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Bitcoin risk is misunderstood The Basel III regulatory risk framework should reward transparency and observability, not punish it. My presentation at Strategy World yesterday focused on Basel III Risk weightings & an institutional framework for Digital Credit & Bitcoin

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Jeff Walton

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32,904 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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I’ve been a Balance Sheet Volatility manager my entire career (12+ years). Below is my presentation at Risk World yesterday. Focused on explaining the similarities of insurance balance sheet risk management to Bitcoin balance sheet risk management. The primary difference: Bitcoin data is more observable, easily accessible, and calculable in real time. This is a feature, not a bug. And btw, there were only about 12 people in the seats, and 2 were my own colleagues. 0:21–0:46 Background in reinsurance and risk 0:46–1:13 How this work changed his perspective on risk 1:13–1:37 Bitcoin as digital capital 1:57–2:42 Insurance, reinsurance, and volatility reduction 6:54–8:08 Turning Bitcoin volatility into a credit instrument 13:50–15:38 Risk modeling, experience rating, and Monte Carlo analysis 17:21–20:06 Monetary debasement and digital credit 20:06–24:22 Digital credit vs. catastrophe bonds
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I’ve been a Balance Sheet Volatility manager my entire career (12+ years). Below is my presentation at Risk World yesterday. Focused on explaining the similarities of insurance balance sheet risk management to Bitcoin balance sheet risk management. The primary difference: Bitcoin data is more observable, easily accessible, and calculable in real time. This is a feature, not a bug. And btw, there were only about 12 people in the seats, and 2 were my own colleagues. 0:21–0:46 Background in reinsurance and risk 0:46–1:13 How this work changed his perspective on risk 1:13–1:37 Bitcoin as digital capital 1:57–2:42 Insurance, reinsurance, and volatility reduction 6:54–8:08 Turning Bitcoin volatility into a credit instrument 13:50–15:38 Risk modeling, experience rating, and Monte Carlo analysis 17:21–20:06 Monetary debasement and digital credit 20:06–24:22 Digital credit vs. catastrophe bonds

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My Keynote "The Digital Transformation of Risk" at Bitcoin Asia 2025 in Hong Kong 0:00 - Intro 0:36 - The Story of Risk 6:22 - Bitcoin Backed Risk, Pioneered by Strategy & Michael Saylor 9:52 - Quantifying the risk 13:43 - The Biggest Story in all of Finance 15:37 - Risk is Evolving, humanity needs to adapt EM₿RACE THE RISK
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The 3-5-7 rule is a disciplined risk management framework in day trading designed to protect capital and maximize profitability. It dictates: 3% maximum risk on a single trade, 5% maximum total risk across all open positions (portfolio exposure), and a 7:1 risk-reward ratio or a 7% minimum profit target on winners.
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The 3-5-7 rule is a disciplined risk management framework in day trading designed to protect capital and maximize profitability. It dictates: 3% maximum risk on a single trade, 5% maximum total risk across all open positions (portfolio exposure), and a 7:1 risk-reward ratio or a 7% minimum profit target on winners.

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2 months ago, I sat down with "The Reinsurance Podcast" in London to discuss Bitcoin, Insurance, Digital Credit and corporate Bitcoin adoption. Released yesterday (classic reinsurance speed). If this video does more than 785 views, it'll be the most watched Reinsurance podcast in the last 2 years... Good opportunity to see what some industry professionals are focused on within the market. The industry is completely ripe for disruption. 00:00 Intro 00:37 Meet Jeff Walton, CRO at Strive 01:50 From Reinsurance Broker to Bitcoiner 05:18 Lessons from Hail & Wildfire Market Shocks 08:29 Inflation, Trend Risk & CPI Skepticism 11:52 Bitcoin as a Balance Sheet Strategy 14:00 Why Insurers Don’t Hold Bitcoin 17:50 Explaining Bitcoin Simply (Ledger, Math, and Trust) 21:35 Store of Value, Medium of Exchange & Square's Role 25:48 Bitcoin ETFs and Market Maturity 28:56 Digital Credit & Bitcoin-backed Yield Products 33:23 Transparency vs Private Credit Risk 36:15 Reinsurers Reconsidering Balance Sheet Allocations 38:26 Is Bitcoin the Only Game in Town? 41:10 Corporate Credit Built on Bitcoin 44:00 Reinsurance, Digital Assets & Regulatory Inroads 47:55 Final Advice to the Reinsurance Market 51:01 Wrap-up & Farewell
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2 months ago, I sat down with "The Reinsurance Podcast" in London to discuss Bitcoin, Insurance, Digital Credit and corporate Bitcoin adoption. Released yesterday (classic reinsurance speed). If this video does more than 785 views, it'll be the most watched Reinsurance podcast in the last 2 years... Good opportunity to see what some industry professionals are focused on within the market. The industry is completely ripe for disruption. 00:00 Intro 00:37 Meet Jeff Walton, CRO at Strive 01:50 From Reinsurance Broker to Bitcoiner 05:18 Lessons from Hail & Wildfire Market Shocks 08:29 Inflation, Trend Risk & CPI Skepticism 11:52 Bitcoin as a Balance Sheet Strategy 14:00 Why Insurers Don’t Hold Bitcoin 17:50 Explaining Bitcoin Simply (Ledger, Math, and Trust) 21:35 Store of Value, Medium of Exchange & Square's Role 25:48 Bitcoin ETFs and Market Maturity 28:56 Digital Credit & Bitcoin-backed Yield Products 33:23 Transparency vs Private Credit Risk 36:15 Reinsurers Reconsidering Balance Sheet Allocations 38:26 Is Bitcoin the Only Game in Town? 41:10 Corporate Credit Built on Bitcoin 44:00 Reinsurance, Digital Assets & Regulatory Inroads 47:55 Final Advice to the Reinsurance Market 51:01 Wrap-up & Farewell

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