀

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While US's CEO's debate the merits of raising wages for workers, the average income has doubled in China over the last 10 years - while the cost of goods mostly stayed the same. 2015: 62,029 CNY 2025: 129,441 CNY

While US's CEO's debate the merits of raising wages for workers, the average income has doubled in China over the last 10 years - while the cost of goods mostly stayed the same. 2015: 62,029 CNY 2025: 129,441 CNY

Jason Smith - 上官杰文

18,505 görüntüleme • 12 gün önce

🚨 The Bitcoin Bull Market is ALMOST confirmed. This model stacks the 5 levels that confirmed every past bull market. Reclaim all of them, and historically Bitcoin never looked back. Right now 3 of 5 are green. But two are still red. $BTC is sitting just below the 50W ma and the 365D ma. That's the LAST wall. Break those two, and history says the bull market is confirmed.

🚨 The Bitcoin Bull Market is ALMOST confirmed. This model stacks the 5 levels that confirmed every past bull market. Reclaim all of them, and historically Bitcoin never looked back. Right now 3 of 5 are green. But two are still red. $BTC is sitting just below the 50W ma and the 365D ma. That's the LAST wall. Break those two, and history says the bull market is confirmed.

CryptoGoos

114,759 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

The last time this signal fired, Ethereum crushed Bitcoin by 233%. It fired at 0.026. ETH/BTC today: 0.026. Same level. New golden cross forming. Five years of pain, just to return to the launchpad. The market forgot. The chart didn't.

The last time this signal fired, Ethereum crushed Bitcoin by 233%. It fired at 0.026. ETH/BTC today: 0.026. Same level. New golden cross forming. Five years of pain, just to return to the launchpad. The market forgot. The chart didn't.

Merlijn The Trader

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Chicago picked up another 4.8" of #snow ..... with their season to date total now at 17.1" vs. the average of 3.5". This is the fastest start in 47 years and just shy of what fell all of last season: 17.6".

Chicago picked up another 4.8" of #snow ..... with their season to date total now at 17.1" vs. the average of 3.5". This is the fastest start in 47 years and just shy of what fell all of last season: 17.6".

Mike Seidel

396,709 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

HOW BADLY DO WE NEED $STRC BACK AT PAR? Turning the STRC machine back on would juice MSTR’s return by as much as 11.55 percentage points on the exact same move to $100,000 Bitcoin... with zero mNAV expansion. Bitcoin goes from $64,846 to $100,000: +54.21%. With no new STRC, MSTR goes from $97.91 to $172.66: +76.35%, beating Bitcoin by 22.13 points. Then we restart the preferred trebuchet: $500M/month → MSTR +79.26% → beats BTC by 25.05 points $1B/month → MSTR +82.16% → beats BTC by 27.95 points $1.5B/month → MSTR +85.04% → beats BTC by 30.83 points $2B/month → MSTR +87.90% → beats BTC by 33.69 points The incremental return created specifically by new STRC is 2.92%, 5.81%, 8.69% and 11.55%, respectively. At $2B per month, STRC generates 13.14% of MSTR’s entire return and 34.29% of its outperformance over Bitcoin. Issuing $24B over the year buys 301,208 BTC at an average modeled price of $79,679. Those coins are worth $30.12B when Bitcoin reaches $100,000, while the additional preferred principal remains . That creates $6.12B of gross residual common equity before the associated dividend and dilution drag. After including that drag, CEBE still finishes 10,916 sats per share above the zero-issuance scenario, adding $11.31 to MSTR’s ending share price. Credit investors get a 12% coupon and a warm glass of milk. Common shareholders get whatever survives when $100,000 Bitcoin runs the fixed-dollar liability through an industrial meat grinder. The preferred stack is expensive capital when Bitcoin goes sideways. On an orderly climb, it becomes a machine for purchasing BTC below its destination price while the liability remains frozen in dollars. I love Strategy's model. It's simple. Continue to manufacture yield for the dollar economy, and then harvest the residual convexity for common shareholders:

HOW BADLY DO WE NEED $STRC BACK AT PAR? Turning the STRC machine back on would juice MSTR’s return by as much as 11.55 percentage points on the exact same move to $100,000 Bitcoin... with zero mNAV expansion. Bitcoin goes from $64,846 to $100,000: +54.21%. With no new STRC, MSTR goes from $97.91 to $172.66: +76.35%, beating Bitcoin by 22.13 points. Then we restart the preferred trebuchet: $500M/month → MSTR +79.26% → beats BTC by 25.05 points $1B/month → MSTR +82.16% → beats BTC by 27.95 points $1.5B/month → MSTR +85.04% → beats BTC by 30.83 points $2B/month → MSTR +87.90% → beats BTC by 33.69 points The incremental return created specifically by new STRC is 2.92%, 5.81%, 8.69% and 11.55%, respectively. At $2B per month, STRC generates 13.14% of MSTR’s entire return and 34.29% of its outperformance over Bitcoin. Issuing $24B over the year buys 301,208 BTC at an average modeled price of $79,679. Those coins are worth $30.12B when Bitcoin reaches $100,000, while the additional preferred principal remains . That creates $6.12B of gross residual common equity before the associated dividend and dilution drag. After including that drag, CEBE still finishes 10,916 sats per share above the zero-issuance scenario, adding $11.31 to MSTR’s ending share price. Credit investors get a 12% coupon and a warm glass of milk. Common shareholders get whatever survives when $100,000 Bitcoin runs the fixed-dollar liability through an industrial meat grinder. The preferred stack is expensive capital when Bitcoin goes sideways. On an orderly climb, it becomes a machine for purchasing BTC below its destination price while the liability remains frozen in dollars. I love Strategy's model. It's simple. Continue to manufacture yield for the dollar economy, and then harvest the residual convexity for common shareholders:

Adam Livingston

33,368 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🐻‍❄: It's the return of New Thitipoom kub. 💪🏻: Why did you just come back? Where did you go before this? 🐻‍❄: Where? *asks Neen* 🎀: Makeup room. 💪🏻: With Tay Tawan? But now with Sotus gang na. 🐻‍❄: Return after 10 yrs. #SOTUS10thYearConcertLIVE #Newwiee

🐻‍❄: It's the return of New Thitipoom kub. 💪🏻: Why did you just come back? Where did you go before this? 🐻‍❄: Where? asks Neen 🎀: Makeup room. 💪🏻: With Tay Tawan? But now with Sotus gang na. 🐻‍❄: Return after 10 yrs. #SOTUS10thYearConcertLIVE #Newwiee

ᴛᴛ.ᴅᴀʏʟɪɢʜᴛ ☀️

34,234 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce

We just observed the hottest month globally on record. This is how all the Julys since 1880 stack up. The 8 hottest Julys on record (for global average temperature) have all occurred in the last 8 years since 2016. No time to waste. #ActOnClimate via Scott Duncan

We just observed the hottest month globally on record. This is how all the Julys since 1880 stack up. The 8 hottest Julys on record (for global average temperature) have all occurred in the last 8 years since 2016. No time to waste. #ActOnClimate via Scott Duncan

Mike Hudema

16,267 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce

🚀3 PATHS TO $100 ASST🚀 ASST starts at $13.00. Reaching $100 requires a 7.69× total stock multiple. All three scenarios use a 24-month horizon. SATA issuance is expressed as a monthly average, meaning ASST could issue opportunistically rather than raising the exact same amount every month. PATH 1: BITCOIN-LED Average new SATA issuance: $0 per month BTC: $66.3K → $300K = 4.52× CEBE: 13,312 → 20,286 sats/share = 1.52× CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 1.64× = 1.12× 4.52 × 1.52 × 1.12 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 ASST issues no additional SATA. Its existing $782.95M preferred claim simply becomes much smaller when measured in BTC at $300K. PATH 2: BALANCED Average SATA issuance: $100M per month That means $2.40B of cumulative SATA issuance over 24 months, bringing the preferred balance to approximately $3.18B. At $200K Bitcoin: BTC holdings: 40,251 Senior claims: 14,912 BTC CEBE attributable to common: 25,339 BTC Diluted shares: 95.12M CEBE: 26,639 sats/share CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 1.88× Return decomposition: BTC appreciation: 3.02× CEBE sats/share: 2.00× mNAV rerating: 1.27× 3.02 × 2.00 × 1.27 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 This path cuts the projected SATA issuance rate by more than half. The tradeoff is that ASST must rerate from 1.47× to approximately 1.88× CEBE mNAV. PATH 3: SATA PLUS MULTIPLE EXPANSION Average SATA issuance: $150M per month That means $3.60B of cumulative SATA issuance over 24 months, bringing the preferred balance to approximately $4.38B. At $150K Bitcoin: BTC holdings: 56,162 Senior claims: 27,883 BTC CEBE attributable to common: 28,279 BTC Diluted shares: 99.02M CEBE: 28,558 sats/share CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 2.33× Return decomposition: BTC appreciation: 2.26× CEBE sats/share: 2.15× mNAV rerating: 1.59× 2.26 × 2.15 × 1.59 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 This is the lowest-Bitcoin path, but it demands the highest valuation. With BTC reaching only $150K, the market must eventually price ASST at approximately 2.33× CEBE mNAV. Reducing SATA issuance does not eliminate the path to $100. It changes which engine must do more work. Path one depends primarily on Bitcoin. Path two balances Bitcoin, $100M of average monthly SATA issuance, and moderate mNAV expansion. Path three relies on $150M of average monthly SATA issuance and a much larger valuation rerating. Every path reaches the same destination. The burden simply moves between Bitcoin appreciation, CEBE accretion, and mNAV expansion. Educational modeling only. Not investment advice.

🚀3 PATHS TO $100 ASST🚀 ASST starts at $13.00. Reaching $100 requires a 7.69× total stock multiple. All three scenarios use a 24-month horizon. SATA issuance is expressed as a monthly average, meaning ASST could issue opportunistically rather than raising the exact same amount every month. PATH 1: BITCOIN-LED Average new SATA issuance: $0 per month BTC: $66.3K → $300K = 4.52× CEBE: 13,312 → 20,286 sats/share = 1.52× CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 1.64× = 1.12× 4.52 × 1.52 × 1.12 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 ASST issues no additional SATA. Its existing $782.95M preferred claim simply becomes much smaller when measured in BTC at $300K. PATH 2: BALANCED Average SATA issuance: $100M per month That means $2.40B of cumulative SATA issuance over 24 months, bringing the preferred balance to approximately $3.18B. At $200K Bitcoin: BTC holdings: 40,251 Senior claims: 14,912 BTC CEBE attributable to common: 25,339 BTC Diluted shares: 95.12M CEBE: 26,639 sats/share CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 1.88× Return decomposition: BTC appreciation: 3.02× CEBE sats/share: 2.00× mNAV rerating: 1.27× 3.02 × 2.00 × 1.27 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 This path cuts the projected SATA issuance rate by more than half. The tradeoff is that ASST must rerate from 1.47× to approximately 1.88× CEBE mNAV. PATH 3: SATA PLUS MULTIPLE EXPANSION Average SATA issuance: $150M per month That means $3.60B of cumulative SATA issuance over 24 months, bringing the preferred balance to approximately $4.38B. At $150K Bitcoin: BTC holdings: 56,162 Senior claims: 27,883 BTC CEBE attributable to common: 28,279 BTC Diluted shares: 99.02M CEBE: 28,558 sats/share CEBE mNAV: 1.47× → 2.33× Return decomposition: BTC appreciation: 2.26× CEBE sats/share: 2.15× mNAV rerating: 1.59× 2.26 × 2.15 × 1.59 = 7.69× Implied ASST price: $100 This is the lowest-Bitcoin path, but it demands the highest valuation. With BTC reaching only $150K, the market must eventually price ASST at approximately 2.33× CEBE mNAV. Reducing SATA issuance does not eliminate the path to $100. It changes which engine must do more work. Path one depends primarily on Bitcoin. Path two balances Bitcoin, $100M of average monthly SATA issuance, and moderate mNAV expansion. Path three relies on $150M of average monthly SATA issuance and a much larger valuation rerating. Every path reaches the same destination. The burden simply moves between Bitcoin appreciation, CEBE accretion, and mNAV expansion. Educational modeling only. Not investment advice.

Adam Livingston

12,608 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Shelby Miller last pitched in the bigs on September 1st of last season before undergoing TJS. Just 11 months later, he has made six rehab outings, is throwing harder than he did last season, and has a 40.0% K%. Nearing a major-league return. Absolutely remarkable.

Shelby Miller last pitched in the bigs on September 1st of last season before undergoing TJS. Just 11 months later, he has made six rehab outings, is throwing harder than he did last season, and has a 40.0% K%. Nearing a major-league return. Absolutely remarkable.

Carson Wolf

38,032 görüntüleme • 21 gün önce