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Bitcoin Weakness Window

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Benjamin Cowen

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71,447 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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BITCOIN HAS NEVER ESCAPED THIS AUGUST PATTERN. The last THREE U.S. midterm years all turned ugly after August began. 2014 → Bitcoin entered a prolonged decline. 2018 → August weakness eventually led into the brutal Q4 capitulation. 2022 → Bitcoin rolled over again before ultimately reaching its cycle bottom later that year. Now it's 2026. Another U.S. midterm year. And Bitcoin is entering the exact same seasonal window while the market is already showing weakness. The pattern doesn't need to repeat candle for candle. But the previous three midterm cycles all saw significant downside after August began. 2014. 2018. 2022. Three midterm years. Three major declines. 2026 is next. History says the dangerous part of the year may only be starting.
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THE BITCOIN 200 EMA IS THE LINE THAT MATTERS. Paul Tudor Jones said it best: Above it: buy weakness. Below it: manage risk. Bitcoin is kissing the 200 EMA right now. Hold it? Expansion resumes. Lose it? Different conversation. Structure decides.

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I got a weakness for you I got a weakness for you I got a weakness
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I got a weakness for you I got a weakness for you I got a weakness

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jisung’s weakness: boob touch minho’s weakness: soft tickles
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Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

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