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Bitcoin treasury companies with amplification can outperform Bitcoin over time. Here's a brief explainer of Amplified Bitcoin: - what it means - balance sheet mechanics - the one key metric to watch

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Jesse Myers

101,848 subscribers

21,115 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)

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6 Kommentare

Profilbild von lil retard
lil retardvor 1 Monat

None of them have outperformed anything

Profilbild von Accredited Financial Survivor
Accredited Financial Survivorvor 1 Monat

Gross

Profilbild von Matt Matthews
Matt Matthewsvor 1 Monat

They haven’t outperformed shit lmao

Profilbild von Mikey Foresty
Mikey Forestyvor 1 Monat

blablablablabla Going lower.

Profilbild von Blake
Blakevor 1 Monat

@grok find the YouTube link

Profilbild von Michael Dobbin BTC SWC
Michael Dobbin BTC SWCvor 1 Monat

Great explanation Jesse.

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Welcome back to The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Today's guest is Michael Mescher, CEO of Gammon Capital. Michael and I discuss derivatives, institutional capital, balance sheet protection, and the future of Bitcoin treasury management. Here's my conversation with Michael Mescher. 0:00 - Intro 0:40 – Michael’s path from derivatives to Bitcoin treasury strategy 3:18 – What a 50% collateral haircut really means for a Bitcoin treasury company 11:15 – The coming $10 billion "Put Wall" and why 2027 matters 13:21 – Why Bitcoin treasury companies are paying too much for capital 15:02 – Using derivatives as balance sheet protection - not speculation 16:55 – Building a Bitcoin treasury playbook for bear and sideways markets 19:05 – What Michael Saylor gets right about financial engineering 22:15 – What separates the strongest Bitcoin treasury companies from the rest 24:42 – Why the market still hasn't built a better Bitcoin credit facility 26:54 – How Bitcoin treasury companies can unlock institutional capital 29:04 – Managing asset-liability mismatches on a Bitcoin balance sheet 32:38 – Capital efficient hedging strategies for downside protection 34:46 – How to sell a hedging strategy to a long-only Bitcoin executive 37:17 – What a strategic engagement with Gammon Capital looks like 38:18 - Where to find Michael Mescher and Gammon Capital
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Welcome back to The Bitcoin Treasuries Podcast. Today's guest is Michael Mescher, CEO of Gammon Capital. Michael and I discuss derivatives, institutional capital, balance sheet protection, and the future of Bitcoin treasury management. Here's my conversation with Michael Mescher. 0:00 - Intro 0:40 – Michael’s path from derivatives to Bitcoin treasury strategy 3:18 – What a 50% collateral haircut really means for a Bitcoin treasury company 11:15 – The coming $10 billion "Put Wall" and why 2027 matters 13:21 – Why Bitcoin treasury companies are paying too much for capital 15:02 – Using derivatives as balance sheet protection - not speculation 16:55 – Building a Bitcoin treasury playbook for bear and sideways markets 19:05 – What Michael Saylor gets right about financial engineering 22:15 – What separates the strongest Bitcoin treasury companies from the rest 24:42 – Why the market still hasn't built a better Bitcoin credit facility 26:54 – How Bitcoin treasury companies can unlock institutional capital 29:04 – Managing asset-liability mismatches on a Bitcoin balance sheet 32:38 – Capital efficient hedging strategies for downside protection 34:46 – How to sell a hedging strategy to a long-only Bitcoin executive 37:17 – What a strategic engagement with Gammon Capital looks like 38:18 - Where to find Michael Mescher and Gammon Capital

Tim Kotzman

26,345 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

BITCOIN AMPLIFICATION DRIVES TOTAL RETURNS A company paying 14% for preferred capital can outperform a company paying 6% - when greater amplification captures a sufficiently large positive Bitcoin spread. I think the actual math behind how much amplification drives total returns will shock you. In this video I explain the mechanism, the math, and the funding challenge behind an amplified Bitcoin strategy. We walk through four fictional Bitcoin treasury companies, starting with $100 million, $1 billion, $10 billion, and $50 billion of Bitcoin assets. You will see why the largest company does not necessarily earn the highest percentage return, why amplification decays without new funding, and how much preferred capital sustaining the ratio would require. I also examine why a lower Bitcoin entry price improves upside to a fixed future price... and why cheaper Bitcoin does not automatically mean less balance-sheet risk. Enjoy!
16:52

BITCOIN AMPLIFICATION DRIVES TOTAL RETURNS A company paying 14% for preferred capital can outperform a company paying 6% - when greater amplification captures a sufficiently large positive Bitcoin spread. I think the actual math behind how much amplification drives total returns will shock you. In this video I explain the mechanism, the math, and the funding challenge behind an amplified Bitcoin strategy. We walk through four fictional Bitcoin treasury companies, starting with $100 million, $1 billion, $10 billion, and $50 billion of Bitcoin assets. You will see why the largest company does not necessarily earn the highest percentage return, why amplification decays without new funding, and how much preferred capital sustaining the ratio would require. I also examine why a lower Bitcoin entry price improves upside to a fixed future price... and why cheaper Bitcoin does not automatically mean less balance-sheet risk. Enjoy!

Adam Livingston

14,317 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza on why Bitcoin treasury companies can outperform spot ETFs: “If you own a well-run Bitcoin treasury company, in 20 years’ time, you could have three, four, maybe even five Bitcoins.”
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TD Cowen’s Lance Vitanza on why Bitcoin treasury companies can outperform spot ETFs: “If you own a well-run Bitcoin treasury company, in 20 years’ time, you could have three, four, maybe even five Bitcoins.”

CoinDesk

112,630 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Bitcoin vs. Amplified Bitcoin I ran 500,000 paired Monte Carlo simulations over four years. Bitcoin starts at $86,000, with a 40% geometric CAGR assumption and 40% annualized volatility. The amplified model takes 1.5× each simulated daily Bitcoin return, producing roughly 60% volatility. Same Bitcoin shocks. Same $86,000 starting investment. Different sensitivity. Median ending value: Bitcoin: $330,057 - 3.84× Amplified Bitcoin: $508,584 - 5.91× At the 95th percentile: Bitcoin: $1.235 million Amplified Bitcoin: $3.676 million At the 99th percentile: Bitcoin: $2.132 million Amplified Bitcoin: $8.327 million The probability of finishing at 10× or more rises from 11.6% to 33.1%. Amplified Bitcoin finishes ahead in 85.9% of the paired simulations. But the wider upside distribution comes with a materially rougher ride. Median maximum drawdown increases from 42.2% to 57.7%. The probability of finishing below the starting investment rises from 4.7% to 7.0%. A company targeting sustained amplified exposure needs to actively manage its capital structure and Bitcoin exposure. Issuing preferred equity once does not permanently lock in 1.5× stock-price sensitivity, and balance-sheet amplification is not the same as market beta. These are the mathematical results of a maintained-sensitivity projection, not a forecast for any company. Financing costs, preferred dividends, dilution, valuation changes, and company-specific risks are excluded. Volatility is vitality:
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Bitcoin vs. Amplified Bitcoin I ran 500,000 paired Monte Carlo simulations over four years. Bitcoin starts at $86,000, with a 40% geometric CAGR assumption and 40% annualized volatility. The amplified model takes 1.5× each simulated daily Bitcoin return, producing roughly 60% volatility. Same Bitcoin shocks. Same $86,000 starting investment. Different sensitivity. Median ending value: Bitcoin: $330,057 - 3.84× Amplified Bitcoin: $508,584 - 5.91× At the 95th percentile: Bitcoin: $1.235 million Amplified Bitcoin: $3.676 million At the 99th percentile: Bitcoin: $2.132 million Amplified Bitcoin: $8.327 million The probability of finishing at 10× or more rises from 11.6% to 33.1%. Amplified Bitcoin finishes ahead in 85.9% of the paired simulations. But the wider upside distribution comes with a materially rougher ride. Median maximum drawdown increases from 42.2% to 57.7%. The probability of finishing below the starting investment rises from 4.7% to 7.0%. A company targeting sustained amplified exposure needs to actively manage its capital structure and Bitcoin exposure. Issuing preferred equity once does not permanently lock in 1.5× stock-price sensitivity, and balance-sheet amplification is not the same as market beta. These are the mathematical results of a maintained-sensitivity projection, not a forecast for any company. Financing costs, preferred dividends, dilution, valuation changes, and company-specific risks are excluded. Volatility is vitality:

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27,726 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

It was time for a True North-Coin Stories hangout! Thanks for taking the time to share more about the powerful movement you've created Jeff Walton Tim Kotzman We talk about the origin story of , corporate Bitcoin treasuries, the revolution in credit markets, the "digital transformation of investor relations," which companies make them most bullish and much more. Let us know what you think! Timecodes: 00:00 What is True North? 3:49 Creating a New Media Platform in the Bitcoin Space 7:46 What Makes a Great Bitcoin Treasury Company? 10:16 What Is mNAV? How to Evaluate Bitcoin Companies Using mNAV 19:33 How Bitcoin Treasury Companies Differentiate Themselves 21:14 How Companies Gain Liquidity to Buy More Bitcoin 24:55 What Are $STRF, $STRK & $STRD? New Bitcoin-Backed Instrument from Strategy 34:03 Are Bitcoin Treasuries a Bubble? 38:20 Bullish on These Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries 43:27 Top Companies Leading the Bitcoin Treasury Movement 47:17 Semler Scientific: Healthcare Innovation Meets Bitcoin 52:17 True North’s Vision for the Future of Bitcoin & Finance
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It was time for a True North-Coin Stories hangout! Thanks for taking the time to share more about the powerful movement you've created Jeff Walton Tim Kotzman We talk about the origin story of , corporate Bitcoin treasuries, the revolution in credit markets, the "digital transformation of investor relations," which companies make them most bullish and much more. Let us know what you think! Timecodes: 00:00 What is True North? 3:49 Creating a New Media Platform in the Bitcoin Space 7:46 What Makes a Great Bitcoin Treasury Company? 10:16 What Is mNAV? How to Evaluate Bitcoin Companies Using mNAV 19:33 How Bitcoin Treasury Companies Differentiate Themselves 21:14 How Companies Gain Liquidity to Buy More Bitcoin 24:55 What Are $STRF, $STRK & $STRD? New Bitcoin-Backed Instrument from Strategy 34:03 Are Bitcoin Treasuries a Bubble? 38:20 Bullish on These Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries 43:27 Top Companies Leading the Bitcoin Treasury Movement 47:17 Semler Scientific: Healthcare Innovation Meets Bitcoin 52:17 True North’s Vision for the Future of Bitcoin & Finance

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