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Bitcoin Weakness Window

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Benjamin Cowen

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71,447 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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BITCOIN HAS NEVER ESCAPED THIS AUGUST PATTERN. The last THREE U.S. midterm years all turned ugly after August began. 2014 → Bitcoin entered a prolonged decline. 2018 → August weakness eventually led into the brutal Q4 capitulation. 2022 → Bitcoin rolled over again before ultimately reaching its cycle bottom later that year. Now it's 2026. Another U.S. midterm year. And Bitcoin is entering the exact same seasonal window while the market is already showing weakness. The pattern doesn't need to repeat candle for candle. But the previous three midterm cycles all saw significant downside after August began. 2014. 2018. 2022. Three midterm years. Three major declines. 2026 is next. History says the dangerous part of the year may only be starting.
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JULY KEEPS MARKING THE START OF RELIEF FOR BITCOIN. 2018. 2022. 2026. All midterm years. We are in the window now.
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I got a weakness for you I got a weakness for you I got a weakness
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I got a weakness for you I got a weakness for you I got a weakness

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jisung’s weakness: boob touch minho’s weakness: soft tickles
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Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

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